Fed’s Paulson: Inflation Too High, Jobs Bending — Not Breaking

📘 🇺🇸

📝 Fed Philly President Anna Paulson says recent rate cuts have “taken out some insurance” on job-market risks. She describes current policy as “somewhat restrictive,” expecting it to help moderate inflation without shattering labor conditions. In short: inflation remains too high, the jobs market is softening — but not collapsing.

🔍 Key takeaways:
• Rate cuts reduced downside labor risk
• Policy stance still restrictive enough to cool inflation
• Labor market bending, not breaking

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#Gold Surges Above $4,300 on Fed Rate-Cut Momentum

🪙🇺🇸

Market Snapshot
Gold climbed past $4,300/oz after the Fed's expected 25bp cut. Chair Powell flagged weakening labor market and tariff risks — hints that more easing could follow, supporting bullion's safe-haven bid. Short-term outlook: bullish momentum with potential pullbacks on profit-taking; watch real yields and Fed commentary for next directional cues.

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🤑The Fed's balance increased by $3,522,000,000 in one week!

▪️Goolsbee, Fed Chairman:
- I voted against the rate cut, believing that the Fed should wait for more data.
- It would be better to consider a rate cut in the first quarter to ensure a sustained decline in inflation.
- I expect tightening of the Fed's DCO next year.

▪️Schmidt, Fed Chairman:
- There have been no significant changes since October, so I again voted against the rate cut.
- The Fed's DCO is currently only moderately restrictive, if at all restrictive.

▪️Hammack, Fed Chairman:
- The Fed's current DCO is at about a neutral level, but I would prefer a slightly tighter one.
- The lack of government data has created uncertainty.
- The economy will receive an impulse from fiscal stimulus.

▪️Daley, Fed Chairman:
- I supported the Fed's rate cut this week.
- The rate cut allows the Fed to achieve its goals.

📌 Market expectations (#FED rate):

- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: PAUSE.
- April 29, 2026: a 25-basis-point cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 20, 2026: PAUSE.
- September 16, 2026: a 25-basis-point cut to 3.00-3.25%.

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Perps exchanges blew up this year as #traders piled into leveraged #trading.

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Here’s how to use Ostium for trading RWA perps👇

- Analysis -

Ostium Labs is a perps platform on #arbitrum
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The idea here is that instead of needing multiple brokerage accounts to trade these assets, and instead of waiting for tokenized versions of everything, you can trade synthetic perps, settled on #Arbitrum, right from your existing crypto #wallet.

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While leveraged RWA trading certainly isn't for the faint of heart, it is straightforward to dive into Ostium if you decide to explore the platform further. To finish your first trade:

➡️ Head to app.ostium.com/trade. Press "Connect" to sign in with an existing Ethereum wallet or use an email to spin up a gasless smart wallet on the spot.

➡️ Prepare your funds. USDC is the medium of exchange here. If you've signed in with a wallet loaded on Arbitrum, you're set. Alternatively, use Ostium's "Add" button to deposit from a CEX, buy USDC with a credit card, or transfer and bridge other tokens into USDC.

➡️ Pick your market. Click the downward arrow tab on the actively listed market to pull up all available markets. Surf across categories like "Crypto," "Indices," "Forex," etc. Then click on the trading pair that catches your eye, e.g. XAU/USD if you want gold exposure.

➡️ Choose your parameters. Input your desired settings in the trade interface on the right side: your side (long or short), your order type (market, limit, or stop), your USDC collateral amount, and your leverage level.

➡️ Complete and manage your trade. Press "Buy" to fire off the transaction. Your position will appear in the "Trades" panel beneath the chart, where you can monitor its performance and use the pencil icons to add or remove collateral or update your take-profit and stop-loss levels.

➡️ Close your position. Press "Close" in your trade panel to exit your trade outright or partially scale out. Ostium lets you define the exact percentage you want to unwind.

Before you jump in, always approach leverage with caution and stay on top of your USDC collateral levels to avoid liquidations. Also, note that RWAs have non-market hours, so orders placed during these times will queue on Ostium for when those markets reopen.

With its ongoing points program and over $25B in trade volume so far, Ostium has a chance to rise further into the limelight in 2026. Let's see if the platform can make the most of this opening going forward.