Tuesday, Dec 9 2025, 12:00 UTC time
📋 Latest Important Headlines
✅ United States —
🔖 China —
📌 Russia —
✅ Australia & New Zealand —
🔖 Japan & Korea —
📋 United Kingdom —
📌 Germany & Europe —
🔖 Italy, France, Switzerland, Brazil, Canada —
✅ Market takeaway: Global markets are holding tight into the Fed meeting — US fiscal risks, China’s export resilience and RBA’s hawkish pivot are the main cross‑currents. Expect FX volatility (USD, AUD, JPY) and motion in rates‑sensitive assets (gold, silver, sovereign yields). 🔖
Follow for updates — key US Fed decision and China trade headlines will steer the next moves.
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📋 Latest Important Headlines
✅ United States —
Key market drivers ahead of Fed: Schedule for US economic data delayed by a potential government shutdown; dollar steadies/rises as markets price a hawkish Fed; Treasury yields wobble. Trump unveils $12bn aid for farmers hit by trade war and ties support for rate cuts to his Fed chair test. US NFIB small‑business sentiment mixed; container imports from China fell ~7.8% in Nov — downside for trade flows. Silver and gold steady into the Fed meeting. 📌🔖 China —
Trade & tech: Manufacturing remains strong despite tariffs; Beijing criticizes tariffs as its record trade surplus strains partners. Trump approved Nvidia H200 chip sales to China. China remains focal for export tensions and global supply chains. 📌📌 Russia —
Energy & finances: Consultancy says Russia could boost LPG exports to China by ~40% in 2026; meanwhile Russia’s federal budget gap widened sharply Jan–Nov, pressuring fiscal space. 📌✅ Australia & New Zealand —
Rates & markets: RBA holds rates at 3.60% but signals hawkish bias — case for future hikes flagged; AUD briefly stronger then equities slid as markets reprice rate path. Building permits, house approvals and business confidence slipped; 10Y yields hold near multi‑year highs. NZD near five‑week high. 📌🔖 Japan & Korea —
Markets: Japanese stocks track Wall Street lower; yen stabilizes after sharp drop. South Korea won steadies as policy support eyed. 📌📋 United Kingdom —
Consumption under pressure: Consumer spending fell at fastest pace since 2021; retail sales and BRC data show slowing growth. Grocery inflation steady at 4.7%, keeping household real‑income pressures in focus. 📌📌 Germany & Europe —
Trade & inflation: German exports unexpectedly rose in Oct (boosted by EU trade) while imports fell; trade surplus widened. Dutch inflation confirmed 2.9%; several EU economies show mixed inflation/producer price moves. Natural gas prices remain low — positive for industry. European markets trade in narrow ranges ahead of the Fed. 📌🔖 Italy, France, Switzerland, Brazil, Canada —
Snapshot: No major fresh country‑specific shocks; Europe‑wide trade and inflation metrics drive FX/ECB expectations. Ford–Renault EV tie‑up highlights ongoing auto consolidation in Europe/Brazil supply chains. 📌✅ Market takeaway: Global markets are holding tight into the Fed meeting — US fiscal risks, China’s export resilience and RBA’s hawkish pivot are the main cross‑currents. Expect FX volatility (USD, AUD, JPY) and motion in rates‑sensitive assets (gold, silver, sovereign yields). 🔖
Follow for updates — key US Fed decision and China trade headlines will steer the next moves.
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The consensus forecast is a reduction of the Fed rate by 25 basis points.
▪️Reuters:
- Most economists expect a reduction of 25 basis points due to the weakness of the labor market.
▪️Bank of America:
- The bank expects a reduction of 25 basis points tomorrow and assumes that the Fed will lower the rate twice more in 2026.
▪️ Bloomberg:
- The inflationary impulse has weakened, consumer activity is declining - arguments in favor of a softer Fed rhetoric. Markets expect signals from Powell on the trajectory of rate cuts in 2026.
▪️ WSJ:
- The market expects comments from Powell on the rate and updated economic forecasts. The further reaction of the markets will depend on the tone of the press conference.
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