๐จ RUSSIA SITS ON $75 TRILLION IN NATURAL RESOURCES
Thatโs more than anyone
Top countries by resource value:
โข ๐ท๐บ #Russia $75T
โข ๐บ๐ธ US $45T
โข ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia $34T
โข ๐จ๐ฆ #Canada $33T
โข ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran $27T
โข ๐จ๐ณ #China $23T
โข ๐ง๐ท #Brazil $22T
โข ๐ฆ๐บ Australia $20T
Russiaโs edge:
โข Oil
โข Gas
โข Coal
โข Timber
โข Rare earths
This isnโt GDP.
Itโs underground leverage.
#Energy. #Metals. Strategic materials.
When geopolitics escalates,
countries with reserves hold optionality.
The balance of power isnโt just military.
Itโs geological.
#oott
Thatโs more than anyone
Top countries by resource value:
โข ๐ท๐บ #Russia $75T
โข ๐บ๐ธ US $45T
โข ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia $34T
โข ๐จ๐ฆ #Canada $33T
โข ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran $27T
โข ๐จ๐ณ #China $23T
โข ๐ง๐ท #Brazil $22T
โข ๐ฆ๐บ Australia $20T
Russiaโs edge:
โข Oil
โข Gas
โข Coal
โข Timber
โข Rare earths
This isnโt GDP.
Itโs underground leverage.
#Energy. #Metals. Strategic materials.
When geopolitics escalates,
countries with reserves hold optionality.
The balance of power isnโt just military.
Itโs geological.
#oott
Global #silver supply heavily concentrated
Mexico dominates production.
- Mexico: ~6.3k tons in 2024
- China: ~3.3k tons
- Peru: ~3.1k tons
- Most other producers sit around ~1-1.3k tons
Despite leading production, Mexico holds only ~6% of global silver reserves.
In other words, current supply relies on a narrow group of producers
with limited reserves.
At a time of:
- rising industrial demand
- tightening physical markets
Silver supply is on shaky ground
Mexico dominates production.
- Mexico: ~6.3k tons in 2024
- China: ~3.3k tons
- Peru: ~3.1k tons
- Most other producers sit around ~1-1.3k tons
Despite leading production, Mexico holds only ~6% of global silver reserves.
In other words, current supply relies on a narrow group of producers
with limited reserves.
At a time of:
- rising industrial demand
- tightening physical markets
Silver supply is on shaky ground
Major Currencies Appreciation vs U.S. Dollar in 2025
1. ๐ธ๐ช Swedish Krona โ +20.2%
2. ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexican Peso โ +15.6%
3. ๐จ๐ญ Swiss Franc โ +14.5%
4. ๐ฟ๐ฆ South African Rand โ +13.8%
5. ๐ช๐บ Euro โ +13.5%
6. ๐ฉ๐ฐ Danish Krone โ +13.3%
7. ๐ณ๐ด Norwegian Krone โ +12.9%
8. ๐ง๐ท Brazilian Real โ +12.8%
9. ๐ฆ๐บ Australian Dollar โ +7.8%
10. ๐ฌ๐ง British Pound โ +7.7%
11. ๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore Dollar โ +6.2%
12. ๐จ๐ฆ Canadian Dollar โ +4.8%
13. ๐น๐ผ Taiwanese Dollar โ +4.4%
14. ๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand Dollar โ +2.8%
15. ๐ฐ๐ท South Korean Won โ +2.2%
16. ๐ฏ๐ต Japanese Yen โ +0.3%
Source: Bloomberg, Robert Burgess via The Bulwark
1. ๐ธ๐ช Swedish Krona โ +20.2%
2. ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexican Peso โ +15.6%
3. ๐จ๐ญ Swiss Franc โ +14.5%
4. ๐ฟ๐ฆ South African Rand โ +13.8%
5. ๐ช๐บ Euro โ +13.5%
6. ๐ฉ๐ฐ Danish Krone โ +13.3%
7. ๐ณ๐ด Norwegian Krone โ +12.9%
8. ๐ง๐ท Brazilian Real โ +12.8%
9. ๐ฆ๐บ Australian Dollar โ +7.8%
10. ๐ฌ๐ง British Pound โ +7.7%
11. ๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore Dollar โ +6.2%
12. ๐จ๐ฆ Canadian Dollar โ +4.8%
13. ๐น๐ผ Taiwanese Dollar โ +4.4%
14. ๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand Dollar โ +2.8%
15. ๐ฐ๐ท South Korean Won โ +2.2%
16. ๐ฏ๐ต Japanese Yen โ +0.3%
Source: Bloomberg, Robert Burgess via The Bulwark
โ1
Physical demand for #silver remains strong.
