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Is Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Still Unfolding as Expected?

Year 1: Buy (best accumulation time)
Year 2: Hold (don’t sell)
Year 3: Sell (take profits)
Year 4: Bear market (big drop – stay patient)

🕯Quick history check:

2011-2014: 11 Buy → 12 Hold → 13 Sell → 14 Bear
2015-2018: 15 Buy → 16 Hold → 17 Sell → 18 Bear
2019-2022: 19 Buy → 20 Hold → 21 Sell → 22 Bear

↗️Current Cycle (2023-2026):

2023: Buy
2024: Hold
2025: Sell
2026: Bear market ← We are here right now

📈If this pattern continues to hold true, 2027 will mark the onset of the next significant accumulation period.

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📈

Market sentiment turns bullish, with significant inflows into on-chain ETFs for two consecutive days.

🥰Buying sentiment in the U.S. market picks up, and Coinbase's Bitcoin premium index has been positive for two consecutive days.

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📰Macro outlook for next week:

💡Geopolitical risks reignite as U.S.-Iran negotiations fail to reach an agreement; Fed officials make frequent statements

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📉

Some analysts warn that if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement, Bitcoin could fall back to $65,000.

📈Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market is only likely to see a meaningful trend reversal if BTC breaks above $76,000 and ETH breaks above $2,400.

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💰

Yi Lihua: I firmly believe that the war will come to an end. If the financial crisis recurs, it will test the safe-haven attributes of BTC and also present an opportunity to buy at the bottom.

🎆MQT is the key to opportunity.

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📈

Bitcoin pumps back above $73,307 !

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🪙Crypto market cap hits $2.6T for the first time in April.

🪙And the total stablecoin market cap hit a new ATH of $320B.

🤌So, why haven't you come to MEXQUICK yet to stake stablecoins and earn yields?

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📈

Bitcoin on-chain metrics show rising selling pressure and profit-taking risk. Its CEX net outflow has lasted nearly two months, indicating market accumulation.

🏦The BoJ will probably hike rates this quarter, with debate on April or June. BTC's second challenge of the $75,400 short-term holder cost may lead to another pullback.

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15.8K views09:52

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🙂

Bitcoin is entering the "value accumulation zone" with limited downside potential.

📈Meanwhile, buying sentiment in the U.S. market continues to warm up, and the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has remained positive for nine consecutive days.

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15.9K views09:59

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📰Macro outlook for next week:

💡

Focus on U.S.-Iran negotiations and personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, with the volatile Middle East situation repeatedly disturbing the markets.

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💵

The current mainstream funding rates of CEXs and DEXs indicate that BTC and ETH continue to be in a bearish range, with low market sentiment.

🏦There is a divergence between Bitcoin's "price action" and "realized profits," suggesting that the rebound may have already peaked.

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15.9K views21:38

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💬

The prospects of U.S.-Iran peace talks are in doubt, and the market is declining again.

📉Bitcoin has dropped below $74k, crude oil has gapped up, and U.S. stock futures have collectively fallen.

📈With market sentiment remaining subdued, stable returns are your best choice.

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16.2K views21:25

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📈

Every cycle brought brutal crashes, yet Bitcoin has always delivered new highs.

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💵

Risk aversion ebbs + expectations for interest rate cuts rise, and USD longs retreat in unison!

📈U.S. stocks hit a new intraday all-time high again; cryptocurrency-related stocks soar.

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15.9K views19:36

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EXQuick

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📈

Glassnode: Bullish on Bitcoin, quantitative model triggers clear upward signal.

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EXQuick

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📰Super central bank week and earnings report week are upon us:

💡

Five major central banks announce interest rate decisions, while a flurry of earnings reports are released by companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Google.

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📉$80,000 is the key resistance level for BTC; a breakout may trigger amplified volatility.

🗳Choice matters more than effort.

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