One specific indicator just triggered for the first time this entire bear phase.
In every prior cycle, when it did - the floor was still weeks away.
Full breakdown in this week's issue
Free 7-day premium trial - no commitment.
Link below 👇
https://ittechpl.substack.com/47f30e20
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Substack
Bitcoin and Crypto Market Report - Week 23 #180
Bitcoin just experienced its worst week of 2026.
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Jeśli planujesz zakupy spot na obecnych spadkach albo szukasz tańszej bramki wejścia do krypto, warto sprawdzić nowe możliwości.
🤑 OKX zintegrowało ZEN jako metodę depozytu - dla polskich użytkowników to konkretna zmiana. Depozyt bezpośrednio z konta ZEN, zero opłat za przelew, a środki są od razu gotowe do działania.
Przy większych kwotach opłaty potrafią zjeść realną część kapitału.
Promocja na zero fees trwa do 19 lipca.
Jeśli nie masz konta na OKX to możesz założyć z tego linka:
🌐 https://my.okx.com/join/ITTECHCRYPTO
#reklama
Przy większych kwotach opłaty potrafią zjeść realną część kapitału.
Promocja na zero fees trwa do 19 lipca.
Jeśli nie masz konta na OKX to możesz założyć z tego linka:
#reklama
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Big NEWS:
🚀 SpaceX IPO Access is here on Bybit 🚀
One of the world's most anticipated IPOs is finally becoming accessible to retail investors.
Traditionally, opportunities like SpaceX were reserved for VCs, institutions, and high-net-worth investors. Through Bybit IPO Express, eligible users can now subscribe directly from their Bybit account.
Why it matters 👇
✅ Access the SpaceX IPO subscription
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SpaceX powers some of the world's most innovative projects:
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⏰ Subscription closes on June 11 - act fast.
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#ad #partnership
🚀 SpaceX IPO Access is here on Bybit 🚀
One of the world's most anticipated IPOs is finally becoming accessible to retail investors.
Traditionally, opportunities like SpaceX were reserved for VCs, institutions, and high-net-worth investors. Through Bybit IPO Express, eligible users can now subscribe directly from their Bybit account.
Why it matters 👇
✅ Access the SpaceX IPO subscription
✅ Subscribe using USDT or USDC
✅ No traditional brokerage account required
✅ Minimum participation from just 100 USDC
✅ Pro-rata allocation system
✅ Unallocated funds automatically refunded
SpaceX powers some of the world's most innovative projects:
🚀 Falcon rockets
🛰 Starlink satellite internet
🌎 Global communications infrastructure
⏰ Subscription closes on June 11 - act fast.
🔗 Subscribe here:
https://bybit.com/en/trade/spot/ipo/?affiliate_id=25992
#ad #partnership
👍2
$BTC SuperTrend flipped bearish 3 times in 36 hours. Price back at session lows.
- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61,549
- Liq map: dense 64K-64.8K overhead (short liqs)
- Below: thin until ~60K
Three recovery attempts. Sellers killed all of them.
Current price: 400 points above June 8 low (61,150). Only support visible.
⚠️ Three Sell flips, no clean reclaim. Bears own the 15m.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064357156158427488
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- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61,549
- Liq map: dense 64K-64.8K overhead (short liqs)
- Below: thin until ~60K
Three recovery attempts. Sellers killed all of them.
Current price: 400 points above June 8 low (61,150). Only support visible.
⚠️ Three Sell flips, no clean reclaim. Bears own the 15m.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064357156158427488
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
$BTC SuperTrend flipped bearish 3 times in 36 hours. Price back at session lows.
- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61…
- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61…
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$BTC squeezed to 62K on CPI. The Cumulative Volume Delta tells the real story.
- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight
- CVD Futures: -1.178B - leveraged positioning overwhelmingly bearish
Price squeezed shorts into CPI, but spot CVD never turned positive. Buyers didn't show up - shorts got flushed mechanically. MA cross (10/30) is still bearish on the daily structure.
Futures CVD at -1.17B with price at 62K means leveraged traders are not buying this move. They're waiting to reload short.
Short squeeze on soft Core CPI, not demand-driven. CVD divergence confirms no real accumulation. 60.8K support is the key level into FOMC June 17.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064720952248967473
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- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight
- CVD Futures: -1.178B - leveraged positioning overwhelmingly bearish
Price squeezed shorts into CPI, but spot CVD never turned positive. Buyers didn't show up - shorts got flushed mechanically. MA cross (10/30) is still bearish on the daily structure.
Futures CVD at -1.17B with price at 62K means leveraged traders are not buying this move. They're waiting to reload short.
