β‘ πΌππ πππ πππΌπΏπ β‘
π₯1π1
πͺ Coin: XNY/USDT
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.0043 β 0.0041
π SL: 0.0039
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.0045
TP2: 0.0048
TP3: 0.0054
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.0043 β 0.0041
π SL: 0.0039
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.0045
TP2: 0.0048
TP3: 0.0054
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
β€βπ₯1π₯1
πͺ Coin: SIREN/USDT
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 2.04 β 2.00
π SL: 1.94
π― TPs:
TP1: 2.09
TP2: 2.20
TP3: 2.40
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 2.04 β 2.00
π SL: 1.94
π― TPs:
TP1: 2.09
TP2: 2.20
TP3: 2.40
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
π1
π π’π‘ππ¦π§π₯πππ
πͺ Coin: SIREN/USDT βοΈ Type: #LONG π Entry: 2.04 β 2.00 π SL: 1.94 π― TPs: TP1: 2.09 TP2: 2.20 TP3: 2.40 π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin β‘ Enter only in zone β SL follow mandatory
π ACCURACY-BT20X π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
πͺ Pair: SIREN/USDT
π― Target 3 : HIT βοΈ
π Profit: +2715% π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
π₯1
πͺ Coin: MON/USDT
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.0257 β 0.0251
π SL: 0.0245
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.0263
TP2: 0.0280
TP3: 0.0300
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.0257 β 0.0251
π SL: 0.0245
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.0263
TP2: 0.0280
TP3: 0.0300
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
π―1
π BULLISH RETEST ENTRY β SMART TRADING CONCEPT π
Understanding retest entries can level up your trading game. Instead of chasing pumps, smart traders wait for confirmation.
πΉ 1. Demand Zone Retest Price rallies, comes back to demand zone, and gives entry.
π Best for low-risk entries.
πΉ 2. Structure Retest Old resistance becomes new support.
π Classic breakout + retest strategy.
πΉ 3. Order Block Retest Price respects institutional zones (order blocks).
π High probability setups if confirmed.
πΉ 4. Manipulation Retest Fake breakout β liquidity grab β retest β real move.
π Smart money trap, best entries after shakeout
Understanding retest entries can level up your trading game. Instead of chasing pumps, smart traders wait for confirmation.
πΉ 1. Demand Zone Retest Price rallies, comes back to demand zone, and gives entry.
π Best for low-risk entries.
πΉ 2. Structure Retest Old resistance becomes new support.
π Classic breakout + retest strategy.
πΉ 3. Order Block Retest Price respects institutional zones (order blocks).
π High probability setups if confirmed.
πΉ 4. Manipulation Retest Fake breakout β liquidity grab β retest β real move.
π Smart money trap, best entries after shakeout
π₯1
π Top Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know
Understanding price patterns can give you an edge in the market. Here are 4 essential ones:
πΊ Rising Wedge
β’ Price moves up but momentum weakens
β’ Often signals a bearish reversal
π» Falling Wedge
β’ Price moves down with decreasing momentum
β’ Can indicate a bullish breakout
π Triple Top
β’ Price hits resistance 3 times and fails
β’ Strong sign of a trend reversal downward
π½ Triple Bottom
β’ Price tests support 3 times and holds
β’ Suggests a potential uptrend breakout
Understanding price patterns can give you an edge in the market. Here are 4 essential ones:
πΊ Rising Wedge
β’ Price moves up but momentum weakens
β’ Often signals a bearish reversal
π» Falling Wedge
β’ Price moves down with decreasing momentum
β’ Can indicate a bullish breakout
π Triple Top
β’ Price hits resistance 3 times and fails
β’ Strong sign of a trend reversal downward
π½ Triple Bottom
β’ Price tests support 3 times and holds
β’ Suggests a potential uptrend breakout
π1
πͺ Coin: UB/USDT
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.071 β 0.069
π SL: 0.066
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.073
TP2: 0.077
TP3: 0.085
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
βοΈ Type: #LONG
π Entry: 0.071 β 0.069
π SL: 0.066
π― TPs:
TP1: 0.073
TP2: 0.077
TP3: 0.085
π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin
β‘ Enter only in zone
β SL follow mandatory
π―1
Forwarded from BT20X
π ACCURACY-BT20X π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
πͺ Pair: BIO/USDT
π― Target 3 : HIT βοΈ
