This twitter thread goes through the third quarter CSO data in great detail
Shocking results
Great work Joe

Here are the graphs of deaths by age band and the prediction intervals which should contain 95% of all data points normally for yrs 1 to 74. https://t.co/Z5v1lgPlQt

I've been blocked by ISAG, most mainstream journalists in Ireland and The Department of Health for posting rip.ie data on Twitter.

Like TIG below has said, there is no "plausible deniability" here.

They are refusing to deal with this.

But that's ok. Obfuscation aside, you can't hide a dead body.

Deaths in Ireland should be about 85-90. Right now, they're floating above 110.

https://t.me/michaelbrazil/4240

People talk about how "repressive", how "insular" and how you "had to keep things to yourself" in Catholic Ireland. No doubt some of that is true.

But now we have a new repression. Which will be people denying the adverse reactions to the vaccines. People refusing to talk about them, about the horrible events people have gone through, even when the evidence is right in front of their eyes.

The five stages of grief – denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.

We're very much still in stage one.

Oh shit

One of the best Irish Twitter accounts (does great work going through Dail and Seanad clips in particular) is now on Telegram.

Please give him a follow here.

https://t.me/JRD0000

Here is a list of events that will potentially arise as a result of the vast quantity of Ukrainian refugees coming into Ireland.

1: This policy will be used to prop up the hotel sector and the retail sector who have been disproportionately hit over the past two years. Demand for hotels go up. Supply of labor goes up. Real wages decline and workers become poorer as a result.

2: The cost of housing will increase further. The cost of public housing (whereby the contracts are usually at fixed rates) will become less attractive for people to build houses. Inflation feeding into building materials will cut the supply of housing even further.

3: Young people will feel more dispossessed/hopeless/nihilistic. Not only can they not own their own house, they won't be able to share a house even remotely close to, say a university for example or won't be able to afford it. This will lead to younger people: 1: Wanting to leave the country. 2: The overproduction of elites (Turchin) that Ireland has has led to a lot of people that are low status, thinking that they are high status. This will lead to younger people supporting more extreme policies (more on this later) going forward. 3: This will lead to an increasingly fragmented relationship between the younger generations and the older (baby boomer age) as they become increasingly irritated with the "I don't want to get it." class of people.

4: An increase in crimes due to not screening people properly whether it is not screening Ukrainian people properly (Philip Dwyer's recent video) or not screening Irish people who choose to host people.

5: An increase in animosity towards ethnic Russians living in Ireland and (to a lesser extent) ethnic Ukrainians residing in the country.

6: Considering that the FF/FG/GP parties are quite unpopular, and considering that refugees get Irish citizenship in 3 years, there will be an incentive to keep refugees in Ireland long term, in order to turn them into a voting block. Or even to change this law in less than three years. A block of Ukrainians voting in certain areas would be enough to to swing votes in key constituencies.

7: The Ukrainian refugees (intentionally or unintentionally) used as an explanation (incorrectly) for the increase in cases. The line that will be rolled out will be "sure, we need to protect these people and save lives."

8: This is a big one. Remember I was talking about embittered low status young people and a new block of potential Ukrainian voters? How about giving them the "right to housing" as a choice, a referendum? The PR machine is wheeled out, and the hysteria that is used as a tool over the past two years is implemented again.

9: More unhinged, wrong responses from our elite class chosen for compliance. The solutions to all the problems we face will become increasingly incomprehensible, incoherent and vicious. The people who could solve/ease these problems? Well, they're outsiders, you kicked them out.

There's more points no doubt, but make no mistake about it, this is huge.

This is going to be one of the most important decades in Ireland's history.

There's been something that's been bothering me over the past while.

Since May 2020, I worked out correctly that the virus followed a seasonal pattern, and that has been the case completely since then. Virus goes up in October, then falls in late January/early February. Seasonal. Easy stuff right?

Up until the past few weeks, that's when things start to go a bit nuts. Cases (the PCR test might be bullshit, but people going for tests in the first place is a proxy for them being ill to some degree) have stared to rise, as early as the beginning of March.

I've also talked before about the vaccines homogenizing people's immune systems whilst allowing for a greater development of mutations. In addition to this, people's immune systems have been weakened by this. The spike proteins, the role of protective, non protective antibodies etc.

Anyway, hopefully this is a short term function of the booster uptake and will head back to normal. But in the short term? Haven't a clue, all bets are off. They've pulled back on the boosters, arguably because they finally figured out the role of negative efficacy compared to the vaccine free, and the exponential drop in vaccine efficacy after every subsequent booster.

But here's the thing. The virus is not following a seasonal pattern anymore, especially in highly vaccinated countries such as Ireland.

That is the concern. The cases are not the danger, I'm not a ISAG shill. The pattern of the cases is the danger.

Going live at 9:30 tonight to talk about Ireland's housing problem in light of Ireland's Ukrainian refugee intake. Comments for the live stream under this post.

