From the perspective of Iran’s current leadership, the familiar cycle of escalation–ceasefire–renewed escalation is unlikely to repeat itself in this round of conflict.
Tehran appears to assess that this campaign will conclude the broader confrontation, not merely pause it.
Accordingly, Iranian decision-makers are likely to prefer continued fighting over a ceasefire that would only serve as a prelude to a future round of hostilities.
Absent guarantees that address their core strategic conditions, Iran has little incentive to bring the current campaign to an end.
While Iran may not have determined the timing of the conflict’s onset, it is intent on shaping the conditions under which it ends.
Until those conditions are met, Tehran is prepared to sustain the confrontation and absorb costs, operating under the assumption that a war of attrition works to its advantage, particularly given the significant economic and systemic pressures imposed on the region and the global system,
Tehran appears to assess that this campaign will conclude the broader confrontation, not merely pause it.
Accordingly, Iranian decision-makers are likely to prefer continued fighting over a ceasefire that would only serve as a prelude to a future round of hostilities.
Absent guarantees that address their core strategic conditions, Iran has little incentive to bring the current campaign to an end.
While Iran may not have determined the timing of the conflict’s onset, it is intent on shaping the conditions under which it ends.
Until those conditions are met, Tehran is prepared to sustain the confrontation and absorb costs, operating under the assumption that a war of attrition works to its advantage, particularly given the significant economic and systemic pressures imposed on the region and the global system,
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(second part. Quoted as is from someone in X)
not least through disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz.
Moreover, with the reactivation of the so-called “Axis of Resistance,” Iran is not acting solely on its own behalf. It is also constrained by its commitments to allied actors across the region. As such, any ceasefire, from Tehran’s perspective, cannot be narrowly confined to the Gulf theater alone.
Under these conditions, Iran is likely prepared to continue the current campaign for weeks, and potentially months, if necessary.
not least through disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz.
Moreover, with the reactivation of the so-called “Axis of Resistance,” Iran is not acting solely on its own behalf. It is also constrained by its commitments to allied actors across the region. As such, any ceasefire, from Tehran’s perspective, cannot be narrowly confined to the Gulf theater alone.
Under these conditions, Iran is likely prepared to continue the current campaign for weeks, and potentially months, if necessary.
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Lebanese News and Updates
الغارات التي نفذها الطيران المسير المعادي:
النبطية الفوقا
كفرا
بنت جبيل
حداثا
دبعال
برج قلاوية
سحمر
جويا
البستان
النبطية الفوقا
كفرا
بنت جبيل
حداثا
دبعال
برج قلاوية
سحمر
جويا
البستان
I like data
So who will be a kind fellow and create a graph that documents the number of Israeli drone strikes in Lebanon so we can have a better understanding of the impact of drone losses over Iran and Lebanon on the Israeli invasion
So who will be a kind fellow and create a graph that documents the number of Israeli drone strikes in Lebanon so we can have a better understanding of the impact of drone losses over Iran and Lebanon on the Israeli invasion
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Btw didn't want to comment on the obvious but POWs videos are never reliable in terms of confession
The fighters in south Lebanon are all fighting willingly and not a single Hezbullah fighter is forced to fight.
Hezbullah never ever in its history force recruited nor did it ever force someone to fight. Every war had deserters and all deserters were punished by no promotions or being kicked out
The two fighters like all the fighters we are seeing in recent videos are fighters with extremely high morale and spirits. They are brave and strong and knowing why they are fighting
Finally I want to prove why thesw confessions are fake:
First fighter said they sent us and gave us water food and cigarette. Second fighter who was with him in the same house as part of the same cell said we didn't have food or water or goods.
May God help them both and the other Lebanese prisoners see freedom soon. Allah ywafe2on w ye7mehon.
The fighters in south Lebanon are all fighting willingly and not a single Hezbullah fighter is forced to fight.
Hezbullah never ever in its history force recruited nor did it ever force someone to fight. Every war had deserters and all deserters were punished by no promotions or being kicked out
The two fighters like all the fighters we are seeing in recent videos are fighters with extremely high morale and spirits. They are brave and strong and knowing why they are fighting
Finally I want to prove why thesw confessions are fake:
First fighter said they sent us and gave us water food and cigarette. Second fighter who was with him in the same house as part of the same cell said we didn't have food or water or goods.
May God help them both and the other Lebanese prisoners see freedom soon. Allah ywafe2on w ye7mehon.
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Israeli sonic booms as many have already heard all around Lebanon
The Israeli army only hopes to terrorize people at such hours in the night
Terrorists
The Israeli army only hopes to terrorize people at such hours in the night
Terrorists
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A rocket struck the northern city of Kiryat Shmona this morning without sirens sounding.
