🇩🇪❓🇷🇺 As we watch a modern Kursk play out in the East, could a potential Second Molotov Pact be quietly bubbling to the surface?

🇵🇱🇩🇪🇷🇺 - Several weeks ago Alice Weidel, the leader of Germany's nationalist AfD party, referred to Eastern Germany as "Central Germany" on Twitter. The obvious subtext to that was that the status of the Oder-Neisse line, established after Germany lost WWII and surrendered territory to Poland as a result, was considered a matter of debate by the AfD.

It would seem the Poles have taken that to heart given the increasing polling results of AfD and with Russia successfully fending off the Ukrainian offensive. They’re currently embarking on one of the most ambitious (and unsustainable) militarization plans seen since the Cold War, and specifically pointing out the threat to both their East and their West now.

Interesting times are ahead…

🇵🇱🇩🇪🇷🇺 - Several weeks ago Alice Weidel, the leader of Germany's nationalist AfD party, referred to Eastern Germany as "Central Germany" on Twitter. The obvious subtext to that was that the status of the Oder-Neisse line, established after Germany lost WWII and surrendered territory to Poland as a result, was considered a matter of debate by the AfD.

It would seem the Poles have taken that to heart given the increasing polling results of AfD and with Russia successfully fending off the Ukrainian offensive. They’re currently embarking on one of the most ambitious (and unsustainable) militarization plans seen since the Cold War, and specifically pointing out the threat to both their East and their West now.

Interesting times are ahead…

🇷🇺🇺🇦 It must be admitted that recent events have qualitatively diverted everyone's attention from the war, and meanwhile the enemy is not at all going to sit at the TV and watch what is happening in Russia - he is preparing for another attempt to deeply break through our defenses. According to the results of the analysis of all incoming data in the Orekhovo-Polozhsky direction, he concentrated up to forty battalions, pursuing the goal of rushing along the Orekhov-Tokmak vector. Understanding our capabilities to deliver missile and bomb strikes against clusters, he will most likely continue the tactics of a creeping offensive with limited forces until he realizes that favorable conditions have been created for the deployment of the main reserves intended for a subsequent throw deep into our territories. It is possible that a simultaneous attack will be made in the direction of Energodar with the aim of capturing the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. Here one should expect the most unpleasant surprises - the Kakhovka reservoir is a witness to this.

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Group [V] tankers destroyed an enemy pickup truck in the Ugledar direction

🇷🇺 Russia ramps up use of its most dangerous Lancet drone , — The Telegraph

The publication writes that the Lancet is an inexpensive aircraft, but at the same time has become a problem for the Ukrainian troops.

By the way, it was he who destroyed the first Leopard tanks, Bradley infantry fighting vehicles and poses a danger to the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Paratroopers from Buryatia, destroy the enemy in batches on the outskirts of Artemovsk.

The legendary 11th Separate Guards Air Assault Brigade is at work!

🇦🇷🇨🇳 Argentina has repaid its debt to the IMF in the amount of $2.7 billion in yuan. Previously paid in dollars. If the payment of the debt in yuan continues, it will be possible to talk about the acceleration of the process of de-dollarization in South America. The long-term economic strategy of China leads to a steady increase in the influence of the yuan in the global economy and the international financial system. That is why the conflict between the US and China is inevitable. The strengthening of China comes at the expense of the weakening of the United States, and Washington understands this. A future war over Taiwan is one of the tools that the US will use to try to change its unfavorable trends.

🇷🇺🇷🇺 🇺🇦🇺🇳
⚡️An FPV drone destroyed a pickup truck of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Ugledar direction.

🇷🇺🇷🇺 🇺🇦🇺🇳
07/01/2023
⚡️Mobilization (or as the Ukrainians themselves call it - graves).

Employees of the military registration and enlistment office of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already entering private homes.

🇷🇺🇷🇺 🇺🇦🇺🇳
🔥The crew of the “Hyacinth-B” howitzer destroyed the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporozhye direction.

🇷🇺🇷🇺 🇺🇦🇺🇳
⚡️According to Russian media, PMC "Wagner" received 858 billion rubles under government contracts. Another company associated with Yevgeny Prigozhin, Concord, provided services worth 845 billion rubles. In total, this is 1.7 trillion rubles.

🇷🇺 🇷🇺 🇷🇺
⚡️African Putin looks so dope man🤣😎

🇮🇱 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 🇵🇸
Israeli Iron Dome Defense System at work.

Not recent*

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Paratroopers from Buryatia, destroy the enemy in batches on the outskirts of Artemovsk.

The legendary 11th Separate Guards Air Assault Brigade is at work!

🇦🇷🇨🇳 Argentina has repaid its debt to the IMF in the amount of $2.7 billion in yuan. Previously paid in dollars. If the payment of the debt in yuan continues, it will be possible to talk about the acceleration of the process of de-dollarization in South America. The long-term economic strategy of China leads to a steady increase in the influence of the yuan in the global economy and the international financial system. That is why the conflict between the US and China is inevitable. The strengthening of China comes at the expense of the weakening of the United States, and Washington understands this. A future war over Taiwan is one of the tools that the US will use to try to change its unfavorable trends.

🇩🇪🗳️ - Alternative fur Deutschland now second largest party in Germany. The impact of the sanctions on politics was extremely predictable. The fact that it was not widely known speaks to a very sluggish economic debate.

- Philip Pilkington

🇩🇪📉 - We’re rapidly approaching the point where the deindustrialization of Germany (and Europe at large) is going to start provoking serious unrest and political upheaval. AfD gaining ground is one of the first signs of this.

🌐🏦 - In 2008, when the Federal Reserve started printing more money through quantitative easing, they were debasing the US dollar. The more there is of something, the less valuable it is. However, the majority of people don’t notice it because their 401k is going up, their house is increasing in value.

People will talk about this grand, colossal market crash which will bring all assets to their knees due to the decades of money printing, debt, etc. It’s not going to happen. Stocks will actually continue to go up, at a quicker pace. Why? Currency debasement.

Look at Venezuela. When priced in Venezuelan currency, asset markets went parabolic. That’s not because their companies were generating more business - it’s because their money is worthless. To buy a share of stock today would cost a Venezuelan multiples more than it would a decade ago. Their currency has been debased.

- Genco Substack

🇺🇸💵 US Federal deficit as a % of GDP v. inverted US unemployment rate (blue dotted line = latest Treasury borrowing projection).

Only 3 ways to close this gap:

1. Face-peeling inflation.

2. Depression (as US govt slashes its ~25% of GDP spending.)

3. Productivity miracle.

- Luke Gromen

🌐🇺🇸💵 “$3.0T this year for Entitlements, $1.2T for Treasury Spending, & $900B for defense = $5.1T (~110% of record-but-now-falling-receipts), just for what we call the Big 3 expenditures.” - Luke Gromen

So what does this all mean?

Essentially, the U.S. (and by extension the G7 at large) have or are about to hit the point where their fiscal situation is behind their control. To fight inflation would require them to collapse their economy in a repeat of 2008 because a decade of low interest rates created too many distortions that can’t be fixed easily…or they’re going to have to let inflation be in the double digits on a sustained basis by mass money printing.

Neither are good for long term political stability.