📝 A point I might elaborate further later about, is what's next!?

The current trajectory of the Jewish war in Gaza is unclear because the U.S. is exerting immense pressure on Israel to avoid an operation in Rafah.

This has been done in secret and done in public, with comments by the U.S. Secretary of State implying Israel has lost international legitimacy and that any operation in Rafah will damage Israel's image forever.

The Israeli army is clearly frustrated, and so is the Israeli political echelon. Without an operation in Rafah the war goals are lost and maintaining a continuous presence in Gaza will be even harder and more difficult.

My concern, is that this will erode the Israeli will to launch a ground campaign in Rafah and continue attacks from the air, while maintaining a presence Northern and Central Gaza.

With that, focus will shift on southern Lebanon, and the assessment that there is still 250,000 Israeli refugees and we need to restore security with Lebanon, while Gaza operation is on half.

Gaza then would be West Bank 2.0

The aim in Lebanon would be a limited campaign from the air against areas deeper in south Lebanon, Beqaa, and possibly Beirut. This will be followed by a limited ground raid on several border villages.

This will definitely escalate and won't be contained, turning into the 3rd Lebanon War.

While I still believe Netanyahu will not launch such a war on Lebanon, he just never had it in him since 1990's and during all his premierships.

However the current state of Israel is chaotic balance, nothing is clear.

📑 Hezbollah daily brief 22/03/2024:

-Eastern sector:

1- At 13:40, a tank in the Metulla site was targeted with a drone.

2- At 16:45, the Ruwaisat Al-Alam site in Kfarshouba hills was targeted with appropriate weapons.

- Western sector:

1- At 14:35, Israeli soldiers in the vicinity of Zarit Barracks was targeted with artillery shells.

2- At 16:10, Israeli soldiers in the vicinity of the Jal al-Alam site were targeted with artillery.

3- At 21:30, a building where Israeli soldiers were stationed in the Doviv settlement was targeted with appropriate weapons.

4- At 21:50, a building in which Israeli soldiers were positioned in the Zarit colony was targeted with appropriate weapons.

Translated by @thecradlemedia

📖 Prayer for the 12th day of Ramadan

*اللَّهُمَّ غَارَتْ نُجُومُ سَمَائِكَ وَ نَامَتْ عُيُونُ أَنَامِكَ وَ هَدَأَتْ أَصْوَاتُ عِبَادِكَ وَ أَنْعَامِكَ وَ غَلَّقَتْ مُلُوكُ الْأَرْضِ عَلَيْهَا أَبْوَابَهَا وَ طَافَتْ عَلَيْهَا حُرَّاسُهَا وَ احْتَجَبُوا عَمَّنْ يَسْأَلُهُمْ حَاجَةً أَوْ يَنْتَجِعُ مِنْهُمْ فَائِدَةً وَ أَنْتَ إِلَهِي حَيٌّ قَيُّومٌ لَا تَأْخُذُكَ سِنَةٌ وَ لَا نَوْمٌ وَ لَا يَشْغَلُكَ شَيْ‌ءٌ عَنْ شَيْ‌ءٍ أَبْوَابُ سَمَاوَاتِكَ لِمَنْ دَعَاكَ مُفَتَّحَاتٌ وَ خَزَائِنُكَ غَيْرُ مُغَلَّقَاتٍ اللَّهُمَّ إِنِّي أَسْتَوْدِعُكَ وَ أَسْتَحْفِظُكَ بِأَنْ لَا إِلَهَ إِلَّا أَنْتَ الْحَيُّ الْقَيُّومُ وَ النُّورُ الْقُدُّوسُ نَفْسِي وَ رُوحِي وَ رِزْقِي وَ مَحْيَايَ وَ مَمَاتِي وَ أَنْفُسَ أَهْلِ بَيْتِ مُحَمَّدٍ وَ أَنْفُسَ أَشْيَاعِ مُحَمَّدٍ وَ جَمِيعَ مَا تَفَضَّلْتَ بِهِ عَلَيََّ وَ عَلَيْهِمْ حَيّاً وَمَيِّتاً وَ شَاهِداً وَ غَائِباً وَ نَائِماً وَ يَقْظَانَ وَ قَائِماً وَ قَاعِداً وَ مُسْتَخِفّاً وَ مُتَهَاوِناً بِنُورِ وَجْهِكَ [وَ بِنُورِ وَجْهِكَ‌] الْكَرِيمِِ الْجَلِيلِ الرَّفِيعِ الْعَظِيمِ الْقَائِمِ بِالْقِسْطِ لَا إِلَهَ إِلَّا اللَّهُ الْعَزِيزُ الْحَكِيمُ وَ بِمُحَمَّدٍ وَ آلِهِ الطَّيِّبِينَ الطَّاهِرِينَ صَلَوَاتُكَ عَلَيْهِ وَ عَلَيْهِمْ أَجْمَعِينَ يَاا وَلِيَّ النَّبِيِّينَ وَ الْمُرْسَلِينَ وَ مَلَائِكَتِكَ الْمُقَرَّبِينَ صَلَوَاتُكَ عَلَيْهِ وَ عَلَيْهِمْ أَجْمَعِينَ يَا رَبَّ الْعَالَمِينَ وَ بَيْتِكَ الْمَعْمُورِ وَ السَّبْعِ الْمَثَانِي وََ الْقُرْآنِ الْعَظِيمِ وَ بِكُلِّ مَنْ يُكْرَمُ عَلَيْكَ مِنْ جَمِيعِ خَلْقِكَ يَا سَيِّدِي مَعَ مَا تَفَضَّلْتَ عَلَيْهِمْ وَ عَلَيْنَا فَاجْعَلْنَا فِي حِمَاكَ الَّذِي لَا يُسْتَبَاحُُ بِرَحْمَتِكَ يَا أَرْحَمَ الرَّاحِمِينَ .*
------------------------------------------------------------
*اللَّهُمَّ زَيِّنْ لِي فِيهِ السِّتْرَ وَ الْعَفَافَ وَ اسْتُرْنِي فِيهِ بِلِبَاسِ الْقُنُوعِ وَ الْكَفَافِ وَ حَلِّنِي فِيهِ بِحُلِيِّ الْفَضْلِ وَ الْإِنْصَافِ بِعِصْمَتِكَ يَا عِصْمَةَ الْخَائِفِينَ.*

