Leaning Carlos Castro by pts (+250) over stoppage (-250). He’s a (-1200) overall favorite. Not something I would hammer but I can see Castro winning by pts here. For anybody who wants a side on that fight. Matchup starts in about 45 mins on the Pacquaio/ Ugas undercard.
LIVE BET:
Manny Pacquiao (+350) 1U
I personally took distance & draw, but this is huge value considering judges may favor Manny.
Manny Pacquiao (+350) 1U
I personally took distance & draw, but this is huge value considering judges may favor Manny.
Forwarded from 1/2 Private Fight Channels
2-3U fight plays stay dominating 😯💥🤝🤩
Apologies for backing off on Boxing MAX play. But it was still the right approach considering anybody could have still live bet. I personally listened to my approach & took advantage small in the 3rd round near (-190). Lost some juice from the original (-150) but it was worth seeing Ugas in the 1st 3 rounds. Everyone called Manny knocking out Ugas, I just couldn’t see it 💯
Apologies for backing off on Boxing MAX play. But it was still the right approach considering anybody could have still live bet. I personally listened to my approach & took advantage small in the 3rd round near (-190). Lost some juice from the original (-150) but it was worth seeing Ugas in the 1st 3 rounds. Everyone called Manny knocking out Ugas, I just couldn’t see it 💯
Jake Paul vs Tyrone Woodley FREE breakdown.
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Going to just start off where I left off the Paul vs Askren free breakdown > This is an entirely different matchup & fight. Throwing it out I do not have a play like last time, so take whatever you need into account here. I would say the biggest reason I had Paul over Askren as a prime lock was simply because Askren really didn’t have a punchers chance based off skill alone combined with just terrible physical disadvantages. If you cant even punch (it’s that bad with Askren).. you have zero chance against nearly anybody in a boxing ring. All that allowed me to know Jake wouldn’t experience a real fight. No matter how much Askren spoke about taking Paul to deep waters it still made no sense to me because #1 it takes good & timely punches to tire somebody out AND it takes boxing experience to know what later rounds in BOXING feels like it. Nothing there Askren had an as advantage. Now back to this matchup, I would be lying to you if I didn’t say I ripped up my final breakdown on Thursday & threw it in the garbage… I did that. Im going away from my initial gut & going with my head now > I think Jake wins. I initially really was leaning Woodley to stop this show. With a right game plan, I still have a minor belief Woodley CAN do exactly what Askren was trying to do > get Paul to deep waters. Woodley should try to have a high tight shell guard early, looking to parry & block punches in aim to get to at least round 3 because I don’t think he lands a quick huge 1st round punch like he might envision. NOBODY nobody has blocked or tried to parry Jakes punches & those are type of things that can offset an inexperienced boxer. Those are type of things Woodley needs do NOT just storm & get tired once you’re not landing flush 🤷♂️ No Woodley isn’t a classic boxer but these little things like parrys are things Woodley is capable of. Jake has just punched through all his “opponents”. & why is that > because non of his opponents have yet to have a clue what to do in a ring in order to perform basic boxing movement. Now Jake talks about being a cardio machine but the fact he’s still never been a in a real dog fight. Training hard & sparring hard can be different. Nobody can confirm his team has pushed his sparring to limits & if they have not, that could be a problem. What I will say starting to turn the page here is that it’s still very key that Paul has experienced big fight moments (CROWDS). Why? Because I can 1st hand tell you “adrenaline dump” is a real thing. Pretty much usually happens in a big 1st fight where your nerves are at uncontrollable pace & you tire out quicker than usual. It’s terrible so it’s important to me that I’m almost certain Jake won’t feel that. Now I have explained Woodleys path which was my original gut but i just don’t think he comes out that way. & that’s why I backtracked. I think 2 things are going to either happen. Both will come out fast in each other’s face with Woodley failing to land the big blow & Jake will simply use his size to withstand while slowly getting comfortable to start landing. That will lead to a 3rd or 4th round stoppage for Jake OR a longer fight than anticipated where I definitely believe Jake will be favored on the scorecards because of obvious money reasons. Of course the other scenario is my original gut is right & Woodley breaks through Jake. But this is why I wait to the end of week to see certain things on fight week. I don’t take much into Jakes words but I’m actually going to believe his words when he talks about coming to show different boxing skills like combination punching, a lot of jabs even talks about wanting to get hit to show he has a strong chin. Listen I’m the one who has preached getting hit in a real fight can’t expose cardio but I think Jake is really going to showcase his class here OVER Woodley. Not class overall, class over Woodley lol.
