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MONEY TIMES TALK

16.5.26

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Although Money Times recommendation have outperformed other media, stock brokers and research houses, the brief recommendations under Money Times Talk (MTT) cannot display 'BUY', 'SELL' or 'HOLD' recommendations. Readers should, therefore, exercise their own judgement and evaluate the future prospects of the stock given its past performance, Industry prospects in the backdrop of a growing economy and in consultation with their investment adviser.

As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 18, 22, 25, 27 & 29th May 2026.

Friday night closing: Dow -537 pts, Nasdaq -410 pts., S&P -93 pts. However, Gift Nifty closed in green at 23769 as Brent Crude declined sharply to $100.49. If crude falls further over the weekend and no negative developments emerge, Indian markets may remain strong on Monday.

As per market grapevine, stocks to watch include Anantraj, Artefact Projects, Black Rose Ind., Butterfly Gandhimathi Appliances, Hester Biosciences, HFCI, IOLCP, Lehar Footwears, NSE SME KLL, Plastiblends India, Shiva Texyarn, SAIL, Somi Conveyor Beltings, VA Tech Wabag, Vodafone Idea and Yes Bank. Israel-Lebanon extending the ceasefire by 45 days is positive for bulls.

Data: USDINR at 96.13, lifetime low for Rupee. Negative for importers and Flls. Weak weekly closing in Nifty and Bank Nifty remains negative for bulls. As per market grapevine, inflation may rise sharply and demand may weaken in coming months.

Kind attention to FM & Government: Simplifying account opening, compliance and investment processes for NRIs can become a major source of long-term capital inflows into India. Government should also consider reducing STT and long-term capital gains tax to attract Flls, FPIs and NRIs.

Very Important: As per market grapevine, both old and new BSE websites remain very slow, with delays in opening quarterly results and other data. Technical and administrative departments should immediately improve bandwidth. and website speed. Investors facing issues may contact BSE Web Manager on 022-22728358/8594/8973/8249.

As per market veteran, trading is the only profession where overworking can make you poorer. Successful trading is not about predicting the future, but about discipline, risk management & sticking to strategy despite emotional pressure.

Wars ignite volatility. Volatility creates fear. Fear creates mispricing & mispricing creates opportunity. Markets reward courage only when backed by wisdom. Investors should avoid getting carried away in rallies or panicking during corrections because markets, money & life never move in a straight line. Greed during rallies & fear during declines often become the biggest reasons for losses. Every rise is followed by consolidation & every fall is followed by recovery. The real game in investing is about controlling emotions, not chasing prices. Wise investors ignore rumours, daily noise & temporary volatility and remain committed to their strategy. Stay humble in rallies & patient during declines because a calm mind is the biggest strength in investing.

Trading Rules: a) Be patient & wait for the right opportunity. b) Trade on your own ideas & strategy, not on tips. c) Never risk too much on one company or event. d) Think clearly about entry, profit booking & stop loss before taking
a trade. e) Markets move before fundamentals, so respect price action. f) Stay flexible & accept mistakes quickly. g) Buy on extreme weakness & sell on extreme strength. h) Avoid distractions & remain focused. i) Opportunities in markets never stop, so stay confident.

Take care; Most people buy insurance based on what agents sell instead of calculating what their family would actually need if income suddenly stops. If yearly family contribution is Rs.10 lakh & 20 earning years are left, income value itself crosses Rs.2 cr. Then a Rs.20-30 lakh policy may not be enough to protect lifestyle, education, EMIs & future goals. Insurance is not about policy count, but about proper income replacement.
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Before aggressive investing, first protect the income source creating wealth.

Grateful people build wealth while others only earn money. Gratitude turns income into wealth because it creates discipline, patience & long-term thinking. Wealth grows where gratitude flows. Markets are full of panic buying, panic selling & fear of missing out, but real wealth is created through patience & discipline. Markets do not punish ignorance as much as they punish indiscipline. Always remain grateful to Universe/God for everything around you.

