Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
Iran needs 💰
but its crude on the water is at an all time high💥
• Exports keep flowing
• Buyers hesitate
• Cargoes slow
• Floating storage builds
Barrels queue.
More oil stays at sea 🚢
Logistics clog.
Discount pressure grows.
#oott #Russia #China #Trump #Iran
but its crude on the water is at an all time high💥
• Exports keep flowing
• Buyers hesitate
• Cargoes slow
• Floating storage builds
Barrels queue.
More oil stays at sea 🚢
Logistics clog.
Discount pressure grows.
#oott #Russia #China #Trump #Iran
👀1
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
💥Geopolitical tension is back on the tape
🛢️But the oil market is telling a different story.
📉 US crude inventories fell by 3.5 million barrels last week.
More than expected.
Stocks are now 4% below the 5-year average.
API was even more aggressive.
-11.1 million barrels.
And yet, oil prices:
#Brent below $70/bbl.
#WTI near $65/bbl.
Look deeper into the data.
• Gasoline inventories rose
• Gasoline production fell to 9.0 mb/d
• Distillate inventories down 5.6 mb
• Distillate demand -6.2% YoY
• Total products supplied up 0.9% YoY
This is the key point.
Right now, oil is being pulled in 2 directions.
• Headlines are geopolitical
• Price action is fundamentals-driven
That’s why this moment matters.
We can finally distinguish:
👉 event-driven volatility
from
👉 data-driven pricing
Fear is rising.
#oott #Iran #Trump
🛢️But the oil market is telling a different story.
📉 US crude inventories fell by 3.5 million barrels last week.
More than expected.
Stocks are now 4% below the 5-year average.
API was even more aggressive.
-11.1 million barrels.
And yet, oil prices:
#Brent below $70/bbl.
#WTI near $65/bbl.
Look deeper into the data.
• Gasoline inventories rose
• Gasoline production fell to 9.0 mb/d
• Distillate inventories down 5.6 mb
• Distillate demand -6.2% YoY
• Total products supplied up 0.9% YoY
This is the key point.
Right now, oil is being pulled in 2 directions.
• Headlines are geopolitical
• Price action is fundamentals-driven
That’s why this moment matters.
We can finally distinguish:
👉 event-driven volatility
from
👉 data-driven pricing
Fear is rising.
#oott #Iran #Trump
We have entered the age of #copper.
- EVs use ~4× more copper than internal combustion vehicles
- AI data centers require ~6× more copper than traditional data centers
- The EU’s electrical grid expansion is projected to increase ~75×
Copper demand is surging, while supply remains disappointing.
- EVs use ~4× more copper than internal combustion vehicles
- AI data centers require ~6× more copper than traditional data centers
- The EU’s electrical grid expansion is projected to increase ~75×
Copper demand is surging, while supply remains disappointing.
🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
We’re extending the Venezuela Volatility to include two new surprise assets: Exxon ($XOM) and Chevron ($CVX). Trade these stocks with up to 50x leverage and the deepest liquidity onchain. Remember, this week Venezuela assets have double the points and half…
Exxon Mobile $XOM is surging as risks over Iran closing 20% of global oil supply through the Straight of Hormuz continue to build.
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
$ONDS/USD H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
$ONDS Here Is A Candle Patten / Moving Average Level To Watch: MA100 Day
• The Run Up, Then Pull Back To The 100 Day.
• Again, The Run Up, Now Pulling Back To The 100 Day.
• Watch $8.87, The MA100 Day.
• The Run Up, Then Pull Back To The 100 Day.
• Again, The Run Up, Now Pulling Back To The 100 Day.
• Watch $8.87, The MA100 Day.
MACRO TODAY
🇪🇺 Rate Decision - 08:15 AM ET.
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims - 08:30 AM.
🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings - 10:00. AM.
🚨 Prepare for volatility!
