🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
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🎗GLOBAL ONE is a live super intelligence (SI) built on real-time data—designed for decisions. Currently focused on global financial markets

t.me/Prompts_SI @Global_one - Software/Developer/Programmer - Globalone.ch - Prompt - AI - Super Intelligence
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Latin America Holds Nearly 1/3 of Global Critical Mineral Reserves

Lithium: 56.6%
Copper: 32.4%
Graphite: 27.5%
Rare Earths: 23.1%
Nickel: 18.3%
Cobalt: 5.5%

Chile, Bolivia, Argentina, Peru, Brazil = the new battery & green tech powerhouse.

Supply chain shift incoming.

#CriticalMinerals #LatinAmerica #Lithium #Copper #EnergyTransition
SMART MONEY TOOLS
Friday, Dec 19 2025, 12:00 UTC time

📈 📋 US: Soft CPI, Stocks Rally & Fed Outlook
Slower-than-expected US inflation lifts equities (S&P, Dow) and fuels Fed-rate-cut hopes. Fed's Goolsbee welcomed the data, signalling potential for future easing; Treasury 10-year yield remains volatile. Dollar slipped vs. JPY initially, then recovered. Gold and silver eased on firmer dollar.

💹 ✅ FX & Rates: USD/JPY, BoJ, Russia
BoJ set to lift rates toward a multi-decade high, supporting JPY after initial dollar weakness. Russia’s central bank cut its key rate to 16% (from 16.5%) but signalled policy will stay tight — peso on rate divergence could pressure RUB trades vs majors.

🔖 📌 Europe: ECB Signals, UK Weakness & Ukraine Funding
ECB officials note downside inflation risks and report wage tracker showing moderate negotiated wage growth — euro-zone growth outlook uncertain. UK faces weak retail sales, higher-than-expected public borrowing and slipping consumer sentiment; sterling under pressure. EU agreed a ~$105bn loan package for Ukraine (2026–27) — fiscal and bond-market implications for EUR and regional risk premia.

📊 📋 Central Europe & Germany
German producer prices dropped materially; consumer sentiment near two-year lows — signals of disinflation but demand softness. French 10-year yields ticked higher; Swiss current account surplus widened in Q3, supporting CHF.

🌏 ✅ Asia-Pacific: China, Japan, Korea, Australia, NZ
China FDI down ~7.5% YTD; consumer giants expand into US amid domestic demand stall. Japan’s BoJ hike supports JPY. South Korea stocks rose on US CPI optimism but ended week lower. Australia: banks and real estate led gains after softer US CPI; private-sector credit growth below forecasts. New Zealand: consumer confidence at ~4-year high and trade deficit narrowed — NZD responsive to domestic recovery data.

🇮🇳 🔖 India & Global EM
Indian equities rose alongside Asian peers as softer US inflation fed RBI easing hopes and local sentiment improved. Markets to watch for spillovers into EM FX and flows.

🟢 📌 Commodities & Markets
Gold on track for weekly decline; slipped after US CPI and firmer dollar. Global equities broadly positive on "cool" US inflation but strategists warn of data quirks and lingering CPI measurement issues that may keep volatility elevated.

📝 📋 Macro Takeaway (Forex & Rates Focus)
- USD mixed: cushioned by resilient yields but volatile around CPI prints.
- JPY stronger on BoJ normalization.
- EUR/GBP vulnerable to ECB/BoE messaging and weak UK retail data.
- Emerging currencies may benefit from risk-on but remain sensitive to rate divergence and China growth signals.

Stay tuned for next CPI prints and central bank comments — these will drive near-term FX and rates moves.

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Top 100 24h Gainers 🚀

LEO      $7.39        +10.92%
ZEC      $433.83    +9.00% 
APT      $1.63        +5.17% 
JUP      $0.1903    +4.85% 
BCH      $598.50    +4.25% 

Top 100 24h Losers 🔻

M          $1.42        -12.26%
MYX      $2.87        -8.31% 
MNT      $1.17        -5.07% 
AERO    $0.4858    -3.86% 
IMX      $0.2270    -3.38%
🤑 The Fed's balance sheet increased by $17,659,000,000 in one week!

▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.

▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.

▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.

▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.

▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.

📌 Market expectations (#FedRates):

- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.
🚨 World's Biggest Goods Importers 2024: US Tops at $3.36T

13% of Global Total! 📦🌍🇺🇸

Top 5:
1. 🇺🇸 USA: $3.36T
2. 🇨🇳 China: $2.59T
3. 🇩🇪 Germany: $1.42T
4. 🇬🇧 UK: $816B
5. 🇳🇱 Netherlands: $814B

Asia & Europe heavy hitters, but America buys the most.

#Imports #GlobalTrade #Economy #USA #China
What Europe actually imports from Mercosur might surprise you

The EU gets essential raw materials & commodities it needs (or doesn't produce enough of):
oil, animal feed for livestock, coffee, ores, pulp...

Top EU imports from Mercosur (€ billion):
Petroleum oils & related — €12
Animal feed (soy meal etc.) — €7
Coffee, tea, cocoa, spices — €5
Ores & metal scrap — €5
Oil seeds — €4
Over 80% primary goods. T
otal imports ~€56B.

Trade is balanced (~€111B total), complementary (EU sends pharma, machinery, cars), and tiny for EU overall (<2% of extra-EU trade).

The Mercosur deal debate often misses these facts it's about securing supply chains (see what is doung also Trump in south america)

#EUMercosur #Trade #Energy #Agriculture #FactsMatter
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