π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
Space stocks ranked by market cap: $SIDU ~ 184 Million $SATL ~ 932 Million $BKSY ~ 1.11 Billion $VOYG ~ 1.53 Billion $RDW ~ 1.83 Billion $LUNR ~ 5.01 Billion $PL ~ 12.12 Billion $ASTS ~ 33.91 Billion $RKLB ~ 37.64 Billion SpaceX IPO ~ 1.75 Trillion Thisβ¦
SpaceX at a potential $1.5 TRILLION IPO valuation while the entire public space sector combined is still trading at a fraction of that? π₯
Look at these micro-caps that are absurdly undervalued relative to their market caps right now:
β’ $BKSY (BlackSky) ~$1.14B
β’ $SPIR (Spire Global) ~$530M
β’ $FLY (Firefly Aerospace) ~$5.27B
β’ $VOYG (Voyager Technologies) ~$1.58B
These are real businesses with actual satellites, launch capabilities, data platforms, and defense contracts - yet their combined market cap is still peanuts compared to what a single SpaceX IPO would imply for the sector.
The #SpaceX hype is going to force a massive re-rating across the entire space ecosystem. When Wall Street finally connects the dots, these names wonβt stay this cheap for long. The upside from current market caps is completely asymmetric.
This is exactly why the smart money is rotating into the small-cap space plays that actually deliver real tech and revenue.
Who else is seeing the same setup?
Look at these micro-caps that are absurdly undervalued relative to their market caps right now:
β’ $BKSY (BlackSky) ~$1.14B
β’ $SPIR (Spire Global) ~$530M
β’ $FLY (Firefly Aerospace) ~$5.27B
β’ $VOYG (Voyager Technologies) ~$1.58B
These are real businesses with actual satellites, launch capabilities, data platforms, and defense contracts - yet their combined market cap is still peanuts compared to what a single SpaceX IPO would imply for the sector.
The #SpaceX hype is going to force a massive re-rating across the entire space ecosystem. When Wall Street finally connects the dots, these names wonβt stay this cheap for long. The upside from current market caps is completely asymmetric.
This is exactly why the smart money is rotating into the small-cap space plays that actually deliver real tech and revenue.
Who else is seeing the same setup?
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
SpaceX at a potential $1.5 TRILLION IPO valuation while the entire public space sector combined is still trading at a fraction of that? π₯ Look at these micro-caps that are absurdly undervalued relative to their market caps right now: β’ $BKSY (BlackSky) ~$1.14Bβ¦
SPACE ECONOMY-
The Full Stack β Where the Real Money Flows:
Space isnβt βthe futureβ anymore. Itβs an investable ecosystem right now. Hereβs the stack β simplified:
LAUNCH (Access to Space)
$RKLB β Clear public leader. Scaling fast, strong margins, $1.8B+ backlog. Neutron rocket = next catalyst
$FLY β Early-stage challenger. High risk, high upside
$SPCE β Delays + execution risk. Pure speculation
SATELLITE COMMS (Global Connectivity)
$ASTS β Direct-to-phone satellites. Massive upside, early stage
$IRDM β Profitable, stable cash flow (defensive play)
$GSAT / $VSAT / $TSAT β IoT + broadband growth, mixed execution risk
$SATL β Narrowband satellite IoT (direct-to-device). Emerging connectivity layer
SPACE DATA (The Real Moat)
$PL β Daily Earth imaging + AI analytics. Underrated data monopoly
$BKSY / $SPIR β Defense + real-time intelligence plays
$SIDU β Micro-cap, speculative
SPACE INFRASTRUCTURE (Next Wave)
$LUNR β Lunar missions + NASA catalysts. Binary upside
$VOYG β Commercial space station (long-term bet)
$TRMB β Profitable geospatial backbone (quiet winner)
DEFENSE & MANUFACTURING (Cash Flow Core)
$LMT / $NOC / $RTX β The βiron triangleβ
β Mission-critical, recession-resistant, dividend-paying
$LHX / $BWXT / $BA β Sensors, nuclear propulsion, deep gov ties
