Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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🇫🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: The Paris Commercial Court has reversed a French government ban on Israeli defense firms at the 'Euronaval' arms exhibition in November, ordering organizers to allow their participation.

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🇱🇧/🇮🇱 NEW: Around 1,085 buildings in six villages in southern Lebanon have been destroyed or damaged by Israeli bombings and detonations since October 1

Approximately 1.5 million people have been forcibly displaced by the Israeli aggression, and the death toll has surpassed 2,800.

The photo shows satellite imagery of 'Yaroun' village in October 2023 compared to this year.

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🇺🇸/🇸🇾/🏴 NEW: U.S. airstrikes in the Syrian desert on Monday killed up to 35 Islamic State operatives, claiming to have targeted multiple senior leaders, U.S. Central Command revealed yesterday.

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❗️🇮🇷 🇮🇷 IRGC Commander-in-Chief, Major General Hossein Salami: 'Our response to Israel will be unprecedented'

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❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Director of the Office of the Supreme Leader of Iran: 'Our response to the Zionist regime will be crushing and painful'

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🇮🇷 Initially, many media and politicians inside Iran, mostly affiliated with the Reformists and the Pezeshkian government, tried to downplay the Israeli attack and urge for restraint.

Two days after the attack however, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei stated: 'The Israeli attack must neither be exaggerated nor downplayed. The military must decide on an appropriate response.' Since then, the narrative has completely shifted, and a strong response seems almost certain.

This echos a similar experience after the assassination of Ismael Haniyeh in Tehran, when it was President Masoud Pezeshkian that wanted to avoid retaliation, but the Supreme Leader forced his hand, after the United States failed to abide by their promise of reaching a ceasefire in Gaza.

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🇺🇸/🇮🇶 NEW: A federal case against military contractor 'CACI,' accused of contributing to the torture of Iraqi detainees at the infamous Abu Ghraib prison in 2003, resumed this week

Plaintiffs allege that CACI's interrogation services facilitated the abuse by American soldiers.

The trial, expected to last four to five days, follows 16 years of legal disputes and over 20 attempts by CACI to dismiss the case.

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🇵🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: The International Federation of Journalists (IFJ) has condemned Israel’s attitude towards the press and its attacks on media professionals in the wake of the war on Gaza.

They say at least 146 journalists have been killed since October 2023, which they call to be one of the bloodiest periods in the history of journalism.

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Media is too big
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🇱🇧 WATCH: Hezbollah released footage of targeting the 'Krayot' gathering, north of Haifa.

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🇮🇷/🇮🇶/🇺🇸 NEW: 'Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraqi territory in the coming days, using a large amount of drones and ballistic missiles' – Axios

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🇮🇷/🇮🇶/🇺🇸 NEW: 'Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraqi territory in the coming days, using a large amount of drones and ballistic missiles' – Axios @Middle_East_Spectator
— I highly doubt this:

1. First of all, Iran was attacked on Iranian territory by Israel itself, so the response will come from Iran, and it will be directly on Israeli territory. Iran even responded directly against Israel when Israel targeted the Iranian Embassy in Syria. Iran could have easily chosen to target Israeli assets abroad, but they decided to strike Israel itself, from Iran, with Iranian missiles. If they did it back then, when Iran was not even directly attacked, then they'll definitely do it now.

2. Second of all, it's not like Iran has missile bases or military bases inside Iraq. Saying that 'Iran will attack Israel from Iraqi territory' implies that it will be Iraqi militias doing it. This is not feasible, as the Islamic Resistance in Iraq does not have enough ballistic missiles and drones to launch a major attack against Israel simultaneously. They could launch probably a few dozen at once, but nothing more. And it will be easy to intercept. It would likely also instantly exhaust the majority of their current stockpile.

3. Third, it seems to me that the Israelis are publishing this in order to signal to Iran that this is a type of response they'll allow to go unpunished. Barak Ravid, the Israeli journalist who wrote the article, is basically telling Iran; 'attack us from Iraq, and we won't strike back', in the hopes that Iran will avoid a direct strike on Israel.

All in all, I think it's extremely unlikely for the response to come from Iraq. It's possible that the Iraqi Resistance is planning their own attack, but this would be seperate and independent from Iran's response.

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Like bro, Iran DIRECTLY struck Israel after the Damascus embassy attack, and after Ismael Haniyeh's assassination. Do they really think Iran will suddenly use its 'proxies'?