π Profit: +292% π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
β€βπ₯1π₯1π1π―1
π π’π‘ππ¦π§π₯πππ
πͺ Coin: UB/USDT βοΈ Type: #LONG π Entry: 0.071 β 0.069 π SL: 0.066 π― TPs: TP1: 0.073 TP2: 0.077 TP3: 0.085 π‘ Risk: 2β3% margin β‘ Enter only in zone β SL follow mandatory
π ACCURACY-BT20X π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
πͺ Pair: UB/USDT
π― Target 1 : HIT βοΈ
π Profit: +220% π
β‘VIP SIGNAL
π VIP: @BT_20X
π₯2β€βπ₯1π1π1
π TRADE UPDATE β HUMA/USDT (LONG)
β‘ Market is currently in a consolidation phase
ππ Price is moving within a range
β Entry zone has been respected
β³ Waiting for a breakout
π‘ No panic β this is normal market behavior
π§ Smart traders always stay patient
π Once breakout happens β strong move expected
π Maintain proper risk management
π Hold your position with discipline
β‘ Market is currently in a consolidation phase
ππ Price is moving within a range
β Entry zone has been respected
β³ Waiting for a breakout
π‘ No panic β this is normal market behavior
π§ Smart traders always stay patient
π Once breakout happens β strong move expected
π Maintain proper risk management
π Hold your position with discipline
π1
Berkshire Hathaway's Cash Reserves Reach Record High Under New CEO
Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have surged to a record $397 billion in the first quarter under the leadership of new CEO Greg Abel. According to Odaily, this marks a significant increase from the slight dip in cash reserves at the end of last year, driven by net stock sales amounting to $8.1 billion during the period.
Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have surged to a record $397 billion in the first quarter under the leadership of new CEO Greg Abel. According to Odaily, this marks a significant increase from the slight dip in cash reserves at the end of last year, driven by net stock sales amounting to $8.1 billion during the period.
π₯1
Bitcoin News: Bitcoin ETFs Draw $1.97 Billion in April, Highest Monthly Inflows of 2026, as IBIT Leads With $2 Billion
Key Takeaways
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.97 billion in net inflows in April -- the highest monthly total of 2026 -- pushing year-to-date net inflows to approximately $1.47 billion, per SoSoValue
BlackRock's IBIT drove approximately $2 billion in April inflows alone; Grayscale's GBTC was the biggest loser with $280 million in outflows
Morgan Stanley's MSBT, which launched April 8, generated $194 million in inflows with no single day of outflows across the month
Ether ETFs posted their first monthly inflow since October 2025 at $356 million, though remain $413 million in net outflows year-to-date
XRP ETFs logged their strongest month since December 2025 with $81.6 million in inflows; Solana ETFs recorded their smallest monthly total on record at $38.7 million
Cumulative net inflows across all US spot Bitcoin ETFs since launch have now topped $58 billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs closed April with their strongest monthly inflows of 2026, drawing $1.97 billion in net new capital as Bitcoin posted a 12% gain -- its best monthly performance since April 2025 -- according to SoSoValue data.
The April figure comfortably surpasses March's $1.37 billion and brings the year-to-date picture back into positive territory at approximately $1.47 billion, after outflows in January and February had put the funds underwater for the year. Cumulative net inflows since the products launched in January 2024 have now crossed $58 billion.
IBIT Dominates, GBTC Continues to Bleed
BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust was the month's standout performer, generating approximately $2 billion in net inflows for April alone -- a figure that effectively offset outflows from other funds and drove the category's positive monthly result. Grayscale's GBTC remained the sector's biggest drag, recording approximately $280 million in net outflows for the month, continuing a persistent redemption trend that has characterized the product since the launch of lower-fee competitors.
The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust ETF, which began trading on April 8, delivered a strong debut month with $194 million in inflows and no single day of net outflows -- a notable achievement for a new entrant and a signal of strong institutional demand through the Wall Street giant's distribution network.
