Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Pakistani Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, met with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of Parliament and head of Iran's negotiating team, in Tehran for high-level talks aimed at advancing diplomatic initiatives.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒŸ- The U.S. Space Force successfully launched an unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California on May 20th during the Glory Trip 256 test.

โžก๏ธ Conducted at 12:01am Pacific Time under the supervision of the 576th Flight Test Squadron, the nighttime launch validated the missile's propulsion, guidance, and reentry systems while demonstrating the readiness of its operating crews.

โžก๏ธ The U.S. Space Force stressed the launch had been scheduled years in advance and was unrelated to current geopolitical tensions. Performance data gathered will support long-term modernization planning, including the transition to the next-generation LGM-35A Sentinel ICBM.

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๐Ÿ’ฉ26๐Ÿ”ฅ16๐Ÿคก6๐Ÿคฏ3๐Ÿ–•3โค2๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ‘€2๐Ÿค”1
๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani held a phone call with Donald Trump, during which the two discussed the latest regional developments and ongoing efforts to de-escalate tensions.

โžก๏ธ Tamim reaffirmed Qatar's support for Pakistan's diplomatic mediation efforts and stressed the importance of peaceful solutions and continued dialogue to resolve the crisis. The call also touched on preserving maritime security, protecting strategic waterways, and ensuring the uninterrupted flow of global energy and supply chains.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ€“ Dan Scavino, White House Deputy Chief of Staff and Trump's Advisor, posted this video of B-2s on X.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino has posted another video featuring B-2 bombers; notably, the last time he posted a similar video was on February 27th, less than 24 hours before the February 28th strikes on Iran.
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Pakistani Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, has departed Tehran after meeting with the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF Excavator using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Deir Seryan' on the 21st of May.

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๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€“ Pope Leo XIV performed six-seven. @GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ6๏ธโƒฃ7๏ธโƒฃโ€“ Pope Leo XIV did it again.

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๐Ÿ˜ญ47๐Ÿ˜10๐Ÿคก9โค5๐Ÿ’ฉ3๐Ÿ†’3๐Ÿคฃ2๐Ÿฅด1๐Ÿ–•1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ-Israeli security minister Itamar Ben Gvir has posted a video of the "detained" flotilla activists currently being held in Israel. The post is captioned:This is how we welcome supporters of terrorism Welcome to Israel @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The French Foreign Minister has announced that Israeli far-right minister of national security Itamar Ben Gvir is banned from entering France and its airspace due to his unacceptable actions towards activists aboard the Global Sumud Flotilla.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released a list of statistics regarding the naval blockade on Iran:
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces reached the milestone of redirecting 100 commercial vessels, May 23, while enforcing a maritime blockade against Iran.

American forces began implementing the blockade April 13 against commercial ships entering and exiting Iranian ports, in accordance with a presidential proclamation. Over the past six weeks, more than 15,000 Soldiers, Sailors, Marines, and Airmen have redirected 100 vessels, disabled four, and allowed 26 humanitarian aid ships to pass.

More than 200 U.S. aircraft and warships are supporting the mission, including the Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group, George H.W. Bush Carrier Strike Group, Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group/31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, and multiple guided-missile destroyers.

The blockade is being enforced against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- An Iranian official told Al Jazeera that Iran has reached a memorandum of understanding with the Pakistani mediator and is now awaiting the American response. The memorandum covers ending the war, lifting the blockade, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region.

โžก๏ธ Nuclear issues have been excluded from the memorandum due to their complexity, though the official indicated that a pathway to nuclear negotiations could open after 30 days of the agreement being in place. The official stressed that Iran cannot make further concessions beyond those outlined in the memorandum.

โžก๏ธ It had been planned for Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir to formally announce the memorandum of understanding in Tehran; however, he departed to coordinate directly with the U.S. before doing so.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- An Iranian official told Al Jazeera that Iran has reached a memorandum of understanding with the Pakistani mediator and is now awaiting the American response. The memorandum covers ending the war, lifting the blockade, reopening the Strait of Hormuzโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Iranian Foreign Ministry and Iranian negotiation team spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei stated that Iran is "very far and very close to an agreement" with the U.S., emphasizing that ending the war is Tehran's top priority.

โžก๏ธ He mentioned that Asim Munir's visit aimed to enhance communication between the two sides, with positions narrowing on disputed clauses, although a formal agreement has not yet been reached. Baqaei criticized contradictory American positions, cautioning that Tehran cannot assume a breakthrough is guaranteed.

โžก๏ธ Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Baqaei asserted that the issue is solely between Iran and its neighboring coastal states, not involving the U.S. He indicated that current talks focus on resolving regional conflicts, including in Lebanon, rather than detailed nuclear discussions.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, in a message to Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem, reaffirmed Iran's continued support for what it describes as legitimate resistance movements, with Hezbollah at the forefront.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Iranian Foreign Ministry and Iranian negotiation team spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei stated that Iran is "very far and very close to an agreement" with the U.S., emphasizing that ending the war is Tehran's top priority. โžก๏ธ He mentioned that Asim Munir'sโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Esmaeil Baqaei also stated that while sanctions are raised in every conversation with the U.S., and Iran's explicit demand for their full removal is included in the text, the lifting of sanctions is not being actively discussed at this stage given the current focus on ending the war.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump posted on Truth Social.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the negotiations with Iran:
There may be news later today. I don't have news for you at this very moment, but there might be some news a little later today. There may not be; I hope there will be, but I'm not sure yet.

The question is about the Iranian issue, and, as I said, there's been some progress done, some progress made. Even as I speak to you now, there's some work being done. There is a chance that whether it's later today, tomorrow, or in a couple days, we may have something to say.

But this issue needs to be solved, as the president has said, one way or the other. Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. The straits need to be open without tolls. They need to turn over their enriched uranium; they need to turn over their highly enriched uranium. We need to address that issue; we need to address the issue of enrichment. These are the President's points consistently, and his preference is always to deal with it in a diplomatic way.

The president's preference is always to solve problems such as these through a negotiated diplomatic solution. That's what we're working on right now. But this problem will be solved, as the president's made clear, one way or the other. We hope it's done through the diplomatic route; that's what we're working on, and perhaps there'll be something to talk about on that topic while I'm here on this trip.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- A large number of U.S. Air Force aircraft are currently leaving West Asia towards Europe; this includes 2 refueling aircraft and 6 transport aircraft.
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