Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
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Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
On top of that, leverage is at record levels, especially in crypto. For a while, the selloff was contained to crypto, but not today. Crypto is now seeing close to $1 billion in liquidations per day. This only amplifies the polarization in sentiment.
Similar patterns are showing up in equities.

In September 2025, US investors added another $67 billion in margin debt, pushing the total to a record $1.13 trillion.

Meanwhile, 5x levered ETFs have now been proposed to the SEC.

Leverage is fueling even more volatility.
Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
Similar patterns are showing up in equities. In September 2025, US investors added another $67 billion in margin debt, pushing the total to a record $1.13 trillion. Meanwhile, 5x levered ETFs have now been proposed to the SEC. Leverage is fueling even more…
Further supporting this view is the surge in “Extreme Fear” across the market.

With the S&P 500 just 5% below its record high, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 7.

That’s the same territory we saw at the April 2025 bottom, even though the S&P 500 is now roughly 35% higher.

It all comes down to sentiment.
Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
Further supporting this view is the surge in “Extreme Fear” across the market. With the S&P 500 just 5% below its record high, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 7. That’s the same territory we saw at the April 2025 bottom, even though the S&P 500 is…
As we look ahead, we think markets will steady once more information comes in.

Even though the US shutdown is over, we’re still dealing with a data blackout.

Markets do not handle uncertainty well, even with earnings continuing to support AI valuations.

We expect the market to sort itself out.
BREAKING: Japan’s government says it may “intervene” before the Yen–USD rate hits 160.

In the past 2 months, the Yen slid from 145 to 157 as a $110B+ stimulus package approaches.

We’re now roughly 2% away from “intervention.”

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BREAKING: Bitcoin just dropped below $81,000 for the first time since April 11th, now down -36% in 46 days.

More than $1.5 BILLION in leveraged positions has been wiped out in the last 4 hours.

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BREAKING: Michael Saylor addresses the MSCI index situation:

“MicroStrategy is not a fund, not a trust, and not a holding company. We’re a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and a unique treasury strategy that uses Bitcoin as productive capital,” he says.

This follows MSCI’s decision to launch a formal consultation on how to classify “digital asset treasury companies (DATs).”

MSCI currently sees these companies as closer to investment funds than traditional operating firms.

Why does this matter? Investment funds and trusts are ineligible for major equity benchmarks like the MSCI USA Index and MSCI World Index.

If MSCI and others decide MicroStrategy, $MSTR, fits the definition of an investment fund or trust, the exclusion could move markets.

$MSTR is now down -70% from its high.

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Investors are offloading crypto funds at a record pace:

Crypto funds saw -$2.0 billion in outflows last week, the biggest since February.

It’s also the 3rd straight week of selling, pushing total outflows to -$3.2 billion.

Bitcoin led with -$1.4 billion, while Ethereum saw -$689 million — some of their largest weekly losses this year.

Because of this, average daily outflows as a percentage of assets under management over the past month are now at the highest level ever recorded.

Alongside price drops, total assets under management have fallen -27% from the October peak, now at $191 billion.

This is a structural decline.

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Absolute insanity:

Nvidia, $NVDA, has gained $450 billion and lost -$600 billion over the last 54 hours.

That’s a swing of more than $1 trillion in market cap — about $19 billion per hour for 54 hours straight.

These aren’t “fundamental” price moves.

This is sentiment-driven.

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BREAKING: The US Labor Department announces that the October CPI inflation report has been CANCELLED.

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Americans are increasingly anxious about their job security:

Consumers aged 18–34 now see roughly a 33% chance of losing their job in the next 5 years, the second-highest level ever recorded.

The 3-month moving average for this group has climbed by about 10 points over the past 3.5 years and is now higher than its 2008 peak.

For Americans aged 35–54, the 3-month average has reached around 30%, the highest level on record.

Even those aged 55+ are more pessimistic than ever, with their perceived likelihood of job loss now near 15%.

Meanwhile, 68% of Americans expect unemployment to rise over the next year, close to the highest share since 2008.

Job security is looking shaky at best.

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Key Events This Week:

1. September PPI Inflation data - Tuesday

2. September Retail Sales data - Tuesday

3. November CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday

4. October Pending Home Sales data - Tuesday

5. US Q3 2025 GDP data - Wednesday

6. September Durable Goods Orders data - Wednesday

7. September PCE Inflation data - Wednesday

8. September New Home Sales data - Wednesday

9. US Markets Closed, Happy Thanksgiving! - Thursday

10. US Markets Close at 1 PM ET - Friday

We have a short but busy week ahead.

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Morgan Stanley on “AI bubble” fears:

“Any short-term weakness is a chance to add long exposure heading into 2026.”

They’re now projecting a 1,000-point S&P 500 surge over the next 12 months, targeting 7,800.

Turn the volatility into an advantage.


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BREAKING: The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been shut down and “no longer exists,” according to Trump Administration officials.

The US has added +$2.1 TRILLION in debt since DOGE was created on January 20th.

That’s +$6.5 billion PER DAY for 326 straight days.

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BREAKING: China says President Trump and President Xi spoke by phone this morning.

The Nasdaq 100 is now extending gains to nearly +1.5% on the day.

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BREAKING: US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says President Trump is considering allowing Nvidia, $NVDA, to sell advanced AI chips to China.

This would mark a major policy shift, as Nvidia currently assumes ZERO AI chip sales to China.

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BREAKING: China’s President Xi says US-China trade relations have “maintained positive momentum” following his call with President Trump this morning.

Xi also says the two countries should “expand their list of cooperation.”

This comes just minutes after reports that Trump is considering allowing Nvidia, $NVDA, to sell advanced AI chips to China.

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Sentiment is turning again:

Today, the same people calling an “AI bubble” are suddenly wondering if “AI is the next big thing” again.

Many major AI names are up +5% or more.

The swing from “AI bubble” to “AI is the next big thing” is happening more often now, and at a faster pace.

As sentiment flips, investor capital moves with it — and so do AI stocks.

Use these polarity swings to your advantage.

Objective investors stand to gain the most in this market.

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BREAKING : The probability of a December rate cut has surged to 81%—up sharply from below 33% just last week

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BREAKING: Bitcoin continues its rally, climbing above $91,500 and now up +14% from the November 21st low.

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BREAKING: After speaking with Xi Jinping, President Trump called Fumio Kishida and advised her not to provoke China over Taiwan, according to The Wall Street Journal.

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