$FJET β Hypersonic flight + space access systems. Early-stage defense/space crossover
β’ $KULR β Thermal management for space/defense
β Picks & shovels of the space boom
This isnβt one trade β itβs a full ecosystem:
Big Catalyst: SpaceX IPO (potentially June- 2026) = sector re-rating
DYOR
The Full Stack β Where the Real Money Flows:
Space isnβt βthe futureβ anymore. Itβs an investable ecosystem right now. Hereβs the stack β simplified:
LAUNCH (Access to Space)
$RKLB β Clear public leader. Scaling fast, strong margins, $1.8B+ backlog. Neutron rocket = next catalyst
$FLY β Early-stage challenger. High risk, high upside
$SPCE β Delays + execution risk. Pure speculation
SATELLITE COMMS (Global Connectivity)
$ASTS β Direct-to-phone satellites. Massive upside, early stage
$IRDM β Profitable, stable cash flow (defensive play)
$GSAT / $VSAT / $TSAT β IoT + broadband growth, mixed execution risk
$SATL β Narrowband satellite IoT (direct-to-device). Emerging connectivity layer
SPACE DATA (The Real Moat)
$PL β Daily Earth imaging + AI analytics. Underrated data monopoly
$BKSY / $SPIR β Defense + real-time intelligence plays
$SIDU β Micro-cap, speculative
SPACE INFRASTRUCTURE (Next Wave)
$LUNR β Lunar missions + NASA catalysts. Binary upside
$VOYG β Commercial space station (long-term bet)
$TRMB β Profitable geospatial backbone (quiet winner)
DEFENSE & MANUFACTURING (Cash Flow Core)
$LMT / $NOC / $RTX β The βiron triangleβ
β Mission-critical, recession-resistant, dividend-paying
$LHX / $BWXT / $BA β Sensors, nuclear propulsion, deep gov ties
$FJET β Hypersonic flight + space access systems. Early-stage defense/space crossover
β’ $KULR β Thermal management for space/defense
β Picks & shovels of the space boom
This isnβt one trade β itβs a full ecosystem:
Big Catalyst: SpaceX IPO (potentially June- 2026) = sector re-rating
DYOR
β1
π¨π¨ TRUMP HAS 3 OPTIONS LEFT ON IRAN. ALL 3 ARE CATASTROPHIC. π¨π¨
This is the moment nobody wants to talk about.
After two blinked deadlines and one confirmed strike on Kharg Island, Trump is boxed into 3 choices. Every single one is a nightmare:
β οΈ OPTION 1: BLINK AGAIN
β Third blink destroys all US deterrence globally
β China greenlit on Taiwan. Russia emboldened on Europe.
β Iran publicly mocks a sitting President with zero consequence
β North Korea watches and learns: American threats are theater
β Trump's "strongman" brand = GONE
β οΈ OPTION 2: LIMITED STRIKES
β Already tried this on March 14-15 β struck Kharg Island
β Iran retaliated by hitting Bahrain's desalination plants
β Limited strikes ESCALATE β they don't deter
β 40,000+ US troops across the Middle East become targets
β Houthis intensify Red Sea attacks β shipping insurance collapses
β οΈ OPTION 3: FULL SCALE ASSAULT
β Power grid destroyed β 90,000,000 people in the dark
β No hospitals. No water pumps. No food refrigeration.
β Strait of Hormuz shuts down β 21,000,000 barrels/day GONE
β Oil hits $150-$200. Gas at $6-$8/gallon in America.
β Iran launches ballistic missiles at Saudi Aramco β 2019 Abqaiq precedent
β Global recession triggered
Let that sink in.
There is no Option 4. There is no clean exit. There is no "we strike and go home."
The media is showing you another deadline. They're NOT showing you that every path forward leads to catastrophe.
This is the most dangerous decision any President has faced since the Cuban Missile Crisis. π¨π¨π¨
This is the moment nobody wants to talk about.
After two blinked deadlines and one confirmed strike on Kharg Island, Trump is boxed into 3 choices. Every single one is a nightmare:
β οΈ OPTION 1: BLINK AGAIN
β Third blink destroys all US deterrence globally
β China greenlit on Taiwan. Russia emboldened on Europe.