Small & microcaps can create multibaggers in bull markets, but they can also fall the hardest in bear phases. Many 3x-10x stocks fail to sustain gains across full market cycles as drawdowns of 40-60% are common. Smallcaps are not "buy & forget" investments, but "buy, monitor & manage" opportunities. Smart investors focus on governance, valuations, cycle awareness & selective conviction bets. Wealth is created not only by generating returns, but also by protecting capital during deep corrections. Every bear market eventually creates future wealth creators for disciplined investors.

Alert: High EMIs can delay wealth creation. If a person earning Rs.1 lakh pays EMI of Rs.45,000, very little remains for investing after expenses. Investing Rs.25,000 monthly for 20 years at 10% return can create nearly Rs.1.9 cr., but delaying investments due to heavy EMIs can sharply reduce final wealth. Lifestyle upgrades should not come at the cost of long-term financial freedom.

As per market veteran, every litre of fuel saved, every unnecessary expense avoided & every disciplined financial decision strengthens both personal wealth & India's economy. Small savings by crores of Indians become national strength. Save more, spend wisely & build wealth responsibly.

Power of "I don't know": Investors who accept uncertainty often create more wealth than overconfident investors. Nobody truly knows future returns of stocks, gold, ETFs, real estate or interest rates. But investors should know their financial goals, required corpus, asset allocation & savings discipline. Understanding your limitations is often more powerful than overconfidence.

Most people underestimate retirement planning. A monthly expense of Rs.50,000 today can become nearly Rs.1 lakh in 10 years at 8% inflation. A commonly used thumb rule suggests building a corpus of nearly 300 times monthly expenses, implying around Rs.3 cr. for Rs.1 lakh monthly expenses. Retirement planning should remain separate from goals like education, marriage or house purchase. Start planning early for financial freedom.

Businesses with high fallure rates include: 1. Trading (98%). 2. Hotels (90%). 3. Gyms (81%). 4. Restaurants (80%). 5. Construction (70%). 6. E-commerce/ dropshipping (90%). 7. CafΓ©s / coffee shops (85%). 8. InfluenceraAgencies (85%). 9. Logistics/trucking (80%). 10. Retail stores (75%). 11. Crypto trading (95%). 12. Content agencies (70%).

As per market veteran, recency bias is one of the biggest enemies for traders & investors at market peaks. Earlier frenzy was seen in Smallcaps, SMEs, IPOs, Defence, Railways, Solar, Chemicals, Data centres & New-age tech stocks, but now market interest has shifted towards Metals, PSU Banks & Bullion stocks. Many overheated themes eventually correct sharply, trapping retail investors without exits. Excessive speculation in SME IPOs & overpriced IPOs has already destroyed significant retail wealth. Trading in precious metals has also become highly volatile, so investors should stay cautious & light.

Global crisis is no longer limited to oil & gas. Fertilizers, sulfur & industrial chemicals are also witnessing severe supply disruptions. Sharp rise in sulfuric acid, urea & industrial input prices is impacting fertilizer production, EV batteries, semiconductors & manufacturing globally. Multiple countries are facing fertilizer shortages, plant shutdowns & supply disruptions, raising risks of higher inflation, food shortages & industrial slowdown.
Markets are currently focused mainly on crude oil, while risks related to food, fertilizer & industrial supply chains remain largely underpriced.

Eco Reco is back on track going by its Q4FY26 numbers. The recycling industry prospects are bright with govt. support to it

HFCL bags export orders worth $19.32 million (Rs.183.95 cr.) for supply of optical fibre cables from renowned global customers. Just keep on radar.

IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals received EDQM CEP approval for Clopidogrel Besilate, strengthening access to regulated European markets. It has huge reserves of Rs.1693 cr. vs equity of Rs.59 cr. and reported PAT of Rs.84.48 cr. in 9MFY26 with 50% interim dividend. The company is expanding API presence with REACH registration, new Minoxidil unit, Paracetamol expansion & Rs.150-200 cr. capex plans. Medium-term growth visibility remains strong with export expansion & margin improvement. Stock may surpass its high of Rs.179.

Lehar Footwears is setting up a new footwear manufacturing unit at Kundli, Haryana focused on sports shoes & EVA footwear. Existing capacity of 1 lakh pairs/month operates at 85-90% utilisation while phased expansion of 5 lakh pairs/month is planned with capex of up to Rs.25 cr. funded through internal accruals. Expansion into athleisure segment supports long-term growth visibility. Board meeting for results & dividend on 22-5-2026.

