Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
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Your hub for global finance, macroeconomic trends, and market intelligence.

• Global macro analysis & market trends
• Economic policy & central bank updates
• Currency, commodities & capital flow insights
• Investment strategy and financial news
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BREAKING: President Trump is urging pregnant women to avoid using Tylenol and has shared his guidance on several vaccines.

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BREAKING: President Trump has unveiled a new childhood vaccination schedule.

He stated that American children will no longer be required to receive “72 jabs,” with recommendations now reduced to just 11 vaccines.

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Global assets delivered a historic performance in 2025:

- Global stocks, commodities, government bonds, and credit achieved a combined return of +50.7%, the strongest since 2009.
- The MSCI All-Country World Index (ACWI) rose +22.3%, its best year since 2019.
- The Bloomberg Commodity Index advanced +11.1%, marking its strongest gain since the +27.1% rally in 2021.
- The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Credit Total Return Index climbed +10.5%, while the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Treasuries Total Return Index added +6.8%.

This is the first time since 2019 that global stocks, bonds, credit, and commodities all ended the year in positive territory.

Asset owners are seeing unprecedented gains.

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US imports from Southeast Asia are surging despite tariffs:

- Imports from the region rose +25% year-over-year in Q3 2025, reaching a record ~$40 billion on a 3‑month rolling average basis, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
- Vietnam led the increase, with imports climbing to ~$18 billion, an all‑time high.
- This comes despite U.S. tariffs that were initially set at 49% but later reduced to ~20%.
- Meanwhile, Chinese exports to the U.S. fell ‑40% YoY in Q3 2025.
- Southeast Asia maintains a significant cost advantage over U.S. and European manufacturing, ranging from 20% to 100%, even after tariffs.
- Companies are turning to Southeast Asian economies as alternative export bases to bypass China’s 37% reciprocal tariff.
- As a result, trade rerouting from China reached a record $23.7 billion in September.

U.S. trade flows are undergoing a sharp shift amid tariff pressures.

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BREAKING: The U.S. Department of Energy has announced $2.7 billion in funding to bolster domestic uranium enrichment.

The plan allocates $900 million each to Centrus Energy, $LEU, and two additional nuclear fuel producers.

As anticipated, nuclear energy is taking on an increasingly vital role.

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Japan’s bond market pressures are intensifying:

- The 10‑year government bond yield has surged to 2.12%, its highest level since 1999.
- The 30‑year yield has climbed to 3.46%, setting a new record.
- Since the start of 2025, the two yields have jumped +104 and +120 basis points, respectively—one of the sharpest repricing episodes in Japan’s bond market history.
- Investors are factoring in higher deficit spending after the government approved a record $780 billion budget for FY2026.
- Meanwhile, persistent yen weakness has heightened concerns that the Bank of Japan is lagging in its inflation control efforts.

Losses in Japan’s bond market are accelerating.

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Copper prices are soaring:

- In London, copper rallied +4% to $13,000 per ton today, setting a new record high.
- Prices have already surged +42% in 2025, marking their strongest annual performance since 2009.
- Concerns over U.S. import tariffs have prompted traders to sharply increase metal shipments to the U.S.
- As a result, U.S. exchange-tracked inventories have reached multi-year highs.
- Looking ahead, the global copper market is projected to face a shortage of more than 100,000 tons in 2026.

Copper prices remain red-hot.

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January is historically one of the strongest months for stocks:

- Since 1928, the S&P 500 has advanced 62.2% of the time in January, the 3rd‑highest win rate among all months.
- Over that span, only 37 of the past 97 years have seen negative returns in the first month of the year.
- On average, January has delivered a +1.2% gain, ranking as the 4th‑best month.
- When the S&P 500 finishes January higher, the index has produced a median full‑year gain of +11.8%, with positive returns nearly 80% of the time.
- In cases where January’s gain exceeds 5%, the index has gone on to rally +16.0%.

The setup points to a strong start for the year.

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Shocking stat of the day:

- The Dow Jones Industrial Average has now logged 8 consecutive monthly gains, its longest streak since 2019.
- This also represents the 2nd‑longest run dating back to the 1950s.
- Historically, after similar streaks, the index advanced in 6 of 8 cases one month later.
- Over the subsequent 2 and 3 months, the Dow moved higher in every single instance.
- Meanwhile, the S&P 500 dipped slightly last month after posting gains for 7 straight months, its longest stretch since 2019.
- In past occurrences, the S&P 500 was higher one month later in 7 of the last 9 cases.

