Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
๐จ OIL IS REPRICING FAST ๐จ
๐ข๏ธ #Brent : $67
๐ข๏ธ #WTI : $63
That is already higher than most of 2025.
โข Iran risk is back in the price โ ๏ธ
โข Geopolitics is adding a real risk premium ๐
โข Supply fears move faster than inventories
Oil is not trading fundamentals alone anymore.
It is trading fear, politics, and optionality.
#Iran #Trump
๐ข๏ธ #Brent : $67
๐ข๏ธ #WTI : $63
That is already higher than most of 2025.
โข Iran risk is back in the price โ ๏ธ
โข Geopolitics is adding a real risk premium ๐
โข Supply fears move faster than inventories
Oil is not trading fundamentals alone anymore.
It is trading fear, politics, and optionality.
#Iran #Trump
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
๐จ Antimony (Sb) screaming CRITICAL for 2026! Supply: Extremely tight Demand: Defense + booming Solar H1 Outlook: BULLISH EXTREME โ One of the most vital (and overlooked) critical metals right now.
MASSIVE.
1. New hydromet tech can turn < 10% Sb into mil-spec
2. 150 tons inbound Feb/March.
3. $44M DOE app filed for US facility. ๐
4. Similar DoW app filed
5. 15x expansion in Bolivia complete.
Let. Them. Cook. ๐ฅ
$UAMY $NVA $CRML
1. New hydromet tech can turn < 10% Sb into mil-spec
2. 150 tons inbound Feb/March.
3. $44M DOE app filed for US facility. ๐
4. Similar DoW app filed
5. 15x expansion in Bolivia complete.
Let. Them. Cook. ๐ฅ
$UAMY $NVA $CRML
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
MASSIVE. 1. New hydromet tech can turn < 10% Sb into mil-spec 2. 150 tons inbound Feb/March. 3. $44M DOE app filed for US facility. ๐ 4. Similar DoW app filed 5. 15x expansion in Bolivia complete. Let. Them. Cook. ๐ฅ $UAMY $NVA $CRML
China is likely never going to export antimony again to the U.S.
$UAMY is the only active producer of this strategic metal in the U.S. and is scaling output to meet demand.
Adding further price support to antimony is news today that China lost a major processing facility to fire. 2000 tons of production lost for months. It never would have made it to export anyway. Metal price will be held and likely bid higher..
$UAMY is the only active producer of this strategic metal in the U.S. and is scaling output to meet demand.
Adding further price support to antimony is news today that China lost a major processing facility to fire. 2000 tons of production lost for months. It never would have made it to export anyway. Metal price will be held and likely bid higher..
โ1
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS TESTING THE SAME ZONE THAT TRIGGERED THE 2017 AND 2021 #BITCOIN BULL RUN.
The Dollar Index (#DXY) has broken below its 16-year long-term trendline, and is sitting at the critical level of 96.
Each time #DXY has broken below 96 and held there, Bitcoin has moved aggressively higher.
- June 2017: #DXY dropped below 96. Bitcoin rose almost 8x in the next 5โ6 months.
- 2020 pandemic period: After massive liquidity entered markets, #DXY lost 96 again. Bitcoin rose about 7x in the next 7โ8 months. Ethereum and altcoins gained 10x, 20x, and more.
This is how liquidity cycles work.
When the dollar weakens:
- Cash loses relative strength
- Capital flows into scarce assets
Bitcoin benefits directly from that shift.
Right now, #DXY is again at this historical trigger level while breaking its long-term structure. If it loses 96 and stays below, Bitcoin can start moving higher.
The Dollar Index (#DXY) has broken below its 16-year long-term trendline, and is sitting at the critical level of 96.
Each time #DXY has broken below 96 and held there, Bitcoin has moved aggressively higher.
- June 2017: #DXY dropped below 96. Bitcoin rose almost 8x in the next 5โ6 months.
- 2020 pandemic period: After massive liquidity entered markets, #DXY lost 96 again. Bitcoin rose about 7x in the next 7โ8 months. Ethereum and altcoins gained 10x, 20x, and more.
This is how liquidity cycles work.