PNC Infratech emerged as L1 bidder for construction of a 4-Lane major bridge over River Ganga on EPC mode with project value of Rs.571.81 cr. in JV with SPS Constructions India. Just keep on radar.

VA Tech Wabag announced development of its first Bio-CNG plant in Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh under its waste-to-energy initiative targeting establishment of 100 Bio-CNG plants across India & global markets. Just keep on radar.

HFCL to set up Rs.230 cr. defence manufacturing facility in Andhra Pradesh for Multi-Mode Hand Grenades & related products with planned capacity of~40 lakh units by December 2027. Expansion driven by defence import substitution & rising global defence spending. Keep on track.

Debt-free, dividend-paying Black Rose has reserves of Rs. 164.34 cr. v/s equity of Rs.5 cr. Q4FY26 PAT jumped 114% Q-o-Q to Rs.9.42 cr., while FY26 PAT stood at Rs.22.44 cr. Company announced 125% dividend. New capacity and amines venture with Japanese partners provide strong earnings visibility. Stock looks attractive at Rs.96 v/s life-time high of Rs.239.

Hester Biosciences reported 974% higher Q4FY26 PAT at Rs.165.46 cr. and raised dividend to 110% from 70% in FY25. Capacity expansion, export growth and H9N2 vaccine commercialisation provide strong long-term visibility. Stock looks attractive at Rs.1834 and may surpass its 52-week high of Rs.2347.

Promoters of IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals bought 25.12 lakh shares from the market, reflecting confidence in future growth. EDQM granted CEP for "Metformin Hydrochloride Process-11, strengthening its API portfolio. FY26 results on 20-5-2026. Stock looks attractive at Rs.106 v/s all-time high of Rs.178.

Dividend-paying Lehar Footwears notched 109% higher PAT of Rs.16.69 cr. for 9MFY26. CRISIL rating upgrade, debt reduction and PE of just 15 v/s peers at 30-64 make valuations attractive. Stock trades at Rs.238 v/s 52-week high of Rs.322. FY26 results & dividend meeting on 22-5-2026.

NSE SME Kaushalya Logistics (KLL) operates 116 depots across 11 states and serves Dalmia Cement, ACC, Ambuja Cement and JK Cement. H1FY26 PAT stood at Rs.6.79 cr. with PE of just 5. Appointment of logistics veteran Rajendra Shekhawat as CFO may prove a game changer. Stock looks attractive at Rs.36 v/s life-time high of Rs.163.

Debt-free, dividend-paying Plastiblends India has reserves of Rs.436 cr. v/s equity of Rs.13 cr. Q4FY26 PAT rose 45% to Rs.13.86 cr. while FY26 PAT stood at Rs.36.69 cr. Dividend increased to 60%. Stock trades at PE of 11.8 and around book value, making it attractive at Rs. 163 v/s 52-week high of Rs.232.

Butterfly Gandhimathi Appliances, part of the Crompton group, reported 40% higher FY26 PAT of Rs.45.64 cr.
Promoters hold 75% and reserves stand at Rs.354 cr. New "Idea First Series" is emerging as a key growth driver. Stock looks attractive at Rs.711 v/s life-time high of Rs.1903.

Somi Conveyor Beltings reported PAT of Rs.2.38 cr. in Q3FY26 v/s Rs.86 lakh in Q2FY26, a 177% Q-o-Q jump. Expansion in mixing line capacity and infrastructure-led demand provide strong growth visibility. Stock looks attractive at Rs.110 v/s high of Rs.228. FY26 results meeting on 20-5-2026.

Active Clothing Co. has announced its entry into the multi-brand retail segment with the launch of "NUEMO," targeting a topline potential of Rs.200-250 cr. over the next four years.

