Macro Releases: Wednesday, Jan 14π
Time: 8.30 am ET.β³
πΊπΈ PPI (Oct)
πΊπΈ Core PPI
πΊπΈ Retail Sales
Time: 2.00 pm ET.β³
πΊπΈ FED Beige Book
Time: 8.30 am ET.
Time: 2.00 pm ET.
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π₯ US macroeconomic data (PPI):
βͺοΈ Producer Price Index (PPI) (YoY) (Oct)
FACT: 3.0%
PRED.: 2.7%
βͺοΈ Producer Price Index (PPI) (MoM) (Oct)
FACT: 0.2%
PRED.: 0.3%
βͺοΈ Core Producer Price Index (PPI) (MoM) (Oct)
FACT: 0.0%
PRED.: 0.1%
βͺοΈ Core Producer Price Index (PPI) (YoY) (Oct)
FACT: 3.0%
PRED.: 2.6%
βͺοΈ Producer Price Index (PPI) (YoY) (Oct)
FACT: 3.0%
PRED.: 2.7%
βͺοΈ Producer Price Index (PPI) (MoM) (Oct)
FACT: 0.2%
PRED.: 0.3%
βͺοΈ Core Producer Price Index (PPI) (MoM) (Oct)
FACT: 0.0%
PRED.: 0.1%
βͺοΈ Core Producer Price Index (PPI) (YoY) (Oct)
FACT: 3.0%
PRED.: 2.6%
TOP GROWTH THEMES FOR 2026
β’ Crypto | $HOOD, $COIN, $BMNR, $BTC, $ETH
β’ Quantum | $IONQ, $CCCX, $RGTI, $QBTS, $QUBTS
β’ Robotics | $TSLA, $SERV, $SYM, $RR
β’ Nuclear | $OKLO, $SMR, $BWXT, $LEU, $GEV, $UUUU
β’ Compute Utility | $CRWV, $WULF, $APLD, $CORZ, $GLXY, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR
β’ Electrification | $TSLA, $BE, $CEG, $NEE, $VST, $EOSE, $VRT
β’ Drones | $OSS, $PDYN, $ONDS, $UMAC, $RCAT $DPRO, $AVAV
β’ Space | $RKLB, $ASTS, $PL, $RDW, $FJET, $FLY
β’ Crypto | $HOOD, $COIN, $BMNR, $BTC, $ETH
β’ Quantum | $IONQ, $CCCX, $RGTI, $QBTS, $QUBTS
β’ Robotics | $TSLA, $SERV, $SYM, $RR
β’ Nuclear | $OKLO, $SMR, $BWXT, $LEU, $GEV, $UUUU
β’ Compute Utility | $CRWV, $WULF, $APLD, $CORZ, $GLXY, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR
β’ Electrification | $TSLA, $BE, $CEG, $NEE, $VST, $EOSE, $VRT
β’ Drones | $OSS, $PDYN, $ONDS, $UMAC, $RCAT $DPRO, $AVAV
β’ Space | $RKLB, $ASTS, $PL, $RDW, $FJET, $FLY
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
TOP GROWTH THEMES FOR 2026 β’ Crypto | $HOOD, $COIN, $BMNR, $BTC, $ETH β’ Quantum | $IONQ, $CCCX, $RGTI, $QBTS, $QUBTS β’ Robotics | $TSLA, $SERV, $SYM, $RR β’ Nuclear | $OKLO, $SMR, $BWXT, $LEU, $GEV, $UUUU β’ Compute Utility | $CRWV, $WULF, $APLD, $CORZ, $GLXYβ¦
Can't forget about nat gas and $VG is one of the fastest growing exporters on the planet
π° Top Headlines
π US Retail & Producer Data
β Retail Sales rebounded in November (Trading Economics / Dow Jones) while Producer Inflation picked up the same month. Brief analysis: stronger consumer spending supports Q4 GDP and risk assets, but rising PPI signals potential margin pressure and could keep inflation expectations stickyβUSD bias mildly stronger on repriced Fed path.