Late-month redemptions of approximately $490 million across three days dampened April's headline figure but were insufficient to reverse the month's broadly positive trend, underlining the resilience of underlying demand despite Bitcoin's failure to clear the $79,000 resistance level.
Ether ETFs Break a Six-Month Outflow Streak
April also delivered a meaningful turning point for Ethereum products. Spot Ether ETFs recorded $356 million in net inflows -- their first positive month since October 2025, when they attracted approximately $570 million. Despite the April recovery, Ether ETFs remain $413 million in net outflows year-to-date through the first four months of 2026, with cumulative net inflows since launch standing at approximately $11.9 billion. logging $81.6 million in April approximately $124 million, with cumulative inflows since launch reaching approximately $1.3 billion.
Solana ETFs were the relative disappointment, recording just $38.7 million in April inflows -- the smallest monthly total on record for the product category -- against cumulative inflows of approximately $1 billion. Dogecoin ETFs added $2 million in April, representing roughly 21% of their total cumulative inflows of approximately $9.6 million.
13F Season Ahead
April's strong inflow data arrives ahead of the 13F filing season in May, when major financial institutions will be required to disclose their first-quarter 2026 holdings in crypto ETFs. The disclosures are expected to provide the clearest picture yet of how deeply Bitcoin and crypto ETF exposure has penetrated institutional portfolios -- a dataset that could materially influence market sentiment heading into the summer.
Key Takeaways
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.97 billion in net inflows in April -- the highest monthly total of 2026 -- pushing year-to-date net inflows to approximately $1.47 billion, per SoSoValue
BlackRock's IBIT drove approximately $2 billion in April inflows alone; Grayscale's GBTC was the biggest loser with $280 million in outflows
Morgan Stanley's MSBT, which launched April 8, generated $194 million in inflows with no single day of outflows across the month
Ether ETFs posted their first monthly inflow since October 2025 at $356 million, though remain $413 million in net outflows year-to-date
XRP ETFs logged their strongest month since December 2025 with $81.6 million in inflows; Solana ETFs recorded their smallest monthly total on record at $38.7 million
Cumulative net inflows across all US spot Bitcoin ETFs since launch have now topped $58 billion
US spot Bitcoin ETFs closed April with their strongest monthly inflows of 2026, drawing $1.97 billion in net new capital as Bitcoin posted a 12% gain -- its best monthly performance since April 2025 -- according to SoSoValue data.
The April figure comfortably surpasses March's $1.37 billion and brings the year-to-date picture back into positive territory at approximately $1.47 billion, after outflows in January and February had put the funds underwater for the year. Cumulative net inflows since the products launched in January 2024 have now crossed $58 billion.
IBIT Dominates, GBTC Continues to Bleed
BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust was the month's standout performer, generating approximately $2 billion in net inflows for April alone -- a figure that effectively offset outflows from other funds and drove the category's positive monthly result. Grayscale's GBTC remained the sector's biggest drag, recording approximately $280 million in net outflows for the month, continuing a persistent redemption trend that has characterized the product since the launch of lower-fee competitors.
The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust ETF, which began trading on April 8, delivered a strong debut month with $194 million in inflows and no single day of net outflows -- a notable achievement for a new entrant and a signal of strong institutional demand through the Wall Street giant's distribution network.
Late-month redemptions of approximately $490 million across three days dampened April's headline figure but were insufficient to reverse the month's broadly positive trend, underlining the resilience of underlying demand despite Bitcoin's failure to clear the $79,000 resistance level.
Ether ETFs Break a Six-Month Outflow Streak
April also delivered a meaningful turning point for Ethereum products. Spot Ether ETFs recorded $356 million in net inflows -- their first positive month since October 2025, when they attracted approximately $570 million. Despite the April recovery, Ether ETFs remain $413 million in net outflows year-to-date through the first four months of 2026, with cumulative net inflows since launch standing at approximately $11.9 billion. logging $81.6 million in April approximately $124 million, with cumulative inflows since launch reaching approximately $1.3 billion.
Solana ETFs were the relative disappointment, recording just $38.7 million in April inflows -- the smallest monthly total on record for the product category -- against cumulative inflows of approximately $1 billion. Dogecoin ETFs added $2 million in April, representing roughly 21% of their total cumulative inflows of approximately $9.6 million.