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$XAG $SI $SLV
"While higher beta and sentiment-driven flows can amplify short-term volatility, medium-term fundamentals remain supported by demand from solar PV, grid modernisation and electrification themes, which should help cushion downside once positioning and sentiment stabilise,"
— Christopher Wong, FX strategist at OCBC
"While higher beta and sentiment-driven flows can amplify short-term volatility, medium-term fundamentals remain supported by demand from solar PV, grid modernisation and electrification themes, which should help cushion downside once positioning and sentiment stabilise,"
— Christopher Wong, FX strategist at OCBC
🇪🇺🇨🇳 Reuters: EU wants to create a reserve of strategic raw materials to reduce dependence on China.
The initiative is led by Italy, France and Germany. It involves creating reserves of key raw materials and restricting exports of reusable scrap metal and rare earth waste.
It is assumed that France will finance the purchases, Germany will take care of the resources, and Italy will take care of storage.
China is the world's largest producer of industrial metals and minerals. However, it limits exports of gallium, germanium, molybdenum or antimony, as well as heavy rare earth metals such as dysprosium and terbium.
Europe does not have sufficient processing capacity, and diversification takes a long time. The creation of strategic reserves is considered one of the few available tools to protect the European economy.
The initiative is led by Italy, France and Germany. It involves creating reserves of key raw materials and restricting exports of reusable scrap metal and rare earth waste.
It is assumed that France will finance the purchases, Germany will take care of the resources, and Italy will take care of storage.
China is the world's largest producer of industrial metals and minerals. However, it limits exports of gallium, germanium, molybdenum or antimony, as well as heavy rare earth metals such as dysprosium and terbium.
Europe does not have sufficient processing capacity, and diversification takes a long time. The creation of strategic reserves is considered one of the few available tools to protect the European economy.
Paper silver and physical #silver are at war
- Paper shorts pushed silver prices down 22% in 2 hrs.
- At the same time, the physical market is being drained every day.
The most telling signal is coming from the COMEX.
- Normally only 1–3% of contracts settle physically
- Now we are seeing 100% physical settlement
You can’t build AI data centers or missiles with paper silver.
The world is desperate for real silver.
- Paper shorts pushed silver prices down 22% in 2 hrs.
- At the same time, the physical market is being drained every day.
The most telling signal is coming from the COMEX.
- Normally only 1–3% of contracts settle physically
- Now we are seeing 100% physical settlement
You can’t build AI data centers or missiles with paper silver.
The world is desperate for real silver.
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
#SILVER #XAG/USD M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI Silver volatility can move fast. Leverage magnifies it. Trade commodities with up to 250x leverage ➡️ gains.trade/trading#XAG-USD
#SILVER #XAG/USD M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
Silver volatility can move fast. Leverage magnifies it.
Trade commodities with up to 250x leverage ➡️ gains.trade/trading#XAG-USD
Silver volatility can move fast. Leverage magnifies it.
Trade commodities with up to 250x leverage ➡️ gains.trade/trading#XAG-USD
⚛️ Europe’s Nuclear Power Map Tells a Brutal Story
Nuclear isn’t Europewide.
It’s France centric
• EU total: ~650 TWh
• #France alone: ~380 TWh → ~58% of all EU nuclear
• #Sweden : ~51 TWh
• #Spain : ~55 TWh
• #Finland: ~33 TWh
• Many EU countries: zero nuclear
Europe’s power stability hinges on one country
Nuclear resilience ≠ evenly distributed
When French reactors sneeze, EU power prices catch a cold
Does Europe double down on nuclear expansion or keep outsourcing energy security to markets and weather?
#nuclear #uranium #energy
Nuclear isn’t Europewide.
It’s France centric
• EU total: ~650 TWh
• #France alone: ~380 TWh → ~58% of all EU nuclear
• #Sweden : ~51 TWh
• #Spain : ~55 TWh
• #Finland: ~33 TWh
• Many EU countries: zero nuclear
Europe’s power stability hinges on one country
Nuclear resilience ≠ evenly distributed
When French reactors sneeze, EU power prices catch a cold
Does Europe double down on nuclear expansion or keep outsourcing energy security to markets and weather?