Rescue services say the impact damaged a road, with shrapnel hitting nearby homes and cars.
Hezbullah continues to fire at Israeli border settlements as response to the Israeli demolition of Lebanese towns and various attacks in Beirut and elsewhere
Rescue services say the impact damaged a road, with shrapnel hitting nearby homes and cars.
Hezbullah continues to fire at Israeli border settlements as response to the Israeli demolition of Lebanese towns and various attacks in Beirut and elsewhere
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FPVs in Kbiyam and Taybeh
⭕بالفيديو | مشاهد من عملية استهداف المقاومة الإسلامية جرّافة ودبّابة ميركافا تابعتين لجيش العدو الإسرائيلي في محيط بلدتي الخيام والطيبة جنوب لبنان بمحلّقات انقضاضيّة.
#الإعلام_الحربي
⭕بالفيديو | مشاهد من عملية استهداف المقاومة الإسلامية جرّافة ودبّابة ميركافا تابعتين لجيش العدو الإسرائيلي في محيط بلدتي الخيام والطيبة جنوب لبنان بمحلّقات انقضاضيّة.
#الإعلام_الحربي
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🇮🇷🇺🇸| NEW: Aftermath images of US Army CH-47 Chinook helicopter at Camp Buehring in Kuwait, after an Iranian drone struck its site.
@FotrosResistancee
@FotrosResistancee
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I used to enjoy Saturday's because Jews would mostly be off social media
It has been so disgusting since 7-October. Chronic online presence
It has been so disgusting since 7-October. Chronic online presence
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Pilot still lost eh? Hopefully some grandpa isn't sheltering him in his house naively
And hopefully he was reunited with the ecosystem as feed for hangry animals
And hopefully he was reunited with the ecosystem as feed for hangry animals
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Hezbullah releases footage of artillery attacks on Israeli forces in Khiyam town
These systems that are not easy to use under Israeli air supremacy.
At least 1 such infrastructure was dismantled by the Lebanese army in south Lebanon
People have to understand how hard a resistance has to work embedded around a population with a hostile state around it and Israel on its border
⭕️بالفيديو | مشاهد من عملية استهداف المقاومة الإسلامية تجمّعات جيش العدو الإسرائيلي في مدينة الخيام جنوب لبنان بالقذائف المدفعيّة.
#الإعلام_الحربي
These systems that are not easy to use under Israeli air supremacy.
At least 1 such infrastructure was dismantled by the Lebanese army in south Lebanon
People have to understand how hard a resistance has to work embedded around a population with a hostile state around it and Israel on its border
⭕️بالفيديو | مشاهد من عملية استهداف المقاومة الإسلامية تجمّعات جيش العدو الإسرائيلي في مدينة الخيام جنوب لبنان بالقذائف المدفعيّة.
#الإعلام_الحربي
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Iran’s Minister of Science:
So far, 30 universities have been targeted by the aggressors of the Israeli regime and the United States.
So far, 30 universities have been targeted by the aggressors of the Israeli regime and the United States.
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Lebanese News and Updates
📝 A reminder to Muslim Americans who vote in US elections,
A reminder to all Shia in Dearborn or Michigan or around the U.S who voted for Trump
Congratulations on your share in the blood of 4000+ Shia Muslims between Iran and Lebanon and Iraq
You are partners in Trump's crime and partners in the blood of the great scholar Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
May you reap what you sowed
Congratulations on your share in the blood of 4000+ Shia Muslims between Iran and Lebanon and Iraq
You are partners in Trump's crime and partners in the blood of the great scholar Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
May you reap what you sowed
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An Israeli dog from the elite Commando Brigade's Maglan Unit, from Yuvalim was killed in a friendly fire accident and another officer seriously wounded after other Israelis throught they were Hezbullah
They were all in Shebaa, a Sunni town with no Hezbullah to kidnap an innocent non-combatant local
They were all in Shebaa, a Sunni town with no Hezbullah to kidnap an innocent non-combatant local
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The mission was to kidnap the innocent non-combatant Sami Saab from "Nabaa al-Jawz" area on the eastern outskirts of "Shebaa
He is a local farmer who sells dairy and so on. He was kidnaped from his house
A few days ago they did the same in the town and kidnaped one guy. They killed a 15 y/o in the process.
He is a local farmer who sells dairy and so on. He was kidnaped from his house
A few days ago they did the same in the town and kidnaped one guy. They killed a 15 y/o in the process.
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⭕بالفيديو | مشاهد من عملية استهداف المقاومة الإسلامية دبّابتي ميركافا تابعتين لجيش العدو الإسرائيلي في وادي العيون جنوب لبنان بمحلّقات انقضاضيّة.
#الإعلام_الحربي
#الإعلام_الحربي
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