📙 Beige Book #FED:
▫️Economic activity increased slightly or moderately in 7 out of 12 districts. 5 districts - no change or decline (compared to 4 last time).
❗️Consumer spending increased slightly overall, but two districts report continued decline. Across the board - growth in price sensitivity, low-income consumers are cutting back on spending. Winter storms slowed retail traffic in several regions.
▫️Production improved: 8 districts report growth. Drivers - data centers and energy infrastructure.
❗️Employment was practically unchanged in 7 out of 12 districts. Reasons - rising costs, weak demand, and general uncertainty. Companies are increasingly adopting AI and automation - so far with a focus on productivity rather than staff reductions.
▫️Wages are rising moderately - competition for talent persists in certain segments, especially in manual labor professions.
▫️Prices are rising moderately in most districts. Key topic - tariff pressure: 9 districts mentioned tariffs as a factor of cost increase.
▫️The financial sector is stable or improving, the main driver being commercial lending. Residential real estate is under pressure from low supply and affordability issues.
▫️Forecasts are moderately optimistic - most districts expect slight or moderate economic growth in the coming months.
▫️Economic activity increased slightly or moderately in 7 out of 12 districts. 5 districts - no change or decline (compared to 4 last time).
❗️Consumer spending increased slightly overall, but two districts report continued decline. Across the board - growth in price sensitivity, low-income consumers are cutting back on spending. Winter storms slowed retail traffic in several regions.
▫️Production improved: 8 districts report growth. Drivers - data centers and energy infrastructure.
❗️Employment was practically unchanged in 7 out of 12 districts. Reasons - rising costs, weak demand, and general uncertainty. Companies are increasingly adopting AI and automation - so far with a focus on productivity rather than staff reductions.
▫️Wages are rising moderately - competition for talent persists in certain segments, especially in manual labor professions.
▫️Prices are rising moderately in most districts. Key topic - tariff pressure: 9 districts mentioned tariffs as a factor of cost increase.
▫️The financial sector is stable or improving, the main driver being commercial lending. Residential real estate is under pressure from low supply and affordability issues.
▫️Forecasts are moderately optimistic - most districts expect slight or moderate economic growth in the coming months.
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
🚨 Hormuz Tanker Traffic Just Collapsed
From 55–65 tankers per day in February
to almost zero in early March.
#HormuzStrait #Iran #oott
From 55–65 tankers per day in February
to almost zero in early March.
#HormuzStrait #Iran #oott
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
🚨 Even a $50 Oil Spike May Not Break Inflation
Markets may be calmer than headlines suggest.
According to Apollo estimates:
• +$50/bbl oil shock lifts inflation by 0.7–1.0 percentage points in 2026
• Impact fades quickly through 2027–2028
In other words:
⚠️ A major oil spike hurts, but it is not a 1970s-style inflation shock.
Why markets are staying relatively calm:
• #Energy is a smaller share of CPI today
• The US is far less oil-import dependent
• Strategic reserves and shale act as buffers
So even with Middle East tensions and Hormuz risk, equity and bond markets are not pricing an inflation spiral.
They are pricing a temporary energy shock.
#oott
Markets may be calmer than headlines suggest.
According to Apollo estimates:
• +$50/bbl oil shock lifts inflation by 0.7–1.0 percentage points in 2026
• Impact fades quickly through 2027–2028
In other words:
⚠️ A major oil spike hurts, but it is not a 1970s-style inflation shock.
Why markets are staying relatively calm:
• #Energy is a smaller share of CPI today
• The US is far less oil-import dependent
• Strategic reserves and shale act as buffers
So even with Middle East tensions and Hormuz risk, equity and bond markets are not pricing an inflation spiral.
They are pricing a temporary energy shock.
#oott
U.S. says war ‘just getting started’ as Iran vows ‘complete destruction.'
🗿1
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
Photo
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Just a little more info on the torpedo type that sunk the Iranian Frigate (IRIS Dena) off the coast of Sri Lanka.
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
H.C. Wainwright reiterates Buy for Archer Aviation $ACHR with an 18 price target. Despite a 189M Q4 loss, the firm holds a record $2B in liquidity and has reached 100% FAA Means of Compliance, clearing the path for 2026 commercial launches.
Archer Aviation $ACHR has $2,000,000,000 of total liquidity now.
Let that sink in.
Let that sink in.
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A speed comparison of the fastest aircraft on Earth, from Mach 3 up to Mach 9.6 😳
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That's a tiny experimental interceptor drone or kinetic kill vehicle.
Indoor footage: testing thrusters in a hangar for precise hovering & maneuvers.
Space part: it deploys from orbit, uses lateral boosters for a perfect hit-to-kill on a target (boom, destroyed).
Not a horse—just born to zoom and intercept! 🚀
Indoor footage: testing thrusters in a hangar for precise hovering & maneuvers.
Space part: it deploys from orbit, uses lateral boosters for a perfect hit-to-kill on a target (boom, destroyed).
Not a horse—just born to zoom and intercept! 🚀
🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
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#WTI/USDT H2 #Indicator #Signal #Trading #GlobalOneAI
Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi
@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
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🐦 @pigeon_trade_bot
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↗️ ostium.com
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💱 mtpelerin.com
Decentralized Perpetuals Exchange - 290+ assets across #crypto, #forex, #stocks, #indices, and #commodities. All tradeable from your wallet. Just #trade on Hawk/gTrade + Ostium or Vooi
@Hawk_trading_bot @ostiumbot
@VooiAppBot
🐦 @pigeon_trade_bot
Prove your #trading skills and get funded!
🥕 carrotfunding.io
Unlock your freedom
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🇨🇭 Global One SI - Prompt
THIS IS CONCERNING. Over 1.17 million US job cuts were announced in the last year, the highest since the pandemic. 600,000 were cut in just the first two months of 2026. Major layoffs include: • US Government: 317,000 • UPS: 78,000 • Amazon: 30,000 • Intel:…
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Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei is warning 50% of white collar jobs will be directly impacted by AI the next 1-5 years.
He explains why this is different than previous technological innovations because it disrupts everything including knowledge work.
He explains why this is different than previous technological innovations because it disrupts everything including knowledge work.
Forwarded from 🛢WTI, Brent Crude Oil, NGAS Trading 📊
$OXY $CVX $XOM $NBR | Tanker markets face extreme pressure as the Strait of Hormuz crisis halts flows.
VLCC rates to China surged to a record $420/day, with only 6 to 12 ships left in the Gulf. Analysts warn of 4.7M bpd in production shut ins as storage reaches capacity.
VLCC rates to China surged to a record $420/day, with only 6 to 12 ships left in the Gulf. Analysts warn of 4.7M bpd in production shut ins as storage reaches capacity.