Cheers for people joining. Here's the link to the stream. The impact of The Ukrainian refugees in Ireland. Plus some economic stuff in the end,

Great comment by Jo Blog here, in particular this paragraph here.

"BIG PICTURE. This is a new relationship between the government and the people in Ireland. Previously when things went to hell we got to blame the government. And the government understood their role was to take a beating and to apologise and answer to people's anger. The media's role was to have a lash at the government too.

What we have now for the last couple of years is that the government get to blame us instead. If there's a problem the government and the media are here to tell us what we're doing wrong and how we need to change.
Housing crisis - you need to rent a room. Energy costs rising - you need to use less/ reduce your carbon footprint. Can't get on a housing list - be generous and welcome the refugees.

That response is a measure of how secure and unfireable the majority of our policy making elite are. They have nothing to worry about from us. "

I'm interested to see what people think of this.

Very interesting as always.

One good point you made, that I hadn't thought of, is that when inflation and the cost of living really start to cause pain in people's lives the Government and media will probably see it as an opportunity.
They may add to the pressure.

They may tax unoccupied rooms to force people to rent.

Or they may soft soap it and launch a campaign to get compliance from people who are hard up-
"Have you considered renting a room to help with the bills?"
Liveline callers "I'm so glad, not just for the money Joe but the company as well. It's great to have some life around the place."
Multimillion Euro advertising campaign from the Dept of Housing, Local Government and Heritage.
Round the clock selling the idea by RTE and the Newspapers.


BIG PICTURE. This is a new relationship between the government and the people in Ireland. Previously when things went to hell we got to blame the government. And the government understood their role was to take a beating and to apologise and answer to people's anger. The media's role was to have a lash at the government too.

What we have now for the last couple of years is that the government get to blame us instead. If there's a problem the government and the media are here to tell us what we're doing wrong and how we need to change.
Housing crisis - you need to rent a room. Energy costs rising - you need to use less/ reduce your carbon footprint. Can't get on a housing list - be generous and welcome the refugees.

That response is a measure of how secure and unfireable the majority of our policy making elite are. They have nothing to worry about from us.

But it is widening the chasm between us and them.
No longer are the people who make decisions and who are responsible for the mess we're in apologising to us with an eye to the next election.
Nowadays the people who make and implement policy know that they will be there regardless of who wins the next election. Steady as she goes. The public are the ones who will need to change.

Which means there's real division growing in Irish society. And nothing to stop it coming to a head.
The policy makers will be safe and in control until they're not. Marie Antoinette thought she was safe.

This tweet reveals a couple of things:

1. Tens of thousands of women agree that their menstrual cycles have been messed up by the vaccine, the long terms effects of which we still do not know.

2. The social pressure is so intense they have to praise the vaccine before mildly raising any concerns.

I remain stupefied that many nationalists regarded this issue as a schizo distraction.

I think I've mentioned this before, but in 1970 in Ireland you could sell 20 bullocks and build a house with the money you got.

That fact alone is worth about a week solid worth of debate and long winded stories tbf.

One aspect of the Common Agricultural Policy (whether intended or not) was the move towards "more affordable food" (tbf its a complex situation with multiple, often seemingly illogical policies that overlap and intertwine), but the policy has led to the decline of rural Ireland and the basic economy of it.

There's few people making gates, or crushes etc, economy of scale dictates that its "engineering companies" who fill the market; where at one time you would have a Smith who would make you a wrought iron gate, something that lasted for a generation and was worth preserving, now you get an essentially disposable gate that is more zinc galvanising than steel.

I could go on about the lost expertise and the wages those jobs commanded being siphoned instead into larger industries, but the basic concept of "the race to Bangladesh" is so much underway in rural Ireland it takes actual effort to avoid it at this stage, otherwise you end up pricing yourself out of being able to afford it at all.

Side note: a guy told my dad about 20 years ago about a wrought iron gate my grandfather made his father a lifetime ago, he told him to take it as a keepsake, the man has since died and my father didn't want to take it off him, but I would love to find where it is now (unless it was scrapped like every other bit of metal around the country during the Celtic tiger)

In the livestream I said taxation of empty rooms was a strong possibility.

It's a lot worse than that.

I've seen an interesting trend here. For lack of a better phrase, let's call it Putin Derangement Syndrome.

Putin Derangement Syndrome is when you try and show how high status you are, though expressing opinions that are (true or false, it doesn't matter) the opposite of what Putin and Russians are doing.

Has Putin being used as a "chance to get rid of toxic masculinity" been brought up yet?

Expect this to be used as a way of opposing "far right extremism" and the like.

It's sad that Ireland has turned into an episode of The Simpsons, but it seems to be part and parcel of the hysteria going on right now.

"Now wait just a minute. We're twice as smart as the people of Shelbyville. Tell us your idea and we'll vote for it." - Mayor Quimby.