β Iran publicly mocks a sitting President with zero consequence
β North Korea watches and learns: American threats are theater
β Trump's "strongman" brand = GONE
β οΈ OPTION 2: LIMITED STRIKES
β Already tried this on March 14-15 β struck Kharg Island
β Iran retaliated by hitting Bahrain's desalination plants
β Limited strikes ESCALATE β they don't deter
β 40,000+ US troops across the Middle East become targets
β Houthis intensify Red Sea attacks β shipping insurance collapses
β οΈ OPTION 3: FULL SCALE ASSAULT
β Power grid destroyed β 90,000,000 people in the dark
β No hospitals. No water pumps. No food refrigeration.
β Strait of Hormuz shuts down β 21,000,000 barrels/day GONE
β Oil hits $150-$200. Gas at $6-$8/gallon in America.
β Iran launches ballistic missiles at Saudi Aramco β 2019 Abqaiq precedent
β Global recession triggered
Let that sink in.
There is no Option 4. There is no clean exit. There is no "we strike and go home."
The media is showing you another deadline. They're NOT showing you that every path forward leads to catastrophe.
This is the most dangerous decision any President has faced since the Cuban Missile Crisis. π¨π¨π¨
β2
π¨π¨π¨ THIS IS THE FINAL ULTIMATUM. HE'S NOT BLUFFING. HERE'S EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENS NEXT. π¨π¨π¨
Trump already struck Kharg Island β March 14-15. CENTCOM confirmed. Iran's crown jewel. 90% of exports. ALREADY HIT.
He blinked on deadline 1. He blinked on deadline 2. He CANNOT blink on deadline 3.
Do you understand what that means?
Here's what happens next β step by step:
Step 1 β US strikes Kharg Island β ALREADY DONE
Step 2 β Both sides bomb desalination plants β ALREADY DONE
Step 3 β Trump publicly names targets: power grid, oil wells, desalination β ALREADY DONE
Step 4 β Trump invokes "Glory be to GOD" β emotional, not strategic β ALREADY DONE
Step 5 β³ Third deadline passes β no more room to blink
Step 6 β³ Full-scale strikes on Iran's 85 GW power grid β 90,000,000 in the dark
Step 7 β³ Iran retaliates β Strait of Hormuz attacked β 21,000,000 barrels/day THREATENED
Step 8 β³ Oil surges past $150 β heading to $200
Step 9 β³ Iran launches ballistic missiles at Saudi Aramco β Abqaiq 2019 proved they can
Step 10 β³ Gas hits $6-$8/gallon in America β groceries, shipping, heating ALL spike
Step 11 β³ Fed CANNOT cut rates β inflation explodes β mortgage rates go UP
Step 12 β³ Global recession triggered β $250,000,000,000+ annual damage to world economy
Steps 1-4 already happened. ALREADY.
Steps 5-7 happen within DAYS.
Steps 8-12 within WEEKS.
They're showing you "Trump issues another deadline."
They're NOT showing you that the bombs already fell and every step from here leads to catastrophe.
This is not 2024. There is no bluff left to call. The wolf already showed up on March 14 and nobody noticed.
Bookmark this. Screenshot this. Come back in 5 days.
this was just part one.. follow me because part two is going to be the one everyone shares.
Trump already struck Kharg Island β March 14-15. CENTCOM confirmed. Iran's crown jewel. 90% of exports. ALREADY HIT.
He blinked on deadline 1. He blinked on deadline 2. He CANNOT blink on deadline 3.
Do you understand what that means?
Here's what happens next β step by step:
Step 1 β US strikes Kharg Island β ALREADY DONE
Step 2 β Both sides bomb desalination plants β ALREADY DONE
Step 3 β Trump publicly names targets: power grid, oil wells, desalination β ALREADY DONE
Step 4 β Trump invokes "Glory be to GOD" β emotional, not strategic β ALREADY DONE
Step 5 β³ Third deadline passes β no more room to blink
Step 6 β³ Full-scale strikes on Iran's 85 GW power grid β 90,000,000 in the dark
Step 7 β³ Iran retaliates β Strait of Hormuz attacked β 21,000,000 barrels/day THREATENED
Step 8 β³ Oil surges past $150 β heading to $200
Step 9 β³ Iran launches ballistic missiles at Saudi Aramco β Abqaiq 2019 proved they can
Step 10 β³ Gas hits $6-$8/gallon in America β groceries, shipping, heating ALL spike
Step 11 β³ Fed CANNOT cut rates β inflation explodes β mortgage rates go UP
Step 12 β³ Global recession triggered β $250,000,000,000+ annual damage to world economy
Steps 1-4 already happened. ALREADY.
