Forwarded from INSIDE INFO
Сейчас на Polymarket по событию Fed decision in April рынок выглядит так:
🟢 YES (без изменений) — 98%
🔴 NO (изменение ставки) — 2%
И вот тут появляется идея.
Где перекос
Рынок практически уверен, что ставка не изменится. Но впереди ещё 3 недели новостей, макро и волатильности, и даже небольшой сдвиг ожиданий может дать движение.
Идея сделки
Это не ставка “угадать решение ФРС”,
а чисто игра на переоценке вероятности.
Уже было
В марте похожая ситуация:
При этом тогда и времени было меньше, и вход хуже.
Почему рынок может ошибаться
— Нефть и геополитика
Обострение + рост цен на нефть → давление на инфляцию
— Ключевые даты
📅 10 апреля — CPI
📅 14 апреля — PPI
Любой сюрприз → рынок резко пересобирает ожидания
— Экономика остывает
Слабее рынок труда + падает потребление
— Политика
Давление на ФРС + шум вокруг тарифов
👉 Всё это может легко выбить рынок из текущих 98%
Важно
Это не про “ФРС точно изменит ставку”.
Это про то, что:
👉 вероятность может вырасти с 2% до 4–5%
👉 а это уже x2–x3 движение
Итог
Сейчас рынок слишком уверен в одном сценарии, а любые новости в ближайшие недели могут:
Такие перекосы — одна из самых простых и понятных историй на Polymarket.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Top 7 Crypto | Analytics & Alpha
Only 6 Out of 41 Token Sales Since 2025 Are in Profit
According to Messari data, if you bought every token sale on CoinList, Legion, MetaDAO, and BuidlPad since 2025, your portfolio would be down 46%. Out of 41 sales across all four platforms, only 6 tokens are trading above their initial sale price.
The pattern is clear: high FDV launches with locked tokens and VC-heavy allocations are getting destroyed. The few winners are low-cap, community-driven sales with high float at TGE. MetaDAO's model of no private rounds and fair public sales is outperforming the rest by a wide margin.
The era of "guaranteed 10x from any launchpad" is over. Token sale participation now requires the same due diligence as any other trade - or you're exit liquidity.
🔗 x.com/AvgJoesCrypto/status/2040098458875371644
Top 7 Ecosystem: Alpha | X | Aggregator
According to Messari data, if you bought every token sale on CoinList, Legion, MetaDAO, and BuidlPad since 2025, your portfolio would be down 46%. Out of 41 sales across all four platforms, only 6 tokens are trading above their initial sale price.
The pattern is clear: high FDV launches with locked tokens and VC-heavy allocations are getting destroyed. The few winners are low-cap, community-driven sales with high float at TGE. MetaDAO's model of no private rounds and fair public sales is outperforming the rest by a wide margin.
The era of "guaranteed 10x from any launchpad" is over. Token sale participation now requires the same due diligence as any other trade - or you're exit liquidity.
🔗 x.com/AvgJoesCrypto/status/2040098458875371644
Top 7 Ecosystem: Alpha | X | Aggregator
Forwarded from ЗЕФИРИУМ (SERGO)
фан факт
Wallchain проводили пасхальный ивент пару недель, где рандомно распихивали по слову из сид фарзы на картинки в их постах.
одному челу надоело ждать финального слова и он подобрал (сам/генератором хз) последнее.
Радостные ребята, как я, которые высматривали слова в постах, при восстановления коша в финальный день, само собой, так и не увидели желанного приза.
На коше лежали 2 QH NFT стоимостью 2.2 сол.
Wallchain проводили пасхальный ивент пару недель, где рандомно распихивали по слову из сид фарзы на картинки в их постах.
одному челу надоело ждать финального слова и он подобрал (сам/генератором хз) последнее.
Радостные ребята, как я, которые высматривали слова в постах, при восстановления коша в финальный день, само собой, так и не увидели желанного приза.
На коше лежали 2 QH NFT стоимостью 2.2 сол.
X (formerly Twitter)
doc_noonoo (@doc_noonoo) on X
The most insane long game hack of all time!
@Wallchain ran a 12-day Seed Phrase Easter Hunt.
Decoy flocks
In-pond meetings
Multiple clues
Almost half a month of X timeline teases & streams.
Alas… Kim Jong NooNoo got bored waiting for Day 12.
So, high…
@Wallchain ran a 12-day Seed Phrase Easter Hunt.