Short squeeze on soft Core CPI, not demand-driven. CVD divergence confirms no real accumulation. 60.8K support is the key level into FOMC June 17.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064720952248967473
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$BTC squeezed to 62K on CPI. The Cumulative Volume Delta tells the real story.
- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight…
- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight…
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$BTC reclaimed 63K on the 15m - but structure is still printing lower highs.
• SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K → 61K - consistent downtrend
• Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
• Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls
• Current: 62.9K - short-term momentum back
• Volume profile: heaviest node 62.5K-63K - high-resistance cluster
Takeaway:
Recovery off 60.7K is real, but every B flip got sold within hours.
Structure stays bearish until price prints a higher high above 63.5K with volume. This is a bear-flag bounce within a downtrend.
Watch 63K-63.5K - sellers have shown up here repeatedly.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065066014417858802
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• SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K → 61K - consistent downtrend
• Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
• Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls
• Current: 62.9K - short-term momentum back
• Volume profile: heaviest node 62.5K-63K - high-resistance cluster
Takeaway:
Recovery off 60.7K is real, but every B flip got sold within hours.
Structure stays bearish until price prints a higher high above 63.5K with volume. This is a bear-flag bounce within a downtrend.
Watch 63K-63.5K - sellers have shown up here repeatedly.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065066014417858802
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
$BTC reclaimed 63K on the 15m - but structure is still printing lower highs.
• SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K → 61K - consistent downtrend
• Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
• Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls…
• SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K → 61K - consistent downtrend
• Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
• Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls…
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$BTC Coinbase Premium Gap hit -76.2. US buyers aren't showing up.
- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants
Price is trying to recover. The data says otherwise. ⚠️
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065158772344209718
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- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants
Price is trying to recover. The data says otherwise. ⚠️
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065158772344209718
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$BTC Coinbase Premium Gap hit -76.2. US buyers aren't showing up.
- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants…
- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants…
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$BTC pumped to 64K on perp buying - spot never confirmed it.
Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up
Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M (left chart)
- Perp CVD: -777M
- Funding rate: +0.0025% - longs still paying
- Order book depth: ask-heavy on both venues
- Coinbase Premium: -0.13% - US buyers absent
Perp-driven moves without spot confirmation don't hold. When futures longs unwind, there's no organic demand underneath to catch the price.
One catalyst away from a fast flush.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065397239212904652
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Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up
Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M (left chart)
- Perp CVD: -777M
- Funding rate: +0.0025% - longs still paying
- Order book depth: ask-heavy on both venues
- Coinbase Premium: -0.13% - US buyers absent
Perp-driven moves without spot confirmation don't hold. When futures longs unwind, there's no organic demand underneath to catch the price.
One catalyst away from a fast flush.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065397239212904652
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
$BTC pumped to 64K on perp buying - spot never confirmed it.
Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up
Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M…
Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up
Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M…
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MEXC is running a Kickoff Fest - $200K daily prize pool for Futures traders. $8M total.
How it works:
- Register on the event page (required to be eligible)
- Predict daily BTC direction - correct = +3 base points next day, wrong = +1
- Trade Futures (non-zero fee volume counts toward prize tiers)
- More volume = higher pool tier = bigger slice of daily $200K
Combo bonus: complete your first prediction each day to activate 30-min combo status - point boosters have higher probability of bigger multipliers during this window.
Refer a friend - both earn up to 60 USDT.
Rewards stack with other MEXC events (Rewards Hub, M-Day, Airdrop+).
Payouts as USDT Futures bonuses, valid 7 days after credit.
⚠️ Futures trading involves leverage and risk of significant losses. Participate only with capital you can afford to lose.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065874044470313447
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How it works:
- Register on the event page (required to be eligible)
- Predict daily BTC direction - correct = +3 base points next day, wrong = +1
- Trade Futures (non-zero fee volume counts toward prize tiers)
- More volume = higher pool tier = bigger slice of daily $200K
Combo bonus: complete your first prediction each day to activate 30-min combo status - point boosters have higher probability of bigger multipliers during this window.
Refer a friend - both earn up to 60 USDT.
Rewards stack with other MEXC events (Rewards Hub, M-Day, Airdrop+).
Payouts as USDT Futures bonuses, valid 7 days after credit.
⚠️ Futures trading involves leverage and risk of significant losses. Participate only with capital you can afford to lose.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065874044470313447
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
MEXC is running a Kickoff Fest - $200K daily prize pool for Futures traders. $8M total.