Steps 5-7 happen within DAYS.
Steps 8-12 within WEEKS.
They're showing you "Trump issues another deadline."
They're NOT showing you that the bombs already fell and every step from here leads to catastrophe.
This is not 2024. There is no bluff left to call. The wolf already showed up on March 14 and nobody noticed.
Bookmark this. Screenshot this. Come back in 5 days.
this was just part one.. follow me because part two is going to be the one everyone shares.
β1
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
π¨ Do you understand what Anthropic just did.. they announced at 9pm that Claude subscriptions will no longer cover third-party tools like OpenClaw.. hours later.. they started SUSPENDING accounts.. not warning them.. not emailing them.. straight suspension..β¦
Claude subscriptions just stopped covering third-party tools like OpenClaw.
If you were running agents on your Max plan, here's what actually changed, along with three ways to keep going without overpaying.
blog.kilo.ai/p/i-was-running-openclaw-with-my-claude
If you were running agents on your Max plan, here's what actually changed, along with three ways to keep going without overpaying.
blog.kilo.ai/p/i-was-running-openclaw-with-my-claude
β1
π¨ Up To 60% Of GDP Still Comes From Oil
The Gulf Has Not Diversified As Much As You Think.
The narrative says: βThe Gulf is moving beyond oilβ
The data says...Not even close.
π The Reality Across Gulf Economies
Oil & gas share of GDP:
β’ π°πΌ Kuwait β 55β57%
β’ π΄π² Oman β 45β50%
β’ πΈπ¦ Saudi Arabia β 35β37%
β’ πΆπ¦ Qatar β 34β35%
β’ π¦πͺ UAE β 27β30%
β’ π§π Bahrain β 25β30%
β’ πΎπͺ Yemen β 20β30%
What This Means Right Now?
With:
β’ Oil > $100
β’ Hormuz flows disrupted
β’ Infrastructure under threat
These economies are directly leveraged to the crisis.
The Gulf Has Not Diversified As Much As You Think.
The narrative says: βThe Gulf is moving beyond oilβ
The data says...Not even close.
π The Reality Across Gulf Economies
Oil & gas share of GDP:
β’ π°πΌ Kuwait β 55β57%
β’ π΄π² Oman β 45β50%
β’ πΈπ¦ Saudi Arabia β 35β37%
β’ πΆπ¦ Qatar β 34β35%
β’ π¦πͺ UAE β 27β30%
β’ π§π Bahrain β 25β30%
β’ πΎπͺ Yemen β 20β30%
What This Means Right Now?
With:
β’ Oil > $100
β’ Hormuz flows disrupted
β’ Infrastructure under threat
These economies are directly leveraged to the crisis.
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Faster Than Human Reflexes: A #Robotic Hand Redefining Speed and Precision
Since the release of Gemini Roboticsπ€
Google is expanding its humanoid robot fleet.
>Strategic Partners:
Apptronik-Apollo (πΊπΈ)
Boston Dynamics-Atlas (πΊπΈπ°π·)
Agile Robots-Agile ONE (π©πͺ)
>Trusted Testing Partners:
Agility Robotics-Digit (πΊπΈ)
Enchanted Tools-MirokaΓ― (π«π·)
β¦more
Evidently, Google is not manufacturing hardware itself,instead, it is rapidly establishing a presence across humanoid robot platforms of various form factors and use cases through a network of strategic and testing partners. Concurrently, it is collecting massive amounts of real-world data to feed back into its model iterations, thereby creating a closed loop.
Do you think Google will launch its humanoid robot in the future? Or...
Google is expanding its humanoid robot fleet.
>Strategic Partners:
Apptronik-Apollo (πΊπΈ)
Boston Dynamics-Atlas (πΊπΈπ°π·)
Agile Robots-Agile ONE (π©πͺ)
>Trusted Testing Partners:
Agility Robotics-Digit (πΊπΈ)
Enchanted Tools-MirokaΓ― (π«π·)
β¦more
Evidently, Google is not manufacturing hardware itself,instead, it is rapidly establishing a presence across humanoid robot platforms of various form factors and use cases through a network of strategic and testing partners. Concurrently, it is collecting massive amounts of real-world data to feed back into its model iterations, thereby creating a closed loop.
