Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
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🌲 - 🇱🇧 Lebanese OSINT | Security & geopolitics | Regional developments | Christian Lens ✝️☦️ | media use ≠ endorsement

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What the hell is going on here🤣🤣🤣 Did the Austrian Painter return?
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🇱🇧🇺🇸 Al-Jadeed: America will withdraw its hand from the Lebanese file if practical steps are not taken, and the danger will encompass everyone.

@anything961
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There are very very weird things happening, be prepared for the worst
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"Be prepared for the worst"
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇾⚔️ 47th anniversary of the 100 Days War
Achrafieh (along with Furn el-Chebbek and Ain el-Remmaneh) became the first region in Beirut to free itself from the Syrian occupation. This is how Achrafieh residents lived daily in the first 2 years of the Syrian occupation until July 1978:

- Syrian soldiers patrolled neighborhoods, manned checkpoints at every major intersection, and frequently stopped residents for ID checks or searches.

- Syrian control points were plastered with images of Hafez al-Assad, Syrian flags, and Baath Party slogans, a daily reminder of foreign domination.

- Young men risked detention by Syrian mukhabarat for the smallest suspicion being politically active, attending a student meeting, or even having a family link to a known party.

- Kataeb, NLP, and student activists operated quietly; open criticism of Syria or participation in rallies was dangerous and often led to harassment or arrest.

- Christian-run newspapers and radio stations were monitored; journalists faced threats or shutdowns if they criticized the Syrian role in Lebanon.

- Church gatherings, youth groups, and even charity events were under surveillance; large public religious events were discouraged or blocked under vague “security” concerns.

- Syrian officers often bypassed local officials, dictated curfews, blocked roads, and pressured local administrations to follow Damascus’ orders.

- Syrian forces and their proxies began abducting suspected activists; some were tortured, disappeared, or killed and dumped in remote areas.

- What started as a “deterrent force” became, in the eyes of residents, an army of occupation bent on domination: politically, socially, and territorially.

By July 1978, the people of Achrafieh had had enough. Their refusal to submit and their resistance during the 100 Days War turned their neighborhood into a symbol of Lebanese Christian defiance against Syrian rule.

@anything961
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇦 Informed sources told Al Jadeed: Saudi Arabia has issued a clear call for Lebanon to take practical steps, while warning against escalation as an alternative to a settlement.

@anything961
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🌲 - 🇱🇧 A few days ago, Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri clearly informed Hezbollah of the necessity of collaborating with the state by handing its weapons over, because Israel will seemingly not hesitate to re-ignite the conflict to get rid of Hezbollah once and for all.

Today, we learn that the US and KSA have clearly indicated that an all-out war is imminent if Hezbollah is not neutralized, and rumors are circulating that Israelis and Syrians might be negociating something related to the Lebanese file behind closed doors, apparently an Israeli benediction of the takeover of Akkar and Tripoli by Syria in exchange for Israeli control over the Golan and a peace deal.

This war will not be like the others, since the Lebanese state has clearly demonstrated it is too lethargic and incompetent to assume the basic functions required from a state, despite clear support from the outside

This time Lebanon might not make it out intact

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇦 Informed sources told Al Jadeed: Saudi Arabia has issued a clear call for Lebanon to take practical steps, while warning against escalation as an alternative to a settlement. @anything961
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇸🇾 Things are going really bad for Lebanon. America, Israel, Saudi Arabia and everyone knows Hezbollah won't handover their weapons. I fear a scenario where everyone greenlights Syria to enter the North and the Beqaa and forever occupy these lands after fighting Hezbollah. Not only that Israel might help the Syrians if they reach a deal and normalize relations. Anything can happen tbh and we have talked about this before. In the near future there is a certain confrontation and war in Lebanon and while we oppose Hezbollah we don't want Syria to occupy Lebanon, certainly not the single digit IQ flip flops army of Syriastan

@anything961
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🌲- 🇱🇧🇸🇾 I would like to remind the Syrian flipflop Turkmen armies about the battle of Qnat and that it can be repeated.

@anything961
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For reference
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇸🇾🇮🇱 we told you this is being discussed.

@anything961
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🌲 - 🇺🇸🇱🇧 Edward Gabriel (Former US Ambassador to Morocco and currently the President of the American Task Force on Lebanon) writing to Al Shark el Awsat, retweeted by Tom Barrack:

"As Syria and Israel normalize ties, they may also begin cooperating on mutual border security, excluding Lebanon input in the process. Lebanon risks becoming a buffer zone—or worse, a battleground—if it doesn’t quickly define its own sovereign path forward.
The region is changing fast. This is a rare opportunity for Lebanon to sustain international support in rebuilding its war-torn nation, creating a strong army that can uphold Lebanon’s sovereignty and ensuring a country at peace with its neighbors. If Beirut wants to be part of that future it must recognize the urgency of Barrack’s proposal. The clock is ticking, but the choice is Lebanon’s: seize this moment or be left behind"

https://english.aawsat.com/opinion/5161446-lebanon%E2%80%99s-opportunity%E2%80%94or-missed-opportunity

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇺🇸🇱🇧 Edward Gabriel (Former US Ambassador to Morocco and currently the President of the American Task Force on Lebanon) writing to Al Shark el Awsat, retweeted by Tom Barrack: "As Syria and Israel normalize ties, they may also begin cooperating on mutual…
You have to understand that the Lebanese file in Washington is essentially being taken care of by old-diaspora Lebanese Christians friendly to Israel, be it Tom Barrack, Massaad Boulos, or Edward Gabriel
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Forwarded from The GeoSight
⚡️🇵🇰Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is effectively under the control of an 🇺🇸American General," says John Kiriakou, Former CIA counter-terrorism officer who served in Pakistan.

🔗 Follow & Share @GeoSight
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Forwarded from The War Reporter (Andro☦️🇬🇪)
🇮🇱🇮🇷 - Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz:

"Israel is preparing to formulate air and military enforcement against Iranian attempts to restore its nuclear and missile programs".

@thewarreporterr
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Media is too big
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🌲 - 🇱🇧🇱🇧 Hezbollah supporters openly displaying their firearms at the Grand Serail, "we won't leave our arms" is repeated as message to the government.

@anything961
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Lebanon News & OSINT 🇱🇧
🌲 - 🇱🇧🇱🇧 Hezbollah supporters openly displaying their firearms at the Grand Serail, "we won't leave our arms" is repeated as message to the government. @anything961
Last year, a man, possibly on the autism spectrum, was parading alone, armed, in Jounieh Square to Lebanese Forces music. Within minutes, dozens of armed soldiers rushed in and subdued him. So why isn’t the same action taken against Hezbollah supporters, even when their faces are clearly visible in the videos?
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🇵🇸📞🇶🇦🇪🇬 — Qatari Al-araby TV:

Hamas agreed in principle to the Gaza ceasefire plan proposed by Egypt & Qatar, but asked for slight, formal changes
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