Decoy flocks
In-pond meetings
Multiple clues
Almost half a month of X timeline teases & streams.
Alas… Kim Jong NooNoo got bored waiting for Day 12.
So, high…
Forwarded from Kirby Crypto (Hermes)
April 6, 2026
**📰 Headlines**
• [Strategy acquired 4,871 BTC for ~329.9M, now holds 766,970 BTC total](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18617)
• [Circle announced quantum-resistant roadmap for Arc blockchain](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18611)
• [Drift Protocol 285M exploit linked to six-month North Korean social engineering operation](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18607)
• [Charles Schwab plans spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading launch in H1 2026](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18602)
• [Tether targeting 500B valuation in final funding round push](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18604)
• [Coinbase receives conditional OCC approval for National Trust Bank charter](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18586)
• [FIFA selects ADI Predictstreet as official 2026 World Cup prediction market partner](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18601)
• [Ethereum Foundation staked additional 93M ETH, nearing 70,000 ETH target](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18593)
• [Solo Bitcoin miner beats 1-in-28,000 odds to claim 210,000 block reward](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18616)
• [Telegram integrates Lighter to offer in-app perpetual futures trading to 150M+ users](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18583)
• [Polygon PoS chain completes Napoli upgrade enabling RIP-7212](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18605)
• [SBI Holdings B2C2 designates Solana as primary stablecoin network for institutional clients](https://www.theblock.co/post/395985/b2c2-solana-institutional-stablecoin-network-sbi-holdings)
• [Circle minted 3.25 billion USDC on Solana in largest weekly issuance of 2026](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18614)
• [Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest Bitcoin treasury company](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/02/metaplanet-acquires-5-075-btc-jumps-to-third-largest-bitcoin-treasury-company)
• [Chainlink quarterly unlock moves 19M LINK 165M from non-circulating supply addresses](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18603)
**🛠 Tools**
• [SolGov - On-chain multisig configurations tracker for Solana DeFi protocols](https://solgov.xyz/)
• [SEAL Frameworks - Curated resource for OpSec and blockchain security](https://frameworks.securityalliance.org/intro/introduction/)
• [Artemis Analytics - Protocol analytics and sector tracking dashboards](https://app.artemisanalytics.com/sectors)
**📚 Reads**
• [Strait of Hormuz: A Citrini Field Trip - Deep research on oil shipping dynamics through Hormuz](https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-hormuz-a-citrini-field)
• [The Petrodollar Loop is Broken - Bloomberg on Iran war impact on Treasury market structure](https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-04-06/the-petrodollar-loop-supporting-the-treasury-market-is-broken)
• [Four Pillars: Lido CSM v3 - From permissionless module to protocol foundation](https://4pillars.io/en/issues/lido-csm-v3-from-permissionless-module-to-protocol-foundation)
• [Circle Post-Quantum Roadmap for Arc Blockchain](https://www.arc.network/blog/arcs-quantum-resistant-design-and-roadmap-why-it-matters)
• [Aster One Year: From Perp DEX Challenger to Trading Native Infra](https://www.wublockchain.xyz/articles/aster-one-year-perp-dex-challenger-to-trading-native-infra-1763)
• [Four Pillars: Can LDO (Lido DAO) Token Make a Comeback?](https://4pillars.io/en/issues/can-lido-dao-token-make-a-comeback)
**⚡ Actionables**
• [Jack Dorsey Block launches Bitcoin Faucet website btc.day - going live](http://btc.day/)
Follow for daily alpha 🧃
**📰 Headlines**
• [Strategy acquired 4,871 BTC for ~329.9M, now holds 766,970 BTC total](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18617)
• [Circle announced quantum-resistant roadmap for Arc blockchain](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18611)
• [Drift Protocol 285M exploit linked to six-month North Korean social engineering operation](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18607)
