๐ค The Federal Reserve's balance sheet decreased by $9,188,000,000 in one week.
โช๏ธMarket expectations (Federal Reserve rate):
- September 16: Increase of 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00%.
- October 28: PAUSE.
โช๏ธHamlil, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- I don't think inflation will continue to fall without further action from the Federal Reserve.
- The current monetary policy remains too loose to bring inflation back to the target.
โช๏ธKashkari, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- The investment boom in data centers has become an additional source of demand and is exacerbating inflationary pressures.
- The Federal Reserve may not react to individual supply shocks, but a series of them can solidify high inflation. In that case, monetary policy should respond.
- I would prefer to tighten policy gradually, in small steps. If inflation begins to fall steadily, the Federal Reserve can slow down or stop without causing excessive damage to the economy.
โช๏ธLogan, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- Inflation risks are shifting towards further increases, and the strong labor market is becoming even stronger.
- I would prefer to raise the rate by 25 basis points to better balance economic prospects and risks. A small rate hike in the near future would reduce the likelihood of more drastic measures in the future.
As a reminder, Hamlil, Kashkari, and Logan voted to raise the Federal Reserve rate at the last meeting.
โช๏ธMarket expectations (Federal Reserve rate):
- September 16: Increase of 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00%.
- October 28: PAUSE.
โช๏ธHamlil, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- I don't think inflation will continue to fall without further action from the Federal Reserve.
- The current monetary policy remains too loose to bring inflation back to the target.
โช๏ธKashkari, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- The investment boom in data centers has become an additional source of demand and is exacerbating inflationary pressures.
- The Federal Reserve may not react to individual supply shocks, but a series of them can solidify high inflation. In that case, monetary policy should respond.
- I would prefer to tighten policy gradually, in small steps. If inflation begins to fall steadily, the Federal Reserve can slow down or stop without causing excessive damage to the economy.
โช๏ธLogan, Federal Reserve Chairman:
- Inflation risks are shifting towards further increases, and the strong labor market is becoming even stronger.
- I would prefer to raise the rate by 25 basis points to better balance economic prospects and risks. A small rate hike in the near future would reduce the likelihood of more drastic measures in the future.
As a reminder, Hamlil, Kashkari, and Logan voted to raise the Federal Reserve rate at the last meeting.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
How to prompt Claude 5 models (full guide by Anthropic)
Claude now acts as my personal Chief of Investments.
My agents have access to live market data, my entire portfolio, my personal finance goals, and more.
I broke the entire system down here
My agents have access to live market data, my entire portfolio, my personal finance goals, and more.
I broke the entire system down here
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Claude now acts as my personal Chief of Investments. My agents have access to live market data, my entire portfolio, my personal finance goals, and more. I broke the entire system down here
Anthropic just released NEW rules for context engineering for Claude 5.
After reading it, I'm convinced 99% of people are using Claude wrong.
I spent hours digging through the docs to find the right way to use Claude 5.
If you save just ONE AI post this week, make it this:
After reading it, I'm convinced 99% of people are using Claude wrong.
I spent hours digging through the docs to find the right way to use Claude 5.
If you save just ONE AI post this week, make it this:
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๐บ๐ธ GAME CHANGER: The U.S. Navy Wants to Turn Its Submarines Into Hidden Aircraft Killers
For decades, submarines ruled beneath the waves. Now, the U.S. Navy is working to give them the ability to strike from below... into the sky.
A new submarine launched anti air missile concept would allow stealth submarines to engage enemy helicopters, drones, and aircraft, adding a completely new dimension to naval warfare.
If fielded, this capability could shatter long held assumptions about air superiority at sea, making every aircraft over contested waters think twice.
The oceans are about to become even more dangerous.
For decades, submarines ruled beneath the waves. Now, the U.S. Navy is working to give them the ability to strike from below... into the sky.
A new submarine launched anti air missile concept would allow stealth submarines to engage enemy helicopters, drones, and aircraft, adding a completely new dimension to naval warfare.
If fielded, this capability could shatter long held assumptions about air superiority at sea, making every aircraft over contested waters think twice.