*بحار الانوار ج95 ، اقبال الاعمال*

📷 Earlier this morning, the radar base operated by the Unit 8200 on the Lebanese border was attacked.

📷 On the other hand, the Israeli enemy attacked Kfarkila village.

📷 In addition to attacks on Khiyam village.

📷 One of the attacks in Kfarkila targeted the village's center, causing damage to civilian property.

📷 A new Israeli attack targeted a house in Al-Naqoura.

No casualties there, nor in the attacks in Kfarkila and Khiyam village

📹 Earlier today, Hezbullah launched two suicide drones targeting Iron Dome Batteries in Kfar Blum

The Israeli army days it is "investigating"

📷 New Israeli airstrikes targeted Aita al-Shaab village, causing extensive damage or shops and civilian houses.

Additional attacks targeted Al-Naqoura.

📹 The Jewish army released footage of their attacks on south Lebanon, including Kfarkila, where they claim they attacked Hezbullah targets.

The footage shows an unarmed man, slowly walking in his own village to a house. No rushing, no suspicious activity.

No casualties reported in the attack.

📹 As part of their daily efforts, Al-Hay'a civil defence is working on clearing the rubble and opening roads throughout the border villages.

Today's video is from Kfrakila, a couple hours after the Israeli aggression on the village's center.

📑 Yesterday's attack by an ex-member of the Palestinian security forces killed Israeli Sgt. First Class Ilay David Garfinkel, 21, of the Commando Brigade's Duvdevan unit, from Sitria.

Additionally, the hero seriously injured the commander of the Ram Battalion, and lightly-moderately 5 others.

The resistance fighter has been identified as, Mujahid Mansour, who the Israeli army infantry failed to kill until they used drones and helicopters.

⚠️ The Israeli army attacked Baalbek city in Northern Lebanon.

The attack is likely retaliation to Hezbullah's destruction of an Iron Dome today.

📷 Another photo from the attack on Baalbek

📑 It's important to understand that the Israeli army is failing on the Lebanese border, losing equipment and only destroying empty houses. Only an army in crisis would attack the north for failing to act and attack in the south.

📷 The attacked area is still on fire.

This is the 4th attack on Baalbek during this war, with the latest a few weeks ago that resulted in only one civilian casualty.

📹 The governor of Baalbek is reporting numerous casualties and injuries in the Jewish attack on Baalbek city, northern Lebanon.

📹 The governor of Baalbek updates his statement and announces 3 injuries as of now, with no indication of martyrs yet.

⚠️ Red alerts in the Golan heights, a possible direct Hezbullah retaliation to the attack on Baalbek.

The current dynamic is Baalbek = Golan Heights

📑 Hezbollah daily brief 23/03/2024:

- Eastern sector:

1- At 12:00, Ramim barracks were targeted with artillery shells.

2- At 12:20, two Iron Dome platforms at the “Kfar Blum” air defense site were targeted with two drones.

3- At 13:10, surveillance equipment at the Radar site in Shebaa was targeted with appropriate weapons.

4- At 13:15, the Bayad Blida site was targeted with appropriate weapons.

5- At 16:50, the Ruwaisat Al-Alam site in Kafr Shuba was targeted with artillery shells.

- Western sector:

1- At 17:56, the Al-Malikiyah site was targeted by artillery shells.

Translated by @thecradlemedia

📹 About 50-60 rockets were fired from Lebanon towards the Golan Heights in response to the attack on Baalbek city.

4 interceptions took place, while the rest weren't intercepted "due to protocol".