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President Trump says he has been assured the killings in Iran have stopped.
Looks like any potential airstrike is delayed until after OpEx.
Looks like any potential airstrike is delayed until after OpEx.
Graph of US government bond purchases:
β€ January 20 - purchase of $8,306b.
β€ January 22 - purchase of $6,920b.
β€ January 26 - purchase of $8,304b.
β€ January 29 - purchase of $8,304b.
β€ February 2 - purchase of $6,921b.
β€ February 4 - purchase of $8,304b.
β€ February 10 - purchase of $8,304b.
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@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
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@VooiAppBot
π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
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@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
@VooiAppBot
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βοΈ vooi.io
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π± mtpelerin.com
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π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
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βοΈ ostium.com
βοΈ vooi.io
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@VooiAppBot
π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
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π₯ carrotfunding.io
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π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
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βοΈ vooi.io
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π₯ carrotfunding.io
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π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
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π¨π³ Chinaβs trade surplus hit a record $1.2 trillion in 2025
the highest ever and a massive jump from previous years.
Why so huge in 2025?Strong export growth (EVs, solar, batteries, machinery)
Weak domestic demand β more goods shipped abroad
Weaker #yuan helping competitiveness
Global supply-chain shifts favoring Chinese manufacturing
This surplus fuels tensions (US tariffs, EU probes) and gives China huge reserves to invest globally or defend the yuan.
#China #Trade #Economy #Surplus
the highest ever and a massive jump from previous years.
Why so huge in 2025?Strong export growth (EVs, solar, batteries, machinery)
Weak domestic demand β more goods shipped abroad
Weaker #yuan helping competitiveness
Global supply-chain shifts favoring Chinese manufacturing
This surplus fuels tensions (US tariffs, EU probes) and gives China huge reserves to invest globally or defend the yuan.
#China #Trade #Economy #Surplus
#Silver to Brent Ratio
One ounce of silver buys 1.37 barrels of oil.
Historically, over 30+ yrs, this wasway lower, like 0.27β0.33 range (oil dominating big time most periods), so we're talking a massive deviation
silver's ripping on industrial demand (solar, EVs, batteries), supply deficits, and momentum, while oil's getting crushed by surplus forecasts and weak macro bears everywhere.
Mean reversion could bite eventually, but right now it's a clear signal capital's fleeing paper for real stuff.
#oott #Silver
One ounce of silver buys 1.37 barrels of oil.
Historically, over 30+ yrs, this wasway lower, like 0.27β0.33 range (oil dominating big time most periods), so we're talking a massive deviation
silver's ripping on industrial demand (solar, EVs, batteries), supply deficits, and momentum, while oil's getting crushed by surplus forecasts and weak macro bears everywhere.
Mean reversion could bite eventually, but right now it's a clear signal capital's fleeing paper for real stuff.
#oott #Silver
Electricity vs. Incomeβ¦
No such thing as a low energy rich country.
Do you agree?
Does wealth drive energy consumption as much as the graph below implies?
#energy #electricity
No such thing as a low energy rich country.
Do you agree?
Does wealth drive energy consumption as much as the graph below implies?
#energy #electricity
β‘1
Global Copper Market Faces a Massive Supply Gap by 2040
why copper bulls are excited and why supply risks are real?
- Total demand keeps climbing: from ~25 Mt in 2020 β ~42 Mt by 2040
- Mined supply (primary) peaks around 2030 at 27 Mt, then slowly declines without major new projects
- Recycled supply (secondary) stays flat at ~10 Mt
β οΈBy 2040, the world needs an additional +14 Mt of new copper supply just to meet demand (the βdemand gapβ shaded area)
Without massive new mine development (which takes 10β15+ years), supply is set to fall short
Mined production only covers 66% of total supply today the rest is recycling
#Copper #Commodities #Energy #Mining
why copper bulls are excited and why supply risks are real?
- Total demand keeps climbing: from ~25 Mt in 2020 β ~42 Mt by 2040
- Mined supply (primary) peaks around 2030 at 27 Mt, then slowly declines without major new projects
- Recycled supply (secondary) stays flat at ~10 Mt
β οΈBy 2040, the world needs an additional +14 Mt of new copper supply just to meet demand (the βdemand gapβ shaded area)
Without massive new mine development (which takes 10β15+ years), supply is set to fall short
Mined production only covers 66% of total supply today the rest is recycling
#Copper #Commodities #Energy #Mining
π¨THE CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL WAS DELAYED BECAUSE OF BIG BANKS.
Let us explain this in simple words.
Banks do not want real competition.
DeFi and stablecoins threaten their core business. This bill, in its current form, limits that competition instead of encouraging fair innovation.
Even JPMorganβs CFO said it clearly:
If stablecoins are allowed to offer yield, banks will see large money outflows.
That one statement explains a lot.
Brian Armstrong said this bill would make crypto worse than it is today.
He said directly: no bill is better than a bad bill.
Not because regulation is bad, but because this version protects banks more than it protects innovation.
Now look at what the bill actually does:
1. TOKENIZED STOCKS WOULD BE ALMOST BANNED
Crypto versions of equities would become nearly impossible in the US.
This kills one of the biggest real world use cases of blockchain.
2. DEFI WOULD BE TREATED LIKE BANKS
The government would get broad access to user data. Every transaction would need reporting.
This destroys privacy and kills the whole idea of decentralization.
DeFi stops being DeFi and becomes another bank system.
3. CFTC GETS WEAKER, SEC GETS MORE POWER
Power gets centralized under one regulator. Innovation slows down.
Crypto native projects face higher compliance and more uncertainty.
4. STABLECOIN REWARDS COULD BE BANNED
Stablecoins would not be allowed to pay yield.
Why? Because yield attracts deposits away from banks.
This directly protects the banking system from competition.
So when you connect everything:
β’ DeFi becomes controlled
β’ Stablecoins lose yield
β’ Tokenization gets blocked
β’ Banks face less competition
This bill does not help crypto much but It protects banks.
Let us explain this in simple words.
Banks do not want real competition.
DeFi and stablecoins threaten their core business. This bill, in its current form, limits that competition instead of encouraging fair innovation.
Even JPMorganβs CFO said it clearly:
If stablecoins are allowed to offer yield, banks will see large money outflows.
That one statement explains a lot.
Brian Armstrong said this bill would make crypto worse than it is today.
He said directly: no bill is better than a bad bill.
Not because regulation is bad, but because this version protects banks more than it protects innovation.
Now look at what the bill actually does:
1. TOKENIZED STOCKS WOULD BE ALMOST BANNED
Crypto versions of equities would become nearly impossible in the US.
This kills one of the biggest real world use cases of blockchain.
2. DEFI WOULD BE TREATED LIKE BANKS
The government would get broad access to user data. Every transaction would need reporting.
This destroys privacy and kills the whole idea of decentralization.
DeFi stops being DeFi and becomes another bank system.
3. CFTC GETS WEAKER, SEC GETS MORE POWER
Power gets centralized under one regulator. Innovation slows down.
Crypto native projects face higher compliance and more uncertainty.
4. STABLECOIN REWARDS COULD BE BANNED
Stablecoins would not be allowed to pay yield.
Why? Because yield attracts deposits away from banks.
This directly protects the banking system from competition.
So when you connect everything:
β’ DeFi becomes controlled
β’ Stablecoins lose yield
β’ Tokenization gets blocked
β’ Banks face less competition
This bill does not help crypto much but It protects banks.
β1
πΊπ² Senate Banking Committee has cancelled todayβs voting on the crypto market structure bill after the Coinbase CEO withdraws support.
Forwarded from π’WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading π