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Quick update for the NY session ahead:

I mentioned in the weekly chart report that the swing in play can cause a few problems for bulls and if it played, the move would not be worth trying to capture the lows on. Ideally, we wanted this to bounce, go up into the area of interest above then come down and hit those lower levels.

You can see the bias broke, we completed the Asia session targets and ultimately broke below defence, so no point attempting any long trades there based on the path.

The hot spot worked well and the bias level resulted in all TPs complete, but that was not an easy trade to take overnight.

On the previous chart I have added an oval which is our new level of interest and potential for the NY session unless we get a confirmed reversal.

The liquidity indicator is hovering below, and sentiment is not shifting so let's see what the next couple of hours bring.

Support 4140 resistance 4175

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/jTq9vsGm-KOG-SUPPORT-RESISTANCE-AND-TREND-LINES/

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Evening Thought:

Price is a series of tests on levels! Highs and low, if it tests a high and fails, it will test a low. Breaks, it continues, fails, it will test the high again etc

It creates trends or ranges but will always do the same thing. Once we understand this we know it's not the market that is the problem, its us, the trader. If we learn it's behaviour all we then need to do is make sure our money and risk management is up to scratch. It's never 100%, but if we test a level, it breaks, structure suggests it's going against us, don't hold on to hope, or add more in the direction you intended.

Get the complete playbook here

I'm not around today, working on a adding some more features to the algo. We wanted it to stay above and it has, the next level is marked on the chart, apart from that not more we can do with this, just let it do it's thing. Protected and managed.

Support is at 4140 which needs to break to go lower. I'm happy with this however, so we'll look at some other pairs.

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