Morning Thought 🌄

By doing nothing, You become nothing.

Bitcoin is trying to hold above its trend support near 67,000 which is a very important level to watch.

As long as BTC stays above 67K, a move towards 69,000 and 70,000 is possible.

If this support fails, price may revisit the 65,000 to 64,000 zone.

The next move will depend on how price reacts around this trend support.

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BTC 2022 and BTC 2026 look very similar.

In 2022, Bitcoin made two tops, couldn’t move higher, broke support, and then dumped hard.

In 2026, the same pattern is forming again.

If history repeats, price could fall further from here.

Israel attacked Iran with air strikes, causing big explosions in Tehran.. and because of this Bitcoin is dumping hard

The geopolitical situation is getting worse. Back to back war like situations coming.

⚠️ Panic selling is rising as U.S.–Iran tensions increase, with $1.8B aggressive sell volume hitting derivatives in one hour.

Crypto market also saw heavy fear-based selling and fast drops.

Agar ap Big Caps jaise $BTC, $ETH, $LINK, $SOL hold kar rahe ho, to zyada panic karne ki zarurat nahi, strong coins usually recover.

🇮🇷🇮🇱 Israel has launched a “preventive” strike against Iran, with explosions reported in Tehran.

• This marks a major escalation in Middle East tensions.

• Global markets may react sharply as investors watch for Iran’s response and possible wider conflict.

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has reportedly launched ballistic missiles targeting U.S. military assets across the Middle East.

• Strikes were reported in the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan.

• Multiple explosions were heard near bases hosting U.S. forces.

• This escalation sharply raises geopolitical risk and could trigger major market volatility.

A trader with alleged insider ties reportedly placed large bets on Polymarket predicting a U.S. strike on Iran before March 1.

• The position allegedly generated around $500,000 in profit after tensions escalated.

• The timing has raised questions, as public signals days earlier pointed toward possible de-escalation.

Crypto News - Key Updates 🚨

🏷 SpaceX is reportedly preparing a confidential March IPO filing at a record $1.75T valuation for a June listing.— Source

🏷 Tech giants are expecting to spend nearly $700 billion on AI in 2026.— Source

🏷 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran sparked $1.8B in liquidations, crashing BTC below $64k and ETH under $1,900.— Source

🏷 Tokenized gold hit a record $5,494/oz as US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered a massive weekend safe-haven surge.— Source

🏷 Trump confirmed operation launched against Iran.— Source

🏷 Tether has frozen $4.2B in USDT to date, including $3.5B since 2023 and $61M this week for "pig-butchering" scams.— Source

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The U.S. massively outspent global rivals in AI investment in 2024.

• $109.1B flowed into U.S. AI, 12x China and 24x the U.K.

• Generative AI alone attracted $33.9B, up 18.7% year over year.

Good afternoon ☀

BTC Daily Review

❌Market liquidations over the past 24 hours, CoinGlass: ~ Over the past 24 hours, 81,479 traders were liquidated, the total amount of liquidations was $345.01 million. ~67% long positions and ~23% short positions.

Our working week begins with pressure to the lower limit of the consolidation range and most likely we will once again try to go below it.

Although past attempts were not particularly active, we caught rebounds, but it’s time to break through the support at $62.870 and go lower..

The scenario of collecting liquidity in the area of $60,000 is still relevant, and that’s what I’m looking forward to this week.
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#DYDX They took the $0.1 area and went lower.

I was waiting for the asset to decline in this area and planned to buy additional coins here, but my plans changed and I consider it necessary to update my thoughts. I didn’t buy back the coin and am waiting first for it to reach the $0.0624 area, and then for the Loyal update.

The correction potential is at least 30% of the net movement, so I don’t see any point in buying back from the current ones. Yes, in theory, the asset could turn around earlier, but I already have a working position on the project and I don’t see any particular problems in this.

Everything depends solely on BTC and nothing else.
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🚀 Let’s analyze #VIRTUAL on the daily timeframe:

The general structure shows that since the beginning of last month, the coin has been gradually bought back - there has been an increase from $0.462 to $0.728, which already indicates the emergence of demand and a local change in mood.

This month I want to see a test of the upper zone (order block) in the area of $0.900.
From there we may well see a breakdown and continuation of the movement to $1.10, and with a strong impulse, even a test of the local high of $1.20.

⏬ But personally, I will wait for a test in the FVG area of $0.800 and after that a smooth decline to a more interesting zone with liquidity in the area of $0.550.
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💰 Using SUI we look at the 4h timeframe. The coin is now sideways, trading at $0.88. After a serious dump, we see an accumulation phase.

The graph shows key zones. If we maintain current levels and show strength, then the first target is a liquidity block around $1.0150. A breakout and consolidation above the Strong High opens the way to $1.1075 and further up to $1.45.

⬅In the event of a correction, the lower support line is located at Weak Low, somewhere around $0.78. There could be a nice rebound from there if the buyer is active.

⬅Further targets in case of confident growth are $1.5310 and even $1.6030, and in a good situation we will see $1.7925. But don’t forget about the risks: if we don’t break through $1.1075, there is a correction option.
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🗑 The future of all L2 projects.

By and large, a lot now depends on the position of ETH and the further vector of its development.

If the team led by Vitalik continues to promote the current scaling model and the ecosystem can prove its viability in practice, there will be no problems.

If the market finally doubts the effectiveness of the chosen path, the pressure may increase, with the subsequent extinction of the concept as L2.

The key point is whether ETH is able to unstick itself from BTC and begin to form its own dynamics.

If ETH gains strength, global risks for alts will become noticeably smaller, and the scenario of liquidity flowing into alts will become more plausible.

As for projects that are worth something, their drawdown seems more likely to be a reflection of general market weakness. Now pressure is observed in almost all sectors, and this is not a problem of individual projects.

An additional complexity is that the boundaries between sectors have blurred: L2, DeFi, AI, modular solutions are all mixed up, and it becomes more difficult to objectively assess the real value.

I believe that if nothing changes and the ETH team does not prove that the market needs it, L2 may not exist. That's it.

#Reflections

BingX ~ Privatka ~ News‌‌

Идеально, спасибо огромное

JTO - Flew 👊‌‌

I fix part of it, and stop on TV!‌‌