#nuclear #uranium #energy
⚠️ Copper’s Supply Shock Is Coming ⚡
#IEA data shows a primary copper deficit emerging later this decade.
• Mine supply peaks early
• New projects arrive too slowly
• Demand keeps rising across all scenarios
Supply stuck around 26–28 Mt
Demand heads toward 30+ Mt
Copper isn’t rare.
Time is.
Where is the clearing level when the gap opens?
#copper #mineral #mining #metals #energy
#IEA data shows a primary copper deficit emerging later this decade.
• Mine supply peaks early
• New projects arrive too slowly
• Demand keeps rising across all scenarios
Supply stuck around 26–28 Mt
Demand heads toward 30+ Mt
Copper isn’t rare.
Time is.
Where is the clearing level when the gap opens?
#copper #mineral #mining #metals #energy
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
🛢️Oil & Gas Still Anchor the World’s Biggest Economies
• Saudi Aramco 🇸🇦 → $1.6T market cap
• Gazprom 🇷🇺 → $70B, despite sanctions and rerouted flows
• Petrobras 🇧🇷 → $112B, leverage to offshore + dividends
• Reliance Industries 🇮🇳 → $231B, oil-to-chemicals + refining scale
Energy companies still dominate national balance sheets and the State-linked producers matter more than pure majors in GDP terms
AI moves markets.
Oil and gas still move countries.
#oott #energy #India #Russia #Brazil
• Saudi Aramco 🇸🇦 → $1.6T market cap
• Gazprom 🇷🇺 → $70B, despite sanctions and rerouted flows
• Petrobras 🇧🇷 → $112B, leverage to offshore + dividends
• Reliance Industries 🇮🇳 → $231B, oil-to-chemicals + refining scale
Energy companies still dominate national balance sheets and the State-linked producers matter more than pure majors in GDP terms
AI moves markets.
Oil and gas still move countries.
#oott #energy #India #Russia #Brazil
#Gold is replacing US bonds as the safe-haven asset.
- We have reached 65 months of drawdowns with no end in sight
- A maximum monthly drawdown of 17%
- US 10-year bond drawdown since 2020: ~50%
- Meanwhile, gold is up ~3x
For comparison, when Volcker raised interest rates to 20% in 1980, it led to:
- 9 months of drawdowns
- A maximum monthly drawdown of 13%
Traditional portfolio construction with 60% equities and 40% bonds does not work in this new era.
Current US gold holdings in portfolios are ~1.4%. Now imagine what would happen to the price of gold if even a portion of the 40% bond allocation shifted into gold.
The gold bull market is far from over.
- We have reached 65 months of drawdowns with no end in sight
- A maximum monthly drawdown of 17%
- US 10-year bond drawdown since 2020: ~50%
- Meanwhile, gold is up ~3x
For comparison, when Volcker raised interest rates to 20% in 1980, it led to:
- 9 months of drawdowns
- A maximum monthly drawdown of 13%
Traditional portfolio construction with 60% equities and 40% bonds does not work in this new era.
Current US gold holdings in portfolios are ~1.4%. Now imagine what would happen to the price of gold if even a portion of the 40% bond allocation shifted into gold.
The gold bull market is far from over.
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
Elon Musk’s Plan to reach a Kardashev Type II Civilization 1. Move AI off Earth and into space AI needs massive power and cooling. Earth cannot scale this without damaging the environment and society. Space has constant sunlight, natural cooling, and unlimited…
🚨BREAKING: FCC accepts SpaceX filing for “Orbital Data Centers” in space
SpaceX plans up to 1,000,000 satellites at 500 to 2,000 km using optical laser links to Starlink and Earth, calling it a first step toward harnessing the Sun’s full power
SpaceX plans up to 1,000,000 satellites at 500 to 2,000 km using optical laser links to Starlink and Earth, calling it a first step toward harnessing the Sun’s full power
Thursday, Feb 5 2026, 12:05 UTC time
📋 Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% — signals likely cut ahead
✅ Summary: BOE kept Bank Rate at
🔖 BOE narrow vote underscores policy divergence risks
📌 Context: The close decision highlights internal hawk-dove tensions at the BOE — risks for volatility in GBP around UK data and BOE communications. Traders should watch upcoming labour/inflation prints and BOE speak for timing of potential cuts.
