📹 A new Israeli airstrike in Al-Qandoleh neighborhood in Mays al-Jabal

📷 Heavy artillery between Bar'acheet and Beit Yahoun

📰 Israeli Channel 12, quoting a senior official:

The army will continue its strong operations in Gaza and will not stop the fighting until there is a political agreement.

However

The Israeli army is preparing to announce the defeat of Hamas as it nears the end of its operations in Rafah and devote itself to the northern front with Lebanon.

The army leadership believes that there is tangible progress in the process of neutralizing the Rafah Brigade, but there is a need for additional activity.

They understand that they wont achieve better results than in other provinces and what's now is good enough.

🇵🇸 🇮🇱 🇱🇧 Endless War, Not 'Total Victory': IDF Wants to Leave Gaza, but Netanyahu Has Other Ideas | Haaretz

⬛️ As Israel's army prepares its forces, and the public, for an end to combat in Gaza to focus on the growing war in the north, Netanyahu is trapped in his ever-paranoid political web of pettiness, slogans and bad faith blame games, taking shots at the IDF, the protesters, Biden and everyone in his way

🔶️ The moment of truth – another moment of truth – in the war will likely arrive within a few weeks. The Israel Defense Forces will complete their offensive action in Rafah, under American restrictions and far from inflicting a total defeat on Hamas, and will want to declare a conclusion. The generals will come to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to help them achieve strategic clarity.

🔶️ They will recommend a cessation to the campaign in the Gaza Strip, in the present format. The army will suggest reducing the already limited number of troops operating in the Philadelphi Corridor along the Egyptian border and in the other corridor in the center of the Strip, and to focus on raids against additional Hamas targets and again giving other moves an opportunity.

🔶️ Those moves are intended to include an attempt to restart the contacts for a hostage deal and a cease-fire in Gaza. If that works out, and the odds don't look great at the moment, it will be possible to exploit the time to give the soldiers a refresher period, during which the United States will make a final effort to forge a diplomatic agreement in Lebanon geared to distancing Hezbollah forces from the border with Israel.

🔶️ Otherwise, preparations will be made for a possible all-out war in the north. Concurrently, a process is supposed to begin of national force-building – a massive investment in upgrading the army's capabilities and readying the domestic front in the event that the grim predictions materialize and Israel finds itself in the future facing a broader, multi-arena confrontation led by Iran.

Quoting Haaretz by @CIG_telegram

✍ Everyone keeps on hearing Israel doesn't have a plan for post-war Gaza and Israel needs ones.

The reality is that they have one on how to deal with Gaza as a whole, they simply don't know how to announce it.

Israel is going to annex the whole border of Gaza in three ways:

1- They will create a new buffer zone inside Gaza on the border with Israel
2- They will create a buffer zone between north and south Gaza
3- They will create a buffer zone between Egypt and Gaza

Buffer zone 1 & 2 are completed. The first aims to create an extra line of defence against any possible infiltration into Israel and to ensure the Israeli army has forces ready to carry raids into Gaza at any time. The goal is to have reach similar to the West Bank and weaken Hamas to fall to such levels.

Buffer two aims at controlling Gaza's population and flow between its cities, and eventually curb any buildup in the north which could threaten the settlements like Sderot and Ashleon with short range rocket fire.

Buffer 3 is under construction and will be the most important and which will be the single most important factor that will contribute in weakening the resistance in Gaza to unprecedented levels.

The buffer zone on the Philadelphia corridor aims to control the crossing with Egypt for two reasons:
1- Ensure the resistance cant send people for training in Iran, Syria, Lebanon as done usually
2- Ensure no weapon flow and control the dual use material being traded through that area.

The army is currently destroying whole neighbourhoods and creating new roads. The next step will be setting on-ground surveillance.

Later, when things settle down, they will build an underground barrier and sensors like on the border to prevent or detect tunnels.

The future is bleak and the war in Gaza wont end so simply as any full withdrawal will be a great defeat to the Jewish state.

If they stay, Hamas will have to, like before 2005, resist with small arms and attacks to place a toll on the Jews and force them out.

And a small FYI. Iran is helping Sudan's army against the UAE-backed forces as a favor to cash out in the future. A favor for Gaza by allowing Iran to create an air bridge to Sudan and through there to Egypt and then Gaza when the situation ever allows.

Egypt the nation of a 100 million [redacted], could single handedly help turn the tide.

It's warmongering seasons for everyone. What a clown show

Not in the mood tonight to do an explanation about the situation in Lebanon and the threat of the war, nor detail outcomes and possibilities.

Would only like to say, for now, any deadline is bullshit and what's happening is a big bluff.

Yes Israel is preparing, yes they are moving some equipment, but there haven't been yet a decision to what to do.

And it's quite dependent on what happens in Gaza and the never-ending war there.

Anyways, if the Israeli army thinks its ready to invade Lebanon, let it cross the border and then let's see what army survives.

Whatever will happen, in all possible scenarios, unfortunately neither will be good enough and neither will be without a cost.