Do you think Google will launch its humanoid robot in the future? Or...
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OpenAI just killed a $1 billion Disney deal on purpose.
Sam Altman did not shut down Sora because it was failing but instead because something bigger is working and he needs every chip, every engineer, and every dollar pointed at it right now.
Disney had committed $1 billion and fans were going to generate AI versions of Iron Man, Mickey Mouse, and Cinderella.
The deal was done but then Sam Altman killed it.
This has happened before at OpenAI, when GPT-3 started showing real promise, Altman shut down an entire robotics program that was working well.
He cleared the deck, concentrated the compute, and made a bet.
GPT-3 became the foundation of the modern AI era and the move that looked reckless in the moment changed everything after it.
Now Altman is saying that he did not expect to be at this point three or six months ago.
Something unexpected is working at OpenAI, something serious enough to blow up a billion-dollar Hollywood partnership to chase it.
He called it "the next generation of automated researchers and companies." that can conduct research, build companies, and make decisions on their own.
The phrase he keeps using is the tell. "It's always about compute."
Compute is the fuel of AI progress, and right now OpenAI is pouring every last drop into a single engine.
Sam Altman did not shut down Sora because it was failing but instead because something bigger is working and he needs every chip, every engineer, and every dollar pointed at it right now.
Disney had committed $1 billion and fans were going to generate AI versions of Iron Man, Mickey Mouse, and Cinderella.
The deal was done but then Sam Altman killed it.
This has happened before at OpenAI, when GPT-3 started showing real promise, Altman shut down an entire robotics program that was working well.
He cleared the deck, concentrated the compute, and made a bet.
GPT-3 became the foundation of the modern AI era and the move that looked reckless in the moment changed everything after it.
Now Altman is saying that he did not expect to be at this point three or six months ago.
Something unexpected is working at OpenAI, something serious enough to blow up a billion-dollar Hollywood partnership to chase it.
He called it "the next generation of automated researchers and companies." that can conduct research, build companies, and make decisions on their own.
The phrase he keeps using is the tell. "It's always about compute."
Compute is the fuel of AI progress, and right now OpenAI is pouring every last drop into a single engine.
β1
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
$TSLA may ultimately be remembered as the company whose autonomy lead unlocked the robotics revolution If Tesla truly solves autonomy then the real opportunity expands into labor, entirely new end markets and a new industrial frontier for humanity.
Tesla is not a car company, it never was.
David Friedberg, scientist, billionaire investor, and one of the sharpest long-term thinkers in Silicon Valley just laid out the most important prediction about Tesla that almost nobody is talking about.
$TSLA Tesla began as an electric car company, then quietly became an autonomous driving company.
But the autonomous driving technology was never really about cars, it was secretly training the most capable robotic brain ever built.
Every mile of FSD data, every Autopilot update, was building something far larger than transportation.
The end product is a robot that can do anything, anywhere.
Here is where it gets uncomfortable.
Friedberg's argument is that even if governments ban robots from taking jobs on Earth and politicians are already talking about it, there is literally nothing they can do about the moon.
The moon has rare metals, resources, and a vacuum environment perfect for manufacturing semiconductors without contamination.
The factories that politics and regulation make impossible to build on Earth get built up there instead.
Elon Musk is already building TERAFAB, a massive chip factory in Austin jointly run by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI specifically designed to produce chips for Optimus robots and radiation hardened processors built for space.
Wall Street is still debating Tesla's quarterly car delivery numbers but David Friedberg is describing the first off-world industrial civilization in human history.
Tesla started as a car company. It will end up as the company that industrialized the moon and by the time the rest of the world figures that out, the robots will already be there.
David Friedberg, scientist, billionaire investor, and one of the sharpest long-term thinkers in Silicon Valley just laid out the most important prediction about Tesla that almost nobody is talking about.
$TSLA Tesla began as an electric car company, then quietly became an autonomous driving company.
But the autonomous driving technology was never really about cars, it was secretly training the most capable robotic brain ever built.
Every mile of FSD data, every Autopilot update, was building something far larger than transportation.
