#MAZDA
Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today.
Demand levels 1450-1490
Weak if we close below 1300
Supply zone 2222-2250
1. Clear S2
2. Base shift from sellers to buyers
3. Volatility contraction
4. Base seems to be getting matured with volume shift
Disclaimer:
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. We are an educational channel for analysing, learning & discussing general and generic information related to stocks, investments and strategies.
Our content is intended to be used and must be used for information and education purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment. Do consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today.
Demand levels 1450-1490
Weak if we close below 1300
Supply zone 2222-2250
1. Clear S2
2. Base shift from sellers to buyers
3. Volatility contraction
4. Base seems to be getting matured with volume shift
Disclaimer:
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. We are an educational channel for analysing, learning & discussing general and generic information related to stocks, investments and strategies.
Our content is intended to be used and must be used for information and education purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment. Do consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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Only Positional Community
#MAZDA Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today. Demand levels 1450-1490 Weak if we close below 1300 Supply zone 2222-2250 1. Clear S2 2. Base shift from sellers to buyers 3.…
Showing super strength and breakout.
1450 to 1728
Upside done 19% ✅🔥
1450 to 1728
Upside done 19% ✅🔥
Only Positional Community
#MAZDA Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today. Demand levels 1450-1490 Weak if we close below 1300 Supply zone 2222-2250 1. Clear S2 2. Base shift from sellers to buyers 3.…
1450 to 1747 🔥✅
20% upside 💪🏻
20% upside 💪🏻
Only Positional Community
#MAZDA Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today. Demand levels 1450-1490 Weak if we close below 1300 Supply zone 2222-2250 1. Clear S2 2. Base shift from sellers to buyers 3.…
Not stopping today as well.
1450 to 1850
Upside done 27% ✅🚀
1450 to 1850
Upside done 27% ✅🚀
Only Positional Community
#MAZDA Watchlist and track. Today candle will be PPC if close abv PDH. Price should sustain and form a good green candle today. Demand levels 1450-1490 Weak if we close below 1300 Supply zone 2222-2250 1. Clear S2 2. Base shift from sellers to buyers 3.…
To new highs
1450 to 2111
Clocks 45% upside
1450 to 2111
Clocks 45% upside
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Important
Understanding Market Corrections: A Comparative Analysis
The nature of market corrections is to erase a significant portion of the gains accumulated during a prior rally. Often, these corrections appear excessive, but it is crucial to recognize that during a strong impulse rally, the market may not establish a solid base or demand zone. Without such structural support, corrections tend to be deeper.
A similar scenario is unfolding in the current correction phase. Historical patterns indicate that these corrections typically retrace 80% to 100% of the preceding upward move—not in percentage terms of the overall rally, but in absolute points wiped off.
Oct 2021 – June 2022
Origin of the Uptrend: 14,147 → 18,606 (31% rally)
Correction Phase: 18,606 → 15,185 (18% correction)
Point Movement:
Upside: +4,459 points
Downside: -3,421 points (≈80% of the prior move erased)
Sept 2024 – Feb 2025 (Current Scenario)
Origin of the Uptrend: 21,150 → 26,277 (24% rally)
Correction Phase: 26,277 → 22,233 (15% correction)
Point Movement:
Upside: +5,127 points
Downside: -4,044 points (≈80% of the prior move erased)
Key Support Zone: Nifty 21,800 – 22,000
At this stage, 21,800 to 22,000 is a crucial support zone where the market should ideally hold. If this level sustains, it could mark a potential inflection point.
These markets often appear brutal during corrective phases, making investors question the strength of the trend. However, history shows that human psychology has a tendency to forget past corrections. If we revisit the correction from Oct 2021 to June 2022, we witnessed a similar deep retracement. Yet, what followed immediately after was a strong bull market, which eventually made the correction seem insignificant in hindsight.
Are We in a Bear Market? Not Yet.
To conclude that we are in a bear market, NIFTY needs to break below 21,000, which marks the point of origin of the current rally, similar to 14,147 in April 2021. Back then, during that correction, many believed we had entered a bear market—only to witness a sustained uptrend that eventually took NIFTY to 26,000+ by September 2024.
Until the point of origin of the rally is decisively breached, the market remains in a corrective phase, not a confirmed bear market.
What Should You Do Now?
Many of you might be wondering, "What should we do now?"
For Equities: Wait for the market to stabilize at current levels and show some signs of strength before making any major portfolio decisions. Once stability is evident, gradually churn and average your portfolio rather than making impulsive moves.
For Mutual Funds: This is one of the best times to average or add to your mutual fund investments. Corrections offer an opportunity to accumulate at lower levels, benefiting long-term compounding.
Understanding Market Corrections: A Comparative Analysis
The nature of market corrections is to erase a significant portion of the gains accumulated during a prior rally. Often, these corrections appear excessive, but it is crucial to recognize that during a strong impulse rally, the market may not establish a solid base or demand zone. Without such structural support, corrections tend to be deeper.