History points to continued strength in the current bull run.

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Breaking: Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams has launched a new cryptocurrency token, which briefly surged to a market capitalization of approximately $580 million before experiencing a sharp decline. Within minutes of its peak, the token’s value plummeted by nearly 80%, erasing close to $500 million in market capitalization.

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The Japanese Yen’s decline has been striking:

- Gold priced in Yen has surged to a record ¥712,000 per ounce.
- Since the beginning of 2025, gold in Yen terms has climbed +72%.
- From the pandemic low in 2020, Yen-denominated gold prices have soared +364%.

This sharp rise reflects the ongoing weakness of the Yen, driven by Japan’s interest rates remaining far below those in the US and Europe.

Japan also carries the highest public-debt burden among advanced economies, with debt-to-GDP at roughly 230%. Deficit spending is set to expand further after the government approved a record $780 billion budget for FY2026.

Gold continues to stand out as one of the most reliable hedges against currency debasement.

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US government job openings are collapsing:

- In November, openings fell by -89,000 to 695,000, the lowest level since February 2021.
- From the peak in July 2022, vacancies have declined by -532,000.
- They have now fully returned to early-2019 levels.

At the same time, the hiring rate dropped -0.3 percentage points in November to 1.2%, marking the lowest since the 2020 pandemic.

Excluding 2020, this is the weakest reading since August 2014 and comparable to levels seen in 2008.

Government hiring is effectively grinding to a halt.

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BREAKING: President Trump stated that major US tech companies must “pay their own way” for the sharply rising electricity costs tied to data centers.

He singled out Microsoft ($MSFT) as “first up,” noting that the company will implement “major changes” this week.

Trump’s next focus is tackling electricity costs.

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US workers are receiving a smaller share of what they produce than ever before:

- Labor’s share of US GDP now stands at 53.8%, the lowest level since records began in 1947.
- This measure reflects how much of total economic output flows to workers through wages, salaries, bonuses, and benefits.
- Since 2001, the share has fallen by -10.4 points.

At the same time, corporate profit margins after tax have risen to 10.9%, the second-highest on record.

The result is clear: workers are generating more, yet corporations are capturing a growing share of the gains.

The American worker is being squeezed.

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BREAKING: President Donald Trump has announced that any country conducting trade with Iran will face a 25% tariff on all business with the United States, effective immediately. This sweeping measure is aimed at isolating Tehran and pressuring its government following violent crackdowns on protests.

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BREAKING: US household net worth surged +$6.1 trillion in Q3 2025, reaching a record $181.6 trillion.

- The increase was driven almost entirely by equity holdings, which jumped +$5.5 trillion as the stock market hit new highs.
- In contrast, real estate holdings declined -$287 billion, reflecting ongoing weakness in the housing market.
- Since Q1 2020, household net worth has grown +$72 trillion, or +65%.

As a result, net worth now equals 792% of disposable personal income—the 4th-highest quarterly reading on record. For comparison, the peak ratio was 829% in Q1 2022.

Asset owners are benefiting more than ever.

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BREAKING: US money market funds recorded a +$148.5 billion net inflow in the first week of 2026, marking the 3rd-largest on record.

- The only larger inflows were the ~$240 billion and ~$200 billion surges during the 2020 pandemic crash.
- 2026 has already surpassed every previous start to a year on record.
- Since the beginning of 2025, assets in US money market funds have grown +$954 billion, reaching a record $7.8 trillion.
- Since the 2020 pandemic, total assets have expanded +$4.2 trillion, or +116%.

Safe-haven investments remain firmly in demand.

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BREAKING: President Trump warned that the US could be forced to repay “trillions of dollars” if the Supreme Court rules his tariffs illegal.

“It would be a complete mess,” Trump said.

A decision is expected as early as Wednesday this week.

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BREAKING: US gas prices have dropped to an average of $2.79 per gallon, the lowest since March 2021.

American households are projected to save $11 billion on gasoline in 2026 compared with 2025.

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Market breadth is showing clear improvement:

- 70% of S&P 500 companies are trading above their 50-day moving average, the highest since August 2025.
- This share has more than doubled since November, reflecting a broadening rally.
- Meanwhile, 64% of stocks are above their 200-day moving average, close to the strongest reading since December 2024.
- Fewer than 50% of S&P 500 stocks remain in correction—the first time in over 200 days.
- The index has also gone 61 consecutive trading sessions without a single 2% down day.
- At the same time, 93% of Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks are above their 200-day moving average, the highest since 2021.

Market momentum is clearly strengthening.

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