13F Season Ahead
April's strong inflow data arrives ahead of the 13F filing season in May, when major financial institutions will be required to disclose their first-quarter 2026 holdings in crypto ETFs. The disclosures are expected to provide the clearest picture yet of how deeply Bitcoin and crypto ETF exposure has penetrated institutional portfolios -- a dataset that could materially influence market sentiment heading into the summer.
π1
UK Considers Delaying Digital Pound Development Amid Private Sector Innovations
The UK Treasury and the Bank of England are contemplating slowing down the development of the digital pound, known as 'Britcoin.' According to Foresight News, insiders have revealed that UK officials are considering a 'compromise solution' to delay the progress of this central bank digital currency (CBDC), rather than making a final decision to approve or abandon the project this summer. One reason for the inclination to postpone full-scale development is the potential for private sector innovations, such as tokenized deposits, to offer alternative solutions that enable faster and cheaper payments while utilizing the existing regulated banking system. Currently, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey remains skeptical about the necessity of a retail digital pound. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is advancing its digital euro initiative, whereas the United States has halted its work on central bank digital currencies.
The UK Treasury and the Bank of England are contemplating slowing down the development of the digital pound, known as 'Britcoin.' According to Foresight News, insiders have revealed that UK officials are considering a 'compromise solution' to delay the progress of this central bank digital currency (CBDC), rather than making a final decision to approve or abandon the project this summer. One reason for the inclination to postpone full-scale development is the potential for private sector innovations, such as tokenized deposits, to offer alternative solutions that enable faster and cheaper payments while utilizing the existing regulated banking system. Currently, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey remains skeptical about the necessity of a retail digital pound. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is advancing its digital euro initiative, whereas the United States has halted its work on central bank digital currencies.
π1
Analyst Suggests Bitcoin Yet to Reach Bear-Market Bottom
On-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. has indicated that Bitcoin has not yet experienced the significant decline typically seen at the bottom of previous bear markets. According to NS3.AI, Adler's model, which is based on four past market cycles, suggests that the current market has not yet entered its final phase.
On-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. has indicated that Bitcoin has not yet experienced the significant decline typically seen at the bottom of previous bear markets. According to NS3.AI, Adler's model, which is based on four past market cycles, suggests that the current market has not yet entered its final phase.
π1
Fed Shifts From Rate Cut Signals to Neutral as Rate Hike Debate Emerges; Warsh to Inherit Divided Institution
Key Takeaways
Nick Timiraos reports the Fed's internal debate has shifted from "when to cut" to "what conditions would require rate hikes" -- a fundamental pivot in policy direction
Three regional Fed presidents -- Logan, Hamack, and Kashkari -- formally objected to language suggesting the next move is a rate cut, the first such dissent on policy wording since September 2020
Powell acknowledged "intense discussions" and admitted dissenters' arguments were "fully valid," signaling the dovish bias is effectively dead even if the language was retained procedurally
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari outlined a rate hike scenario if the Strait of Hormuz does not reopen quickly, warning hikes may be necessary even at the cost of labor market weakness
Former senior Fed economist William English warned that holding rates steady while inflation rises is "passive easing" that becomes increasingly unsustainable over time
Kevin Warsh will inherit this divided institution when he assumes the chairmanship in mid-May, with the next policy meeting approximately one month after Powell's departure
The Federal Reserve has crossed a significant threshold in its internal policy debate, shifting from a discussion about when to resume rate cuts to an active consideration of conditions that might necessitate rate hikes -- a pivot that Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal reporter closely followed as a conduit for Fed thinking, characterized on May 2 as a crucial turning point in the interest rate path.
The shift was made visible in the voting record from Wednesday's policy meeting, where three regional Fed presidents -- Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hamack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari -- formally objected to retaining language in the policy statement suggesting the next policy move is more likely to be a rate cut. The dissent targeted wording rather than the rate decision itself, a rare occurrence that has not been seen since September 2020.
Powell Validates the Dissenters
Outgoing Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged the depth of the internal disagreement at his final press conference, describing the committee's discussions as "intense" and stating that the arguments of the dissenters were "fully valid." While Powell stopped short of removing the dovish guidance -- citing procedural reasons given that this was his final meeting -- his explicit validation of the hawkish dissent effectively signals that the language will not survive into the next meeting under new leadership.