A similar scenario is unfolding in the current correction phase. Historical patterns indicate that these corrections typically retrace 80% to 100% of the preceding upward move—not in percentage terms of the overall rally, but in absolute points wiped off.
Oct 2021 – June 2022
Origin of the Uptrend: 14,147 → 18,606 (31% rally)
Correction Phase: 18,606 → 15,185 (18% correction)
Point Movement:
Upside: +4,459 points
Downside: -3,421 points (≈80% of the prior move erased)
Sept 2024 – Feb 2025 (Current Scenario)
Origin of the Uptrend: 21,150 → 26,277 (24% rally)
Correction Phase: 26,277 → 22,233 (15% correction)
Point Movement:
Upside: +5,127 points
Downside: -4,044 points (≈80% of the prior move erased)
Key Support Zone: Nifty 21,800 – 22,000
At this stage, 21,800 to 22,000 is a crucial support zone where the market should ideally hold. If this level sustains, it could mark a potential inflection point.
These markets often appear brutal during corrective phases, making investors question the strength of the trend. However, history shows that human psychology has a tendency to forget past corrections. If we revisit the correction from Oct 2021 to June 2022, we witnessed a similar deep retracement. Yet, what followed immediately after was a strong bull market, which eventually made the correction seem insignificant in hindsight.
Are We in a Bear Market? Not Yet.
To conclude that we are in a bear market, NIFTY needs to break below 21,000, which marks the point of origin of the current rally, similar to 14,147 in April 2021. Back then, during that correction, many believed we had entered a bear market—only to witness a sustained uptrend that eventually took NIFTY to 26,000+ by September 2024.
Until the point of origin of the rally is decisively breached, the market remains in a corrective phase, not a confirmed bear market.
What Should You Do Now?
Many of you might be wondering, "What should we do now?"
For Equities: Wait for the market to stabilize at current levels and show some signs of strength before making any major portfolio decisions. Once stability is evident, gradually churn and average your portfolio rather than making impulsive moves.
For Mutual Funds: This is one of the best times to average or add to your mutual fund investments. Corrections offer an opportunity to accumulate at lower levels, benefiting long-term compounding.
Forwarded from OP Closed Circle
OP Closed Circle
#CNXSMALLCAP We are almost done now, on monthly trendline retest. 13900-14000.
On Daily TF we are holding the point of origin of last up leg.
13900-14000.
Intraday recovery. 👍🏻
Correction we either wipe off 80% or 100% of last leg up, which is done now.
13900-14000.
Intraday recovery. 👍🏻
Correction we either wipe off 80% or 100% of last leg up, which is done now.
Forwarded from OP Closed Circle
OP Closed Circle
On Daily TF we are holding the point of origin of last up leg. 13900-14000. Intraday recovery. 👍🏻 Correction we either wipe off 80% or 100% of last leg up, which is done now.
For NIFTY
it is 21150-21400.
Here done with 80% retracement.
it is 21150-21400.
Here done with 80% retracement.
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Forwarded from OP Closed Circle
From here, we have two possible scenarios: either a V/U-shaped recovery or a W-shaped recovery. But in both cases, the market bounces back.
Right now, there’s no good risk-reward (RR) left for shorting—we’re just seeing panic selling and MTF position sell-offs. Even for short trades, there needs to be short covering for a favorable RR.
To go long on stocks, we need clear signs of reversal. However, this is an ideal time to place mutual fund orders, offering a great RR.
Right now, there’s no good risk-reward (RR) left for shorting—we’re just seeing panic selling and MTF position sell-offs. Even for short trades, there needs to be short covering for a favorable RR.
To go long on stocks, we need clear signs of reversal. However, this is an ideal time to place mutual fund orders, offering a great RR.
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#CAMS
We’ve navigated this stock successfully before, from 2400 to 5100.
For those who missed the previous rally, the risk-reward setup looks promising again.
📉 Valuation Insight:
- The stock bottomed at 35.5 PE (Apr 2023) and is now back to 35.8 PE (Mar 2025)—a historical support zone.
- Currently trading at June 2024 lows, where election volatility played out.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Demand Zones:
- 3000 – 3150 (Potential bounce area)
- 2500 – 2650 (Stronger support but tough to hold)
❌ Breakdown Level:
- A weekly close below 2500 would signal weakness.
🎯 Supply Zones:
- 5400 – 5600 – 6000 (Upside potential)
A strong technical structure setting up—let’s see how this plays out.
We’ve navigated this stock successfully before, from 2400 to 5100.
For those who missed the previous rally, the risk-reward setup looks promising again.
📉 Valuation Insight:
- The stock bottomed at 35.5 PE (Apr 2023) and is now back to 35.8 PE (Mar 2025)—a historical support zone.
