Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
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🌲 - 🇱🇧 Lebanese OSINT | Security & geopolitics | Regional developments | Christian Lens ✝️☦️ | media use ≠ endorsement

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🌲 - 🇱🇧 A few days ago, Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri clearly informed Hezbollah of the necessity of collaborating with the state by handing its weapons over, because Israel will seemingly not hesitate to re-ignite the conflict to get rid of Hezbollah once and for all.

Today, we learn that the US and KSA have clearly indicated that an all-out war is imminent if Hezbollah is not neutralized, and rumors are circulating that Israelis and Syrians might be negociating something related to the Lebanese file behind closed doors, apparently an Israeli benediction of the takeover of Akkar and Tripoli by Syria in exchange for Israeli control over the Golan and a peace deal.

This war will not be like the others, since the Lebanese state has clearly demonstrated it is too lethargic and incompetent to assume the basic functions required from a state, despite clear support from the outside

This time Lebanon might not make it out intact

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇦 Informed sources told Al Jadeed: Saudi Arabia has issued a clear call for Lebanon to take practical steps, while warning against escalation as an alternative to a settlement. @anything961
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇸🇾 Things are going really bad for Lebanon. America, Israel, Saudi Arabia and everyone knows Hezbollah won't handover their weapons. I fear a scenario where everyone greenlights Syria to enter the North and the Beqaa and forever occupy these lands after fighting Hezbollah. Not only that Israel might help the Syrians if they reach a deal and normalize relations. Anything can happen tbh and we have talked about this before. In the near future there is a certain confrontation and war in Lebanon and while we oppose Hezbollah we don't want Syria to occupy Lebanon, certainly not the single digit IQ flip flops army of Syriastan

@anything961
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🌲- 🇱🇧🇸🇾 I would like to remind the Syrian flipflop Turkmen armies about the battle of Qnat and that it can be repeated.

@anything961
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For reference
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇾🇮🇱 we told you this is being discussed.

@anything961
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🌲 - 🇺🇸🇱🇧 Edward Gabriel (Former US Ambassador to Morocco and currently the President of the American Task Force on Lebanon) writing to Al Shark el Awsat, retweeted by Tom Barrack:

"As Syria and Israel normalize ties, they may also begin cooperating on mutual border security, excluding Lebanon input in the process. Lebanon risks becoming a buffer zone—or worse, a battleground—if it doesn’t quickly define its own sovereign path forward.
The region is changing fast. This is a rare opportunity for Lebanon to sustain international support in rebuilding its war-torn nation, creating a strong army that can uphold Lebanon’s sovereignty and ensuring a country at peace with its neighbors. If Beirut wants to be part of that future it must recognize the urgency of Barrack’s proposal. The clock is ticking, but the choice is Lebanon’s: seize this moment or be left behind"

https://english.aawsat.com/opinion/5161446-lebanon%E2%80%99s-opportunity%E2%80%94or-missed-opportunity

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇺🇸🇱🇧 Edward Gabriel (Former US Ambassador to Morocco and currently the President of the American Task Force on Lebanon) writing to Al Shark el Awsat, retweeted by Tom Barrack: "As Syria and Israel normalize ties, they may also begin cooperating on mutual…
You have to understand that the Lebanese file in Washington is essentially being taken care of by old-diaspora Lebanese Christians friendly to Israel, be it Tom Barrack, Massaad Boulos, or Edward Gabriel
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Forwarded from The GeoSight
⚡️🇵🇰Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is effectively under the control of an 🇺🇸American General," says John Kiriakou, Former CIA counter-terrorism officer who served in Pakistan.

🔗 Follow & Share @GeoSight
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Forwarded from The War Reporter (Andro☦️🇬🇪)
🇮🇱🇮🇷 - Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz:

"Israel is preparing to formulate air and military enforcement against Iranian attempts to restore its nuclear and missile programs".

@thewarreporterr
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Media is too big
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇱🇧 Hezbollah supporters openly displaying their firearms at the Grand Serail, "we won't leave our arms" is repeated as message to the government.

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇱🇧 Hezbollah supporters openly displaying their firearms at the Grand Serail, "we won't leave our arms" is repeated as message to the government. @anything961
Last year, a man, possibly on the autism spectrum, was parading alone, armed, in Jounieh Square to Lebanese Forces music. Within minutes, dozens of armed soldiers rushed in and subdued him. So why isn’t the same action taken against Hezbollah supporters, even when their faces are clearly visible in the videos?
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🇵🇸📞🇶🇦🇪🇬 — Qatari Al-araby TV:

Hamas agreed in principle to the Gaza ceasefire plan proposed by Egypt & Qatar, but asked for slight, formal changes
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🌲 - 🇱🇧 Hezbollah will reduce its role as an "armed movement"... and this is what it will retain!

Reuters reported, citing informed sources, that "Hezbollah is considering reducing its role as an armed movement without completely disarming."

The sources indicated that "Hezbollah is considering handing over more weapons, especially missiles and drones, on the condition that Israel withdraws from the south and halts its attacks."

They revealed that "Hezbollah does not intend to hand over its entire arsenal and will retain light weapons and anti-tank missiles to defend against any future attack."

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧 Hezbollah will reduce its role as an "armed movement"... and this is what it will retain! Reuters reported, citing informed sources, that "Hezbollah is considering reducing its role as an armed movement without completely disarming." The sources indicated…
🌲 - 🇱🇧🔺 MP Ghassan Hasbani to Al-Hadath: Hezbollah's display of weapons is a message that it has no intention of handing them over to the state.

Hezbollah is trying to buy time and stall in order not to hand over its weapons to the state.

@anything961
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🇮🇱- Israeli Channel 13 says Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's stance on a hostage-ceasefire deal has changed suddenly, with him now strongly supporting such a proposal even at the cost of Smotrich and Ben-Gvir.

This comes as Netanyahu's approval ratings hit a record high after the major victories against Iran and Hezbollah. Likud now believes that not only will they win a snap election, but do so without forming a coalition government like it currently has.
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🇺🇸🇵🇸🇮🇱- Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has asked his war cabinet to prepare an "evacuation plan" of the Palestinian population from the north of the Gaza Strip to Rafah, the very south of the strip.

Netanyahu expects a plan to be prepared by the time he returns from his visit to the White House.
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Forwarded from The Global Eye
#BREAKING | Hamas releases statement regarding its response to the hostage and ceasefire deal proposal:

Hamas has completed its internal consultations with the Palestinian factions and forces regarding the mediators' latest proposal to stop the aggression against our people in Gaza.

The movement delivered the response to the mediator brothers, which was positive.

The movement is seriously ready to immediately enter into a round of negotiations on the mechanism for implementing this framework.


The Global Eye | Subscribe
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇱🇧 Hezbollah supporters openly displaying their firearms at the Grand Serail, "we won't leave our arms" is repeated as message to the government. @anything961
If you run face recognition most of them most likely participated in the siege of Ain el Remmeneh in October 2021.

Like in 2021, they should be placed outside the framework of political participation, and categorized as public threats.
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