This time, Iranian territory was attacked on a large scale, and 5 Iranians died, including 4 members of the army. The Israelis are either dumb, naive, desperate, or all three at once.
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Brian, I know you made this up. The Pentagon did not say this.

Don't do this again Brian.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇮🇷/🇩🇪 NEW: Germany will close all Iranian consulates in Germany but allow the embassy to remain open in reaction to the execution of German-Iranian terrorist Jamshid Sharmahd @Middle_East_Spectator
🇮🇷/🇩🇪 UPDATE: Iran's Foreign Ministry summoned the German Chargé d'Affaires to express its condemnations of Germany's decision to close Iranian consulates in the country.

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❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: 'Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, has ordered an attack on Israel' – New York Times

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❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: 'Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, has ordered an attack on Israel' – New York Times @Middle_East_Spectator
— Keep in mind to take Western news outlets with a huge pinch of salt.

It's probably true, but the New York Times has no 'informed Iranian sources'. That's all BS. They're just guessing.
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🔴 🇱🇧 Full statement by the Operations Room of the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon, November 1:

The Islamic Resistance continues to confront the Israeli aggression in Lebanon, inflicting heavy losses on the enemy in terms of equipment and personnel along various confrontation axes and deep into occupied Palestine.

1. Land Confrontations:
In recent days, the Israeli army attempted to advance in southern Lebanese villages, facing resistance across multiple axes:

First Axis: In the area of the 146th Division, Israeli forces attempted to infiltrate towards the southern neighborhoods of Sheheen and Al-Jbeen, as well as Wadi Hamoul. The Mujahideen confronted them, forcing a withdrawal and targeting enemy positions in Al-Dhuhayrah and Ras Al-Naqoura.

Second Axis: In the area of the 36th Division, the Resistance targeted Israeli gatherings amidst attempts to penetrate Aita al-Shaab and Aitaroun.

Third Axis: In the 91st Division area, after heavy losses during recent confrontations, the enemy maintained fire control but did not attempt further advances.

Fourth Axis: In the area of the 98th Division, resistance fighters confronted an Israeli force advancing towards Kfar Kila, inflicting casualties and forcing evacuation by military helicopters.

Fifth Axis: In the area of the 210th Division, the Resistance targeted attempts to advance near Kfar Shouba and Shebaa, effectively countering enemy movements.

2. Missile Force: The missile force has conducted 655 operations since September 17, 2024, including 63 in the last three days, targeting Israeli military sites up to 105 km into Israel, reaching the northern suburbs of Tel Aviv with various types of missiles, including precision guided ballistic missiles.

3. Air Force: The Air Force has conducted 76 operations with over 170 drones since September 17, 2024, striking deep into occupied Palestine, including 11 operations in the last three days, reaching up to 145 km deep into Israel.

4. Air Defense Unit: The Air Defense Unit has launched 20 surface-to-air missiles against Israeli aircraft, with 4 launches in the past three days.

— Total Enemy Losses:

Over 95 Israeli soldiers killed and 900 wounded.
– 42 'Merkava' tanks, 4 military bulldozers, 2 'Humvee' vehicles, an [unnamed] armored vehicle, and an armored personnel carrier destroyed.
– 3 'Hermes-450' drones and 2 'Hermes-900' drones shot down.

The Islamic Resistance asserts that enemy forces avoid visibility to prevent being targeted and rely on nighttime infiltrations. Supply lines remain intact, allowing for continuous resupply of weapons. Despite Israeli intelligence efforts, resistance fighters maintain the ability to launch rocket barrages from Lebanese territory without interruption.

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Middle East Spectator — MES
🔴 🇱🇧 Full statement by the Operations Room of the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon, November 1: The Islamic Resistance continues to confront the Israeli aggression in Lebanon, inflicting heavy losses on the enemy in terms of equipment and personnel along…
❗️🇱🇧 Hezbollah announces the Zionist losses since the start of the ground war in Lebanon:

🇮🇱 Over 95 dead and 900 wounded among officers and soldiers.

🇮🇱 Destruction of 42 'Merkava' tanks, 4 military bulldozers, 2 Hummer vehicles, an armored vehicle, and an armored personnel carrier.

🇮🇱 Downing of 3 'Hermes-450' drones and 2 'Hermes-900' drones.

These losses do not include any casualties or damage from missile and drone attacks inside occupied Palestine.

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