Realizing it's easier to make $1 million selling trading courses than actually trading.

Game theory teaches us that a predictable opponent is already half-neutralized. Every habit you reveal, every intention you announce, every reaction that becomes automatic provides others with the information they need to anticipate your moves. Predictability reduces uncertainty, and any reduced uncertainty benefits only those playing against you. Don't systematically reveal your plans. Vary your routines. Above all, learn to leave some questions unanswered. The harder it becomes to predict you, the harder it becomes to build a strategy against you.

Vladimir Putin has been leading Russia for over 25 years. He has outlived five US presidents, massive sanctions, and an armed rebellion.

Understanding his mind is impossible. But 25 years of decisions have left a clear imprint.

I've dissected the man. Here's the exact mechanism his actions repeat:

🧵

1. What the Streets Taught Him

He was born in 1952 into a family devastated by the war.

His older brother died during the Siege of Leningrad, his mother nearly starved to death, and his father returned home mutilated.

Three families lived together in a communal apartment.

Small and thin, he was constantly fighting. He described himself as a thug in his autobiography.

And one day, he publicly summarized the rule he had learned in the Leningrad courts:

“If combat is unavoidable, strike first.”

This wasn’t a childhood memory. It was a doctrine he applied in Chechnya, Georgia, and Ukraine.

2. The Mindset of a Spy

His time in the KGB shaped his psychology:

Observe without being observed.
Manipulate information.
Identify and exploit the weaknesses of others.

This made him cold, calculating, and a master of timing.

An intelligence officer quickly learns a fundamental rule: truth is irrelevant; only effectiveness matters.

3. Judo, or the Economy of Movement

Having practiced judo and sambo since the age of twelve, he has developed a comprehensive approach: using the opponent's force rather than opposing it with his own, waiting for imbalance instead of forcing it, and striking only once when the opening appears.

This paints the profile of a patient opportunist.

He doesn't always anticipate better than others; he simply waits longer.

4. Silence as a Tool

He speaks little, slowly, and his face remains impenetrable.

When faced with an interlocutor, this opacity has a mechanical effect: it is the other person who fills the void, who explains themselves, and who ultimately reveals their limitations.

You cannot negotiate effectively with someone whose intentions you cannot decipher.

And he is the one who understands this perfectly.

5. The Foundational Wound

In 2005, he declared that the collapse of the USSR was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century. This statement is the cornerstone of his politics.

It fosters in him: A form of messianism (he sees himself as the savior of Russia).

A contempt for the West (perceived as arrogant, decadent, and condescending).

An enormous tolerance for suffering (his own and that of others).

6. Hidden Flaws

Behind the image of the strongman, in my observations, he remains marked by three major vulnerabilities:

1- A fear of betrayal (a legacy of the KGB).

2- Extreme loneliness (he lives trapped in his role).

3- A constant need for historical recognition (he wants to be seen as the man who resurrected Russia).

BREAKING: Western Digital $WDC falls 10% after earnings beat, following an announcement that they're cutting CapEx spending 🚨

EPS of $3.56 vs est 3.30
Revenue $3.75B vs est $3.7B

BREAKING: SpaceX $SPCX shares fall 13.6% as 911,500,000 additional shares (20%) become unlocked tomorrow morning at 9:30 am

Currently only 5% of SpaceX shares are publicly traded, 638,900,000 shares

It's unclear if insiders will use the unlock tomorrow as a chance to sell.

Skip netflix tonight. watch this instead.

In this lecture, warren buffett breaks down his entire mental model for investing, business, and long-term value creation.

It's still considered one of the greatest investing talks ever given.

You don't need a finance background background to follow it.

Instead of discussing complex models or stock picks, buffett focused on timeless principles: patience, temperament, and the importance of thinking independently. he argued that investing isn't about having the highest iq, but about making rational decisions and avoiding emotional mistakes.

Decades later, many of the lessons from that lecture remain just as relevant. while markets, technologies, and industries change, the fundamentals of successful investing rarely do.

Every trading bro realizing he spent six years to draw trendlines for nothing because some free AI agent just ran 980 trading ideas and find only one that makes money

In an unprecedented escalation, Russia warns Europe and calls on NATO to stay out of the war in Ukraine...

Here, one of Russia's nuclear units unveils a tactical nuclear warhead capable of annihilating an entire city!

🇪🇺🇫🇷 France is Europe’s sovereignty model

No other EU country comes close.

🔸 France has around 290 nuclear warheads and no permanent US military bases.

🔸 More than 95% of its electricity came from nuclear and renewables.

🔸 Non-European investment faces review at 10% in listed strategic companies.

This is the model Europe must apply at the continental level

Sovereignty requires energy independence, domestic defence production, business competitiveness and control over strategic sectors.

‼️🇷🇺 Putin announces structural changes within Russia's Ministry of Defense

▫️All logistics services will now be under single command — Valery Solodchuk has been appointed to the position

▫️New military branch for drone warfare will be launched — Denis Lyamin has been appointed to the position

▫️Center Group of Forces — Andrei Ivanayev has been appointed to the position

▫️Vostok Group of Forces — Pyotr Bolgare has been appointed to the position

Chinese Yuan hits strongest level against the U.S. Dollar since February 2023 📈 📈

Game theory explains a little-known paradox: we never lie as much as when we lack options.

Lying is the reflexive strategy of someone who is betting their position on a single move. Without alternatives, manipulation becomes a tactical necessity to compensate for a weakness.

They lie out of fear of losing the only card they hold. Someone who has options, on the other hand, can afford the luxury of truth. Losing one card doesn't destroy them; they have others.

Honesty isn't always a moral quality; it's often the privilege of those who have nothing to lose by being transparent. Don't measure a person's worth by their loyalty, but by the number of options they have when they choose to be loyal.

Nasdaq futures are reversing right at the end of the diamond pattern

The only thing saving it right now is the 60 day moving average.

Russell 2000 stocks above the 200 day moving average finished today back on the ascending trendline.

It's being crushed in the corner of the wedge that ends next week.

Is this warning us a commodity and market selloff is coming?
Or is it about to break the 2018 resistance line?

GPT-5.6 Luna Max is the best value model on the market right now.

One of the best things you can do is use GPT-5.6 Sol as the orchestrator and spin up subagents with Luna Max.

This prompt does exactly that and cuts token costs by 50% or higher

Traders only have 4 moods

If you're capable of playing the long game, you already possess an asymmetrical advantage over your opponents. The majority of people suffer from a chronic condition: addiction to immediate gain. They sacrifice their future for instant gratification. By sitting back and building your foundations while they're busy making quick fixes, you're simply waiting for them to burn themselves out.

There exists a category of individuals devoid of any particular talent, without genius or superior IQ, who nevertheless rise to the top of the hierarchy.

Their secret? An implacable will to dominate any situation, any adversary, to obtain what they seek, without ever giving up.

It was this predatory temperament that characterized the early career of John Rockefeller.

Trying to win a game with no finish line is a fast track to resource exhaustion.

#simonsinek dropped one of the most practical game theory breakdowns ever:

Finite players play to beat a rival, hit a quarterly metric, or win a war. infinite players play for one reason only: to stay in the game forever.

Key takeaways in the article.

This article teaches you everything you need to know about graph engineering