Only Positional Community
#OCCL Downside risk - 140 and below. We see short term upside 200-250.
It was shared here. OCCL is up 22%.
NIFTY: Long-Term Valuation & Technical Framework
Both the NIFTY/USDINR chart and the NIFTY monthly chart are pointing towards an important long-term support zone.
NIFTY in USD terms: Historically, NIFTY has respected its 100-month EMA. From the current levels, we still have approximately 3% downside before reaching this long-term support zone.
NIFTY price chart: NIFTY has consistently respected its 50-month EMA during major corrections. This places the important correction zone around 21,800–21,900.
Both the NIFTY/USDINR chart and the NIFTY monthly chart are pointing towards an important long-term support zone.
NIFTY in USD terms: Historically, NIFTY has respected its 100-month EMA. From the current levels, we still have approximately 3% downside before reaching this long-term support zone.
NIFTY price chart: NIFTY has consistently respected its 50-month EMA during major corrections. This places the important correction zone around 21,800–21,900.
❤1
Only Positional Community
NIFTY: Long-Term Valuation & Technical Framework Both the NIFTY/USDINR chart and the NIFTY monthly chart are pointing towards an important long-term support zone. NIFTY in USD terms: Historically, NIFTY has respected its 100-month EMA. From the current levels…
The valuation picture
If NIFTY reaches around 21,800, the index would be trading at approximately 18.6x PE, which is around the 5-year lower end of its valuation range.
This makes 21,800–21,900 an important zone where technical support and valuation support could converge.
From this zone:
Downside: We should remain prepared for volatility around 21,800–21,900.
Valuation upside: If the market eventually re-rates towards a 24–25x PE, NIFTY could potentially reach the 28,000–30,000 zone.
If NIFTY reaches around 21,800, the index would be trading at approximately 18.6x PE, which is around the 5-year lower end of its valuation range.
This makes 21,800–21,900 an important zone where technical support and valuation support could converge.
From this zone:
Downside: We should remain prepared for volatility around 21,800–21,900.
Valuation upside: If the market eventually re-rates towards a 24–25x PE, NIFTY could potentially reach the 28,000–30,000 zone.
❤1
Only Positional Community
The valuation picture If NIFTY reaches around 21,800, the index would be trading at approximately 18.6x PE, which is around the 5-year lower end of its valuation range. This makes 21,800–21,900 an important zone where technical support and valuation support…
Overall conclusion
21,800–21,900 is the key zone I am watching for a potential long-term bottom.
The setup is interesting because technical support + USD-adjusted support + valuation compression could all come together in this region.
If NIFTY reaches this zone and the broader market structure starts confirming a bottom, the risk-reward for a long-term accumulation opportunity could become highly attractive, with a potential long-term valuation target of 28,000–30,000.
In simple terms: ~3% more correction could bring NIFTY into the zone where I would start looking for the next major long-term opportunity.
21,800–21,900 is the key zone I am watching for a potential long-term bottom.
The setup is interesting because technical support + USD-adjusted support + valuation compression could all come together in this region.
If NIFTY reaches this zone and the broader market structure starts confirming a bottom, the risk-reward for a long-term accumulation opportunity could become highly attractive, with a potential long-term valuation target of 28,000–30,000.
In simple terms: ~3% more correction could bring NIFTY into the zone where I would start looking for the next major long-term opportunity.
👍2
Only Positional Community
But I had other plans 😅🤞
Should I share the chart setup what triggered to buy ?
👍7🔥1
Over the last one year, our entire research approach has gone through a 360° transformation.
We have moved towards AI-driven research, backtested ratio charts, and a deeper macro framework to understand market cycles and relative opportunities across equities, gold, bonds, the dollar and other major asset classes.
At the stock level, our approach has become strongly Techno-Funda. We first identify the combination of valuation + earnings growth + business quality, and only then use technical analysis to identify the right entry, structure and risk-reward. This combination has significantly increased our conviction in our stock selection.
We have moved towards AI-driven research, backtested ratio charts, and a deeper macro framework to understand market cycles and relative opportunities across equities, gold, bonds, the dollar and other major asset classes.
At the stock level, our approach has become strongly Techno-Funda. We first identify the combination of valuation + earnings growth + business quality, and only then use technical analysis to identify the right entry, structure and risk-reward. This combination has significantly increased our conviction in our stock selection.
Why am I sharing this?
Because I have personally gone through the entire journey of trying different approaches in the market—understanding what works, what doesn't, and what can actually be sustained over a full market cycle.
After adopting this framework, I have seen a 360° change in the way I manage my portfolio, and the results have been very encouraging, with significant outperformance versus the broader indices.
Most importantly, our long-term ratio-chart and cycle research continues to suggest that the broader structural bull-market phase could remain intact, with our current framework pointing towards significant upside potential through 2027.
That does not mean the market will move up in a straight line. Corrections, volatility and periods of consolidation are a normal part of every bull market.
Because I have personally gone through the entire journey of trying different approaches in the market—understanding what works, what doesn't, and what can actually be sustained over a full market cycle.
After adopting this framework, I have seen a 360° change in the way I manage my portfolio, and the results have been very encouraging, with significant outperformance versus the broader indices.
Most importantly, our long-term ratio-chart and cycle research continues to suggest that the broader structural bull-market phase could remain intact, with our current framework pointing towards significant upside potential through 2027.
That does not mean the market will move up in a straight line. Corrections, volatility and periods of consolidation are a normal part of every bull market.
Our objective is simple: stay disciplined, use corrections intelligently, rotate capital towards strength, and let the larger cycle work in our favour.
We have spent years building and refining these systems. When our framework eventually signals that the cycle is nearing completion, we will act accordingly—even if our timing is a few months early or late.
So don't be scared of corrections. Respect them, prepare for them, and use them intelligently.
We believe we are in a sustained structural bull phase.
Let's make the most of this journey together. 🔥😄🫡
We have spent years building and refining these systems. When our framework eventually signals that the cycle is nearing completion, we will act accordingly—even if our timing is a few months early or late.
So don't be scared of corrections. Respect them, prepare for them, and use them intelligently.
We believe we are in a sustained structural bull phase.
Let's make the most of this journey together. 🔥😄🫡
Only Positional Community
#SUPREMEPWR Base building - weekly Demand Zone 200-250 Weak below 177 Re-rating upside 400-450
Detailed report will be shared shortly
#DANISH - Danish Power Ltd
Base building - weekly
Demand Zone 845-950.
Weak below 800.
Re-rating upside 1400-1600.
Base building - weekly
Demand Zone 845-950.
Weak below 800.
Re-rating upside 1400-1600.
👏3
Only Positional Community
#DANISH - Danish Power Ltd Base building - weekly Demand Zone 845-950. Weak below 800. Re-rating upside 1400-1600.
Detailed report will be shared shortly
👍2
Only Positional Community
#PNGJL - PN Gadgil Jewellers Ltd. Demand Zone 590-600 Weak if we close below 560 Upside 850-1000. Detailed report and triggers below.
Do not miss this - high re-raring probability.