#InterestRates likely to hold steady at tomorrows #FOMC rate setting meeting.
Lets see what the last guidance is on economic expectations which are more likely to move the market.
#BTC and most #Crypto are sitting on significant support and so a breakout is expected soon

🎯 IRAQ: FIRST DOMINO FALLS TODAY

TODAY (Tuesday Jan 27): Presidential election
THEN: Government formation → IMF certification → Budget approval → New exchange rate

Frank26: Chase wealth manager - "All systems go. We anticipate IQD rate changed by Friday" (Jan 30)

Iraqi TV: "Trillions to Billions to Millions" = rate change messaging

Pattern:
- Sovereignty achieved ✅
- Banking reform complete ✅
- Infrastructure operational ✅
- UN: Iraq "stable, secure, sovereign" ✅
- Parliament voting today ✅
- Banks expecting rate change by month end ✅

Presidential vote today triggers the sequence. Chase exec says rate changed by Friday.

Timeline: This week activates, rate change by Jan 30.

Not speculation. Observable parliamentary process with bank confirmation.

Sources: Iraqi parliament, Frank26, Iraqi government statements

📰 Top Headlines

📋 US Durable Goods Orders (Trading Economics) — Durable goods surged in November. 
Market impact: Strong capex signal supports growth outlook and could lift Treasury yields, providing bullish bias for the USD. Expect short-term upside for cyclical FX (AUD, NZD) if risk sentiment follows through; USD strength may cap commodity-linked currencies.

✅ Irish Consumer Sentiment (Reuters) — Sentiment climbs to a nine-month high. 
Market impact: Positive domestic demand cue for the Eurozone periphery. Slightly constructive for the EUR vs safe-havens, and may support EUR/GBP if UK data lags. Watch broader Eurozone PMIs for confirmation.

🔖 UnitedHealth 4Q Revenue $87.1B (Dow Jones) — Beats and shows operational resilience. 
Market impact: Boost to US equities, especially healthcare; could attract flows into US risk assets and weigh on the USD if equity rally is sustained. Sector-specific FX moves are muted but equity-driven USD flows matter.

📌 UnitedHealth 2026 Ops Earnings > $10.8B (Dow Jones) — Upbeat earnings outlook. 
Market impact: Reinforces stock-specific optimism and broader risk-on tone. Monitor correlation between equity strength and USD softness; risk-sensitive currencies may rally.

📋 UnitedHealth 2026 Membership 46.9M–47.5M (Dow Jones) — Membership guidance narrows. 
Market impact: Operational stability reduces downside risk for healthcare equities. Indirectly supportive of risk assets; limited direct FX effect beyond risk sentiment transmission.

✅ UnitedHealth 2026 Revenue > $335B despite fewer consumers (Dow Jones) — Revenue guidance still healthy. 
Market impact: Suggests pricing/premium mix supporting margins. Positive for Wall Street positioning; tailwinds for USD via equity inflows may be offset by lower bond safe-haven demand if risk appetite rises.

🔖 Overall FX/Market Takeaway — Macro + corporate beats create a risk-on backdrop. 
Short-term trade ideas: Fade safe-havens on confirmed risk rally (short USD/JPY, long AUD/JPY); long EUR vs lagging GBP if Eurozone momentum continues. Watch US yields and next CPI data—persistent rate expectations could re-strengthen the USD.

📌 Key risks — Reversal in yields, geopolitical shocks, or disappointing Eurozone manufacturing data could negate risk-on flows. Keep stops tight and monitor cross-asset correlations.

U.S. Weighs Naval Blockade on IRAN'S Oil 'Shadow Fleet and assassinating IRAN leadership!!

Trump administration is studying or considering measures like stopping and inspecting Iranian oil tankers at sea to curb oil exports—similar to actions taken against Venezuela's sanctioned oil trade. This could resemble a de facto blockade or interdiction effort targeting Iran's "shadow fleet" of vessels evading sanctions.
Sanctions have already been imposed on nine vessels allegedly involved in evading restrictions on Iranian oil shipments.

🇮🇷🇺🇲On the second option—targeting Iranian leadership:Trump has referenced potential strikes on regime targets. Recent comments suggest options like "systematically taking out the leadership".

Experts' fears of escalation to all-out war are widespread in analyses:A naval blockade or tanker interdictions could provoke Iranian responses, such as closing the Strait of Hormuz (through which ~20% of global oil passes), mining waters, or attacking shipping—potentially spiking global oil prices and drawing in allies.
Leadership strikes risk massive Iranian retaliation via proxies (e.g., in Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon) or direct missile/drone attacks on U.S. forces/assets in the region.

