Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
Want another angle? Look at Bitcoin versus Gold since the October 10th liquidation. For more than a year, Bitcoin and Gold moved closely together as safe haven assets. Since early October, Gold has outperformed Bitcoin by 25 percentage points.
The pattern is even more dramatic outside Bitcoin.
Ether, $ETH, is now officially down -8.5% year-to-date.
Since October 6th, it has dropped a massive -35%.
This goes past bear market territory, even as virtually ALL risky assets have rallied.
Ether, $ETH, is now officially down -8.5% year-to-date.
Since October 6th, it has dropped a massive -35%.
This goes past bear market territory, even as virtually ALL risky assets have rallied.
Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
The pattern is even more dramatic outside Bitcoin. Ether, $ETH, is now officially down -8.5% year-to-date. Since October 6th, it has dropped a massive -35%. This goes past bear market territory, even as virtually ALL risky assets have rallied.
Zooming out, crypto appears to be in a “structural” bear market.
Crypto’s fundamental value has strengthened, but the market mechanics have shifted.
In any efficient market, the distortions eventually clear.
The bottom looks close.
Crypto’s fundamental value has strengthened, but the market mechanics have shifted.
In any efficient market, the distortions eventually clear.
The bottom looks close.
Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
Zooming out, crypto appears to be in a “structural” bear market. Crypto’s fundamental value has strengthened, but the market mechanics have shifted. In any efficient market, the distortions eventually clear. The bottom looks close.
These dynamics are echoing far beyond crypto itself.
The macro landscape is shifting, and stocks, commodities, bonds, and crypto all remain investable.
The macro landscape is shifting, and stocks, commodities, bonds, and crypto all remain investable.
Market Matrix — Global Markets, Finance & Macroeconomics
These dynamics are echoing far beyond crypto itself. The macro landscape is shifting, and stocks, commodities, bonds, and crypto all remain investable.
Here’s the bigger picture: global M2 money supply has reached a record $137 trillion.
Japan is preparing $110B+ in stimulus, and $2,000 tariff “dividends” are on the way.
This entire downturn is more of a “growing pain” than a collapse for crypto.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Japan is preparing $110B+ in stimulus, and $2,000 tariff “dividends” are on the way.
This entire downturn is more of a “growing pain” than a collapse for crypto.
Jump to the first post to read the full thread from the start.
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BREAKING: Japan’s 20-year Government Bond yield has jumped to 2.75%, the highest level ever recorded, as the government moves forward with a $110 billion stimulus package.
This chart is absolutely wild.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
This chart is absolutely wild.
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BREAKING: Bitcoin has dropped below $93,000 for the first time since April 28th.
The isolated crypto selloff has now wiped out -$1.2 TRILLION in market cap over the past 5 weeks.
Liquidations continue to climb.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
The isolated crypto selloff has now wiped out -$1.2 TRILLION in market cap over the past 5 weeks.
Liquidations continue to climb.
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BREAKING: Crypto liquidations have surpassed -$800 million over the past 24 hours as total crypto market cap losses approach -30% since October 6th.
Once again, this comes down to leverage and liquidations.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Once again, this comes down to leverage and liquidations.
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BREAKING: Ether, $ETH, has fallen below $3,000 for the first time since July 2025.
ETH is now down nearly -40% since October 6th.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
ETH is now down nearly -40% since October 6th.
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Crypto liquidations continue:
Another $1 billion in levered crypto positions has been liquidated in the past 24 hours.
This pushes total liquidations to -$4.5 billion over the last 7 days.
Notably, liquidations jumped by $300 million in just the last 4 hours.
It almost looks like a major player was liquidated today, triggering Bitcoin’s drop into $91,000 at 3:00 PM ET.
Wild times for crypto, to say the least.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Another $1 billion in levered crypto positions has been liquidated in the past 24 hours.
This pushes total liquidations to -$4.5 billion over the last 7 days.
Notably, liquidations jumped by $300 million in just the last 4 hours.
It almost looks like a major player was liquidated today, triggering Bitcoin’s drop into $91,000 at 3:00 PM ET.
Wild times for crypto, to say the least.
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BREAKING: Ford has finalized an agreement with Amazon to offer certified used cars directly through Amazon’s website.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
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BREAKING: The Dow drops nearly -700 points as the decline in US equities accelerates.
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US executives and US consumers are looking at inflation from completely opposite angles:
Mentions of “inflation” on S&P 500 earnings calls fell to 4,300 this quarter, the lowest level since Q4 2020.
Over the last three years, mentions have dropped by -32,700, or -88%.
For comparison, in the first quarter of this year, there were 11,700 mentions.
This stands in stark contrast to consumer expectations, which see inflation rising 4.7% over the next 12 months.
Households expect a 3.2% increase in inflation over the next year, according to the New York Fed survey.
Corporate America has largely moved past inflation, while Main Street is still worried.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Mentions of “inflation” on S&P 500 earnings calls fell to 4,300 this quarter, the lowest level since Q4 2020.
