IT Tech Crypto
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$BTC SuperTrend flipped bearish 3 times in 36 hours. Price back at session lows.

- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61,549
- Liq map: dense 64K-64.8K overhead (short liqs)
- Below: thin until ~60K

Three recovery attempts. Sellers killed all of them.

Current price: 400 points above June 8 low (61,150). Only support visible.

⚠️ Three Sell flips, no clean reclaim. Bears own the 15m.

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064357156158427488

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$BTC squeezed to 62K on CPI. The Cumulative Volume Delta tells the real story.

- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight
- CVD Futures: -1.178B - leveraged positioning overwhelmingly bearish

Price squeezed shorts into CPI, but spot CVD never turned positive. Buyers didn't show up - shorts got flushed mechanically. MA cross (10/30) is still bearish on the daily structure.

Futures CVD at -1.17B with price at 62K means leveraged traders are not buying this move. They're waiting to reload short.

Short squeeze on soft Core CPI, not demand-driven. CVD divergence confirms no real accumulation. 60.8K support is the key level into FOMC June 17.

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064720952248967473

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πŸ‘6🀝2
$BTC reclaimed 63K on the 15m - but structure is still printing lower highs.

β€’ SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K β†’ 61K - consistent downtrend
β€’ Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
β€’ Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls
β€’ Current: 62.9K - short-term momentum back
β€’ Volume profile: heaviest node 62.5K-63K - high-resistance cluster

Takeaway:
Recovery off 60.7K is real, but every B flip got sold within hours.

Structure stays bearish until price prints a higher high above 63.5K with volume. This is a bear-flag bounce within a downtrend.

Watch 63K-63.5K - sellers have shown up here repeatedly.

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065066014417858802

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$BTC Coinbase Premium Gap hit -76.2. US buyers aren't showing up.

- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants

Price is trying to recover. The data says otherwise. ⚠️

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065158772344209718

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$BTC pumped to 64K on perp buying - spot never confirmed it.

Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up

Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M (left chart)
- Perp CVD: -777M
- Funding rate: +0.0025% - longs still paying
- Order book depth: ask-heavy on both venues
- Coinbase Premium: -0.13% - US buyers absent

Perp-driven moves without spot confirmation don't hold. When futures longs unwind, there's no organic demand underneath to catch the price.

One catalyst away from a fast flush.

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065397239212904652

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- More volume = higher pool tier = bigger slice of daily $200K

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Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065874044470313447

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Forwarded from IT Tech Crypto (IT Tech)
πŸ”” New crypto market report is almost ready.

I walk through what on-chain data are really signaling for Bitcoin next.

πŸ“ Want it early, straight to your inbox?
πŸ‘‰ https://ittechpl.substack.com/subscribe
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ETH short paid well
πŸ”₯3πŸ‘1πŸ‘1
πŸͺ™ Newsletter #181 is live.

$BTC bounced from $60K this week. On the surface - a green week.

But long-term holders tripled their exchange inflows in 30 days. Coinbase Premium was negative for all 168 hours. ETF outflows extended to week five - though the pace dropped 81% vs the prior week.

And one thing that doesn't fit the bear narrative at all: Google Trends search interest is rising at $64K. That hasn't happened in any prior bear market.
Is this a structural shift or noise within the downtrend?

Issue #181 covers it all - link below πŸ‘‡

πŸ”— https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-181


πŸ’Ž Free 7-day premium trial - no commitment.
Link below πŸ‘‡
https://ittechpl.substack.com/47f30e20
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πŸ‘6🀝11
$BTC printed 63K -> 66K on news of a US-Iran peace deal. Perp CVD is 33x spot. Leverage led this move.

- Spot CVD: +61.43M - buying present but lightweight
- Perp CVD: +2.08B - derivatives drove the bulk, 33x spot volume
- Coinbase Premium Gap: -0.07% - US buyers not leading
- Funding Rate: +0.0006% - near flat, no overheating
- Order Book Depth Delta: -384.60 spot / -4.5K perp - ask pressure building

Both CVDs green on the news. But perp is doing 33x the work - this is leverage-driven, not organic spot demand.

Coinbase Premium went negative during the spike. US buyers didn't chase. ⚠️

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066454401532002520

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Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066551567130759651

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πŸ‘1
Funding flipped negative again. $BTC still grinding back toward 67K. ⚠️

Shorts are paying to stay short while the price recovers. That's squeeze fuel, not strength.

- Funding rate: -0.0023% - net short bias despite the bounce
- Open interest: 22.15B - down from ~22.8B peak during the rally. Leverage got unwound, not rebuilt
- CVD spot: 188M / CVD futures: 2.24B - both climbing, futures dominate on scale

Price reclaimed both the 10 and 30 MA (67K / 66K) after the dip below 64K. Shorts are underwater and stuck.

No fresh long leverage stepping in. This bounce is running on short covering plus steady buying.

Lean bullish - but it's a short squeeze setup, not a leverage breakout.

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066820975313006701

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πŸ‘2
$BTC broke above 67K. Futures traders built the ramp. Spot buyers stayed home.

What moved:
β€’ Perp CVD climbed +1.32B since the breakout - pure leverage expansion
β€’ Spot CVD sitting at 11.81M, down from 100M at recent highs - capital is exiting, not entering
β€’ Funding rate: 0.0026%, longs now paying to hold - cost of carry is back
β€’ Coinbase Premium: -0.07% - US spot flow remains absent
β€’ Book depth: -224.71 spot / -678.82 perp - bid stacks are thin on both sides

This is a perp-driven squeeze with no organic spot confirmation underneath. When futures unwind, there's no floor. ⚠️

Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066890033261580797

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