The oceans are about to become even more dangerous.
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Anthropic just released NEW rules for context engineering for Claude 5. After reading it, I'm convinced 99% of people are using Claude wrong. I spent hours digging through the docs to find the right way to use Claude 5. If you save just ONE AI post thisโฆ
This ADHD agentic skill is trending on Reddit - and for good reason.
It's hands down one of the most valuable AI skills ever created.
Short responses, no AI rambling, and precise next steps.
โ github.com/ayghri/i-have-adhd
It's hands down one of the most valuable AI skills ever created.
Short responses, no AI rambling, and precise next steps.
โ github.com/ayghri/i-have-adhd
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
This ADHD agentic skill is trending on Reddit - and for good reason. It's hands down one of the most valuable AI skills ever created. Short responses, no AI rambling, and precise next steps. โ github.com/ayghri/i-have-adhd
Claude Code commands cheat sheet (game-changers)
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โPrices must come downChinese car brands are flooding Europe like a tidal wave
Chinese car manufacturers continue to flood the European market, and several analysts are now warning that Europe is facing a historic transformation.
Acording to some estimates, Chinese brands could take up to a third of all car sales in Europe, a market entry that is happening faster than anyone predicted.
The pressure is so intense that European manufacturers are saying it bluntly
Prices must come down.โ
Otherwise, they risk being outcompeted by Chinese electric cars that combine lower prices, fast production and an aggressive export strategy.
Europe is thus facing a car war in which Chinese brands are already miles ahead โ and in which European giants are forced to play defensively
Chinese car manufacturers continue to flood the European market, and several analysts are now warning that Europe is facing a historic transformation.
Acording to some estimates, Chinese brands could take up to a third of all car sales in Europe, a market entry that is happening faster than anyone predicted.
The pressure is so intense that European manufacturers are saying it bluntly
Prices must come down.โ
Otherwise, they risk being outcompeted by Chinese electric cars that combine lower prices, fast production and an aggressive export strategy.
Europe is thus facing a car war in which Chinese brands are already miles ahead โ and in which European giants are forced to play defensively
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โ๏ธThe USA can enter Ukraine at any moment and take (!) almost everything they want โ Trump on the agreement signed with Ukraine regarding rare earth resources.
According to him, the value of access to the resources may exceed $300 billion.
According to him, the value of access to the resources may exceed $300 billion.
Kevin Warsh is reportedly cancelling the press conference for the next Federal Reserve meeting on September 17th.
This is interesting because September is historically a volatile month due to liquidity drain from taxes.
Not speaking basically leaves the bond market rudderless at a terrible time.
This is interesting because September is historically a volatile month due to liquidity drain from taxes.
Not speaking basically leaves the bond market rudderless at a terrible time.
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
All eyes are on the Medgaz pipeline, which connects Algeria to Spain. Given the current situation, it could become a critical target. Algeria closed the Maghreb gas pipeline, which supplied Spain via Morocco, in 2021. Morocco subsequently lost over โฌ200โฆ
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๐ฎ๐ฑ Netanyahu threatened Spain 3 months ago. ๐ช๐ธ
"Spain has chosen repeatedly to stand against Israel. I do not intend to allow any country to wage a diplomatic war against us without paying an immediate price."
Still think this invasion is just a coincidence?
"Spain has chosen repeatedly to stand against Israel. I do not intend to allow any country to wage a diplomatic war against us without paying an immediate price."
Still think this invasion is just a coincidence?
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
It's beautiful isn't it? $VIX futures
Volatility $VIX is falling, exactly as expected. This market rally is going to be far weaker than the previous bounces though.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
S&P 500 $SPX stocks above the 150 day moving average is still on target to the trendline that has provided resistance since 2024.
S&P 500 stocks above the 150 day moving average has now broken the trendline to the downside.
When this happened back in February 2026 it was a warning sign two trading days before the market began a selloff.
We'll see what happens, but this aligns with my volatility charts.
The question is, what would be the trigger?
When this happened back in February 2026 it was a warning sign two trading days before the market began a selloff.
