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@rohit_sahjani-NISM SERIES XV/@deepaknankani Admins
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You know what I did in this phase — if I was holding positions that were already in loss, I chose to exit them before the market corrected further by 8–9%.

Now the same stocks are available at 15–25% lower prices, and I’m looking to re-enter them again.

This is also a practical approach in such markets.

Earlier, for example, if I had deployed around ₹2 lakhs, today I can get the same quantity in roughly ₹1.5 lakhs. So effectively, I’m reducing my cost and improving my overall positioning.

But this works only when done with clarity — not out of panic. The idea is to exit weak positions early and re-enter them at better valuations, not to keep buying blindly in a falling market.

In volatile phases like this, capital efficiency matters just as much as stock selection.
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Also, at this point, sharing stock names doesn’t really make sense.
I already have my watchlist ready, everything is planned, analysed, and filtered. These are the stocks I’ll be focusing on once the market gives a proper bottom.

But the reason I’m not sharing anything right now is simple I don’t want anyone to buy emotionally or based on sentiment. In phases like this, that usually leads to wrong entries.
Buying should always be structured and systematic not driven by fear of missing out or random conviction.

Once the correction is done and the market starts giving clarity, we’ll again get clean setups and strong opportunities.
Be prepared for that phase.
You’ll get a solid watchlist and proper setups to act on at the right time.
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Now the question is — how do we track when the market is actually ready to reverse, and when the bottom is forming?

There are a few key things I’m personally watching.

First is Brent crude oil. It needs to cool off. As long as crude stays elevated, it keeps pressure on the overall market sentiment.

Second is USD/INR. We need to see some relief here. Ideally, the rupee should start strengthening — we should see USD/INR cooling down towards the 88–90 zone, or even lower. That would signal stability coming back.

Third, and most important — liquidity sweep in the market. We need to see a proper breakdown of key levels for a day or two, where stops get hunted and weak hands exit. That kind of move usually creates the base for a reversal.

So overall, just focus on these three things for now:
• USD/INR movement
• Brent crude oil behaviour
• Market sweeping key levels and liquidity

Once these start aligning, we can start thinking about the market bottoming out.
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I know this may not sound good to everyone, but I’m not here to be liked. I’m here to give you a clear view of what’s actually happening in the market.

If you look at the last few days, the market is behaving exactly in line with what we discussed.

Today again, crude prices have moved up, and we’ve seen a negative reaction in the market. On top of that, FIIs were net sellers yesterday by more than ₹8,000 crore, that’s not normal selling, that’s aggressive distribution.

So understand the environment we are in, this is not a stable or bullish phase right now.
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Just to be very clear, I am not against the idea of a bull market. I’m equally bullish for the long term.
But the key question is when that bull phase resumes and that’s what we need to focus on.
Right now, I’m simply going with what the market is showing, not what I want it to do.

Also, try to rely more on charts than on news. News should only be considered if it makes sense and aligns with price action. Now, most of the news flow is just creating confusion.
Take recent global cues for example sudden statements around geopolitical situations keep changing the sentiment.
One day there’s positive news, markets rally sharply. Next day, negative headlines come in, and markets fall again.
But if you step back and look at the bigger picture the US markets had already seen a strong rally earlier, and what we’re witnessing now is more of a corrective phase with profit booking. In such phases,
it’s very normal to see frequent negative news flow, with occasional good news triggering temporary pullbacks.

Technically speaking, what we saw recently was not a trend reversal.
In indices (especially F&O driven), it was largely a short covering rally.
And in stocks, many were deeply oversold, so we saw a bounce from oversold zones.

But overall, the market is still in a sell-on-rise structure.
One important thing to understand a real trend change doesn’t happen like this.

We need to see:
• Strong buying coming from a clear demand zone (the actual bottom)
• Followed by a change in structure
Right now, the structure is still lower top, lower bottom.
The moment this shift to higher top, higher bottom, that’s when the real bull phase begins.

And once that happens no one can stop the next bull market. Mark that.
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Remember this chart #CNXSMALLCAP
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NIFTY 21800 - 22000
SMALLCAP 14500 - 14700

Not much pain left now 🤞🏻
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Now sharing the first stock from my core watchlist #Natcopharm.

If you observe the chart, this stock has shown least impact during the correction. Even now, it is trading close to its 52-week high, showing clear strength.

Key support zones are ₹940–₹980.
Core demand levels to accumulate:
• ₹940
• ₹960
• ₹980

If markets correct further, we may see ₹900–₹920, but not expecting major downside.

The key is relative strength — while markets corrected, this stock held well.

Technically, we are seeing a trend shift. The stock has turned bullish, formed a base, and is near a base breakout.

Above ₹1066, upside targets:
• ₹1300
• ₹1480
• ₹1600

Keep it in your watchlist, plan entries, and follow a risk-first approach.

No rush let the setup confirm, then act.
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Trigger turning into our favour - USDINR ⚠️
Good Morning !! Will share take on market in sometime. There are few developments on charts.
Small Cap 100 (CNX Small Cap 100) – Market View

The index structure continues to remain weak, with a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs, supported by a declining 21-day moving average. The current up move appears to be a pullback, not a confirmed trend reversal.

For any meaningful structural shift, the index needs to sustain above 16,000 and reclaim the 21-DMA. However, this seems unlikely in the near term as key downside levels are yet to be tested.

A probable scenario:

Either a break below 15,000 (52-week low) to complete the correction
Or an extended decline toward 14,600

Until then, the broader index remains under pressure and may require time-based consolidation at lower levels before any trend reversal.

That said, stock-specific opportunities are already emerging. Based on a wide scan of ~1,000 stocks, many have corrected to strong valuation zones (PE and PB support levels) and appear to have bottomed out.
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Stock Guess Challenge 🔍

Let’s see who gets this right 👇

PE corrected from 98 → 20
Price-to-Book corrected from 35 → 5
Strong historical P/B support at 4.5–5
Current PEG ratio: 0.09 (deep value zone)

Despite this sharp valuation reset:

Structure still intact → Higher High, Higher Low (Weekly TF)

Fundamentals:
Sales growth ~100% YoY
Profit growth ~150% YoY

A rare case where valuations corrected heavily, but structure stayed strong.

Can you guess the stock? 👇
Those attempted to answer - shared complete plan and charts.