The net result, as Timiraos frames it, is that the Fed has partially moved from signaling rate cuts to a neutral wait-and-see posture -- a shift with direct implications for asset prices that had been partly supported by expectations of eventual easing.
The Hormuz Shock Is the Core Driver
The energy shock from the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is identified as the primary force driving the policy recalibration. Unlike transitory price shocks that dissipate over weeks, the Hormuz disruption is structural -- a supply chain constraint that could keep energy costs elevated for months and permeate broader price levels, pushing inflation expectations higher at precisely the moment the Fed had hoped to pivot toward easing.
Kashkari outlined the rate hike scenario explicitly in a Friday speech, warning that if the strait does not reopen quickly, a series of rate increases may be necessary -- even at the cost of further weakening the labor market. The willingness of a Fed official to explicitly invoke the possibility of hikes despite deteriorating growth conditions underscores the severity of the inflation concern at the institution.
Former senior Fed economist William English added a structural dimension to the warning, arguing that holding rates steady while inflation rises constitutes "passive easing" -- a policy stance that becomes increasingly difficult to justify the longer elevated energy prices.
Key Takeaways
Nick Timiraos reports the Fed's internal debate has shifted from "when to cut" to "what conditions would require rate hikes" -- a fundamental pivot in policy direction
Three regional Fed presidents -- Logan, Hamack, and Kashkari -- formally objected to language suggesting the next move is a rate cut, the first such dissent on policy wording since September 2020
Powell acknowledged "intense discussions" and admitted dissenters' arguments were "fully valid," signaling the dovish bias is effectively dead even if the language was retained procedurally
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari outlined a rate hike scenario if the Strait of Hormuz does not reopen quickly, warning hikes may be necessary even at the cost of labor market weakness
Former senior Fed economist William English warned that holding rates steady while inflation rises is "passive easing" that becomes increasingly unsustainable over time
Kevin Warsh will inherit this divided institution when he assumes the chairmanship in mid-May, with the next policy meeting approximately one month after Powell's departure
The Federal Reserve has crossed a significant threshold in its internal policy debate, shifting from a discussion about when to resume rate cuts to an active consideration of conditions that might necessitate rate hikes -- a pivot that Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal reporter closely followed as a conduit for Fed thinking, characterized on May 2 as a crucial turning point in the interest rate path.
The shift was made visible in the voting record from Wednesday's policy meeting, where three regional Fed presidents -- Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hamack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari -- formally objected to retaining language in the policy statement suggesting the next policy move is more likely to be a rate cut. The dissent targeted wording rather than the rate decision itself, a rare occurrence that has not been seen since September 2020.
Powell Validates the Dissenters
Outgoing Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged the depth of the internal disagreement at his final press conference, describing the committee's discussions as "intense" and stating that the arguments of the dissenters were "fully valid." While Powell stopped short of removing the dovish guidance -- citing procedural reasons given that this was his final meeting -- his explicit validation of the hawkish dissent effectively signals that the language will not survive into the next meeting under new leadership.
The net result, as Timiraos frames it, is that the Fed has partially moved from signaling rate cuts to a neutral wait-and-see posture -- a shift with direct implications for asset prices that had been partly supported by expectations of eventual easing.
The Hormuz Shock Is the Core Driver
The energy shock from the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is identified as the primary force driving the policy recalibration. Unlike transitory price shocks that dissipate over weeks, the Hormuz disruption is structural -- a supply chain constraint that could keep energy costs elevated for months and permeate broader price levels, pushing inflation expectations higher at precisely the moment the Fed had hoped to pivot toward easing.
Kashkari outlined the rate hike scenario explicitly in a Friday speech, warning that if the strait does not reopen quickly, a series of rate increases may be necessary -- even at the cost of further weakening the labor market. The willingness of a Fed official to explicitly invoke the possibility of hikes despite deteriorating growth conditions underscores the severity of the inflation concern at the institution.
Former senior Fed economist William English added a structural dimension to the warning, arguing that holding rates steady while inflation rises constitutes "passive easing" -- a policy stance that becomes increasingly difficult to justify the longer elevated energy prices.
β€1
a16z Warns CFTC About State-Level Prediction Market Rules Impact
a16z has submitted an 18-page comment letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on May 1, expressing concerns over state-level prediction market regulations. According to NS3.AI, the firm warned that these rules could potentially drain liquidity and restrict user access. a16z highlighted that cease-and-desist orders and proposed state bans create obstacles that conflict with the CFTC's rules on fair market access. Additionally, a16z emphasized that blockchain-based prediction markets offer greater transparency due to the auditability of on-chain transactions.
a16z has submitted an 18-page comment letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on May 1, expressing concerns over state-level prediction market regulations. According to NS3.AI, the firm warned that these rules could potentially drain liquidity and restrict user access. a16z highlighted that cease-and-desist orders and proposed state bans create obstacles that conflict with the CFTC's rules on fair market access. Additionally, a16z emphasized that blockchain-based prediction markets offer greater transparency due to the auditability of on-chain transactions.
π₯1
Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin at Crossroads: Break Above $80,000 Could Trigger Short Squeeze to $84,000, Analyst Says
Key Takeaways
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identifies $80,000 as the key psychological and technical resistance level for Bitcoin in May, with significant short-selling liquidity clustered at that level
A break above $80,000 could trigger a short squeeze pushing prices rapidly toward $84,000
Downside support levels are identified at $75,000, $73,000, and $70,000 if the resistance holds
The $75,000β$80,000 range on the daily chart is described as the battleground that will likely determine Bitcoin's overall trend for May
The market is currently in a "tug-of-war" between bulls and bears with order clusters forming at key liquidation levels
Bitcoin is entering May locked in a narrow range with order clusters building at critical price levels that could trigger large-scale liquidations in either direction, according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who identifies $80,000 as the defining level for the month ahead.
Writing on May 2, Martinez outlined a binary setup for Bitcoin's near-term price action. The $80,000 level represents a major psychological and technical resistance zone where significant short-selling liquidity has accumulated -- a concentration of positions that cuts both ways. If Bitcoin breaks above $80,000, the forced covering of those short positions could rapidly accelerate the move toward $84,000 in a classic short squeeze dynamic. If the level holds as resistance for a fourth consecutive time, the market would likely turn its attention to downside support at $75,000, $73,000, and ultimately $70,000.
The analysis frames the $75,000β$80,000 range as the month's central battleground. A decisive daily chart break in either direction -- above $80,000 or below $75,000 -- is likely to set the tone for the entirety of May's price action, Martinez argued, with the current tug-of-war between bulls and bears leaving the market in an unstable equilibrium that cannot persist indefinitely.
The setup aligns with broader market structure observations from multiple analysts. Negative funding rates across major exchanges confirm persistent short bias, while the True Market Mean at approximately $79,000 has twice rejected Bitcoin's advance. At the same time, institutional accumulation between $65,000 and $70,000 and Strategy's $3.9 billion in April purchases provide structural support that limits the depth of any downside move.
The resolution of the $75,000β$80,000 range -- whether by a Fed policy shift, a Hormuz ceasefire, or a re-acceleration of ETF inflows -- remains the central question for Bitcoin heading into the first full trading week of May.
Key Takeaways
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identifies $80,000 as the key psychological and technical resistance level for Bitcoin in May, with significant short-selling liquidity clustered at that level
A break above $80,000 could trigger a short squeeze pushing prices rapidly toward $84,000
Downside support levels are identified at $75,000, $73,000, and $70,000 if the resistance holds
The $75,000β$80,000 range on the daily chart is described as the battleground that will likely determine Bitcoin's overall trend for May
The market is currently in a "tug-of-war" between bulls and bears with order clusters forming at key liquidation levels
Bitcoin is entering May locked in a narrow range with order clusters building at critical price levels that could trigger large-scale liquidations in either direction, according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who identifies $80,000 as the defining level for the month ahead.
Writing on May 2, Martinez outlined a binary setup for Bitcoin's near-term price action. The $80,000 level represents a major psychological and technical resistance zone where significant short-selling liquidity has accumulated -- a concentration of positions that cuts both ways. If Bitcoin breaks above $80,000, the forced covering of those short positions could rapidly accelerate the move toward $84,000 in a classic short squeeze dynamic. If the level holds as resistance for a fourth consecutive time, the market would likely turn its attention to downside support at $75,000, $73,000, and ultimately $70,000.
