β The IDF continues to signal the seriousness of its intentions regarding Hezbullah, now also in a statement addressed to the world in English.
There are many variables, real intentions, bluffs, and many more things going on behind the scenes. Its not that or that.
Israel is still hoping that after the Rafah operation ends, they will try to negotiate a ceasefire in Lebanon too. And if this fails, ending the battle in Rafah is important before starting a war in Lebanon.
Hezbullah on the other hand said they aren't in a full scale war, and that as soon as it ends in Gaza they will stop. Israel knows they are honest about this stance.
So Israel is working on weaking Hezbullah for two reasons or two scenarios:
1- As a punishment for involvement if this ends with peace
2- As a needed prerequisite before the war
Regardless if this ends with peace, Israel learned more how 2006-Hezbullah evolved and they will prepare to attack sooner than later after that peace to end that threat.
The US is worried and wants to avoid at any cost such a regional war before the US elections.
As for Netanyahu? He's trying to survive politically until Trump is back at office.
There are many variables, real intentions, bluffs, and many more things going on behind the scenes. Its not that or that.
Israel is still hoping that after the Rafah operation ends, they will try to negotiate a ceasefire in Lebanon too. And if this fails, ending the battle in Rafah is important before starting a war in Lebanon.
Hezbullah on the other hand said they aren't in a full scale war, and that as soon as it ends in Gaza they will stop. Israel knows they are honest about this stance.
So Israel is working on weaking Hezbullah for two reasons or two scenarios:
1- As a punishment for involvement if this ends with peace
2- As a needed prerequisite before the war
Regardless if this ends with peace, Israel learned more how 2006-Hezbullah evolved and they will prepare to attack sooner than later after that peace to end that threat.
The US is worried and wants to avoid at any cost such a regional war before the US elections.
As for Netanyahu? He's trying to survive politically until Trump is back at office.
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Lebanese News and Updates
π£ Israeli army spokesman issued a full statement dedicated to attack Hezbullah and accuse it of dragging Lebanon and the region to a much greater war for the decision it took on 8-October. In his statement, he says Israel is ready to do what's necessary toβ¦
The army says βThis is not a threat, but rather a message to the international community, and to the American advisor Amos Hochstein, who will arrive in the region tomorrow."
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πΉ Israelis soldiers also shot towards civilians in Duhayra village, from their positions in the Jirdah base.
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π5 March 2024
π U.S. envoy Hochstein delinks Gaza from Lebanon front and indirectly informs Hezbollah what it will take to bring quiet along border
He says truce in Gaza will not necessarily automatically extend to Lebanon. Hochstein says a temporary ceasefire is not enough; limited war is not containable. Security paradigm along blue line has to change, this guarantees everyone security
He met today with all Lebanese officials and political families, excluding Hezbullah.
π U.S. envoy Hochstein delinks Gaza from Lebanon front and indirectly informs Hezbollah what it will take to bring quiet along border
He says truce in Gaza will not necessarily automatically extend to Lebanon. Hochstein says a temporary ceasefire is not enough; limited war is not containable. Security paradigm along blue line has to change, this guarantees everyone security
"US remains committed to advance lasting security solutions achieved through diplomatic process that will allow Lebanese to return safely to their homes and allow Israelis to return home safely in northern Israel. We are hopeful we can get there"
He met today with all Lebanese officials and political families, excluding Hezbullah.
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π5 March 2024
π Deputy Secretary-General of Hezbullah Sheikh Naim Qassem:
"Envoys come to Lebanon to discuss Israeli threats, [but] no one talks about stopping the aggression on Gaza; they say the aggression on Gaza will continue; we have said those who want to mediate must mediate an end to the aggression.
...they should not mediate to prevent support [to Gaza] against the aggression."
π Reminder that Hezbullah isn't fighting a war against Israel but is presenting itself as a front to pressure Israel to end the war in Gaza.
How effective, that's not for me to assess, but a war has different standards, calculations, and events. Israel might drag this to a war or conclude this battle by the conclusion of the war in Gaza.
