📉 AUDJPY Bearish Drop: Targeting 108.00 on 4H Chart

🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📊 Status: Short
AUDJPY is rejecting from key resistance on the 4H chart, maintaining the broader downtrend. AUD weakness against JPY strength supports further downside toward the next major support level.

🎯 Trade Plan:
Short Entry: 113.29 – 113.96
Target: 108.00
Stop Loss: Daily close above 114.70
Risk-Reward: >1:3

⚠️ Manage risk properly. This is not financial advice — trade at your own risk!
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📌 The price reaches to 1:1 R/R. Don't forget to save your profit or breakeven.
#EURCHF

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📊 WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK | Aug 10–14

🌍 Backdrop: Friday's shock -23K NFP print flipped the script — gold had its best week since March 2020, USD/JPY extended below ¥158, and September hike odds cratered from ~58% to ~44%. Wednesday's CPI now decides whether that dovish turn sticks 🔥

🗓 Monday 🔕 No major releases scheduled

🗓 Tuesday 🔕 No major releases scheduled

🗓 Wednesday
🇺🇸 US CPI (July) 🔥

🗓 Thursday
🇺🇸 US PPI (July)
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims

🗓 Friday
🇺🇸 US Retail Sales (July)
🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment (Prelim)

💱 FOREX — Pairs to Watch

EUR/USD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Wed: US CPI 🔥
→ Analysts are calling this the real decider for September, not Friday's jobs shock. June's CPI fell on cheap energy; July's print comes after oil ripped higher again, so a hot number could claw back Friday's dollar-softening move.

USD/JPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Ongoing: intervention aftermath
→ Tokyo's stealth intervention plus Friday's weak NFP have pushed the pair to ~¥157.7, well below its ¥161 50-day average — two tailwinds stacked the same way. A hot CPI Wednesday is the first real test of whether that holds.

GBP/USD 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Broad dollar weakness
→ No major UK data this week, so GBP/USD is largely a read on the dollar side — it's ridden the post-NFP softness higher along with the other majors.

USD/CAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Ongoing: oil normalizing further
→ WTI's slid to the high-$70s, the calmest it's been in weeks, as the Hormuz standoff shows tentative signs of easing. CAD's now trading more on broad dollar direction than oil headlines.
—————————————————-
₿ CRYPTO — BTC & ETH

→ The CLARITY Act didn't get its August vote — Thune filed cloture on Saturday instead, pushing the real fight to mid-September. Not dead, but a step slower than the market hoped a week ago. → BTC's been steadier than gold's fireworks, still mid-$60Ks — with Wednesday's CPI now the nearer catalyst for risk assets broadly, crypto included.
—————————————————-
🥇 GOLD & COMMODITIES XAU/USD

→ The big story: gold ripped roughly 7-8% higher this past week, its best week since March 2020, breaking clean out of the $4,050 range it had been stuck in for a month. It's trading near $4,350-4,400 now, about 21% off January's record. → The trigger was Friday's jobs shock, not the war — weak payrolls crushed hike bets and pulled real yields down. J.P. Morgan and Goldman have both nudged 2026 targets higher, with UBS eyeing $5,000 next year. → Wednesday's CPI is the next test — a hot print (oil pass-through from the Iran flare-up) could stall the rally; a soft one likely extends it.

📈 XAUUSD Bullish Push: Targeting 4680 on 4H Chart

🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📊 Status: Long
XAUUSD is bouncing from key support on the 4H chart, showing clear signs of strength. Buying pressure and technical structure support further upside toward the next major resistance levels.

🎯 Trade Plan:
Long Entry: 4165 – 4220
Target 1: 4520
Target 2: 4680
Stop Loss: Daily close below 4075
Risk-Reward: >1:3

⚠️ Manage risk properly. This is not financial advice — trade at your own risk!
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🛑 Stop reached.

📉 NZDCHF Bearish Drop: Targeting 0.4710 on 4H Chart

🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📊 Status: Short
NZDCHF is rejecting from key resistance on the 4H chart, maintaining the broader downtrend. NZD weakness against CHF strength supports further downside toward the next major support level.

