There is an extension of the move here. Can't long here! The move starts on the break above

We've got another one!

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Evening Thought:

Pre-Event price action

I want you to think about something. Pre-event they usually settle and range after they have gone up and down many times between key levels. What they're doing is getting traders stuck in trades and then settling the price bang in the middle. So now they have most of the buyers above, and most of the sellers below.

Then they manufacture these events and we know they will swing one way, then the other taking liquidity with them, but which way does it go first? The novice trader is now biting their nails not having used a SL awaiting the event and praying it goes their way. It then starts the move, goes against them, they either blow or cut before there is no equity left, then the price goes in their direction and they wish they had held. Never mind, next time I will know better, next time, they do the same thing again. Pre-event PA is for scalping only with SLs in place, its hardly ever worth holding before a main economic release and the best practices are always to sit it out. Think of it as teacher training day at school....For NFP!!

Why do I say this? Because a lot of traders are going to be in positions before the NFP release. Unless you're lucky and in the right way, the above is very important.

Pre-event price action:

Trend within trends on the smaller timeframes

Patterns that conflict each other - You may get a H&S but with that is a double bottom for example. They do this intentionally to get traders committed to the wrong direction

Ranging price staying close to short term MA's

Swings and spikes all of a sudden - This is a stop loss hunter activation taking liquidity from the high and low of a potential range

Ask yourself these questions:

Do I understand intra-day levels?
Do I understand pre-event price action?
Do I understand trading with ranges and price accumulation?
Do I have a risk model that protects me and my account no matter where the price goes?

Their “level-to-level” approach is a genuine differentiator
This might sound simple, but it isn't.

The KOG philosophy isn't:
“I predict Gold will rise this week.”

It's closer to:
“Here's the important area. If price behaves this way there, we do X. If it behaves the other way, we do Y.”

That is scenario planning.

And our historical research suggests that this philosophy has remained remarkably consistent.

The levels aren't completely random numbers.
They tend to form a hierarchy:

Major level, reaction, confirmation, next level., next reaction.

That consistency is one of the strongest arguments in KOG's favour.

This is where I think KOG's philosophy is better than many signal groups:

The public KOG message repeatedly comes back to:
Learn the methodology
Understand the levels
Manage your risk
Don't blindly copy
Become independent

Their public channel explicitly encourages traders to “LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS.”

That matters.
A signal seller wants:
“Wait for my next call.”

An educator ideally wants:
“Eventually you won't need my call.”
KOG publicly says the latter.

What I would call KOG's “moat”

If I had to identify the five things that make KOG difficult for a new competitor to reproduce, I'd say:

Time
You can't manufacture six-plus years of public analysis.

Volume
You can't manufacture 1,900 historical TradingView ideas overnight.

Specialisation
They've built their identity around Gold rather than treating it as one instrument among dozens.

Methodology
Their level-to-level approach is recognisable.

Ecosystem
Education + public analysis + community + tools + live market analysis.

That's a considerably stronger proposition than:
“Join my Telegram for Gold signals.”