π Deputy Secretary-General of Hezbullah Sheikh Naim Qassem:
"Envoys come to Lebanon to discuss Israeli threats, [but] no one talks about stopping the aggression on Gaza; they say the aggression on Gaza will continue; we have said those who want to mediate must mediate an end to the aggression.
...they should not mediate to prevent support [to Gaza] against the aggression."
π Reminder that Hezbullah isn't fighting a war against Israel but is presenting itself as a front to pressure Israel to end the war in Gaza.
How effective, that's not for me to assess, but a war has different standards, calculations, and events. Israel might drag this to a war or conclude this battle by the conclusion of the war in Gaza.
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π France and the US scramble to avoid a greater war in the Middle East
A senior adviser to US President Joe Biden will travel to Israel on Monday for meetings to avoid further escalation between Israel and Lebanon, a White House official said on Sunday.
Amos Hochstein will advance efforts to avoid further escalation along the "Blue Line" between Israel and Lebanon, said the official, who did not wish to be identified.
After the relatively heavy exchanges over the past week, Sunday saw a halt in Hezbullah fire, while the Israeli military said that it had carried out several air strikes against the group in southern Lebanon.
The US and France are working on a negotiated settlement to the hostilities along Lebanon's southern border. Hezbollah says it will not halt fire unless Israel stops its military offensive on Gaza.
However, Israel has informed negotiators that if Hezbullah doesn't stop now, stopping after the war ends in Gaza won't be enough and Israel will not accept it then.
A senior adviser to US President Joe Biden will travel to Israel on Monday for meetings to avoid further escalation between Israel and Lebanon, a White House official said on Sunday.
Amos Hochstein will advance efforts to avoid further escalation along the "Blue Line" between Israel and Lebanon, said the official, who did not wish to be identified.
After the relatively heavy exchanges over the past week, Sunday saw a halt in Hezbullah fire, while the Israeli military said that it had carried out several air strikes against the group in southern Lebanon.
The US and France are working on a negotiated settlement to the hostilities along Lebanon's southern border. Hezbollah says it will not halt fire unless Israel stops its military offensive on Gaza.
However, Israel has informed negotiators that if Hezbullah doesn't stop now, stopping after the war ends in Gaza won't be enough and Israel will not accept it then.
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π· Hezbullah mourns the martyrdom of Mohammed Mustafa Ayoub, 1979, who was martyred on the path to Jerusalem and in defence of south Lebanon.
He was killed in a drone strike in Sala', his own hometown during a visit during Eid.
He was killed in a drone strike in Sala', his own hometown during a visit during Eid.
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π Israeli media rumors:
Netanyahu told Amos that Hezbullah either withdraws to behind the Litani river, or war is imminent.
β Its 2024 not 1982. The range of the majority of weapons can be fired from a distance way farther than the Litani. This delusional claim is political and for the public. Military leaders in the IDF knows this well. As for the threat of raids into Israel? Hezbullah members are the children of the frontline villages, they aren't going anywhere.
Netanyahu told Amos that Hezbullah either withdraws to behind the Litani river, or war is imminent.
β Its 2024 not 1982. The range of the majority of weapons can be fired from a distance way farther than the Litani. This delusional claim is political and for the public. Military leaders in the IDF knows this well. As for the threat of raids into Israel? Hezbullah members are the children of the frontline villages, they aren't going anywhere.
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π Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid met with US special envoy Amos Hochstein
They met a short time ago at the Mishkan Knesset. The meeting discussed the issue of the northern borders and the return of peace and security.
They met a short time ago at the Mishkan Knesset. The meeting discussed the issue of the northern borders and the return of peace and security.
"The people of the north must return to their homes. The international community cannot ignore an entire region that has been under fire for eight months. Israel needs to push Hezbullah away from the border, whether through a political settlement or through military action, and the chaos in the north must stop."
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πΉ The IDF released footage of their targeted assassination of Muhammad Ayoub, who they claim served in the rocket unit of Hezbullah's Nasr regional division.
Mohammed was on a visit to his hometown on Eid.
Mohammed was on a visit to his hometown on Eid.
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