Park Medi World reported Q4 FY26 consolidated revenue from operations of Rs.460.41 cr. (+30.1% YoY), EBITDA of Rs.127.37 cr. (+44.0% YoY) with a margin of 27.7%, and NP of Rs.76.78 cr. (+46.6% YoY) with a margin of 16.7%

Bright Outdoor Media reported FY26 total income of Rs.155.43 cr. (+21.38% YoY), EBITDA of Rs.35.23 cr. (+28.68% YoY) with a margin of 22.66%, and NP of Rs.24.05 cr. (+26.06% YoY) with a margin of 15.47%.

Captain Polyplast has commenced production operations at its newly developed manufacturing facility near Ahmedabad, Gujarat, further strengthening its presence in the polymer products and micro-irrigation segment.

Neetu Yoshi received RDSO approval for its Haridwar facility, marking its entry into the approved vendor directory for freight bogie components.

Sathlokhar Synergys E&C Global received CRISIL ratings for its Rs.200 cr. bank facilities, with a Long-Term Rating of CRISIL BBB+/Positive and a Short-Term Rating of CRISIL A2, reflecting improving business fundamentals and financial strength.

Emerald Finance partnered with Intime Advisory Services LLP, Delhi and Divineo Health Care Hospital LLP, Haryana, to expand its Early Wage Access (EWA) program.

Sanjivani Parenteral reported FY26 results with total income of Rs.69.76 cr., EBITDA of Rs.11.40 cr., and net profit (PAT) of Rs.6.69 cr.

Iris Clothings reported FY26 total income of Rs.190.90 cr., up 30.5% YoY with PAT rising 23.4% YoY to Rs.16.20 cr. while Q4 FY26 total income grew 50.4% YoY to Rs.60.50 cr. and PAT grew 43.5% YoY to Rs.6.40 cr.

Cash Ur Drive Marketing secured two major transit media orders worth Rs.9.08 cr., including a Rs.7.55 cr. transit branding campaign order from a leading multinational mobility and technology platform firm and a ~Rs.1.53 ст. government-backed EV bus branding campaign across multiple cities in India.

KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration reported FY26 consolidated total income of Rs.609.81 cr., up 38.06% YoY, EBITDA of Rs.112.48 cr., up 59.52% YoY and PAT of Rs.76.47 cr., up 44.62% YoY. Q4 FY26 consolidated total income stood at Rs.181.40 cr., up 33.55% YoY, with EBITDA and PAT growing 77.56% YoY and 57.14% YoY, respectively. Standalone FY26 total income stood at Rs.689.95 cr., up 57.36% YoY, with EBITDA of Rs.84.79 cr., up 19.41% YoY, and PAT of Rs.71.31 cr., up 42.11% YoY.

Shakti Press plans to raise Rs.49.28 cr. via Rights Issue at Rs.20/share, which opened on 7/05/26 and closes on 29/05/26 to fund expansion and strengthen operations. For 9MFY26, its revenue stood at Rs. 12.72 cr. with operating profit of Rs.2.26 cr. as its share trade above the issue price.

STL Networks allotted preferential shares to promoter Twin Star (Vedanta) at Rs.24 per share. Earlier, STL Technologies rallied sharply after preferential allotment to Vedanta. Market participants are watching for possible re-rating in STL Networks. Keep on radar.

TRF Ltd sought shareholder approval for related party transactions with Tata Steel exceeding Rs.300 cr. in FY27 against revenue of Rs.85 cr. last year. On tiny equity of Rs.11 cr., execution of large orders may significantly improve earnings visibility. Stock near 52-week lows offers favourable risk-reward.

Former Cipla CEO Umang Vohra joined Cohance Lifesciences, a much smaller company with market cap of around Rs.16,000 cr. Market participants are tracking whether similar long-term value creation can unfold in Cohance.
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Sharda Cropchem trades below 15x P/E despite strong EBITDA growth. Market still values it like a cyclical player rather than a high-margin IP-led business. Valuations remain attractive with potential for meaningful re-rating over the next 1-2 years.

Wheels India posted strong quarterly numbers and touched fresh 52-week highs near Rs.1500 after earlier recommendation around Rs.900 levels. Trend remains strong with further upside potential.

India's private sector capex surged 67% YoY to Rs.7.7 lakh cr. in H1FY26 from Rs.4.6 lakh cr., reflecting strong business confidence and revival in the investment cycle. Total private investments neared Rs.41 lakh cr., driven by manufacturing, renewable energy and technology.