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Going to just start off where I left off the Paul vs Askren free breakdown > This is an entirely different matchup & fight. Throwing it out I do not have a play like last time, so take whatever you need into account here. I would say the biggest reason I had Paul over Askren as a prime lock was simply because Askren really didn’t have a punchers chance based off skill alone combined with just terrible physical disadvantages. If you cant even punch (it’s that bad with Askren).. you have zero chance against nearly anybody in a boxing ring. All that allowed me to know Jake wouldn’t experience a real fight. No matter how much Askren spoke about taking Paul to deep waters it still made no sense to me because #1 it takes good & timely punches to tire somebody out AND it takes boxing experience to know what later rounds in BOXING feels like it. Nothing there Askren had an as advantage. Now back to this matchup, I would be lying to you if I didn’t say I ripped up my final breakdown on Thursday & threw it in the garbage… I did that. Im going away from my initial gut & going with my head now > I think Jake wins. I initially really was leaning Woodley to stop this show. With a right game plan, I still have a minor belief Woodley CAN do exactly what Askren was trying to do > get Paul to deep waters. Woodley should try to have a high tight shell guard early, looking to parry & block punches in aim to get to at least round 3 because I don’t think he lands a quick huge 1st round punch like he might envision. NOBODY nobody has blocked or tried to parry Jakes punches & those are type of things that can offset an inexperienced boxer. Those are type of things Woodley needs do NOT just storm & get tired once you’re not landing flush 🤷♂️ No Woodley isn’t a classic boxer but these little things like parrys are things Woodley is capable of. Jake has just punched through all his “opponents”. & why is that > because non of his opponents have yet to have a clue what to do in a ring in order to perform basic boxing movement. Now Jake talks about being a cardio machine but the fact he’s still never been a in a real dog fight. Training hard & sparring hard can be different. Nobody can confirm his team has pushed his sparring to limits & if they have not, that could be a problem. What I will say starting to turn the page here is that it’s still very key that Paul has experienced big fight moments (CROWDS). Why? Because I can 1st hand tell you “adrenaline dump” is a real thing. Pretty much usually happens in a big 1st fight where your nerves are at uncontrollable pace & you tire out quicker than usual. It’s terrible so it’s important to me that I’m almost certain Jake won’t feel that. Now I have explained Woodleys path which was my original gut but i just don’t think he comes out that way. & that’s why I backtracked. I think 2 things are going to either happen. Both will come out fast in each other’s face with Woodley failing to land the big blow & Jake will simply use his size to withstand while slowly getting comfortable to start landing. That will lead to a 3rd or 4th round stoppage for Jake OR a longer fight than anticipated where I definitely believe Jake will be favored on the scorecards because of obvious money reasons. Of course the other scenario is my original gut is right & Woodley breaks through Jake. But this is why I wait to the end of week to see certain things on fight week. I don’t take much into Jakes words but I’m actually going to believe his words when he talks about coming to show different boxing skills like combination punching, a lot of jabs even talks about wanting to get hit to show he has a strong chin. Listen I’m the one who has preached getting hit in a real fight can’t expose cardio but I think Jake is really going to showcase his class here OVER Woodley. Not class overall, class over Woodley lol.
Again > using his size to exploit his jab & combination punching to out box Woodley to a decision or to outbox Woodley to a fatigue point where a KO comes eventually. One thing I’m positive on is I don’t see a 1st round KO from either. To wrap it up here & as I started, a whole different ballgame than Jake vs Askren. No big bet here but would go Jake OVER my initial gut in Woodley. Yes I’m sort of on both sides but makes sense on fights like this. Unprecedented type of fights. Hard to predict. Couldn’t say the same with Askren since there was a key factor in Askren possessing absolute ZERO hand skills. Really wasn’t going to hand a breakdown & pick here but since many did message & have demanded because of my Paul vs Askren breakdown, only right I give where my head is at here. I have another big Boxing Max play locked in this weekend in REAL BOXING > Saturday. If you want to make money, that’s the spot. 🔐 Contact to lock in.
