Only Positional Community
🚨 THE WAIT IS FINALLY OVER! OP CLOSED CIRCLE REGISTRATIONS ARE OPEN! Want to learn how to identify opportunities through a Fundamental-First, Technical + Fundamental Analysis approach? 📊 Understand how to analyse businesses, evaluate fundamentals, and use…
Good Morning, Everyone!
One batch is already full, and we have opened one additional batch. We will be starting from this weekend itself!
If you’re still planning to join, this is your chance to secure your seat. Once the sessions begin, we won’t be adding new members until the ongoing batches are completed.
The next batch may take at least 3 months to commence, so don’t miss this opportunity if you’re serious about learning and improving your research and investing process.
Thank you for your support and trust! 🙏
One batch is already full, and we have opened one additional batch. We will be starting from this weekend itself!
If you’re still planning to join, this is your chance to secure your seat. Once the sessions begin, we won’t be adding new members until the ongoing batches are completed.
The next batch may take at least 3 months to commence, so don’t miss this opportunity if you’re serious about learning and improving your research and investing process.
Thank you for your support and trust! 🙏
❤2
Is this making sense now? 👀
We are still in a retracement phase of the market. Unless the Smallcap 100 reaches the 18,600–18,400 zone, I don’t expect a sustained upside move.
My Plan: Sitting on a substantial cash position with my watchlist ready. Waiting patiently to add the next set of potential outperformers when the market shows strength.
Patience now. Opportunity later. 🎯
We are still in a retracement phase of the market. Unless the Smallcap 100 reaches the 18,600–18,400 zone, I don’t expect a sustained upside move.
My Plan: Sitting on a substantial cash position with my watchlist ready. Waiting patiently to add the next set of potential outperformers when the market shows strength.
Patience now. Opportunity later. 🎯
❤4
Only Positional Community
Is this making sense now? 👀 We are still in a retracement phase of the market. Unless the Smallcap 100 reaches the 18,600–18,400 zone, I don’t expect a sustained upside move. My Plan: Sitting on a substantial cash position with my watchlist ready. Waiting…
Smallcaps approaching a crucial support zone! 📉
Nifty Smallcap 100 is almost at the long-term trendline support around 18,500–18,600, with the 200 EMA also providing support nearby.
We have a buffer of just 100–150 points from the current levels. If this support holds, we could see the ongoing correction come to an end within the next 1–2 trading sessions, followed by a potential recovery towards recent highs.
Key level to watch: 18,500–18,600. The price action around this zone will be crucial. Let's watch how the market reacts here before drawing any conclusions.
Nifty Smallcap 100 is almost at the long-term trendline support around 18,500–18,600, with the 200 EMA also providing support nearby.
We have a buffer of just 100–150 points from the current levels. If this support holds, we could see the ongoing correction come to an end within the next 1–2 trading sessions, followed by a potential recovery towards recent highs.
Key level to watch: 18,500–18,600. The price action around this zone will be crucial. Let's watch how the market reacts here before drawing any conclusions.
❤4
Only Positional Community
Smallcaps approaching a crucial support zone! 📉 Nifty Smallcap 100 is almost at the long-term trendline support around 18,500–18,600, with the 200 EMA also providing support nearby. We have a buffer of just 100–150 points from the current levels. If this support…
With buffer range comes 18400-18600 is where we expect support. Smallcaps to stop falling.
Only Positional Community
With buffer range comes 18400-18600 is where we expect support. Smallcaps to stop falling.
The reason we keep a buffer is that support is never about an exact price level. It is always an accumulation zone, not a single point.
During brutal corrections, leveraged selling and forced liquidation of MTF (Margin Trading Facility) positions can create additional selling pressure, causing prices to temporarily breach important support levels.
That’s why we consider a buffer around the trendline rather than expecting the market to reverse at an exact level. The objective is to account for this excess selling pressure while identifying a potential zone for the correction to end.
During brutal corrections, leveraged selling and forced liquidation of MTF (Margin Trading Facility) positions can create additional selling pressure, causing prices to temporarily breach important support levels.
That’s why we consider a buffer around the trendline rather than expecting the market to reverse at an exact level. The objective is to account for this excess selling pressure while identifying a potential zone for the correction to end.