Over the last three years, mentions have dropped by -32,700, or -88%.
For comparison, in the first quarter of this year, there were 11,700 mentions.
This stands in stark contrast to consumer expectations, which see inflation rising 4.7% over the next 12 months.
Households expect a 3.2% increase in inflation over the next year, according to the New York Fed survey.
Corporate America has largely moved past inflation, while Main Street is still worried.
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BREAKING: The odds of “no rate cut” at the Fed’s December 2025 meeting have jumped to 53%, according to Polymarket.
This means the probability of no change in Fed policy is now higher than the odds of a 25 bps rate cut for the first time.
Markets are worried about inflation.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
This means the probability of no change in Fed policy is now higher than the odds of a 25 bps rate cut for the first time.
Markets are worried about inflation.
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Silver still appears relatively cheap despite its historic rally:
The gold-to-silver ratio is now above 80 on an annual basis, near its highest level since the 1980s.
According to Crescat Capital, this is roughly 2.58 standard deviations above its long-term historical mean.
This ratio has remained above that threshold for about 5 years since 2020.
For comparison, during the 1930s and the 1980s, it stayed elevated for 3 years and 2 years, respectively.
In simple terms, silver is still historically cheap relative to gold.
History suggests silver may eventually catch up to gold.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
The gold-to-silver ratio is now above 80 on an annual basis, near its highest level since the 1980s.
According to Crescat Capital, this is roughly 2.58 standard deviations above its long-term historical mean.
This ratio has remained above that threshold for about 5 years since 2020.
For comparison, during the 1930s and the 1980s, it stayed elevated for 3 years and 2 years, respectively.
In simple terms, silver is still historically cheap relative to gold.
History suggests silver may eventually catch up to gold.
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BREAKING: Japan’s economy contracted -1.8% in Q3 2025 on an annualized basis, its first decline in six quarters.
This represents a sharp reversal from the +2.3% expansion in the previous quarter.
The downturn was driven by private residential investment and exports, affected by new construction regulations and ongoing US tariffs.
Housing investment dropped -9.4%, the steepest decline since the -9.8% slump in Q2 2009.
Japan’s economy is losing momentum.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
This represents a sharp reversal from the +2.3% expansion in the previous quarter.
The downturn was driven by private residential investment and exports, affected by new construction regulations and ongoing US tariffs.
Housing investment dropped -9.4%, the steepest decline since the -9.8% slump in Q2 2009.
Japan’s economy is losing momentum.
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Current situation:
1. The US is preparing $2,000 stimulus checks.
2. Japan is preparing a $110 billion stimulus package.
3. China has approved a $1.4 trillion stimulus package.
4. The Fed is officially ending QT on December 1st.
5. The US is issuing ~ $1.9 trillion in treasuries per year.
6. Canada is restarting its Quantitative Easing program.
7. Global M2 money supply is at a record $137 trillion.
8. Global rate cuts total 320+ over the last 24 months.
In what world is another wave of inflation not on its way?
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
1. The US is preparing $2,000 stimulus checks.
2. Japan is preparing a $110 billion stimulus package.
3. China has approved a $1.4 trillion stimulus package.
4. The Fed is officially ending QT on December 1st.
5. The US is issuing ~ $1.9 trillion in treasuries per year.
6. Canada is restarting its Quantitative Easing program.
7. Global M2 money supply is at a record $137 trillion.
8. Global rate cuts total 320+ over the last 24 months.
In what world is another wave of inflation not on its way?
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BREAKING: President Trump says $2,000 tariff stimulus checks will be distributed by the “middle of 2026.”
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
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It's safe to say that crypto just experienced its "2025 bear market."
Since October 6th, in 42 days, crypto has erased -$1.2 trillion in market cap, or -28% of its entire value.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Since October 6th, in 42 days, crypto has erased -$1.2 trillion in market cap, or -28% of its entire value.
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Small caps are being left behind:
Right now, only 25% of the S&P 500’s industry groups are trading above their 10-week moving average, the lowest level since the April sell-off.
That means just 6 of the 25 sub-industries are still above that threshold.
This share has fallen by roughly 60 points over the past few weeks.
As a result, about 44% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, one of the lowest readings since April.
Market participation is deteriorating.
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Right now, only 25% of the S&P 500’s industry groups are trading above their 10-week moving average, the lowest level since the April sell-off.
That means just 6 of the 25 sub-industries are still above that threshold.
This share has fallen by roughly 60 points over the past few weeks.
As a result, about 44% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, one of the lowest readings since April.
Market participation is deteriorating.
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🚫 The internet worldwide went down due to a major outage at Cloudflare — a company that provides a significant part of the global internet infrastructure (CDN, DNS, traffic protection and routing).
Social networks, online games, and various services are massively unavailable — from Twitter and Spotify to OpenAI and AWS.
I guess crypto went down so much it took the internet down too🤣
🛫 @MarketMatrixAI
Social networks, online games, and various services are massively unavailable — from Twitter and Spotify to OpenAI and AWS.
I guess crypto went down so much it took the internet down too
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