• [Charles Schwab plans spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading launch in H1 2026](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18602)
• [Tether targeting 500B valuation in final funding round push](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18604)
• [Coinbase receives conditional OCC approval for National Trust Bank charter](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18586)
• [FIFA selects ADI Predictstreet as official 2026 World Cup prediction market partner](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18601)
• [Ethereum Foundation staked additional 93M ETH, nearing 70,000 ETH target](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18593)
• [Solo Bitcoin miner beats 1-in-28,000 odds to claim 210,000 block reward](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18616)
• [Telegram integrates Lighter to offer in-app perpetual futures trading to 150M+ users](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18583)
• [Polygon PoS chain completes Napoli upgrade enabling RIP-7212](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18605)
• [SBI Holdings B2C2 designates Solana as primary stablecoin network for institutional clients](https://www.theblock.co/post/395985/b2c2-solana-institutional-stablecoin-network-sbi-holdings)
• [Circle minted 3.25 billion USDC on Solana in largest weekly issuance of 2026](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18614)
• [Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest Bitcoin treasury company](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/04/02/metaplanet-acquires-5-075-btc-jumps-to-third-largest-bitcoin-treasury-company)
• [Chainlink quarterly unlock moves 19M LINK 165M from non-circulating supply addresses](https://wublockchain.xyz/news/news-18603)
**🛠 Tools**
• [SolGov - On-chain multisig configurations tracker for Solana DeFi protocols](https://solgov.xyz/)
• [SEAL Frameworks - Curated resource for OpSec and blockchain security](https://frameworks.securityalliance.org/intro/introduction/)
• [Artemis Analytics - Protocol analytics and sector tracking dashboards](https://app.artemisanalytics.com/sectors)
**📚 Reads**
• [Strait of Hormuz: A Citrini Field Trip - Deep research on oil shipping dynamics through Hormuz](https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-hormuz-a-citrini-field)
• [The Petrodollar Loop is Broken - Bloomberg on Iran war impact on Treasury market structure](https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-04-06/the-petrodollar-loop-supporting-the-treasury-market-is-broken)
• [Four Pillars: Lido CSM v3 - From permissionless module to protocol foundation](https://4pillars.io/en/issues/lido-csm-v3-from-permissionless-module-to-protocol-foundation)
• [Circle Post-Quantum Roadmap for Arc Blockchain](https://www.arc.network/blog/arcs-quantum-resistant-design-and-roadmap-why-it-matters)
• [Aster One Year: From Perp DEX Challenger to Trading Native Infra](https://www.wublockchain.xyz/articles/aster-one-year-perp-dex-challenger-to-trading-native-infra-1763)
• [Four Pillars: Can LDO (Lido DAO) Token Make a Comeback?](https://4pillars.io/en/issues/can-lido-dao-token-make-a-comeback)
**⚡ Actionables**
• [Jack Dorsey Block launches Bitcoin Faucet website btc.day - going live](http://btc.day/)
Follow for daily alpha 🧃
wublockchain.xyz
Strategy announced it acquired 4,871 BTC for approximately $329.9 million between April 1 and April ...
Forwarded from Leviathan News
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Developer builds AI job search system with Claude Code that applied to 700+ roles and landed him a job, now released as open-source - 𝕏/@Hesamation
🏷️ AI, Claude
🕵️ @JLJohn
🏷️ AI, Claude
🕵️ @JLJohn
Forwarded from Leviathan News
Dark web actor Jinkusu hawks AI fraud kit that defeats crypto and bank KYC with real-time deepfakes - CoinTelegraph
🏷️ AI, Crypto, KYC
🕵️ Benthic
🏷️ AI, Crypto, KYC
🕵️ Benthic
Forwarded from Leviathan News
ViewFi Clash goes live on Soneium, bringing new play-to-earn battles - 𝕏/@soneium
🏷️ NFT, Soneium
🕵️ @JLJohn
🏷️ NFT, Soneium
🕵️ @JLJohn
Forwarded from ЗЕФИРИУМ (SERGO)
Будьте осторожны
Я бы хотел вам продать чет и научить, но у меня пока нет времени (у вас нет денег).
так что не ведитесь на скам-смс в лс, если будут брать фидбек про мой канал или предлагать поучаствовать в чем-то🏃
Я бы хотел вам продать чет и научить, но у меня пока нет времени (у вас нет денег).
