Viktor Leonov
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Intelligence and Defense Analyst ✍️
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Intel Slava
CENTCOM announces retaliatory strikes on Iran following drone attack on commercial vessel in Strait of Hormuz.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 — UPDATE: US ATTACKED IRAN AGAIN

As we have stated many times, there is no confidence in a peaceful agreement. The US is just preparing for another wave of strikes against Iran, and they did it again tonight. The IRGC will respond, and further escalation is expected. The US will never stop its aggression.

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🗂 — Dear subs, consider joining The New Dawn folder. The New Dawn is a network of some (16) news channels that will keep you updated about the conflicts around the world.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦 INTEL SLAVA — SITUATION BRIEF, 6:00 AM

➡️ Russia launched one of the largest combined missile and drone attacks on Ukraine in weeks overnight, targeting Kyiv and multiple regions simultaneously.

➡️ Approximately 20+ cruise missiles, including multiple waves of Kh-101, Kh-59/69, and Kalibr missiles, struck Kyiv from the east and south.

➡️ Ukrainian air defenses were largely overwhelmed — with multiple confirmed impacts in eastern Kyiv, the city centre, Brovary, and Boryspil. Fires broke out across the capital, including near an administrative building.

➡️ Simultaneous strikes hit Cherkasy, Sumy, Kryvyi Rih, Kamyanske, and Kirovohrad. Geran drones targeted Snihurivka in Mykolaiv region and multiple sites in Poltava region.

➡️ Ukrainian military sources report that the pace of Russia’s offensive in June increased sixfold compared to May — tonight’s attack confirms that trajectory is not slowing.

➡️ Russia continues its systematic degradation of Ukrainian air defense, energy, and logistics infrastructure. Further waves remain possible in the coming hours.

— Intel Slava (Viktor Leonov)

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Intel Slava
officials estimate 10 to 20 million mourners across the multi-day ceremonies
🇮🇷⚡️ — The number of people attending funerals and supporting the Islamic Republic is always and absolutely greater than the so-called big protests inside Iran, which are only fueled by Mossad riots, and only a few people compared to these millions of supporters of the regime.

- IRGC resistance to Israeli and US aggression has made Iranians think twice, even many opposition members have now shifted their views to "Iran first" and supporting the regime, instead of hoping for Epstein's friends to devastate Iran.

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Intel Slava
🇺🇸🇮🇷 — BREAKING: According to some U.S. journalists, the strikes on Iran are not proportional and further strikes should be expected.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 — This time the strikes are far more different than all strikes carried out by the US since the April 8 ceasefire, and they clearly targeted city centers instead of coastal bases. Let's see where this goes.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 — NASA satellite data has detected fires at two port facilities in Bandar Abbas, consistent with recent US strikes.

➡️ Fires identified at two locations: Posht-e Shahr Pier and the Army Pier (military dock).

➡️ NASA satellite imagery indicates the fires are likely a result of the latest US retaliatory strikes in the area.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 ⚡️ — A full-scale escalation between the US, Israel, and Iran is assessed as highly likely within the coming hours or days.

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Intel Slava
🇺🇸🇮🇷 — The Gorgan railway line in Golestan province has been struck, monitoring channels report.
🇮🇱🇮🇷 — This was a very different attack. Golestan province is outside of the southern Iranian coastline which has been consistently targeted by the US since the April 8 ceasefire. A train station was attacked there — there is probably a bunker below the station, a bunker-buster missile was likely used, and this is more likely an assassination attempt made by the Israeli Air Force.

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Viktor Leonov
🇮🇱🇮🇷 — This was a very different attack. Golestan province is outside of the southern Iranian coastline which has been consistently targeted by the US since the April 8 ceasefire. A train station was attacked there — there is probably a bunker below the station…
🇮🇱🇮🇷 — Another angle is that this train may have been carrying military equipment and components from China, serving as a logistical hub for the IRGC, and was potentially targeted to disrupt this supply chain.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ Who Violated the MoU?

Iran's position was that all passage through the Strait of Hormuz should be coordinated with Iran, Oman, and the Gulf states. According to Tehran, Article 5 of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) recognized Iran's role in this coordination.

However, Iran believed the United States was quietly pursuing a different strategy. By escorting ships along a route closer to Oman's side of the strait, Washington was, in Iran's view, trying to create an alternative shipping lane that would reduce Iran's leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.

From Iran's perspective, this was a violation of the spirit of the MoU. Although the agreement recognized Iran's coordinating role, the new route was seen as an attempt to bypass that arrangement without formally changing the agreement.

Under this interpretation, Iran's attacks on ships using the Omani-side route were a response to what it considered the first breach of the MoU. The core argument is that creating an alternative corridor weakened Iran's agreed role in coordinating passage through the strait, making it a form of passive aggression against Iran's strategic position.

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Intel Slava
🇮🇷🇯🇴🇺🇸 — Low-quality satellite images released by Iranian media allegedly show the aftermath of Iranian missile strikes on Jordan’s Muwaffaq Salti Air Base. @IntelSlava
🇮🇷🇯🇴🇺🇸 — OSINT analysis indicates Iran’s ballistic missile strike on Al Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan destroyed 2x hangars at the base, based on current information.

➡️ The precision of the Iranian strike on the hangars is notable.

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🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦 — Personally, I believe Lindsey Graham was eliminated by Putin

Remember, he confidently laughed while saying the war had cost many Russian lives and its best investment.

Remember when he advocated for the assassination of Putin, and Russia put him on its terrorist list.

Remember that he was one of the major influencers behind the assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei.

He died in Kyiv, some hours before his death was announced by his family. A hotel in Kyiv and a drone factory were targeted by Russia — said to be the same factory he visited. There is no evidence that he returned to the USA. Zero evidence.

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Intel Slava
🇺🇸🇮🇷 — BREAKING: Trump formally notified Congress that fighting has resumed in Iran, New York Times reports.
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — You don’t notify Congress under the War Powers Resolution over tit-for-tat — this is no longer limited retaliation, but a full-scale resumption quietly advancing under “defensive” language so no one has to announce it.

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🇸🇦🇾🇪🇾🇪⚡️ — SAUDI ARABIA’S FAILED STRIKE ON SANA’A

Saudi Arabia reportedly launched around ten Storm Shadow cruise missiles — roughly $2 million each — from a safe standoff distance to hit the runway at Sana’a airport. Despite the cost and firepower, the strike failed to achieve its main objective.

The decision to strike from maximum range rather than risk closer engagement speaks directly to Riyadh’s fear of Yemeni air defenses.
The more revealing detail is political, not military. Saudi Arabia has declined to claim the attack — instead, its proxy in Aden has taken credit, as though that faction possessed Storm Shadow cruise missiles or the fighter jets to deliver them. The fiction fools no one. A power confident in its position claims its strikes. Riyadh’s refusal to do so points to one thing: fear of Yemeni retaliation.

Two conclusions stand out. First, the operation failed on its own terms — expensive munitions expended for no decisive result. Second, and more tellingly, Saudi Arabia is unwilling to own the attack, outsourcing responsibility to a proxy to shield itself from the consequences. That is not the posture of a confident aggressor — it is the posture of one that fears what comes next.

- Viktor Leonov

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 — The US is primarily targeting communication towers along Iran's southern coastline. Strikes on communication towers are the kind of action that would typically precede or enable a ground invasion. Weakening Iran's defensive posture in the south and disrupting its command-and-control infrastructure appear to be the primary US objectives at this stage.

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