We'll see what happens, but this aligns with my volatility charts.
The question is, what would be the trigger?
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
S&P 500 stocks above the 150 day moving average has now broken the trendline to the downside. When this happened back in February 2026 it was a warning sign two trading days before the market began a selloff. We'll see what happens, but this aligns withโฆ
S&P 500 stocks about the 50 day moving average is in a descending pattern similar to February 2026.
What will be interesting is seeing what it does once it approaches the 60 day moving average next week (white line).
That will be the critical moment where markets need to decide if they're heading higher or if this is actually a warning that a selloff is coming.
What will be interesting is seeing what it does once it approaches the 60 day moving average next week (white line).
That will be the critical moment where markets need to decide if they're heading higher or if this is actually a warning that a selloff is coming.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
I thought putting on 4x leverage on AI stocks already up 1000% YTD was safe!
24 year old Leopold Aschenbrenner just blew up his $45 billion fund by going all in on the AI trade.
He previously worked for Sam Bankman-Fried and Sam Altman. What are the odds that he was hired by two lying psychopaths back-to-back?
This smells like a total psyop by Citadel to convince retail to follow his trades and blow up their accounts, doesn't it?
He previously worked for Sam Bankman-Fried and Sam Altman. What are the odds that he was hired by two lying psychopaths back-to-back?
This smells like a total psyop by Citadel to convince retail to follow his trades and blow up their accounts, doesn't it?
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๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
#WTI US Oil fell to $78 today as talk of an oil glut begins to hit mainstream financial news.
#WTI Looks like oil is anticipating something is about to happen in the Middle East.
๐จ๐ญ Global One SI - Prompt
Kevin Warsh is reportedly cancelling the press conference for the next Federal Reserve meeting on September 17th. This is interesting because September is historically a volatile month due to liquidity drain from taxes. Not speaking basically leaves theโฆ
Kevin Warsh is the perfect Fed Chair to collapse the system.
BREAKING: The US Treasury sold euros to buy Japanese yen on Friday, per FT.
The New York Fed executed the sales on the Treasury's behalf, through Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
Notably, the Fed drew down euro reserves rather than dollars to fund the purchases.
It marks the first time the US and Japan have jointly intervened to buy yen in nearly 30 years, after the currency fell to its weakest against the dollar since 1986.
The New York Fed executed the sales on the Treasury's behalf, through Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.
Notably, the Fed drew down euro reserves rather than dollars to fund the purchases.
It marks the first time the US and Japan have jointly intervened to buy yen in nearly 30 years, after the currency fell to its weakest against the dollar since 1986.
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Forwarded from ๐ขWTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading ๐
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๐บ๐ฆ๐ฅโฝ๏ธ Ukraine has reportedly struck an oil refinery in Ufa, deep inside Russia's Republic of Bashkortostan, approximately 1,215 kilometers from the Ukrainian border.
๐ฅ According to available information, Ukrainian kamikaze drones successfully reached the refinery, igniting a major fire at the facility.
๐ Reports indicate that the primary crude oil processing unit is among the structures engulfed in flames. This unit is one of the refinery's most critical technological components, and damage to it can significantly disrupt production for an extended period.
The strike highlights Ukraine's expanding ability to conduct precision long-range operations far beyond the front line. By targeting key processing equipment rather than peripheral infrastructure, Kyiv continues to increase pressure on Russia's fuel production capacity while forcing Moscow to allocate additional resources to protect and restore strategically important industrial facilities.
๐ฅ According to available information, Ukrainian kamikaze drones successfully reached the refinery, igniting a major fire at the facility.
๐ Reports indicate that the primary crude oil processing unit is among the structures engulfed in flames. This unit is one of the refinery's most critical technological components, and damage to it can significantly disrupt production for an extended period.
The strike highlights Ukraine's expanding ability to conduct precision long-range operations far beyond the front line. By targeting key processing equipment rather than peripheral infrastructure, Kyiv continues to increase pressure on Russia's fuel production capacity while forcing Moscow to allocate additional resources to protect and restore strategically important industrial facilities.
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