When the dollar weakens:
- Cash loses relative strength
- Capital flows into scarce assets
Bitcoin benefits directly from that shift.
Right now, #DXY is again at this historical trigger level while breaking its long-term structure. If it loses 96 and stays below, Bitcoin can start moving higher.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
๐บ๐ธ The S&P 500 just hit 7,000 for the first time in history.
It has added over $1.4 trillion to its market cap in the first 28 days of 2026.
It has added over $1.4 trillion to its market cap in the first 28 days of 2026.
๐จ The best-performing commodities YoY:
๐ฅ #Silver : +273%
โช #Platinum : +178%
๐ฅ #GOLD : +89%
๐ These are the largest annual gains since 1979โ1980.
Why this is alarming?
โข Hard assets are outperforming everything
โข Investors are pricing currency risk + geopolitics
โข This looks less like a trade, more like a stress signal
When silver leads, gold follows, and platinum explodes.
Markets are not chasing growth.
They are running for protection.
๐ฅ #Silver : +273%
โช #Platinum : +178%
๐ฅ #GOLD : +89%
๐ These are the largest annual gains since 1979โ1980.
Why this is alarming?
โข Hard assets are outperforming everything
โข Investors are pricing currency risk + geopolitics
โข This looks less like a trade, more like a stress signal
When silver leads, gold follows, and platinum explodes.
Markets are not chasing growth.
They are running for protection.
Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
๐จ IranโTrump tensions:
โข Strait of Hormuz remains open, but
โข Iran has run live-fire drills and restricted airspace
โข IRGC openly warns it can โcontrolโ Hormuz
โข Trump escalates rhetoric and sanctions pressure
This is the same setup we saw in mid-2025.
โ ๏ธ Back then:
โข US strikes โ Brent spiked ~10% in days
โข No closure, no war but the risk premium was real
โข Prices only faded once escalation was clearly capped
Why the market is nervous?
๐ 20% of global oil flows through Hormuz
๐ Even a threat of disruption adds dollars to crude
๐ Physical supply hasnโt changed ...perception has
Oil is trading fear, politics, and optionality.
As long as Hormuz stays open, the premium is capped.
But once geopolitics takes the wheel, prices move first and ask questions later.
#oott #Brent #WTI #Iran #Trump
โข Strait of Hormuz remains open, but
โข Iran has run live-fire drills and restricted airspace
โข IRGC openly warns it can โcontrolโ Hormuz
โข Trump escalates rhetoric and sanctions pressure
This is the same setup we saw in mid-2025.
โ ๏ธ Back then:
โข US strikes โ Brent spiked ~10% in days
โข No closure, no war but the risk premium was real
โข Prices only faded once escalation was clearly capped
Why the market is nervous?
๐ 20% of global oil flows through Hormuz
๐ Even a threat of disruption adds dollars to crude
๐ Physical supply hasnโt changed ...perception has
Oil is trading fear, politics, and optionality.
As long as Hormuz stays open, the premium is capped.
But once geopolitics takes the wheel, prices move first and ask questions later.
#oott #Brent #WTI #Iran #Trump
๐ Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, claims the company could become a "central bank of #gold" in a post-dollar world.
Tether is now the largest known holder of gold outside of banks and governments, with over 140 tons valued at approximately $23 billion, stored in a nuclear bunker in Switzerland ๐จ๐ญ
Tether is now the largest known holder of gold outside of banks and governments, with over 140 tons valued at approximately $23 billion, stored in a nuclear bunker in Switzerland ๐จ๐ญ
๐ณ1
Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
๐จ BREAKING: Chevron to Flood US with Venezuelan Oil in March ๐ป๐ช๐ข๏ธ๐บ๐ธ
โข Chevron is set to boost Venezuelan crude exports to the US to 300,000 bpd in March
Up from 100,000 bpd in December and 230,000 bpd so far this month.
โข #Chevron has chartered 12 tankers to lift stored barrels and move them to US Gulf Coast refiners.
โข This increase comes as Washington eases sanctions and seeks to normalize Venezuelan oil sales under US control
This is a strategic rerouting of Venezuelan oil back into the Atlantic basin at a time when markets are watching geopolitical risk and fuel balances closely.