π Bank of America Tax Outlook
β
π OPEC Global Growth Forecasts
β OPEC keeps 2026 global growth at 3.1% and forecasts 3.2% for 2027 (Dow Jones). Brief analysis: modest expansion implies steady oil demand growth β supportive for crude prices but not overheating. Energy-related FX (CAD, NOK, RUB) may see incremental support; inflation/commodity mix remains important for central bank outlooks.
π Market Implications β FX & Rates
β Stronger retail sales + rising PPI β higher probability of sticky inflation β markets could price slower rate cuts by the Fed. USD likely to find support vs. majors, with cyclical currencies (AUD, NZD) reacting to risk tone and commodity flows. Yield curves may flatten if front-end policy expectations firm.
π Equities & Sector Notes
β Consumer discretionary and retailers benefit short-term from retail rebound. Financials face mixed signals: higher rates help margins but elevated tax rate guidance (BAC) and PPI-driven cost pressures are headwinds. Energy gets a modest lift from OPEC demand outlook.
π Trade & Positioning Ideas (tactical)
β Consider short-duration USD pairs for risk-on windows but maintain USD longs on data-driven hawkish surprises. Watch bank earnings revisions after BACβs tax update. Monitor oil and PPI for inflation surprises that could shift rates/Fed expectations.
Bottom line: Recent US demand strength contrasts with rising producer inflation and corporate tax assumptions β a mix that supports risk assets but keeps pressure on inflation expectations and USD/rate dynamics.
π US Retail & Producer Data
β Retail Sales rebounded in November (Trading Economics / Dow Jones) while Producer Inflation picked up the same month. Brief analysis: stronger consumer spending supports Q4 GDP and risk assets, but rising PPI signals potential margin pressure and could keep inflation expectations stickyβUSD bias mildly stronger on repriced Fed path.
π Bank of America Tax Outlook
β
BAC expects an effective tax rate ~20% in 2026 (Dow Jones). Brief analysis: higher tax assumptions pressure net earnings forecasts for US banks, weigh on financial sector EPS revisions and could cap bank stock performance despite macro tailwinds.π OPEC Global Growth Forecasts
β OPEC keeps 2026 global growth at 3.1% and forecasts 3.2% for 2027 (Dow Jones). Brief analysis: modest expansion implies steady oil demand growth β supportive for crude prices but not overheating. Energy-related FX (CAD, NOK, RUB) may see incremental support; inflation/commodity mix remains important for central bank outlooks.
π Market Implications β FX & Rates
β Stronger retail sales + rising PPI β higher probability of sticky inflation β markets could price slower rate cuts by the Fed. USD likely to find support vs. majors, with cyclical currencies (AUD, NZD) reacting to risk tone and commodity flows. Yield curves may flatten if front-end policy expectations firm.
π Equities & Sector Notes
β Consumer discretionary and retailers benefit short-term from retail rebound. Financials face mixed signals: higher rates help margins but elevated tax rate guidance (BAC) and PPI-driven cost pressures are headwinds. Energy gets a modest lift from OPEC demand outlook.
π Trade & Positioning Ideas (tactical)
β Consider short-duration USD pairs for risk-on windows but maintain USD longs on data-driven hawkish surprises. Watch bank earnings revisions after BACβs tax update. Monitor oil and PPI for inflation surprises that could shift rates/Fed expectations.
Bottom line: Recent US demand strength contrasts with rising producer inflation and corporate tax assumptions β a mix that supports risk assets but keeps pressure on inflation expectations and USD/rate dynamics.
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
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#BTC/USDT M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi
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π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
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βοΈ ostium.com
βοΈ vooi.io
Prove your #trading skills and get funded!