🇺🇸 The U.S. is reportedly considering targeted strikes against senior Iranian officials and commanders held responsible for the deaths of protesters.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The strikes could occur as soon as this week, although the exact timing remains uncertain — Middle East Eye.

🚀 Opinion: How The U.S. Space Force Aims To Win The Future Fight 🌌

The U.S. Space Force is revolutionizing modern warfare with cutting-edge satellite constellations that track moving targets globally. From hypersonic threats to missile silos, this next-gen capability ensures unmatched battlespace awareness and resilience. $ASTS

🌏 Ray Dalio: The world is entering a dangerous phase of the Great Cycle.

The USA and the world as a whole are on the verge of transitioning from Stage 5 to Stage 6 — from the preliminary destruction of orders to their open collapse.

Key signals:
• States are overloaded with debts, and income and value gaps are growing.
• Economic shocks are intensifying tensions.
• Money is being printed, but it's not going into productive investments.
• Populism and polarization are displacing moderate forces.
• Media and institutions are losing trust.
• Violence is starting to spill over into the real world.

Outcome:
◦ Either painful but unifying reforms.
◦ Or a forceful restructuring of the system through crisis and conflict.

The Great Cycle is a historical model by Ray Dalio, describing the full life cycle of monetary, political, and geopolitical orders. On average, it lasts about 80 years and ends in a crisis.

THIS IS SURPRISING.

Over the last 12 months

#Silver: +267%
#Gold: +84%
#Copper: +38%
Nasdaq: +22%
S&P 500: +16%
Russell 2000: +16%

#Bitcoin: −14%
#Ethereum: −8%
Total crypto market cap: −14%
Altcoins: -50%

Every other asset class has given positive returns except crypto.

When you kept telling everyone that paper money is a scam but bought #bitcoin instead of #gold and #silver

#SILVER #XAG/USD M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Silver volatility can move fast. Leverage magnifies it.

Trade commodities with up to 250x leverage ➡️ gains.trade/trading#XAG-USD

#GOLD #XAU/USD M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Gold volatility can move fast. Leverage magnifies it.

Trade commodities with up to 250x leverage ➡️ gains.trade/trading#XAU-USD

“aren’t you afraid of AI taking your job?”

What job?

For the first time in HISTORY, #Gold just did a $2.4 trillion market cap swing in a single day.

First, on Jan 26, gold added about $880 billion in just 6 hours.

Then during the U.S. session, in roughly 4.5 hours, gold erased $840 billion in a sharp selloff.

After that, when the Asian markets opened, gold added back $720 billion over the next 12 hours.

For an asset that is supposed to be a safe haven, this level of volatility is extreme.

The President has shown his hand.

I think two different phases are coming.

First, it's important to note that there are roughly 8 stocks with meaningful ties to US gov't & President:

Confirmed US gov't-backed equity stakes:
- $INTC, 9.9% stake
- $MP, 15% stake
- $LAC, 5% stake
- $TMQ, 10% stake
- $USAR, potentially 10%-12%+ stake

Trump specifically owns:
- $DJT, 45%+ stake...roughly 114.75M shares.

Other Trump family-tied assets:
- $ABTC, co-founded by Eric Trump
- $HUT, partnered with Eric Trump

First phase? Secure the hard assets and infrastructure.

In the last six months, we've witnessed "hard assets" rise exponentially.

$GLD, $SLV, oil, gas, rare earths, critical minerals + many adjacent companies making moves never seen before.

Phase one, hard assets.

Phase two? Digital assets.

Crypto's raging bull market won't be far behind.

That's phase two.

Phase one is securing hard assets + infrastructure, phase two is securing digital assets + infrastructure.

The clues are everywhere.

The Trump family's personal wealth is increasingly tied to digital assets & crypto now too.

And crypto exposure keeps growing.

Since he took office, the common themes have been...
> sovereignty
> freedom
> lack of reliance on foreign power
> innovation & emerging tech
> financial modernization

By definition? Crypto.

Like I said before, the shift from momentum asset to a real-world infrastructure asset is going to take time.

But I don't see a world where $BTC & $ETH aren't significantly higher in the next 3 years.

PRESIDENT TRUMP:

"I only care about one thing, will we be number one in crypto."