The end product is a robot that can do anything, anywhere.
Here is where it gets uncomfortable.
Friedberg's argument is that even if governments ban robots from taking jobs on Earth and politicians are already talking about it, there is literally nothing they can do about the moon.
The moon has rare metals, resources, and a vacuum environment perfect for manufacturing semiconductors without contamination.
The factories that politics and regulation make impossible to build on Earth get built up there instead.
Elon Musk is already building TERAFAB, a massive chip factory in Austin jointly run by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI specifically designed to produce chips for Optimus robots and radiation hardened processors built for space.
Wall Street is still debating Tesla's quarterly car delivery numbers but David Friedberg is describing the first off-world industrial civilization in human history.
Tesla started as a car company. It will end up as the company that industrialized the moon and by the time the rest of the world figures that out, the robots will already be there.
β1
The biggest construction race in American history just got a reality check and the gap between promise and progress is staggering.
Companies have pledged hundreds of gigawatts of data centers to power AI but look at the black bars on this chart, that is the actual construction happening on the ground right now.
For 2026 alone, at least 16 gigawatts of data center capacity was supposed to come online this year and only a fraction of that is formally under construction today .
Last year, 26% of expected capacity slipped outright, and another 10% quietly pushed their dates back without any public announcement .
Sightline Climate, the firm behind this data, now believes 30 to 50 percent of everything planned for 2026 will face the exact same fate .
The bottleneck is not money and it is not ambition, it is power.
The US electrical grid cannot move fast enough to support what is being promised .
Transformers, switchgear, and high-voltage equipment are severely backlogged, and much of it must be imported directly from China .
The same country at the center of a geopolitical standoff is also a critical supplier holding American AI infrastructure together .
The smartest players already saw this coming and started adapting.
Google bought an entire 10.8 gigawatt pipeline rather than wait on the grid, and Amazon went directly to solar and storage developers to bypass utilities entirely .
These companies are not just racing to build more data centers, they are racing to secure power, because power is the actual scarce resource in this entire story .
Companies have pledged hundreds of gigawatts of data centers to power AI but look at the black bars on this chart, that is the actual construction happening on the ground right now.
For 2026 alone, at least 16 gigawatts of data center capacity was supposed to come online this year and only a fraction of that is formally under construction today .
Last year, 26% of expected capacity slipped outright, and another 10% quietly pushed their dates back without any public announcement .
Sightline Climate, the firm behind this data, now believes 30 to 50 percent of everything planned for 2026 will face the exact same fate .
The bottleneck is not money and it is not ambition, it is power.
The US electrical grid cannot move fast enough to support what is being promised .
Transformers, switchgear, and high-voltage equipment are severely backlogged, and much of it must be imported directly from China .
The same country at the center of a geopolitical standoff is also a critical supplier holding American AI infrastructure together .
The smartest players already saw this coming and started adapting.
Google bought an entire 10.8 gigawatt pipeline rather than wait on the grid, and Amazon went directly to solar and storage developers to bypass utilities entirely .
These companies are not just racing to build more data centers, they are racing to secure power, because power is the actual scarce resource in this entire story .
β1
The energy crisis is wreaking havoc in the African mining sector
- Mining accounts for ~20% of Africaβs total electricity consumption
- In some countries like Zambia, itβs up to 50%
- For many African countries, mining is the main source of income
The current energy crisis risks reducing African mining output and triggering a broader humanitarian crisis.
Mining output has been curtailed for years in some countries and is spreading the longer this shortage persists.
Africa is a major PGM, copper, gold, and manganese producer.
- Mining accounts for ~20% of Africaβs total electricity consumption
- In some countries like Zambia, itβs up to 50%
- For many African countries, mining is the main source of income
The current energy crisis risks reducing African mining output and triggering a broader humanitarian crisis.
Mining output has been curtailed for years in some countries and is spreading the longer this shortage persists.
Africa is a major PGM, copper, gold, and manganese producer.
β1
Bond yields are surging... right when we canβt afford it.
After the world printed record amounts of money during the lockdowns, we saw a historic surge in yields. Now we have entered the next inflationary crisis.
But this time, there is no real ammo left to fight it.