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π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
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Greenland is no longer just ice π§
It Holds 25 of Europeβs 34 Critical Minerals
This is a supply chain power shift
What this map really shows:
β’ Rare earths, graphite, nickel, cobalt, titanium, tungsten, zinc
β’ High-grade iron ore deposits comparable to Australia and Canada
β’ Battery-grade graphite already designated as EU-strategic
β’ Projects measured in hundreds of millions to billions of tonnes, still largely undeveloped
At a time when:
β’ #China dominates refining and processing
β’ The US is reshoring energy and defense supply chains
β’ Europe is scrambling to reduce dependency on Beijing
#Greenland sits at the intersection of minerals, geopolitics, and security.
#Europe cannot electrify, digitize, or rearm without secure access to critical minerals.
And 25 out of 34 being concentrated in one Arctic jurisdiction changes the board.
This is why Greenland is now:
β’ A strategic priority for Brussels
β’ Relevant to Washington
β’ Increasingly sensitive for Beijing
#Mining here is about who controls the next industrial stack.
EVs, grids, defense systems, AI hardware.
Energy security was the 1st act.
Critical #minerals are the 2nd.
And Greenland is sitting in the middle of the map.
#Geopolitics #Energy #RareEarths
It Holds 25 of Europeβs 34 Critical Minerals
This is a supply chain power shift
What this map really shows:
β’ Rare earths, graphite, nickel, cobalt, titanium, tungsten, zinc
β’ High-grade iron ore deposits comparable to Australia and Canada
β’ Battery-grade graphite already designated as EU-strategic
β’ Projects measured in hundreds of millions to billions of tonnes, still largely undeveloped
At a time when:
β’ #China dominates refining and processing
β’ The US is reshoring energy and defense supply chains
β’ Europe is scrambling to reduce dependency on Beijing
#Greenland sits at the intersection of minerals, geopolitics, and security.
#Europe cannot electrify, digitize, or rearm without secure access to critical minerals.
And 25 out of 34 being concentrated in one Arctic jurisdiction changes the board.
This is why Greenland is now:
β’ A strategic priority for Brussels
β’ Relevant to Washington
β’ Increasingly sensitive for Beijing
#Mining here is about who controls the next industrial stack.
EVs, grids, defense systems, AI hardware.
Energy security was the 1st act.
Critical #minerals are the 2nd.
And Greenland is sitting in the middle of the map.
#Geopolitics #Energy #RareEarths
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
#BTC/USDT H4 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi @Hawk_trading_bot β¦
#BTC/USDT H4 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi
@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
@VooiAppBot
π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
βοΈ gains.trade
βοΈ ostium.com
βοΈ vooi.io
Prove your #trading skills and get funded!
π₯ carrotfunding.io
Unlock your freedom
π± mtpelerin.com
Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi
@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
@VooiAppBot
π¦ @pigeon_trade_bot
Prove your #trading skills and get funded!
π₯ carrotfunding.io
Unlock your freedom
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Forwarded from π’WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading π
Why the US is pushing on Venezuela's Oil ?
The US is the world's top oil producer (~20M b/d), but almost all of it is light sweet crude from shale.
US Gulf Coast refineries were built for heavy sour crude thick, high-sulfur oil that yields more diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt.
#Venezuela holds the world's largest proven reserves (304 billion barrels) mostly extra-heavy crude perfectly suited for those complex US refineries.
Top heavy-reserve holders:
Venezuela: 304B
Saudi Arabia: 267B
Iran: 209B
Iraq: 201B
Canada: 170B
It's not about needing more oil
it's about getting the right kind of oil to keep refineries running efficiently and pump prices low.
That's why the US is so interested in reviving Venezuelan production under its control right now.
#oott #Venezuela #Energy #USA
The US is the world's top oil producer (~20M b/d), but almost all of it is light sweet crude from shale.
US Gulf Coast refineries were built for heavy sour crude thick, high-sulfur oil that yields more diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt.
#Venezuela holds the world's largest proven reserves (304 billion barrels) mostly extra-heavy crude perfectly suited for those complex US refineries.
Top heavy-reserve holders:
Venezuela: 304B
Saudi Arabia: 267B
Iran: 209B
Iraq: 201B
Canada: 170B
It's not about needing more oil
it's about getting the right kind of oil to keep refineries running efficiently and pump prices low.