так что не ведитесь на скам-смс в лс, если будут брать фидбек про мой канал или предлагать поучаствовать в чем-то
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from NFT.RU
Пополнили хранилище на 4,871 BTC. Теперь холдят биткоина на $58 млрд со средней ценой покупки $75,644.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Kirby Crypto (Hermes)
April 6, 2026
📰 Headlines
• Strategy acquired 4,871 BTC for ~$329.9M, now holds 766,970 BTC total
• Circle announced quantum-resistant roadmap for Arc blockchain
• Drift Protocol $285M exploit linked to six-month North Korean social engineering operation
• Charles Schwab plans spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading launch in H1 2026
• Tether targeting $500B valuation in final funding round push
• Coinbase receives conditional OCC approval for National Trust Bank charter
• FIFA selects ADI Predictstreet as official 2026 World Cup prediction market partner
• Ethereum Foundation staked additional $93M ETH, nearing 70,000 ETH target
• Solo Bitcoin miner beats 1-in-28,000 odds to claim $210,000 block reward
• Telegram integrates Lighter to offer in-app perpetual futures trading to 150M+ users
• Polygon PoS chain completes Napoli upgrade enabling RIP-7212
• SBI Holdings' B2C2 designates Solana as primary stablecoin network for institutional clients
• Circle minted 3.25 billion USDC on Solana in largest weekly issuance of 2026
• Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest Bitcoin treasury company
• Chainlink quarterly unlock moves 19M LINK ~$165M from non-circulating supply addresses
🛠 Tools
• SolGov - On-chain multisig configurations tracker for Solana DeFi protocols
• SEAL Frameworks - Curated resource for OpSec and blockchain security
• Artemis Analytics - Protocol analytics and sector tracking dashboards
📚 Reads
• Strait of Hormuz: A Citrini Field Trip - Deep research on oil shipping dynamics through Hormuz
• The Petrodollar Loop is Broken - Bloomberg on Iran war impact on Treasury market structure
• Four Pillars: Lido CSM v3 - From permissionless module to protocol foundation
• Circle's Post-Quantum Roadmap for Arc Blockchain
• Aster One Year: From Perp DEX Challenger to Trading Native Infra
• Four Pillars: Can LDO (Lido DAO) Token Make a Comeback?
⚡ Actionables
• Jack Dorsey's Block launches 'Bitcoin Faucet' website btc.day - going live
Follow for daily alpha 🧃
📰 Headlines
• Strategy acquired 4,871 BTC for ~$329.9M, now holds 766,970 BTC total
• Circle announced quantum-resistant roadmap for Arc blockchain
• Drift Protocol $285M exploit linked to six-month North Korean social engineering operation
• Charles Schwab plans spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading launch in H1 2026
• Tether targeting $500B valuation in final funding round push
• Coinbase receives conditional OCC approval for National Trust Bank charter
• FIFA selects ADI Predictstreet as official 2026 World Cup prediction market partner
• Ethereum Foundation staked additional $93M ETH, nearing 70,000 ETH target
• Solo Bitcoin miner beats 1-in-28,000 odds to claim $210,000 block reward
• Telegram integrates Lighter to offer in-app perpetual futures trading to 150M+ users
• Polygon PoS chain completes Napoli upgrade enabling RIP-7212
• SBI Holdings' B2C2 designates Solana as primary stablecoin network for institutional clients
• Circle minted 3.25 billion USDC on Solana in largest weekly issuance of 2026
• Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest Bitcoin treasury company
• Chainlink quarterly unlock moves 19M LINK ~$165M from non-circulating supply addresses
🛠 Tools
• SolGov - On-chain multisig configurations tracker for Solana DeFi protocols
• SEAL Frameworks - Curated resource for OpSec and blockchain security
• Artemis Analytics - Protocol analytics and sector tracking dashboards
📚 Reads
• Strait of Hormuz: A Citrini Field Trip - Deep research on oil shipping dynamics through Hormuz
• The Petrodollar Loop is Broken - Bloomberg on Iran war impact on Treasury market structure
• Four Pillars: Lido CSM v3 - From permissionless module to protocol foundation
• Circle's Post-Quantum Roadmap for Arc Blockchain
• Aster One Year: From Perp DEX Challenger to Trading Native Infra
• Four Pillars: Can LDO (Lido DAO) Token Make a Comeback?
⚡ Actionables
• Jack Dorsey's Block launches 'Bitcoin Faucet' website btc.day - going live
Follow for daily alpha 🧃
wublockchain.xyz
Strategy announced it acquired 4,871 BTC for approximately $329.9 million between April 1 and April ...
Forwarded from Leviathan News
🦑 SQUID DIGEST 📰
April 06, 2026
I appreciate the request, but I need to clarify an important issue: the search results provided don't contain the crypto news headlines y...
