Global Intel Watch
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The city of Tabriz in northwestern Iran is currently under attack with at least five explosions heard, according to Iranian media. - NYT
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Iran to declare war and retaliate "Soon".
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Uhhhhh I think that now is your time if you're anti-regime and apart of anything in Iran.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Lmfao
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - The Israeli army has decided to seal off the entire West Bank. Millions of Palestinians are now living under a complete military lockdown.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Israeli official: โ€œWe are just getting started.โ€
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Still waiting for any serious Iranian retaliation, notably on the Hormuz thing people speculated on for years.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ - I think that we, the realists, remained for too long in a post-Iraq and post-Afghanistan mindset marked by US foreign policy failures, and we often don't see the many successes the US foreign policy had, and I think we often overestimate the military potentiel of US foreign adversaries.
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - My guess (or at least, what I'm feeling like at the moment) is that the West has reached a level of technological advance in military affairs that will be imposible for the third world and allies club to join within a few years, thus ensuring years of US dominance over global affairs.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Those in the West who are still loyal to liberal democracy, notably in Ottawa and Paris, will have to adjust to this new geopolitical reality. Military projection is back.
I think being a realist is

1) Realizing that nuclear deterrence is still a thing, notably for Russia, China and North Korea.
2) BUT, also saying that Western technological advance is increasing by the day so we could see some change on that front.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Qaani is dead per reports.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Israeli airstrikes reported on Fordow fuel enrichment plant.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐ŸŒ - Israel announced the closure of Israeli embassies around the world and the suspension of consular services.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will address the nation in a few minutes - Fars News Agency
#BREAKING

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ—๏ธ โ€” Israeli missile strikes at Iran's Supreme Leader's Residence in Tehran!
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Israel has warned that if Iran targets Israeli population centers in its retaliation, Israel will respond by launching strikes on all of Iranโ€™s oil refineries and natural gas facilities along the Persian Gulf, according to Israeli Channel 12.
๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Synthesis of the statements of major european institutions to the Israel-Iran conflict:

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บNeutral - urges both parties to deescalate.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นNeutral - urges both parties to deescalate.
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งCritical - Affirms it wonโ€™t militarily back Israel.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บCritical - Israeli attack unprovoked and illegal.
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทNeutral/Pro Israel - reaffirms Israel โ€˜โ€™right to defend itselfโ€™โ€™ but urges both parties to deescalate.
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชNeutral/Pro Israel - Condemns Iran drone Attacks on Israel but urges both parties to deescalate.
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑDonโ€™t care, ready to evacuate polish citizens.

Sources: French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Statements by Italian Pm, Ursula Von der Leyen, Merz, The moscow times, the israeli times (๐Ÿง), German Federal Foreign Affairs, DW news.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Impacts seen in Tel Aviv.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท -
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท -