Today’s Trade Breakdown & Analysis - 25/March/2026 📝
Starting from the Daily chart, I first marked the key liquidity levels:
• PDH (Previous Day High)
• PDL (Previous Day Low)
Price was trading inside an Inside Day range, which signals price compression. When the market compresses like this, it often precedes volatility expansion, meaning we can expect a range expansion either today or tomorrow.
With the daily high and low clearly marked, these levels become the primary draw on liquidity.
After defining the higher timeframe context, I moved to the 1-Hour chart to look for:
• Inefficiencies (FVGs)
• Liquidity pools
• Clear imbalances
In this case, there wasn’t a high-probability inefficiency on the hourly timeframe that aligned well with the daily narrative, so I refined the analysis further.
Dropping to the 15-Minute chart, I identified a displaced SIBI aligned with a 15-Minute Wick Consequent Encroachment (C.E).
This allowed me to frame a clear narrative:
After 9:30, if a 15-minute candle body closed below the Wick C.E and SIBI, it would confirm bearish intent and open the path for price to deliver into the London session lows.
After 9:30, we also had a Discount ORG (Opening Range Gap).
Statistically, price tends to draw toward the midpoint of the ORG roughly 70% of the time, which perfectly aligned with the narrative we were already building.
At 9:45, price delivered the confirmation.
The 15-minute candle body closed below the Wick C.E, validating the bearish setup.
That confirmation provided the short opportunity targeting the ORG midpoint.
Important note:
Look at where price actually reversed.
This is not random.
This is algorithmic delivery — price moving precisely between inefficiencies, liquidity, and engineered levels.
The market leaves signatures.
Your job as a trader is to learn how to read them.
⚡ Top-down analysis → Narrative → Confirmation → Precision entry
That’s the framework.
Starting from the Daily chart, I first marked the key liquidity levels:
• PDH (Previous Day High)
• PDL (Previous Day Low)
Price was trading inside an Inside Day range, which signals price compression. When the market compresses like this, it often precedes volatility expansion, meaning we can expect a range expansion either today or tomorrow.
With the daily high and low clearly marked, these levels become the primary draw on liquidity.
After defining the higher timeframe context, I moved to the 1-Hour chart to look for:
• Inefficiencies (FVGs)
• Liquidity pools
• Clear imbalances
In this case, there wasn’t a high-probability inefficiency on the hourly timeframe that aligned well with the daily narrative, so I refined the analysis further.
Dropping to the 15-Minute chart, I identified a displaced SIBI aligned with a 15-Minute Wick Consequent Encroachment (C.E).
This allowed me to frame a clear narrative:
After 9:30, if a 15-minute candle body closed below the Wick C.E and SIBI, it would confirm bearish intent and open the path for price to deliver into the London session lows.
After 9:30, we also had a Discount ORG (Opening Range Gap).
Statistically, price tends to draw toward the midpoint of the ORG roughly 70% of the time, which perfectly aligned with the narrative we were already building.
At 9:45, price delivered the confirmation.
The 15-minute candle body closed below the Wick C.E, validating the bearish setup.
That confirmation provided the short opportunity targeting the ORG midpoint.
Important note:
Look at where price actually reversed.
This is not random.
This is algorithmic delivery — price moving precisely between inefficiencies, liquidity, and engineered levels.
The market leaves signatures.
Your job as a trader is to learn how to read them.
⚡ Top-down analysis → Narrative → Confirmation → Precision entry
That’s the framework.
Hope you guys like these kinds of trade breakdowns and top-down analysis. 📊
Make sure you journal every trade and backtest the models on your charts.
That’s where the real learning happens.
Consistency in study + chart time will accelerate your learning curve as a trader. 📈
Make sure you journal every trade and backtest the models on your charts.
That’s where the real learning happens.
Consistency in study + chart time will accelerate your learning curve as a trader. 📈
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