🟢 $BTC: $69K (+3.45%) · 🟢 $ETH: $2.1K (+4.90%) · 🟢 $OPEN: $0.41 (+3.37%)
🔥 a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen claims AGI has effectively arrived, though access remains limited, highlighting widening gaps in who can leverage advanced AI capabilities today
💬 "Andreessen drops the "AGI is basically here" line the same quarter a16z closes a $20B AI fund backed by 20,..." — @Benthic
✉️ Web · ⚙️ GitHub · 📣 Telegram
April 06, 2026
I appreciate the request, but I need to clarify an important issue: the search results provided don't contain the crypto news headlines y...
🟢 $BTC: $69K (+3.45%) · 🟢 $ETH: $2.1K (+4.90%) · 🟢 $OPEN: $0.41 (+3.37%)
🔥 a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen claims AGI has effectively arrived, though access remains limited, highlighting widening gaps in who can leverage advanced AI capabilities today
💬 "Andreessen drops the "AGI is basically here" line the same quarter a16z closes a $20B AI fund backed by 20,..." — @Benthic
✉️ Web · ⚙️ GitHub · 📣 Telegram
Forwarded from Cware Labs Notes
Cware Labs провела анализ по нашей скоринговой системе из 50+ параметров, которая оценивает инвестиционную готовность Web3 компаний.
Web3Eco – Web3-платформа на стыке RWA, ReFi и экологических инвестиций, предлагающая токенизацию сельскохозяйственных активов и доступ к инвестициям в устойчивые агро-проекты.
Готовы привлечь инвестиции? Заполните форму для старта➡️ https://cwarelabs.com/form
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin pushed higher in a sharp impulsive move, reclaiming the $69k level after consolidating above $65k, with momentum accelerating into the end of the period.
Read more in this week’s Market Pulse👇
https://glassno.de/4ve4ea6
Read more in this week’s Market Pulse👇
https://glassno.de/4ve4ea6
Forwarded from Кэпитал News
Тегеран направил свой ответ на американское предложение (документ состоит из 10 пунктов).
В числе требований: полное прекращение боевых действий, гарантии безопасного прохода судов через Ормузский пролив и снятие санкций с Ирана.
Кэпитал News
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from C4
April 6
Don't forget to follow my Twitter and C4's. Here's what's happening today:
📰News
- @Strategy acquires 4871 BTC for $330M
[Project Updates]
- @DriftProtocol shares incident background update
- @ethena updates USDe backing diversification
- @circle future-proofs Arc blockchain against quantim computing threats
[Threads/Reads]
- @mert thread on the next crypto cycle
- @citrini article about the Strait of Hormuz
💎New Projects
Denaro Labs | Base | Payment Infrastructure, x402
Optivi | Options
Website
Splash | Mobile Trading Terminal
Website
Metamorphic | AI
Website
Lana | Solana | AI
Website
Valet | TGE Manager
Tempo Vista | Tempo | DEX
MLighter |
🚀Launches
None
My Links:
HyEna
FOMO App
Trade.xyz by Unit
UR Neobank by Mantle
Lighter
Don't forget to follow my Twitter and C4's. Here's what's happening today:
📰News
- @Strategy acquires 4871 BTC for $330M
[Project Updates]
- @DriftProtocol shares incident background update
- @ethena updates USDe backing diversification
- @circle future-proofs Arc blockchain against quantim computing threats
[Threads/Reads]
- @mert thread on the next crypto cycle
- @citrini article about the Strait of Hormuz
💎New Projects
Denaro Labs | Base | Payment Infrastructure, x402
Optivi | Options
Website
Splash | Mobile Trading Terminal
Website
Metamorphic | AI
Website
Lana | Solana | AI
Website
Valet | TGE Manager
Tempo Vista | Tempo | DEX
MLighter |
🚀Launches
None
My Links:
HyEna
FOMO App
Trade.xyz by Unit
UR Neobank by Mantle
Lighter
X (formerly Twitter)
CJ the "Doughnut" (@CJCJCJCJ_) on X
| Aggregating @c4dotgg |
Forwarded from КриптоАтака 24 ⚡️
📊👀 #BTC Glassnode: Когда цена BTC приблизилась к 70 тыс $, реализованная прибыль в час подскочила выше 20 млн $, сигнализируя о локальном истощении.
Схема сохраняется с февраля 2026 года: Любой подход к диапазону 70–80 тыс $ сталкивается с низкой ликвидностью и давлением фиксации прибыли, ограничивающим отскок.
Схема сохраняется с февраля 2026 года: Любой подход к диапазону 70–80 тыс $ сталкивается с низкой ликвидностью и давлением фиксации прибыли, ограничивающим отскок.