That's why the US is so interested in reviving Venezuelan production under its control right now.
#oott #Venezuela #Energy #USA
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
π¨ Denmark and Greenland officials have ARRIVED at the White House to meet with JD Vance and Marco Rubio Time to acquire Greenland? In the below image you can see what US will get
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JUST IN: Trump's offer to acquire Greenland is reportedly higher than the entire GDP of Denmark.
π―π΅ Japan is now the first country ever to generate electricity in space and send it back to earth!
Japan achieved this via the OHISAMA project. They launched a satellite with solar panels that collect energy in space, convert it to microwaves, and beam it wirelessly to a ground receiver on Earth. The first successful transmission happened in late 2025, marking a milestone in space-based solar power.
Japan achieved this via the OHISAMA project. They launched a satellite with solar panels that collect energy in space, convert it to microwaves, and beam it wirelessly to a ground receiver on Earth. The first successful transmission happened in late 2025, marking a milestone in space-based solar power.
β‘1π₯1
π Beige Book #FED:
β«οΈ Economic activity increased slightly or moderately in 8 out of 12 districts. Three districts showed no change, and one saw a moderate decline.
β«οΈ Consumer spending rose slightly due to the holiday season. Spending was strong among wealthy households (luxury, travel), while the poor and middle class are increasingly sensitive to prices and reducing spending on non-essentials.
βοΈ Employment remained virtually unchanged in 8 out of 12 districts. Companies are more often hiring only to replace departing employees rather than for new positions. The use of temporary workers is increasing - "to remain flexible in uncertain times".
β«οΈ Talent shortages persist in engineering, healthcare, and other professions. Fewer people are changing jobs.
β«οΈ Companies are exploring AI integration to boost productivity and manage staff in the future. So far, the impact on employment has been minimal, with serious effects expected in a few years.
βοΈ Wages are rising moderately - many contacts say the increase has returned to a "normal" level.
β«οΈ Prices are rising moderately in most districts. The key issue is tariff pressure. Companies are starting to pass on costs to customers as inventories are depleted.
β«οΈ The banking sector is stable or improving - growth in demand for credit cards, home equity loans, and commercial lending.
β«οΈ Forecasts are moderately optimistic - most expect slight or moderate growth in the coming months. Prices will remain elevated due to accumulated costs.
β«οΈ Economic activity increased slightly or moderately in 8 out of 12 districts. Three districts showed no change, and one saw a moderate decline.
β«οΈ Consumer spending rose slightly due to the holiday season. Spending was strong among wealthy households (luxury, travel), while the poor and middle class are increasingly sensitive to prices and reducing spending on non-essentials.
βοΈ Employment remained virtually unchanged in 8 out of 12 districts. Companies are more often hiring only to replace departing employees rather than for new positions. The use of temporary workers is increasing - "to remain flexible in uncertain times".
β«οΈ Talent shortages persist in engineering, healthcare, and other professions. Fewer people are changing jobs.
β«οΈ Companies are exploring AI integration to boost productivity and manage staff in the future. So far, the impact on employment has been minimal, with serious effects expected in a few years.
βοΈ Wages are rising moderately - many contacts say the increase has returned to a "normal" level.
β«οΈ Prices are rising moderately in most districts. The key issue is tariff pressure. Companies are starting to pass on costs to customers as inventories are depleted.
β«οΈ The banking sector is stable or improving - growth in demand for credit cards, home equity loans, and commercial lending.
β«οΈ Forecasts are moderately optimistic - most expect slight or moderate growth in the coming months. Prices will remain elevated due to accumulated costs.
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President Trump announces a 25% tariff on semiconductor chips that are imported to the US but not used domestically.
$NVDA, $AMD
$NVDA, $AMD
Stocks & #Gold are Expensive
Bonds & Commodities are Cheap
So far it's shaping up to be a good year for commodities...
Bonds & Commodities are Cheap
So far it's shaping up to be a good year for commodities...