🇱🇧l🇮🇱l🇺🇳 An Israeli infantry force left the bulldozing site at the moment three UNIFIL vehicles arrived, heading towards the Israeli tank that is still stationed in the middle of the road in Wadi Al-Saluqi.

They then proceeded to return, forcing the UN to leave.

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 The Israelis are searching the heavily forested area there

📸 Israeli forces were documented burning a building in Al-Dabash area in Mays al-Jabal.

As you can see, the area was not affected by the war

📸 An Israeli tank also attacked a house in the northern outskirts of Maroun al-Ras in the direction of Bint Jbeil

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Despite the complete adherence of Lebanon with the ceasefire and the absolute silence by Hezbullah despite everything, the IDF Chief of Staff Halevi instructed top officers to "formulate plans for the continuation of the fighting, both in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon,"

🇱🇧 Refuting all liars, President of the Republic:

The continued Israeli violations on land and in the air, especially in terms of blowing up houses and destroying border villages, completely contradicts what was stated in the ceasefire agreement and is considered a continuation of the violation of Lebanese sovereignty and the will of the international community.

🥀 نحن في مرحلة نحتاج فيها أن نتواضع امام الشهداء، وأن نلتزم بوصاياهم نصًّا وحرفًا

"نحن في مرحلةٍ يجب أن يتواضع فيها النّخب والمثقّفون...ومن يعتبرون أنفسهم في القمم الفكريّة والثّقافيّة والعلميّة...ويجلسوا القرفصاء بين يدي محمد وعليّ أشمر ليتعلّموا منهم بلغة الرّوح، وبلغة القَلب"

🥀 عملية الدبشة النوعية

الحاج مصعب عام 1994، اثناء شرحه عملية اقتحام موقع الدبشة النوعية، حيث كان مسؤولا عن القيادة والسيطرة والاتصالات فيها.

تعدُّ «عملية الدبشة» من أهم العمليات النوعية للمقــاومة قبل التحرير، إذ شكّل اقتحام الموقع هزيمة عسكرية مدوّية للعدو، كونه كان أحد أكبر مواقعه خلال سنوات احتلاله الجنوب

عندما تكلم الشهيد الحاج عبدالقادر عن الشهيد محمد قاسم الشاعر (ابو حوراء)

Inshallah tomorrow I'll finally make the thread to answer:

1- Did Iran betray Hezbullah?
2- Where did Hezbullah fail?
3- How deep was the Israeli knowledge about Hezullah?

Planned this weeks ago but didn't, but I might have time tomorrow or the after.

FYI, I'm going to forward to the new backup channel the previous analysis posts, to save them there too.

I genuinely don't understand this.

Gaza wise, there are minister who do want to continue the war in Gaza, colonize, and deport the Palestinians.

But about Lebanon, we haven't seen or hear any Israeli official showing appetite about such a new war, especially that Lebanon now got both a president and PM whom the West are very friendly with and don't want them to fail.

I suspect this is simply for internal consumption, and to formulate plans if ever needed and to update the goals based on the current and ongoing assessments but not an intention to resume the war.

Yes it's very weary they didn't fully withdraw yet from almost all towns that they entered during the war with only 6 days left...but they will most likely do even if delayed

And I'm confident for now, that Hezbullah will not do anything and will leave the responsibility fully for the Lebanese state and army.

Hezbullah is being birthed again, the people need rest and time, and rebuilding and compensation is ongoing.

It's two birds with one stone. Creating the rhetoric, getting the state to work, and letting the people and fighters to rest.

📸 The Israeli army burned a new house in the town of Hula

🇺🇸 Trump arrives at the White House to meet Biden as part of Inauguration Day events

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 New large scale demolitions in Dabash road, towards Yaroun - Bint Jbeil.

The UN, the 5-Mechanism, and the Lebanese army are not doing anything in regards to these ceasefire demolitions.

6 more days to withdraw...

🥀 After days with no new reports or recoveries, the bodies of 5 new Hezbullah martyrs have been recovered from Khiyam

The death toll of the defenders have risen close to 40

📸 Two large Israeli demolitions targeted Houla town

📸 Photo from yesterday of the liquid explosives being transported by the Israeli army towards Sluki valley.

Throughout the night they demolished parts of the forest there, and houses in Hula

🇺🇸 This is how, the new American President described Gaza

📸 A new Israeli demolition in Bani Hayyan, which they were supposed to not be in for weeks now.

Israeli tanks were active today on the outskirts of Bint Jbeil, and shelled a few houses.

5 more days? That's too little to withdraw from the WHOLE area. They didn't yet and the Lebanese army is yet to act

Not very accurate.

1- Hezbullah cannot keep people for two months and not compensate, leaving people without money to rent or repair.

They are doing this, paying for some even extra, and some people are still accusing them of not doing enough, not paying enough, etc etc

2- The Israelis don't have a pretext for war. They don't have support nor do they have hafe a rhetoric.

The Lebanese army is deployed now, and Israel is in the border villages. So unless the Lebanon army decides to run away and leave..that's a core issue.

To invade or attack after this period, we would have see heavier drone activity, more artillery attacks, more attempts to stir problems.

The jews are the eternal embodiment of all of what is evil.

So yes, they might delay, but the war is unlikely to be restarted, especially with Hezbullah complete silence and not falling into the trap of attacking and giving them context.

They tried it once early on. Wasn't the needed calculation, so they abstained.

(No, not coping because I bought furniture for my house with half a year of salary haha)

https://t.me/LebUpdate/50019?comment=1062342

Adding to all that,

The UN and the Lebanese army both made it clear the Israeli actions are violation of the ceasefire and the Israeli withdrawal is un - negotiable.

The withdrawal is mandatory and not conditional according to the ceasefire.

That all aside, with the fall of Assad and the great weakening of Hezbullah and how they comprised it... invading now doesn't achieve anything further.

What is the plan? Enter Khiyam again? Try to enter the city of Bint Jbeil? Reach Tyre? Reach Nabatieh?