🎯 Trade Plan:
Short Entry: 0.4769 – 0.4774
Target: 0.4710
Stop Loss: Daily close above 0.4777
Risk-Reward: ~1:8

⚠️ Manage risk properly. This is not financial advice — trade at your own risk!
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📉 CADJPY Bearish Drop: Targeting 110.82 on 4H Chart

🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📊 Status: Short
CADJPY is rejecting from key resistance on the 4H chart, maintaining the broader downtrend. CAD weakness against JPY strength supports further downside toward the next major support level.

🎯 Trade Plan:
Short Entry: 115.26 – 115.86
Target: 110.82
Stop Loss: Daily close above 116.50
Risk-Reward: 1:3.5

⚠️ Manage risk properly. This is not financial advice — trade at your own risk!
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📊 WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK | Aug 17–21

🌍 Backdrop: The nominal Iran ceasefire expires Monday with talks deadlocked, Hormuz still shut, and Israel-Hezbollah exchanging fire again over the weekend — the deadliest since the truce. Otherwise it's a thin US calendar built around Wednesday's FOMC minutes, with Jackson Hole (Aug 27–29) already the market's next fixation 🔥

🗓 Monday 🔕 No major releases scheduled

🗓 Tuesday
💼 Home Depot earnings

🗓 Wednesday
📝 FOMC Minutes (July 28–29 meeting)
💼 Target & Lowe's earnings

🗓 Thursday
💼 Walmart earnings

🗓 Friday
🇺🇸 Flash PMIs (Manufacturing/Services)
🇺🇸 Jobless Claims + Existing Home Sales

💱 FOREX — Pairs to Watch

EUR/USD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Wed: FOMC Minutes 🔥
→ Last week's soft CPI/PPI/retail-sales trio pulled September hike odds to roughly 1-in-3. The minutes are backward-looking, but they'll show how close the three dissenters came to forcing a hike — and set the tone for how markets read Warsh at Jackson Hole next week.

USD/JPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Ongoing: BOJ-Fed divergence
→ Still hovering near ¥158, well below its pre-intervention range. Broad dollar weakness and safe-haven demand from the fresh Hormuz flashpoint are both pulling the same way here.

USD/CHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Ongoing: Israel-Hezbollah flare-up 🔥
→ The deadliest weekend since the truce puts safe-haven flows back in play — franc strength is the cleaner read on this than USD/JPY, which is also being pulled by the Fed side.

USD/CAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Ongoing: Hormuz still shut
→ WTI's pinned near $82 with the strait still closed and Iran's navy chief calling it under Iran's control. Any real escalation reopens the oil trade that dominated July — for now it's more holding pattern than breakout. —————————————————-
₿ CRYPTO — BTC & ETH

Wyoming Blockchain Symposium (Aug 17–20) → BTC's drifted back under $63,500 inside a descending channel — cooler than gold's run, more a reflection of the broader "wait for Jackson Hole" mood than anything crypto-specific. → CLARITY Act cloture vote is locked in for September 15 — the same day as the Fed's next decision. Two major catalysts landing together sets up a genuinely volatile mid-September.
—————————————————-
🥇 GOLD & COMMODITIES XAU/USD

→ Gold's put together back-to-back weekly gains, holding near $4,375–4,400 and within sight of a 10-week high — up roughly 31% over the past year even after correcting hard from January's record. → The driver hasn't changed: three straight soft inflation/spending reports pulled September hike odds down to about 1-in-3, and that's doing more for gold than the Iran headlines. → The risk cuts both ways from here — a genuine Hormuz escalation could revive the inflation case fast, while Warsh's Jackson Hole framing in 10 days is shaping up as the next real catalyst.

📈 GBPUSD Bullish Push: Targeting 1.365 on 4H Chart

🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📊 Status: Long
GBPUSD is bouncing from key support on the 4H chart, showing clear signs of strength. GBP strength against USD weakness supports further upside toward the next major resistance level.

🎯 Trade Plan:
Long Entry: 1.350 – 1.351 zone
Target: 1.365
Stop Loss: Daily close below 1.347
Risk-Reward: >1:3

⚠️ Manage risk properly. This is not financial advice — trade at your own risk!
👍 Like if you're longing GBPUSD!
🔄 Share with your trading group — let’s grow!
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