So prayers for victory and prayers for the embarrassing defeat and death of the nation of the wicked and evil, the nation of falsehood, the Jewish state.

⚠️ Initial reports of an Israeli targted assassination near Khiara in Western Beqaa province

⚠️ Israelis airstrikes in Ramiah, Yaroun, and Khalet Wardeh

📰 The Israeli army leaked the details to gulf media, as usual, and informed them that the targted was a leader in the Muslim brotherhood branch.

The group hasn't been active much lately in south Lebanon after some Israeli attacks on its members.

📹 The criminal Jewish army placed an injured Palestinian over the scorching hot metal hood of their jeep and used him as a human shield while exiting the West Bank.

People understand it is beyond us anymore to reason with the pro-Israeli public. It is beyond us to argue and convince about how criminal this nation is.

God bless anyone who has made them feel pain, struck fear in them, or shed their blood.

In Gaza, the misery and destruction is unimaginable and it is only more visible through the words of the Israeli army officers and soldiers who has so explicitly mentioned they want to harm all civilians, punish all Arabs, destroy all signs of life, and wipe Gaza off the map.

That all aside, the cherry on top of this criminal act, is how the Jewish army desecrated every single mosque in Gaza with fire, piss, graffiti, then bombs. Unimaginable

📹 The Israeli army released footage of their targted assassination that murdered a local Muslim Brotherhood leader in Lebanon Ayman Al-Athma

They claim he helped Hamas in Lebanon and supported in its buildup.

⚠️ This footage also shows that the Israeli army might have used the NLOS spike long range ATGM in the attack.

One of its first uses in Lebanon for such assassinations.

📷 Violent Israel artillery and phosphorus shelling targeting the outskirts of Hula village in the direction of Slouki valley.

📷 From the ongoing fire as a result of the Israeli aggression near Hula. Firefighter teams were attacked while working in the area

📷 Israeli soldiers are firing 120mm mortars towards the Lebanese village of Kfarkila, causing fire.

✍ Everyone's talking about war in Lebanon but I'm not sure how genuine that is.

I'm failing to actually formulate a scenario where Israel actually thinks an invasion of south Lebanon is going to be better than the current situation in its worse image.

I'd be quite surprised if Israel actually invades Lebanon, and would even place a bet on that if betting was permissible in Islam.

Under the current circumstances, Israel is getting free reign to assassinate anyone in south Lebanon no matter how senior, attack any infrastructure, let that be military or civilian, and degrade what they can degrade in terms of experienced manpower and systems.

During this, they are ensuring a campaign with minimal human loss, and where failure can be masked with a fake image of success. Its like a poker game, but the loser can walk out saying I won with bags of monopoly money.

So under such, why would you think Israel is willing to lose hundreds of soldiers and dozens of settlers in a limited ground incursion into south Lebanon?

An incursion that can only happen after a 1-3 weeks of intense air attacks that will be retaliated with intense rocket and missile attacks towards Haifai, Safad, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and so on.

Hezbullah's rocket units are barely operational now. What Gaza did on 7-October in terms of firepower, Hezbullah is able to sustain for weeks at least.

That while they move the bulk of their forces to northern Israel and keep their limited forces sandwiched between Hamas fighters in Gaza.

Yes I understand Israelis are delusional f*cks, with a victim mentality and a martyr complex who make the situation look worse. Its true Hezbullah had lots of success on the front, but the damage Israel caused is not simple and quite important.

As of now, I cannot imagine the worse scenario being other than a air campaign around south Lebanon and maybe Beirut, retaliated with a strong rocket response by Lebanon and concluded by ceasefire negotiations.

But I do think there is still a possibility of a land incursion under the following scenario:
- With Israel not planning to leave Gaza after the war, and/or the failure to reach a ceasefire the battle in Gaza might feel like a new cold war. One similar to Syria's Idlib front.

Will Hezbullah treat this as an ongoing war and stipulate that it needs to continue the Lebanese front active to support Gaza? Or will there be no need as the Israeli army efforts dwindled and no longer mount to a full scale war.

If the battle here continues and a cold war looms over Gaza, the Israeli army could possibly treat Gaza as a secondary front and direct reserve and police special forces there and move regular and elite soldiers to a front with Lebanon.

That front under the pretext of bringing calm to the north and establishing calm in south. We can only wait and see.

All id like to say, especially with the hardship of losing friends and family in any upcoming war, is that may they shed plenty of blood before their blood is shed on the sacred lands of south Lebanon and the Galilee.

📹 Several houses were attacked in Metulla settlement.

⭕️ Hezbullah announce they attacked several houses in Metulla used by the Israeli army in response to the latter's aggression on Lebanese civilian homes yesterday.

An additional base in Al-Manara was attacked.

A few rockets were fired at Ramtha and Zindeen bases.

📹 The Israeli army released footage of their attacks on Aita al-Shaab, Ramiah, and Yaroun, claiming to target infrastructure and buildings where members of the resistance were spotted.

The Israeli army used an ATGM and drone strike in two of the attacks.