#oott #Venezuela
โข Chevron is set to boost Venezuelan crude exports to the US to 300,000 bpd in March
Up from 100,000 bpd in December and 230,000 bpd so far this month.
โข #Chevron has chartered 12 tankers to lift stored barrels and move them to US Gulf Coast refiners.
โข This increase comes as Washington eases sanctions and seeks to normalize Venezuelan oil sales under US control
This is a strategic rerouting of Venezuelan oil back into the Atlantic basin at a time when markets are watching geopolitical risk and fuel balances closely.
#oott #Venezuela
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Ray Dalio just said the quiet part out loud. "If you depreciate the money, it makes everything look like it's going up." The Stock Market boom is a lieโฆ We are witnessing the death of the Dollar, not the growth of the economy. 99% of people have no idea.
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Ray Dalio just warned us...
"The monetary system is ending."
Banks aren't buying Gold for profit. They're buying to escape the Dollar. The great reset is here.
There is no ceiling for #Gold because there is no floor for fiat currency.
Most people have no idea what's coming.
"The monetary system is ending."
Banks aren't buying Gold for profit. They're buying to escape the Dollar. The great reset is here.
There is no ceiling for #Gold because there is no floor for fiat currency.
Most people have no idea what's coming.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
โarenโt you afraid of AI taking your job?โ What job?
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BREAKING: Amazon just let go 16,000 corporate employees.
600,000 $AMZN warehouse workers are next on the chopping block.
600,000 $AMZN warehouse workers are next on the chopping block.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
BREAKING: Amazon just let go 16,000 corporate employees. 600,000 $AMZN warehouse workers are next on the chopping block.
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2026 is the year we see vast unemployment due to AI
Geoffrey Hinton - Godfather of AI
Geoffrey Hinton - Godfather of AI
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Tomorrow at 2:30 p.m. ET: Chair Powell hosts live #FOMC press conference: federalreserve.gov
โ ๏ธThere are 20 minutes left until the meeting #FED
Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
๐จ GUYANA JUST BROKE U.S. SHALE ECONOMICS ๐ข๏ธ
โข ๐ฌ๐พ #GUYANA breakevens: $25โ35/bbl
โข ๐บ๐ธ US shale breakevens: $40โ60/bbl
โข That is a $15โ30/bbl structural advantage
Guyana is becoming a permanent pillar of global oil flows ๐๐ข๏ธ
#oott #Venezuela #energy
โข ๐ฌ๐พ #GUYANA breakevens: $25โ35/bbl
โข ๐บ๐ธ US shale breakevens: $40โ60/bbl
โข That is a $15โ30/bbl structural advantage
Guyana is becoming a permanent pillar of global oil flows ๐๐ข๏ธ
#oott #Venezuela #energy
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$46.000.000 luxury yacht tour ๐ฎ
FACT.: 3.75% (PAUSE)
PROGNOSIS.: 3.75%
PREDICTION.: 3.75%
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๐ฐ Top Headlines
๐ Top Headlines
Fed: FOMC voted 10-2 to keep the fed funds range at 3.50%โ3.75% and signalled a pause in rate cuts. BoC: stood pat on policy rates and warned of heightened uncertainty.
โ Policy tone & nuance
Fed pause = cautious stance: statement noted unemployment "has shown some signs of stabilization" โ implying lower nearโterm confidence in disinflation momentum. BoC hesitation reinforces global central bank caution amid mixed data.
๐ Market implications โ rates & yield curves
The Fed pause keeps front-end U.S. yields elevated and limits immediate easing expectations. Curve may remain flat to steeper if growth fears rise; volatility likely around economic data (inflation, payrolls).
๐ FX impact โ USD, CAD, risk pairs
Higher-for-longer Fed narrative = supportive for USD vs. funding and risk-sensitive currencies. BoC pause + uncertainty = mixed CAD reaction: near-term CAD weakness if global risk-off dominates, but cyclical resilience could cap losses. Watch USD/CAD for moves above recent highs on USD strength.