Only Positional Community
With buffer range comes 18400-18600 is where we expect support. Smallcaps to stop falling.
Nifty Smallcap 100 has slipped below 18,400, triggering extreme panic in the market.
At these levels, the probability of a sharp reversal is increasing, as forced selling and panic-driven exits can create conditions for a potential bottom formation.
At these levels, the probability of a sharp reversal is increasing, as forced selling and panic-driven exits can create conditions for a potential bottom formation.
❤2
📊 Quick Market Update – NIFTY SMALLCAP 100
Ideally, the market should have found support in the 18,200–18,400 zone. The probability of a deeper correction towards 17,400–17,800 appeared relatively low.
However, the surge in crude oil prices towards $114 per barrel has emerged as a major negative trigger for global markets.
🇺🇸 US markets have also reacted negatively amid rising oil prices. We are witnessing a chain reaction across asset classes.
📉 Gold, Silver, Bonds and Equities — everything is facing selling pressure.
🇮🇳 The key factor amplifying the fall in Indian markets is MTF-related forced selling.
As prices fall, leveraged MTF positions come under pressure, potentially triggering margin calls and forced liquidation. This creates a vicious cycle — selling leads to further declines, triggering more selling and intensifying panic, particularly in small-cap stocks.
📍 NIFTY SMALLCAP 100 – Important Demand Zone: 17,400–17,800
The market should ideally have found support at 18,200–18,400, but the breakdown has changed the picture. The 17,400–17,800 zone is now an important demand area to watch.
🎯 Our Current Stance: WAIT & WATCH
At this stage, I prefer to wait and watch before deploying additional funds. There is no need to rush into fresh buying while selling pressure and uncertainty remain elevated.
As of now, I am holding all my existing investments. I will continue to monitor market behaviour and look for better opportunities as the situation evolves.
Patience is a strategy, too. We don't need to act on every fall.
Ideally, the market should have found support in the 18,200–18,400 zone. The probability of a deeper correction towards 17,400–17,800 appeared relatively low.
However, the surge in crude oil prices towards $114 per barrel has emerged as a major negative trigger for global markets.
🇺🇸 US markets have also reacted negatively amid rising oil prices. We are witnessing a chain reaction across asset classes.
📉 Gold, Silver, Bonds and Equities — everything is facing selling pressure.
🇮🇳 The key factor amplifying the fall in Indian markets is MTF-related forced selling.
As prices fall, leveraged MTF positions come under pressure, potentially triggering margin calls and forced liquidation. This creates a vicious cycle — selling leads to further declines, triggering more selling and intensifying panic, particularly in small-cap stocks.
📍 NIFTY SMALLCAP 100 – Important Demand Zone: 17,400–17,800
The market should ideally have found support at 18,200–18,400, but the breakdown has changed the picture. The 17,400–17,800 zone is now an important demand area to watch.
🎯 Our Current Stance: WAIT & WATCH
At this stage, I prefer to wait and watch before deploying additional funds. There is no need to rush into fresh buying while selling pressure and uncertainty remain elevated.
As of now, I am holding all my existing investments. I will continue to monitor market behaviour and look for better opportunities as the situation evolves.
Patience is a strategy, too. We don't need to act on every fall.
❤2
📈 But let's understand one important thing!
Sooner or later, the market will find its way back up. Our fundamental thesis remains intact » valuations are becoming more attractive, and significant upside potential remains in the market.
The current fall does not automatically invalidate the long-term investment opportunity. However, when global events trigger uncertainty, oil prices surge, and leveraged positions face forced liquidation, we cannot fight the market in the short term. We have to navigate through it.
We may have the right stocks, the right valuations, and the right investment thesis, but the timing of recovery is not in our control.
Sooner or later, the market will find its way back up. Our fundamental thesis remains intact » valuations are becoming more attractive, and significant upside potential remains in the market.
The current fall does not automatically invalidate the long-term investment opportunity. However, when global events trigger uncertainty, oil prices surge, and leveraged positions face forced liquidation, we cannot fight the market in the short term. We have to navigate through it.
We may have the right stocks, the right valuations, and the right investment thesis, but the timing of recovery is not in our control.
❤4