Letโs ignore recent volatility and focus on physical fundamentals.
- SHFE + SGE stockpiles are down 90% over the last 6 yrs
- Down ~50% since 2025
Ultimately, physical silver demand sets the price.
- Silver is needed for the military and AI
- In its recent NSS, the US declared AI a matter of national security
- The US also declared silver a critical mineral
- And is considering stockpiling it
This means securing silver supply is paramount, regardless of price.
- China is the biggest consumer and exporter of silver
- China has enacted export controls on silver
- And will tighten them further if domestic production is threatened
The supply of silver remains tight.
- Peak silver supply was in 2016
- ~70% of silver comes as a byproduct
- Deficits have been piling up for 5 consecutive years
In other words, rising silver prices will not incentivize a zinc mine to increase production.
Letโs ignore recent volatility and focus on physical fundamentals.
- SHFE + SGE stockpiles are down 90% over the last 6 yrs
- Down ~50% since 2025
Ultimately, physical silver demand sets the price.
- Silver is needed for the military and AI
- In its recent NSS, the US declared AI a matter of national security
- The US also declared silver a critical mineral
- And is considering stockpiling it
This means securing silver supply is paramount, regardless of price.
- China is the biggest consumer and exporter of silver
- China has enacted export controls on silver
- And will tighten them further if domestic production is threatened
The supply of silver remains tight.
- Peak silver supply was in 2016
- ~70% of silver comes as a byproduct
- Deficits have been piling up for 5 consecutive years
In other words, rising silver prices will not incentivize a zinc mine to increase production.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
A historic natural resource bull market is no longer optional... itโs inevitable. The trade war with China made one reality impossible to ignore: the Western economic model broke itself. By offshoring production for margin expansion, the US traded efficiencyโฆ
๐จ A FIGHTER JET RUNS ON CRITICAL MINERALS
Titanium,Nickel, Gallium,Rare earths, Lithium...
Now the ๐บ๐ธ problem:
China dominates:
โข Rare earth processing
โข Gallium supply
โข Key battery minerals
The same materials inside US advanced aircraft.
Defense strength = supply chain strength.
If flows tighten, production slows.
Energy independence was phase one.
Mineral independence is next.
#minerals #rareearth #China
Titanium,Nickel, Gallium,Rare earths, Lithium...
Now the ๐บ๐ธ problem:
China dominates:
โข Rare earth processing
โข Gallium supply
โข Key battery minerals
The same materials inside US advanced aircraft.
Defense strength = supply chain strength.
If flows tighten, production slows.
Energy independence was phase one.
Mineral independence is next.
#minerals #rareearth #China
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Anthropicโs Claude was utilized in the U.S. military operation to capture Nicolรกs Maduro via its partnership with $PLTR Palantir.
Artificial intelligence is already being weaponised, and it is unclear whether defences can be adapted fast enough to maintain stability.
The US is facing a fiscal crisis.
- Government debt has grown ~8% per year since 2000
- That implies debt doubles roughly every 9 years
- With each recession, the slope has steepened
This trajectory isnโt sustainable.
Meanwhile...
- Trade wars
- Seizure of Russian assets
- Record peace time deficits
Has led foreign central banks to choose gold over USTs.
So at the exact moment the US needs foreign buyers the most,
theyโre opting out.
- Government debt has grown ~8% per year since 2000
- That implies debt doubles roughly every 9 years
- With each recession, the slope has steepened
This trajectory isnโt sustainable.
Meanwhile...
- Trade wars
- Seizure of Russian assets
- Record peace time deficits
Has led foreign central banks to choose gold over USTs.
So at the exact moment the US needs foreign buyers the most,
theyโre opting out.
๐ฅ1
SPUT is slowly squeezing the #uranium market
- In 2025, SPUT bought more uranium than in the preceding 2 yrs
- It now holds a total of 75 mln lbs
That is equivalent to ~50% of global annual mine production.
Uranium supply is already constrained, deficits are widening, and new production takes years to come online. Each pound SPUT removes is a pound unavailable to utilities.
SPUT is a uranium bullโs best friend.
- In 2025, SPUT bought more uranium than in the preceding 2 yrs
- It now holds a total of 75 mln lbs
That is equivalent to ~50% of global annual mine production.
Uranium supply is already constrained, deficits are widening, and new production takes years to come online. Each pound SPUT removes is a pound unavailable to utilities.
SPUT is a uranium bullโs best friend.