The analysis frames the $75,000β$80,000 range as the month's central battleground. A decisive daily chart break in either direction -- above $80,000 or below $75,000 -- is likely to set the tone for the entirety of May's price action, Martinez argued, with the current tug-of-war between bulls and bears leaving the market in an unstable equilibrium that cannot persist indefinitely.
The setup aligns with broader market structure observations from multiple analysts. Negative funding rates across major exchanges confirm persistent short bias, while the True Market Mean at approximately $79,000 has twice rejected Bitcoin's advance. At the same time, institutional accumulation between $65,000 and $70,000 and Strategy's $3.9 billion in April purchases provide structural support that limits the depth of any downside move.
The resolution of the $75,000β$80,000 range -- whether by a Fed policy shift, a Hormuz ceasefire, or a re-acceleration of ETF inflows -- remains the central question for Bitcoin heading into the first full trading week of May.
β€βπ₯1
Crypto Venture Capital Funding Drops 74% in April 2026
Crypto venture capital funding experienced a significant decline in April 2026, reaching $659 million, a 74% decrease from $2.6 billion in March. According to NS3.AI, this marks the lowest monthly total since July 2024. Data from CryptoRank indicates that 63 funding rounds were completed in April, contributing to a total of $5.64 billion in funding for 2026 so far. The monthly financing scale has been on a downward trend since October 2025, coinciding with a roughly 37% decrease in the total crypto market capitalization over the same period.
Crypto venture capital funding experienced a significant decline in April 2026, reaching $659 million, a 74% decrease from $2.6 billion in March. According to NS3.AI, this marks the lowest monthly total since July 2024. Data from CryptoRank indicates that 63 funding rounds were completed in April, contributing to a total of $5.64 billion in funding for 2026 so far. The monthly financing scale has been on a downward trend since October 2025, coinciding with a roughly 37% decrease in the total crypto market capitalization over the same period.
π1
OPEC+ Agrees to Raise June Output by 188,000 BPD but Market Sees 75% Chance of WTI Hitting $110 This Month
Key Takeaways
Seven OPEC+ members have agreed in principle to increase June production targets by approximately 188,000 barrels per day, similar to May's 206,000 BPD increase excluding the UAE's share
The production increase is described as largely symbolic given the Strait of Hormuz disruption has caused far greater supply disruption than any OPEC quota adjustment can offset
Polymarket prices a 75% probability of WTI crude hitting $110 in May, a 45% chance of $120, and a 22% chance of $130, per PolyBeats data
The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has not derailed the remaining members' decision-making process, which is proceeding on a "business as usual" basis
An online OPEC+ meeting among the seven remaining members is planned for Sunday
Seven OPEC+ members have reached an agreement in principle to raise their collective oil production target by approximately 188,000 barrels per day in June, sources told BlockBeats on May 2 -- but the decision is being widely characterized as symbolic given that the real driver of global oil supply disruption lies far beyond OPEC's control.
The planned June increase mirrors May's adjustment of 206,000 BPD when accounting for the UAE's now-departed share, signaling that the remaining OPEC+ core is pressing ahead with its established production roadmap despite the bloc's most significant membership rupture in years. The seven remaining members plan to formalize the decision in an online meeting on Sunday.
A Largely Symbolic Move
The production increase does little to address the dominant force reshaping global oil markets. The ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has disrupted the majority of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz -- a chokepoint through which approximately 20% of global oil supply transits -- causing supply dislocations far larger in scale than any incremental quota adjustment OPEC+ could realistically implement. In that context, 188,000 additional barrels per day represents a marginal offset to a structural supply shock measured in millions of barrels.
The UAE's exit from OPEC effective May 1 adds further complexity. Abu Dhabi is now free to set its own production levels independently, potentially adding supply outside the cartel's coordination framework -- a dynamic that could accelerate the erosion of OPEC+'s relevance as a price-setting mechanism, as Nordea Bank analyst Jan von Gerich warned following the UAE's withdrawal announcement.