📋 German factory orders rise — fiscal stimulus boost
✅ Impact: German factory orders unexpectedly improved, reflecting fiscal stimulus effects and offering a positive signal for Eurozone industrial demand. Implication for EUR: supportive but likely modest — sustained momentum depends on exports and broader Eurozone growth outlook.
🔖 Bristol Myers Squibb — Eliquis demand beats in 4Q (US)
📌 Note: In the legacy portfolio, demand for anticoagulant Eliquis rose more than expected in Q4, supporting BMS revenue resilience. Market angle: positive for US equities in pharma; limited FX impact but relevant to USD risk sentiment in healthcare sector.
📋 Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% — signals likely cut ahead
✅ Summary: BOE kept Bank Rate at
3.75% after a narrow 5-4 vote, surprising markets with the split but explicitly signalling future reductions. Guidance aligns more closely with the Fed’s stance, suggesting easing ahead as inflation cools and growth remains subdued. Market implication: sterling may face downward pressure on rate-cut bets; gilts could rally on anticipated easing.🔖 BOE narrow vote underscores policy divergence risks
📌 Context: The close decision highlights internal hawk-dove tensions at the BOE — risks for volatility in GBP around UK data and BOE communications. Traders should watch upcoming labour/inflation prints and BOE speak for timing of potential cuts.
📋 German factory orders rise — fiscal stimulus boost
✅ Impact: German factory orders unexpectedly improved, reflecting fiscal stimulus effects and offering a positive signal for Eurozone industrial demand. Implication for EUR: supportive but likely modest — sustained momentum depends on exports and broader Eurozone growth outlook.
🔖 Bristol Myers Squibb — Eliquis demand beats in 4Q (US)
📌 Note: In the legacy portfolio, demand for anticoagulant Eliquis rose more than expected in Q4, supporting BMS revenue resilience. Market angle: positive for US equities in pharma; limited FX impact but relevant to USD risk sentiment in healthcare sector.
All roads lead to inflation
In a decade:
- Interest expense: set to double
- Healthcare: up ~80%
- Social Security: up ~70%
- Defense: up ~20%
Together, these grow faster than GDP,
pushing the deficit ~30% higher.
All of this assumes long-term CPI inflation of ~2.4%.
If inflation runs hotter, even modestly,
spending rises faster, deficits widen,
and financing costs jump.
Which feeds inflation again.
The risk of an inflationary surge remains elevated
In a decade:
- Interest expense: set to double
- Healthcare: up ~80%
- Social Security: up ~70%
- Defense: up ~20%
Together, these grow faster than GDP,
pushing the deficit ~30% higher.
All of this assumes long-term CPI inflation of ~2.4%.
If inflation runs hotter, even modestly,
spending rises faster, deficits widen,
and financing costs jump.
Which feeds inflation again.
The risk of an inflationary surge remains elevated
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
The 22% #silver flash crash today was driven by aggressive shorting.
- Trading volume hit 1.3 million ounces this morning
- That’s nearly 2× global mine supply in a single session
- The SHFE flagged six groups of accounts for abnormal trading behavior
- Those accounts were restricted from opening new positions
This wasn’t organic selling.
It was a deliberate attempt to force prices lower using concentrated short pressure.
Someone was desperate to break silver and they pushed hard enough that the exchange had to step in.
- Trading volume hit 1.3 million ounces this morning
- That’s nearly 2× global mine supply in a single session
- The SHFE flagged six groups of accounts for abnormal trading behavior
- Those accounts were restricted from opening new positions
This wasn’t organic selling.
It was a deliberate attempt to force prices lower using concentrated short pressure.
Someone was desperate to break silver and they pushed hard enough that the exchange had to step in.