Cost of Living Index 2026 ๐
(NYC = 100 baseline)
๐ฐ Most Expensive Countries
๐ง๐ฒ Bermuda โ 123.5
๐ฐ๐พ Cayman Islands โ 97.9
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland โ 84.3
๐ป๐ฎ U.S. Virgin Islands โ 82.5
๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore โ 81.2
๐ธ Least Expensive Countries
๐ฑ๐พ Libya โ 12.3
๐ช๐ฌ Egypt โ 13.8
๐ฒ๐ฌ Madagascar โ 15.8
๐ธ๐พ Syria โ 16.1
๐ฎ๐ท Iran โ 16.2
๐ Major Economies
๐บ๐ธ United States โ 56.3
๐ฌ๐ง United Kingdom โ 51.9
๐ฆ๐บ Australia โ 52.7
๐จ๐ณ China โ 21.5
๐ฎ๐ณ India โ 12.4
๐ Global Median โ 30.9
(NYC = 100 baseline)
๐ฐ Most Expensive Countries
๐ง๐ฒ Bermuda โ 123.5
๐ฐ๐พ Cayman Islands โ 97.9
๐จ๐ญ Switzerland โ 84.3
๐ป๐ฎ U.S. Virgin Islands โ 82.5
๐ธ๐ฌ Singapore โ 81.2
๐ธ Least Expensive Countries
๐ฑ๐พ Libya โ 12.3
๐ช๐ฌ Egypt โ 13.8
๐ฒ๐ฌ Madagascar โ 15.8
๐ธ๐พ Syria โ 16.1
๐ฎ๐ท Iran โ 16.2
๐ Major Economies
๐บ๐ธ United States โ 56.3
๐ฌ๐ง United Kingdom โ 51.9
๐ฆ๐บ Australia โ 52.7
๐จ๐ณ China โ 21.5
๐ฎ๐ณ India โ 12.4
๐ Global Median โ 30.9
๐จ COPPER STOCKS JUST PASSED 1 MILLION TONNES
Supply keeps rising.
โข 1,012 kt on exchanges
โข 19 weeks of builds in a row
โข +45 kt this week
โข Shanghai and LME both up
Usually activity slows before ๐จ๐ณ Lunar New Year.
But this time inventories are already high.
If stocks stay elevated:
โข Prices struggle to rally
โข Spreads weaken
โข Bulls need a new demand or supply shock
Right now, copper looks well supplied.
#copper #China #Metals #minerals
Supply keeps rising.
โข 1,012 kt on exchanges
โข 19 weeks of builds in a row
โข +45 kt this week
โข Shanghai and LME both up
Usually activity slows before ๐จ๐ณ Lunar New Year.
But this time inventories are already high.
If stocks stay elevated:
โข Prices struggle to rally
โข Spreads weaken
โข Bulls need a new demand or supply shock
Right now, copper looks well supplied.
#copper #China #Metals #minerals
๐จ DATA CENTERS ARE BECOMING A POWER GIANT
AI is reshaping US electricity demand.
โข 0.5% of US power in 2004
โข 2% by 2016
โข 4% in 2022
โข 7%+ in 2025
This is structural.
More data centers = more gas, more pipelines, more LNG.
Now connect the dots.
One ๐ฐ company owns 25% of a key pipeline behind:
โ US LNG exports. +67% by 2030
โ Texas AI power demand. +163% data center growth
America controls the flow.
This company owns part of the bottleneck.
Donโt miss it.
#oott #energy #LNG #NatGas #AI
AI is reshaping US electricity demand.
โข 0.5% of US power in 2004
โข 2% by 2016
โข 4% in 2022
โข 7%+ in 2025
This is structural.
More data centers = more gas, more pipelines, more LNG.
Now connect the dots.
One ๐ฐ company owns 25% of a key pipeline behind:
โ US LNG exports. +67% by 2030
โ Texas AI power demand. +163% data center growth
America controls the flow.
This company owns part of the bottleneck.
Donโt miss it.
#oott #energy #LNG #NatGas #AI
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
$ASTI $RKLB $ASTS $LUNR $PL $RDW $TE | NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman is accelerating nuclear space propulsion and lunar reactor deployment to secure American superiority. "The Chinese said theyโre going to do it, weโre going to do it first."
$ASTI $RKLB $ASTS $LUNR $RDW $VOYG | SpaceX and Blue Origin are the primary commercial drivers in this new era, with Elon Muskโs recent pivot to Moonbase Alpha and Jeff Bezosโs focus on his Blue Moon lander to secure dominance before Chinaโs 2030 mission.
๐ฅ THE WORLDโS RESOURCE POWER MAP
Underground wealth in $ trillions.
