💸 The Fed's balance sheet decreased by $16,638,000,000 in one week!

The Fed is currently in a "quiet period" (chairmen are not speaking yet) - the meeting will take place on December 10.

▪️ Reuters:
- 82% of economists expect a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed at the December 10 meeting.
- We expect two more rate cuts in 2026, with a final rate range of 3.0%-3.25%.
- There is a serious split within the Fed - at least 5 voting members are against further rate cuts.

▪️ Bank of America:
- We expect a 25 bps rate cut in December.
- The combination of the December rate cut and large-scale fiscal stimulus could make the Fed's DOT "too soft".

▪️ Morgan Stanley:
- The base scenario is a 25 bps rate cut in December.
- Followed by two more 25 bps cuts in January and April 2026.
- There may be "dissenting votes" within the Fed, but Jerome Powell will strive to maintain a tough tone.

▪️ JPMorgan:
- They have switched to the scenario of a 25 bps rate cut in December, abandoning their previous expectation of a January move.

▪️ Goldman Sachs:
- The weakness of the labor market "practically guaranteed" a 25 bps rate cut in December.

▪️ BlackRock:
- The Fed could cut rates again as early as next week.
- The labor market is losing momentum, justifying the December easing.
- The Fed's balance sheet is stabilizing - QT is over, but this is not QE.

📌 Market expectations (#FED rate):

- December 10: a 25 bps cut to 3.50-3.75%.
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: PAUSE.
- April 29, 2026: a 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 20, 2026: PAUSE.

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#GOLD #XAU/USD H1 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#BTC/USDT M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#ETH/USDT M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

🔥 Fed Week: Cut or Shock?

Markets are buzzing! 🐝 The Fed’s Wednesday meeting is almost here, and traders are pricing in an 86% chance of a 25bps cut. Stocks, crypto, risk assets — all eyes on this one. But remember: it’s not just about the cut. It’s about what the Fed says and how they say it.

NY Fed’s John Williams hinted at more easing, and weak ADP jobs data is keeping the narrative dovish. But Powell’s tone matters — remember his “driving in the fog” line from October? 🚗💨 Markets were skeptical then. If he now signals easing despite incomplete data, investors may raise eyebrows.

Oh, and a little twist: Trump reportedly picked Powell’s successor, NEC Director Kevin Hassett. Long-term uncertainty, anyone? 😏

Market vibes before the Fed:

Cut + dovish tone → Stocks and gold rally 🌟, USD softens 💸, EUR/USD could push past 1.1700.

Hold rates → Shock alert 🚨: stocks drop, USD surges, EUR/USD may fall below 1.1500.

Gold & Oil Watch ⚔️

Gold: hovering ~$4,200. Dovish Fed + shaky peace talks → could test all-time highs ~$4,381 🏆.

Oil: struggling under a downward trend. Peace framework could push toward Oct lows ~$56–$55 ⛽️.

Other central banks this week:

RBA: Inflation and China in focus. No cut expected. AUD/USD might rise above 0.6680 if Fed dovish, or dip to 0.6550.

BoC: Likely holds, slightly dovish tone could nudge USD/CAD toward 1.3887.

SNB: Watching deflation. CHF stable, but volatility possible.

Bottom line?
The Fed is at a crossroads. Markets are on edge. Hawks or doves — who will take the wheel this week? 🦅🕊

💬 Your turn: Cut or hold? What’s your play?

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#BTC/USDT M30 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#ETH/USDT M30 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#BTC/USDT H1 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#ETH/USDT H1 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#BTC/USDT H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#ETH/USDT H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#GOLD #XAU/USD H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#WTI/USD H2 #Indicator #Signal #WTI #Crude #OIL #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

Saturday, Dec 6 2025, 12:00 UTC time

📋 ✅ US data & shutdown — Government shutdown delays some US economic releases; expect schedule noise into next week. US consumer credit (Oct): $9.18B vs $10.50B est. — softer credit print may temper near-term USD upside.

✅ 🔖 Federal Reserve watch — Fed rate decision is the week’s key event; markets price a high chance of a cut but internal splits and missing data leave uncertainty. Expect volatility across USD pairs and risk-sensitive FX.

🔖 📌 Fed outlook & labor — Barron’s: labor market remains stable, supporting policymakers’ view that a cut is still likely. Stable jobs + easing inflationary signs = cautious optimism for a pivot.

📌 📋 Market positioning — FX wrap — InvestingLive Americas FX wrap highlights muted USD moves ahead of Fed, with flows favoring rate-sensitive currencies (EUR, GBP, AUD) on cut hopes.

📋 🔖 Consumer spending narrative — Barron’s notes consumers may keep spending despite affordability worries, underpinning growth resilience and risk asset support. Implication: cyclical currencies could outperform if momentum persists.

✅ 📌 ECB signals & Europe risk — ECB’s Rehn warns of downside inflation risks and urges action on Ukraine funding. Hawkish fiscal/aid talk keeps EUR sensitive to geopolitical and fiscal headlines.

🔖 ✅ Macro takeaway for traders — Key themes this week: Fed rate decision, delayed US prints, stable labor market, and central bank rhetoric in Europe. Trade plan: manage vega around the Fed, watch USD liquidity into delayed releases, and monitor EUR for geopolitically driven moves.

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#BTC/USDT M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

Top 100 24h Gainers 🚀

AERO        $0.6889        +6.63%
M              $1.36            +6.14%
PUMP        $0.003039    +5.72%
OKB          $107.30        +5.41%
MNT          $1.07            +5.15%

Top 100 24h Losers 🔻

ZEC          $330.40        -9.70%
MORPHO    $1.25            -3.29%
CC            $0.0631        -2.74%
SUI          $1.53            -2.44%
ASTER      $0.9790        -2.01%

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io

#ETH/USDT M15 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI

Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk or Ostium

@Hawk_trading_bot  @ostiumbot

↗️ gains.trade
↗️ ostium.com

Prove your #trading skills and get funded!

🥕 carrotfunding.io