With debt-to-GDP levels at ~100%, raising interest rates further would directly threaten the solvency of governments... which leaves financial repression as the only viable path.
Keeping interest rates below inflation and thereby inflating the debt away to a more manageable level.
This is exactly how the US reduced its WWII debt, which was at similar debt-to-GDP levels. Sustained inflation, especially during the 70s, pushed debt-to-GDP from ~120% down to ~30%, which then allowed Volcker to raise rates to ~20% and finally kill inflation.
First you inflate the debt away, then you fight inflation...
We are at the inflation stage.... position accordingly.
After the world printed record amounts of money during the lockdowns, we saw a historic surge in yields. Now we have entered the next inflationary crisis.
But this time, there is no real ammo left to fight it.
With debt-to-GDP levels at ~100%, raising interest rates further would directly threaten the solvency of governments... which leaves financial repression as the only viable path.
Keeping interest rates below inflation and thereby inflating the debt away to a more manageable level.
This is exactly how the US reduced its WWII debt, which was at similar debt-to-GDP levels. Sustained inflation, especially during the 70s, pushed debt-to-GDP from ~120% down to ~30%, which then allowed Volcker to raise rates to ~20% and finally kill inflation.
First you inflate the debt away, then you fight inflation...
We are at the inflation stage.... position accordingly.
π1
UBS: Current macro environment favors commodities
- Commodities hedge inflation risk
- Gold hedges geopolitical uncertainty and rising government debt
We live in volatile times, so expect elevated volatility. The recent gold/commodity selloff doesnβt negate the long-term thesis... itβs just part of the game.
- Central banks, the major gold driver, are still buying
- Supply shortages are bullish for commodities
- Copper deficit is widening
- So are uranium and silver
While predicting short-term price movements is hard, over the long term commodities have to rise.
- Commodities hedge inflation risk
- Gold hedges geopolitical uncertainty and rising government debt
We live in volatile times, so expect elevated volatility. The recent gold/commodity selloff doesnβt negate the long-term thesis... itβs just part of the game.
- Central banks, the major gold driver, are still buying
- Supply shortages are bullish for commodities
- Copper deficit is widening
- So are uranium and silver
While predicting short-term price movements is hard, over the long term commodities have to rise.
π1
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#Neuralink. No hands. No voice. Still in control.
21 people already running their world with thought alone.
Speech gone for years⦠now talking again.
Try processing that for a second.
21 people already running their world with thought alone.
Speech gone for years⦠now talking again.
Try processing that for a second.
Forwarded from π’WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading π
π¨One month of war.
Here's what it costs at the pump.
π΅π Philippines gasoline +54% | diesel +82%
π³π¬ Nigeria +49% | +66%
π¦πΊ Australia +42% | +52%
πΊπΈ United States +30% | +41%
π¨π¦ Canada +25% | +37%
π«π· France +17% | +28%
π©πͺ Germany +17% | +31%
π¨π³ China +10% | +11%
π¬π§ UK +10% | +18%
π―π΅ Japan +2.5% | +2.5%
Notice the pattern?
The poorest countries pay the most.
The most exposed pay double on diesel.
China with coal and pipelines barely moves.
Japan strategic reserves still holding.
This isn't an oil price chart.
It's a map of who prepared and who didn't.
Here's what it costs at the pump.
π΅π Philippines gasoline +54% | diesel +82%
π³π¬ Nigeria +49% | +66%
π¦πΊ Australia +42% | +52%
πΊπΈ United States +30% | +41%
π¨π¦ Canada +25% | +37%
π«π· France +17% | +28%
π©πͺ Germany +17% | +31%
π¨π³ China +10% | +11%
π¬π§ UK +10% | +18%
π―π΅ Japan +2.5% | +2.5%
Notice the pattern?
The poorest countries pay the most.
The most exposed pay double on diesel.
China with coal and pipelines barely moves.
Japan strategic reserves still holding.
This isn't an oil price chart.
It's a map of who prepared and who didn't.
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
$AMZN/USD H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
Amazon $AMZN now has THREE separate business segments that bring in more than $100 Billion per year
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
π¨π¨π¨ BREAKING: THE US IS EXECUTING THE LARGEST MILITARY AIRLIFT SINCE THE IRAQ INVASION OF 2003. It is happening right now. Flight trackers are lighting up. Dozens of C-17 Globemaster III transports are crossing the Atlantic. All callsigns: REACH. That'sβ¦
THE BIGGEST US MILITARY AIRLIFT SINCE THE IRAQ INVASION.