โข ๐ท๐บ #Russia $75T
โข ๐บ๐ธ US $45T
โข ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia $34T
โข ๐จ๐ฆ #Canada $33T
โข ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran $27T
โข ๐จ๐ณ #China $23T
โข ๐ง๐ท #Brazil $22T
โข ๐ฆ๐บ Australia $20T
โข ๐ฎ๐ถ Iraq $16T
โข ๐ป๐ช #Venezuela $14T
This is oil, gas, coal, #copper, rare earths, uranium.
Geology shapes geopolitics.
Countries with reserves hold leverage.
Underground wealth in $ trillions.
โข ๐ท๐บ #Russia $75T
โข ๐บ๐ธ US $45T
โข ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia $34T
โข ๐จ๐ฆ #Canada $33T
โข ๐ฎ๐ท #Iran $27T
โข ๐จ๐ณ #China $23T
โข ๐ง๐ท #Brazil $22T
โข ๐ฆ๐บ Australia $20T
โข ๐ฎ๐ถ Iraq $16T
โข ๐ป๐ช #Venezuela $14T
This is oil, gas, coal, #copper, rare earths, uranium.
Geology shapes geopolitics.
Countries with reserves hold leverage.
Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
๐จ US WANTS TO CUT IRANIAN OIL TO CHINA
Maximum pressure is back on the table.
โข US + Israel aligned on tightening Iran oil flows
โข Target = Iranian exports to China
โข Iran ships 1.5 mb/d, mostly to China
โข Much moves via shadow fleets
Why it matters?
โข China is Iranโs lifeline buyer
โข Cutting that flow hits Tehranโs revenue
โข Enforcement risk rises for traders + insurers
This is supply risk.
If enforcement intensifies:
โข Iranian barrels disappear from โvisibleโ market
โข China refiners scramble for alternatives
โข Heavy crude differentials tighten
โข Oil risk premium returns
The market sees surplus.
Policy can erase barrels overnight.
#China #Iran #oott
Maximum pressure is back on the table.
โข US + Israel aligned on tightening Iran oil flows
โข Target = Iranian exports to China
โข Iran ships 1.5 mb/d, mostly to China
โข Much moves via shadow fleets
Why it matters?
โข China is Iranโs lifeline buyer
โข Cutting that flow hits Tehranโs revenue
โข Enforcement risk rises for traders + insurers
This is supply risk.
If enforcement intensifies:
โข Iranian barrels disappear from โvisibleโ market
โข China refiners scramble for alternatives
โข Heavy crude differentials tighten
โข Oil risk premium returns
The market sees surplus.
Policy can erase barrels overnight.
#China #Iran #oott
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๐บ๐ธ The evolution of arms transfers from the United States to different countries since 1950.
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Cameco CEO: Ontario is the greatest story in nuclear history.
- Increased renewable share led to higher electricity costs
- Ontario course-corrected and refurbished its nuclear reactors
- Now it wants to build 14 GW of nuclear capacity
- For comparison, the US wants to build 10 GW
We have entered the age of nuclear.
- Increased renewable share led to higher electricity costs
- Ontario course-corrected and refurbished its nuclear reactors
- Now it wants to build 14 GW of nuclear capacity
- For comparison, the US wants to build 10 GW
We have entered the age of nuclear.
๐จ THE WORLD RUNS THROUGH 8 STRAITS
Trade, Oil, LNG, Military power.
Key chokepoints:
โข Malacca ~25% of global traded goods
โข Hormuz ~25% of global oil, ~โ of LNG
โข Singapore ~50% of global seaborne trade
โข Gibraltar Atlantic โ Mediterranean
โข Bosphorus Black Sea outlet
โข Magellan Atlantic โ Pacific backup
โข Bering Arctic gateway
โข Bass Australian passage
These are pressure points.
Close Hormuz... Oil spikes.
Disrupt Malacca... Asia freezes.
Block Bosphorus... Black Sea trade halts.
Geopolitics isnโt abstract.
Itโs maritime geometry.
#oott #commodity #trade
Trade, Oil, LNG, Military power.
Key chokepoints:
โข Malacca ~25% of global traded goods
โข Hormuz ~25% of global oil, ~โ of LNG
โข Singapore ~50% of global seaborne trade
โข Gibraltar Atlantic โ Mediterranean
โข Bosphorus Black Sea outlet
โข Magellan Atlantic โ Pacific backup
โข Bering Arctic gateway
โข Bass Australian passage
These are pressure points.
Close Hormuz... Oil spikes.
Disrupt Malacca... Asia freezes.
Block Bosphorus... Black Sea trade halts.
Geopolitics isnโt abstract.
Itโs maritime geometry.
#oott #commodity #trade