Forwarded from SportBettingPlays
What a night of boxing 🤯
Not only the huge underdog PREMIUM MAX PLAY WINNER AT +175 to continue the streak > Montana Love ✅ but two EASY LIVE WINNERS handed on top of it 📈🚀🥊🔐
I was REALLY close to skipping out on that event, I don’t know how I found out about Montana Loves fight till last second. > When I hand a pick late, usually I get caught up having to explain myself since some think I “steal it” LOL. But then I realize 🧐 nobody touches boxing like me (not a single capper on Love) & then I realize.. nobody breaks down like me > MEANING many of you are starting to pile up things I look at already FOR EX: Favoring CERTAIN young Americans in the lightweights LIKE Love on Sunday. So once I released that many of you knew I found something myself. Don’t think we have lost a single pick yet when I back a young American IM behind 💯
LFG MONTANA LOVE > Really wasn’t even close. As mentioned in the breakdown, if you watched, you saw in the 1st round WIN OR LOSE at that moment why I was behind him 🚀 What a terrible line by Vegas AND terrible management by Ivan’s team. Ivan just had a devastating KO on him just last November as I explained on breakdown… now you matchmaked him with a young American UNDEFEATED potential future star.. who has CLEAR POP in his punches. They should have given Ivan a easier opponent to get back on top BECAUSE Ivan is still really good. < Clearly when Dave Portney is throwing 20k on Ivan & 70% of the public was on Ivan 🤣🤣 But (+175) caught my eye like 😮 & thought “PERFECT SPOT TO CONTINUE THE STREAK WHILE SITTING JUST DOWN ON SUNDAY”. This is why you don’t listen to google or “experts on tv”… You had to hear these announcers & pick experts.. Talking about how Love was scared at the weigh ins & backing Ivan cause he looked pissed… Well as I BROKE DOWN, that never really favors the aggressor who was Ivan here, that favors the boxer AND I knew for a fact Love wasn’t scared to begin with 🤣🤣 He’s a DOG < Dudes like that are about it. Every day I find out more & more WHY most cant bet boxing 🥴 Long story short PRETTY MUCH a gift handed down from the betting gods & we pounced!!! 😇
Not only the huge underdog PREMIUM MAX PLAY WINNER AT +175 to continue the streak > Montana Love ✅ but two EASY LIVE WINNERS handed on top of it 📈🚀🥊🔐
I was REALLY close to skipping out on that event, I don’t know how I found out about Montana Loves fight till last second. > When I hand a pick late, usually I get caught up having to explain myself since some think I “steal it” LOL. But then I realize 🧐 nobody touches boxing like me (not a single capper on Love) & then I realize.. nobody breaks down like me > MEANING many of you are starting to pile up things I look at already FOR EX: Favoring CERTAIN young Americans in the lightweights LIKE Love on Sunday. So once I released that many of you knew I found something myself. Don’t think we have lost a single pick yet when I back a young American IM behind 💯
LFG MONTANA LOVE > Really wasn’t even close. As mentioned in the breakdown, if you watched, you saw in the 1st round WIN OR LOSE at that moment why I was behind him 🚀 What a terrible line by Vegas AND terrible management by Ivan’s team. Ivan just had a devastating KO on him just last November as I explained on breakdown… now you matchmaked him with a young American UNDEFEATED potential future star.. who has CLEAR POP in his punches. They should have given Ivan a easier opponent to get back on top BECAUSE Ivan is still really good. < Clearly when Dave Portney is throwing 20k on Ivan & 70% of the public was on Ivan 🤣🤣 But (+175) caught my eye like 😮 & thought “PERFECT SPOT TO CONTINUE THE STREAK WHILE SITTING JUST DOWN ON SUNDAY”. This is why you don’t listen to google or “experts on tv”… You had to hear these announcers & pick experts.. Talking about how Love was scared at the weigh ins & backing Ivan cause he looked pissed… Well as I BROKE DOWN, that never really favors the aggressor who was Ivan here, that favors the boxer AND I knew for a fact Love wasn’t scared to begin with 🤣🤣 He’s a DOG < Dudes like that are about it. Every day I find out more & more WHY most cant bet boxing 🥴 Long story short PRETTY MUCH a gift handed down from the betting gods & we pounced!!! 😇
Nearly everything in the free Paul vs Woodley breakdown transpired ✅
In my opinion… nearly as impressive as the Paul vs Askren actual pick.
If you re read it, you will see we nearly saw all of that happen including 1 of the 2 ways I saw the fight finishing > ABSOLUTELY NAILED > Paul withstanding Woodley early to settle in & using his size to simply out box Woodley to a decision ✅. Remember when I said “I definitely don’t see a 1st round KO”. If you don’t think that was a reach to say.. Well the initial line to go distance was (+350)… after the 1st round? (-150) 😆
Free blowout live Winner handed on the distance 💸🤝🤞
In my opinion… nearly as impressive as the Paul vs Askren actual pick.
If you re read it, you will see we nearly saw all of that happen including 1 of the 2 ways I saw the fight finishing > ABSOLUTELY NAILED > Paul withstanding Woodley early to settle in & using his size to simply out box Woodley to a decision ✅. Remember when I said “I definitely don’t see a 1st round KO”. If you don’t think that was a reach to say.. Well the initial line to go distance was (+350)… after the 1st round? (-150) 😆
Free blowout live Winner handed on the distance 💸🤝🤞
Forwarded from 1/2 Private Fight Channels
Tuesday
MMA (UFC CONTENDER):
Diego Lopes (-115) 2U
Event starts 8pm EST
MMA (UFC CONTENDER):
Diego Lopes (-115) 2U
Event starts 8pm EST