- Currently trading at June 2024 lows, where election volatility played out.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Demand Zones:
- 3000 – 3150 (Potential bounce area)
- 2500 – 2650 (Stronger support but tough to hold)
❌ Breakdown Level:
- A weekly close below 2500 would signal weakness.
🎯 Supply Zones:
- 5400 – 5600 – 6000 (Upside potential)
A strong technical structure setting up—let’s see how this plays out.
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There are two possible market scenarios:
1. V-Shaped Recovery: The market bounces back quickly, leading to a rapid rally. In this case, we need to react fast—cutting losing trades early and shifting into strong-performing stocks. The pace will be high, requiring quick decision-making. However, this kind of rally may not last long.
2. W-Shaped Recovery: The market sees an initial bounce, followed by another decline, before finally recovering strongly. This process takes more time but results in a more stable and sustainable uptrend.
The second scenario seems more likely. If it happens, we can expect a long-lasting rally. But if the market follows the first scenario, the rally could be short-lived, requiring a more aggressive trading approach.
1. V-Shaped Recovery: The market bounces back quickly, leading to a rapid rally. In this case, we need to react fast—cutting losing trades early and shifting into strong-performing stocks. The pace will be high, requiring quick decision-making. However, this kind of rally may not last long.
2. W-Shaped Recovery: The market sees an initial bounce, followed by another decline, before finally recovering strongly. This process takes more time but results in a more stable and sustainable uptrend.
The second scenario seems more likely. If it happens, we can expect a long-lasting rally. But if the market follows the first scenario, the rally could be short-lived, requiring a more aggressive trading approach.
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Copper VS Hindustan Copper
Copper Commodity Price Analysis
Pattern & Breakout:
The chart shows a cup-and-handle breakout forming on the weekly time frame.
Price is testing a major resistance zone around $5.05.
A successful breakout could push copper prices towards $7.23-$7.50 in the medium term.
Moving Averages are bullish, with price holding above key supports.
Overall, this suggests further upside momentum in copper prices.
Hindustan Copper Ltd Price Action
Support Zone Holding Strong:
HCL is currently at a key support zone around ₹213-216, where past accumulation has happened.
This level coincides with the 150-week EMA (~₹216), indicating a potential bounce.
Previous Rally Correlation:
The stock saw a massive rally from ₹50 to ₹400+ in 2021-2023 when copper prices surged.
A strong commodity price rally in copper could trigger a similar breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate resistance: ₹260
Next major target: ₹333
Long-term breakout: ₹665+
Copper Commodity Price Analysis
Pattern & Breakout:
The chart shows a cup-and-handle breakout forming on the weekly time frame.
Price is testing a major resistance zone around $5.05.
A successful breakout could push copper prices towards $7.23-$7.50 in the medium term.
Moving Averages are bullish, with price holding above key supports.
Overall, this suggests further upside momentum in copper prices.
Hindustan Copper Ltd Price Action
Support Zone Holding Strong:
HCL is currently at a key support zone around ₹213-216, where past accumulation has happened.
This level coincides with the 150-week EMA (~₹216), indicating a potential bounce.
Previous Rally Correlation:
The stock saw a massive rally from ₹50 to ₹400+ in 2021-2023 when copper prices surged.
A strong commodity price rally in copper could trigger a similar breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate resistance: ₹260
Next major target: ₹333
Long-term breakout: ₹665+
Only Positional Community
Copper VS Hindustan Copper Copper Commodity Price Analysis Pattern & Breakout: The chart shows a cup-and-handle breakout forming on the weekly time frame. Price is testing a major resistance zone around $5.05. A successful breakout could push copper prices…
✅ Hindustan Copper Ltd. is at a critical support zone, making it an attractive buy for long-term gains.
✅ A copper breakout above $5.05 will be the trigger for an upward move in HCL stock.
✅ If copper enters a strong bull run ($6-$7+ per ton), HCL could retest all-time highs.
Accumulation around ₹213-216 with targets of ₹260, ₹333, and ₹400+.
Stop-loss: Close below ₹180 to protect against false breakouts.
Confirmation needed: A weekly close above ₹260 for strong upside momentum.
✅ A copper breakout above $5.05 will be the trigger for an upward move in HCL stock.
✅ If copper enters a strong bull run ($6-$7+ per ton), HCL could retest all-time highs.
Accumulation around ₹213-216 with targets of ₹260, ₹333, and ₹400+.
Stop-loss: Close below ₹180 to protect against false breakouts.
Confirmation needed: A weekly close above ₹260 for strong upside momentum.
Copper commodity is showing strong momentum and has already moved ahead, displaying relative strength. However, this strength has not yet been fully reflected in Hindustan Copper’s stock price, likely due to the recent correction in the equity market. As market conditions stabilize, Hindustan Copper is expected to catch up and factor in the commodity’s bullish trend soon.
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