How it works:
- Register on the event page (required to be eligible)
- Predict daily BTC direction - correct = +3 base points next day, wrong = +1
- Trade Futures (non…
How it works:
- Register on the event page (required to be eligible)
- Predict daily BTC direction - correct = +3 base points next day, wrong = +1
- Trade Futures (non…
👍6
Forwarded from IT Tech Crypto (IT Tech)
🔔 New crypto market report is almost ready.
I walk through what on-chain data are really signaling for Bitcoin next.
📝 Want it early, straight to your inbox?
👉 https://ittechpl.substack.com/subscribe
I walk through what on-chain data are really signaling for Bitcoin next.
📝 Want it early, straight to your inbox?
👉 https://ittechpl.substack.com/subscribe
👍5❤3🤝1
$BTC bounced from $60K this week. On the surface - a green week.
But long-term holders tripled their exchange inflows in 30 days. Coinbase Premium was negative for all 168 hours. ETF outflows extended to week five - though the pace dropped 81% vs the prior week.
And one thing that doesn't fit the bear narrative at all: Google Trends search interest is rising at $64K. That hasn't happened in any prior bear market.
Is this a structural shift or noise within the downtrend?
Issue #181 covers it all - link below
Link below 👇
https://ittechpl.substack.com/47f30e20
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$BTC printed 63K -> 66K on news of a US-Iran peace deal. Perp CVD is 33x spot. Leverage led this move.
- Spot CVD: +61.43M - buying present but lightweight
- Perp CVD: +2.08B - derivatives drove the bulk, 33x spot volume
- Coinbase Premium Gap: -0.07% - US buyers not leading
- Funding Rate: +0.0006% - near flat, no overheating
- Order Book Depth Delta: -384.60 spot / -4.5K perp - ask pressure building
Both CVDs green on the news. But perp is doing 33x the work - this is leverage-driven, not organic spot demand.
Coinbase Premium went negative during the spike. US buyers didn't chase. ⚠️
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066454401532002520
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- Spot CVD: +61.43M - buying present but lightweight
- Perp CVD: +2.08B - derivatives drove the bulk, 33x spot volume
- Coinbase Premium Gap: -0.07% - US buyers not leading
- Funding Rate: +0.0006% - near flat, no overheating
- Order Book Depth Delta: -384.60 spot / -4.5K perp - ask pressure building
Both CVDs green on the news. But perp is doing 33x the work - this is leverage-driven, not organic spot demand.
Coinbase Premium went negative during the spike. US buyers didn't chase. ⚠️
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066454401532002520
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
$BTC printed 63K -> 66K on news of a US-Iran peace deal. Perp CVD is 33x spot. Leverage led this move.
- Spot CVD: +61.43M - buying present but lightweight
- Perp CVD: +2.08B - derivatives drove the bulk, 33x spot volume
- Coinbase Premium Gap: -0.07% -…
- Spot CVD: +61.43M - buying present but lightweight
- Perp CVD: +2.08B - derivatives drove the bulk, 33x spot volume
- Coinbase Premium Gap: -0.07% -…
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Od teraz możesz tradować na akcjach Apple, Nvidia, Tesli, złocie i ropie - na giełdzie @OKX, 24/7, z dźwignią do 10x.
To X-Perps - futures regulowane przez MiFID II, dostępne w Europie. Grasz na wzrosty i spadki bez posiadania aktywa. Zabezpieczenie w BTC/ETH/SOL.
Nowe konto przez mój link = 30 USDC bonusu. Limit 5,000 miejsc, kampania trwa do 23 czerwca. Bonus zablokowany przez 30 dni od odebrania.
⚠️ Produkt lewarowany. Możliwa utrata całości kapitału.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066551567130759651
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To X-Perps - futures regulowane przez MiFID II, dostępne w Europie. Grasz na wzrosty i spadki bez posiadania aktywa. Zabezpieczenie w BTC/ETH/SOL.
Nowe konto przez mój link = 30 USDC bonusu. Limit 5,000 miejsc, kampania trwa do 23 czerwca. Bonus zablokowany przez 30 dni od odebrania.
⚠️ Produkt lewarowany. Możliwa utrata całości kapitału.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2066551567130759651
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IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) on X
Od teraz możesz tradować na akcjach Apple, Nvidia, Tesli, złocie i ropie - na giełdzie @OKX, 24/7, z dźwignią do 10x.
To X-Perps - futures regulowane przez MiFID II, dostępne w Europie. Grasz na wzrosty i spadki bez posiadania aktywa. Zabezpieczenie w BTC/ETH/SOL.…
To X-Perps - futures regulowane przez MiFID II, dostępne w Europie. Grasz na wzrosty i spadki bez posiadania aktywa. Zabezpieczenie w BTC/ETH/SOL.…
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