๐ Trading signals / watchlist
- Short-term: fade risk rallies if USD strength persists; monitor U.S. ISM, CPI, payrolls.
- Medium-term: positions biased to carry into higher-yielding USD assets if data disappoints.
- Key levels: watch USD index at psychological zones and USD/CAD technical resistance/support.
โ Risk events ahead
Upcoming U.S. inflation prints, payrolls, and central bank speaks are market drivers that could break the current equilibrium. Manage sizing โ history shows rapid moves when policy messaging meets mixed data.
๐ Bottom line
Policy pauses from Fed and BoC = central banks on hold but wary. Expect shorter reaction windows to economic data, higher USD sensitivity, and elevated FX/yield volatility. Trade with event risk in mind.
๐ Top Headlines
Fed: FOMC voted 10-2 to keep the fed funds range at 3.50%โ3.75% and signalled a pause in rate cuts. BoC: stood pat on policy rates and warned of heightened uncertainty.
โ Policy tone & nuance
Fed pause = cautious stance: statement noted unemployment "has shown some signs of stabilization" โ implying lower nearโterm confidence in disinflation momentum. BoC hesitation reinforces global central bank caution amid mixed data.
๐ Market implications โ rates & yield curves
The Fed pause keeps front-end U.S. yields elevated and limits immediate easing expectations. Curve may remain flat to steeper if growth fears rise; volatility likely around economic data (inflation, payrolls).
๐ FX impact โ USD, CAD, risk pairs
Higher-for-longer Fed narrative = supportive for USD vs. funding and risk-sensitive currencies. BoC pause + uncertainty = mixed CAD reaction: near-term CAD weakness if global risk-off dominates, but cyclical resilience could cap losses. Watch USD/CAD for moves above recent highs on USD strength.
๐ Trading signals / watchlist
- Short-term: fade risk rallies if USD strength persists; monitor U.S. ISM, CPI, payrolls.
- Medium-term: positions biased to carry into higher-yielding USD assets if data disappoints.
- Key levels: watch USD index at psychological zones and USD/CAD technical resistance/support.
โ Risk events ahead
Upcoming U.S. inflation prints, payrolls, and central bank speaks are market drivers that could break the current equilibrium. Manage sizing โ history shows rapid moves when policy messaging meets mixed data.
๐ Bottom line
Policy pauses from Fed and BoC = central banks on hold but wary. Expect shorter reaction windows to economic data, higher USD sensitivity, and elevated FX/yield volatility. Trade with event risk in mind.
โ๏ธ ACCOMPANYING LETTER #FED
โ๏ธ The FED will continue open market operations to maintain the rate within the established range (purchase of government bonds/#QE).
โซ๏ธ Economic activity continues to grow at a moderate pace.
โซ๏ธ Job growth remains low, and the unemployment rate shows signs of stabilization.
โซ๏ธ Inflation remains somewhat elevated.
โ๏ธ Uncertainty regarding economic prospects remains at an elevated level.
โซ๏ธ The FED will carefully assess incoming macroeconomic data, evolving prospects, and the balance of risks when considering further rate adjustments.
โซ๏ธ The FED is ready to adjust the DMP in the event of risks that could hinder the achievement of its goals.
โซ๏ธ Goals: maximum employment and inflation at the level of 2% in the long term.
Next: live text broadcast of the conference with J. Powell.
โ๏ธ The FED will continue open market operations to maintain the rate within the established range (purchase of government bonds/#QE).
โซ๏ธ Economic activity continues to grow at a moderate pace.
โซ๏ธ Job growth remains low, and the unemployment rate shows signs of stabilization.
โซ๏ธ Inflation remains somewhat elevated.
โ๏ธ Uncertainty regarding economic prospects remains at an elevated level.
โซ๏ธ The FED will carefully assess incoming macroeconomic data, evolving prospects, and the balance of risks when considering further rate adjustments.
โซ๏ธ The FED is ready to adjust the DMP in the event of risks that could hinder the achievement of its goals.
โซ๏ธ Goals: maximum employment and inflation at the level of 2% in the long term.
Next: live text broadcast of the conference with J. Powell.
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