Despite weak broader markets, metal counters like Hindalco, Vedanta and Hindustan Zinc remained strong and attracted investor interest.

Saatvik Green bags orders worth Rs.950 cr., taking total order book to around Rs.7,500 cr., providing strong revenue visibility. FY26 EPS is expected at Rs.32.

RMC Switchgears received Lol worth Rs.201 cr. from Jaipur Discom. It posted 95% higher H1 EPS of Rs.18.8 and may deliver FY26 EPS of Rs.40. The stock trades at a PE of 11.5x vs industry PE of 54x.

Satin Creditcare posted 635% higher Q4 EPS of Rs.14.7 and 78% higher FY26 EPS of Rs.30.2. The stock trades at a PE of 7.5x vs peers at 22.5x.

Birla Corporation is investing Rs.4,335 cr. to expand cement capacity. It posted Q4 EPS of Rs.38.3 and FY26 EPS of Rs.72.4. The stock trades at 14.5x forward PE vs peers at 35x.

Organic Recycling Systems posted H2 EPS of Rs.12.5 and FY26 EPS of Rs.24.1 on equity of Rs.8.8 cr. The stock trades at a PE of 10.4x vs peers at 28.5x.

DCB Bank posted 14% higher Q4 EPS of Rs.6.4 and 17% higher FY26 EPS of Rs.23. The stock trades at a PE of 7.6x vs private banking peers at 16.4x..

Ponni Sugar (Erode) posted Q4 EPS of Rs.31 and FY26 EPS of Rs.55.9. The stock trades at a PE of 5.5x vs industry PE of 17x.

Debt-free Sharda Cropchem, with cash & investments of Rs.702 cr., posted 22% growth in FY26 revenue to Rs.5,268 cr., driven by strong volumes and product mix. Long-term outlook remains strong.

Transrail Lighting completed tower capacity expansion from 88,400 ΀ΑΑ το 1,72,400 TPA. It secured new orders worth Rs.2,350 cr., taking total order book to Rs.17,610 cr. Its FY26 EPS is seen at Rs.38, which may lead to FY27 EPS of Rs.48.

Sportking India lined up Rs.1,000 cr. expansion with captive solar plant and spindle capacity addition. It posted 9M EPS of Rs.6.8, which may lead to FY26 EPS of around Rs.10.

Birla Corporation plans Rs.4,335 cr. capex to expand cement capacity from 21.4 TPA to 27.6 TPA by FY29 after commissioning a new Uttar Pradesh plant.

JM Financial posted 60% higher Q3 EPS of Rs.3.5 and 72% higher 9M EPS of Rs.11. Its FY26 EPS may reach Rs.15. The stock trades at a PE of 9x vs peers at 21x.

ITL Industries posted Q3 EPS of Rs.8.5 and 9M EPS of Rs.23.5. FY26 EPS may reach Rs.32 on equity of Rs.3.2 cr. The stock trades at 8.5x PE vs peers at 44x.

Dachepalli Publishers posted 64% higher Q4 EPS of Rs.3.4 and 66% higher FY26 EPS of Rs. 12.6. The stock trades at 6.3x PE

NLC India posted Q4 EPS of Rs.10.1 and FY26 EPS of Rs.25.4. The stock trades at 14.8x PE

Expleo Solutions posted Q4 EPS of Rs.28.3 and FY26 EPS of Rs.99. The stock trades at 8.9x PE vs peers at 29x.

Rashi Peripherals bosted 64% higher Q4 EPS of Rs.12.8 and 34% higher FY26 EPS of Rs.42.1. The stock trades at 12.3x PE vs peers at 62x.

Sharda Cropchem clocked 55% higher Q4 EPS of Rs.35.3 and 124% higher FY26 EPS of Rs.75.5. The stock trades at 15.5x PE vs peers at 28x, with long-term outlook remaining strong.

Winsome Textiles posted Q4 EPS of Rs.4.4 and FY26 EPS of Rs.13.9. The stock trades at a forward PE of just 6.1x, indicating attractive valuations.
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Most Important week for Indian Markets
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