It's happening right now.
While Trump says "talks are going well" β
Dozens of C-17 Globemaster IIIs have left the US east coast.
They're crossing the Atlantic as you read this.
KC-135 tankers are flying alongside them.
That combo means one thing: non-stop transatlantic flight.
This is not a training exercise.
Each C-17 carries 170,900 lbs of payload.
We're talking M1 Abrams tanks.
Bradley fighting vehicles. Strykers.
102 fully armed paratroopers per aircraft.
A second wave is already over Europe.
Heading to the eastern Mediterranean.
All REACH callsigns β USAF Air Mobility Command.
The Washington Post reported the Pentagon is preparing for WEEKS of ground operations in Iran.
Thousands of US Marines and Army paratroopers are already deploying to the Middle East.
The USS George H.W. Bush carrier was deployed April 1.
Iran's parliament speaker said it publicly:
"The enemy sends messages of negotiation while planning a ground attack."
April 6 is the ceasefire deadline.
If Iran doesn't agree β ground forces go in.
The planes are in the air now.
They land before that deadline.
"Talks are going well." βοΈ
It's happening right now.
While Trump says "talks are going well" β
Dozens of C-17 Globemaster IIIs have left the US east coast.
They're crossing the Atlantic as you read this.
KC-135 tankers are flying alongside them.
That combo means one thing: non-stop transatlantic flight.
This is not a training exercise.
Each C-17 carries 170,900 lbs of payload.
We're talking M1 Abrams tanks.
Bradley fighting vehicles. Strykers.
102 fully armed paratroopers per aircraft.
A second wave is already over Europe.
Heading to the eastern Mediterranean.
All REACH callsigns β USAF Air Mobility Command.
The Washington Post reported the Pentagon is preparing for WEEKS of ground operations in Iran.
Thousands of US Marines and Army paratroopers are already deploying to the Middle East.
The USS George H.W. Bush carrier was deployed April 1.
Iran's parliament speaker said it publicly:
"The enemy sends messages of negotiation while planning a ground attack."
April 6 is the ceasefire deadline.
If Iran doesn't agree β ground forces go in.
The planes are in the air now.
They land before that deadline.
"Talks are going well." βοΈ
β1
π¨π Global One SI - Prompt
WHAT HAPPENS THE NIGHT HE PULLS THE TRIGGER
Day one. Power grid gone. 90 million Iranians in darkness.
No water pumps. No hospitals. No food storage.
Day two. Kharg Island burns. That's 90% of Iran's oil exports.
TWO MILLION barrels per day vanish from world markets.
Oil hits $150. Then $200.
Every $10 rise in oil costs the global economy $250 billion.
Your gas hits $6. Maybe $8.
Your groceries cost more. Your heating bill explodes.
Iran retaliates. US bases across the region get hit. 40,000 troops.
Houthis shut down the Red Sea. Global shipping collapses.
Saudi oil fields get targeted. AGAIN. Like Abqaiq in 2019.
Gulf desalination plants go dark. UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain.
50 MILLION people without water.
You are not watching a foreign policy dispute.
You are watching the supply chain that runs your life get destroyed.
And you are scrolling past it. π΄
Day one. Power grid gone. 90 million Iranians in darkness.
No water pumps. No hospitals. No food storage.
Day two. Kharg Island burns. That's 90% of Iran's oil exports.
TWO MILLION barrels per day vanish from world markets.
Oil hits $150. Then $200.
Every $10 rise in oil costs the global economy $250 billion.
Your gas hits $6. Maybe $8.
Your groceries cost more. Your heating bill explodes.
Iran retaliates. US bases across the region get hit. 40,000 troops.
Houthis shut down the Red Sea. Global shipping collapses.
Saudi oil fields get targeted. AGAIN. Like Abqaiq in 2019.
Gulf desalination plants go dark. UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain.
50 MILLION people without water.
You are not watching a foreign policy dispute.
You are watching the supply chain that runs your life get destroyed.
And you are scrolling past it. π΄
π³1