Markets Price Significant Further Oil Upside
Despite the symbolic nature of the production increase, prediction market data suggests traders expect oil prices to move materially higher before the end of May. According to PolyBeats data from Polymarket, the probability of WTI crude hitting $110 on a single day this month stands at 75%, while the probability of reaching $120 is priced at 45% and $130 at 22% -- a distribution that reflects persistent uncertainty around the Hormuz situation and the risk of further military escalation.
With WTI currently trading around $102 per barrel following Friday's ceasefire proposal-driven pullback, a move to $110 would represent an approximately 8% increase from current levels -- a threshold the market views as more likely than not before June.
Crypto and Macro Implications
For Bitcoin and risk assets, the combination of a symbolic OPEC+ increase and elevated Polymarket oil price probabilities reinforces the inflationary headwind that has been capping risk appetite through April and into May. A sustained move toward $110--$120 WTI would keep inflation expectations elevated, reduce the probability of Fed rate cuts further into the distance, and maintain the higher-for-longer monetary policy backdrop that has been one of the primary constraints on Bitcoin's ability to break decisively above $79,000--$80,000.
Key Takeaways
Seven OPEC+ members have agreed in principle to increase June production targets by approximately 188,000 barrels per day, similar to May's 206,000 BPD increase excluding the UAE's share
The production increase is described as largely symbolic given the Strait of Hormuz disruption has caused far greater supply disruption than any OPEC quota adjustment can offset
Polymarket prices a 75% probability of WTI crude hitting $110 in May, a 45% chance of $120, and a 22% chance of $130, per PolyBeats data
The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1 has not derailed the remaining members' decision-making process, which is proceeding on a "business as usual" basis
An online OPEC+ meeting among the seven remaining members is planned for Sunday
Seven OPEC+ members have reached an agreement in principle to raise their collective oil production target by approximately 188,000 barrels per day in June, sources told BlockBeats on May 2 -- but the decision is being widely characterized as symbolic given that the real driver of global oil supply disruption lies far beyond OPEC's control.
The planned June increase mirrors May's adjustment of 206,000 BPD when accounting for the UAE's now-departed share, signaling that the remaining OPEC+ core is pressing ahead with its established production roadmap despite the bloc's most significant membership rupture in years. The seven remaining members plan to formalize the decision in an online meeting on Sunday.
A Largely Symbolic Move
The production increase does little to address the dominant force reshaping global oil markets. The ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran has disrupted the majority of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz -- a chokepoint through which approximately 20% of global oil supply transits -- causing supply dislocations far larger in scale than any incremental quota adjustment OPEC+ could realistically implement. In that context, 188,000 additional barrels per day represents a marginal offset to a structural supply shock measured in millions of barrels.
The UAE's exit from OPEC effective May 1 adds further complexity. Abu Dhabi is now free to set its own production levels independently, potentially adding supply outside the cartel's coordination framework -- a dynamic that could accelerate the erosion of OPEC+'s relevance as a price-setting mechanism, as Nordea Bank analyst Jan von Gerich warned following the UAE's withdrawal announcement.
Markets Price Significant Further Oil Upside
Despite the symbolic nature of the production increase, prediction market data suggests traders expect oil prices to move materially higher before the end of May. According to PolyBeats data from Polymarket, the probability of WTI crude hitting $110 on a single day this month stands at 75%, while the probability of reaching $120 is priced at 45% and $130 at 22% -- a distribution that reflects persistent uncertainty around the Hormuz situation and the risk of further military escalation.
With WTI currently trading around $102 per barrel following Friday's ceasefire proposal-driven pullback, a move to $110 would represent an approximately 8% increase from current levels -- a threshold the market views as more likely than not before June.
Crypto and Macro Implications
For Bitcoin and risk assets, the combination of a symbolic OPEC+ increase and elevated Polymarket oil price probabilities reinforces the inflationary headwind that has been capping risk appetite through April and into May. A sustained move toward $110--$120 WTI would keep inflation expectations elevated, reduce the probability of Fed rate cuts further into the distance, and maintain the higher-for-longer monetary policy backdrop that has been one of the primary constraints on Bitcoin's ability to break decisively above $79,000--$80,000.
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