“Grandma”
Let’s say you are doing a walking tour of a state, and you happen upon a small photograph. You immediately recognize it. “It’s Grandma!” You put the 2” x 3” photo in your pocket and continue along the path.
The next day, in another county, you discover another photograph; this one is bigger, it’s 4” x 6”. But it is still a photo of grandma. You put it in your pocket with the smaller one and continue your expedition.
The next day, in the next county, you come upon yet another photo of grandma, this one is really large. It’s 8” x 12”.
And so it goes, day after day, county after county, finding pictures of grandma. All different sizes.
After your trip you describe to your friends what you found. You explain how you randomly found eighty-eight nearly identical photos of grandma. Your friends demand mathematical proof. So you take photos of each of the prints, scale them, and then superimpose them (lining up the eyes, nose, etc.), calculating the correlation coefficients.
The coefficients are not perfect, but they are really close to one. Someone had stepped on one of the photos, a bug ate the corner off another, and some had creases, etc. But the statistics are overwhelming. You found eighty-eight pictures of grandma.
That ain’t natural, buddy.
Along comes a Stanford professor who challenges your findings. He says that you didn’t really find anything spectacular, because when he compares the unscaled photos the correlation coefficients are not as good.
Well, duh.
And now he has to explain how there are eighty-eight pictures of grandma dispersed all over the state.
The next day you start a trek in the neighboring state, and in the first county you find a picture of Grandpa.
Let’s say you are doing a walking tour of a state, and you happen upon a small photograph. You immediately recognize it. “It’s Grandma!” You put the 2” x 3” photo in your pocket and continue along the path.
The next day, in another county, you discover another photograph; this one is bigger, it’s 4” x 6”. But it is still a photo of grandma. You put it in your pocket with the smaller one and continue your expedition.
The next day, in the next county, you come upon yet another photo of grandma, this one is really large. It’s 8” x 12”.
And so it goes, day after day, county after county, finding pictures of grandma. All different sizes.
After your trip you describe to your friends what you found. You explain how you randomly found eighty-eight nearly identical photos of grandma. Your friends demand mathematical proof. So you take photos of each of the prints, scale them, and then superimpose them (lining up the eyes, nose, etc.), calculating the correlation coefficients.
The coefficients are not perfect, but they are really close to one. Someone had stepped on one of the photos, a bug ate the corner off another, and some had creases, etc. But the statistics are overwhelming. You found eighty-eight pictures of grandma.
That ain’t natural, buddy.
Along comes a Stanford professor who challenges your findings. He says that you didn’t really find anything spectacular, because when he compares the unscaled photos the correlation coefficients are not as good.
Well, duh.
And now he has to explain how there are eighty-eight pictures of grandma dispersed all over the state.
The next day you start a trek in the neighboring state, and in the first county you find a picture of Grandpa.
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When I predict the voter demographics for 92 Indiana counties, the average R is 0.994.
That ain't natural, buddy!
https://rumble.com/vrbfkp-correlation-coefficient-illustration.html
That ain't natural, buddy!
https://rumble.com/vrbfkp-correlation-coefficient-illustration.html
Rumble
Correlation Coefficient Illustration
A short clip illustrating how well a particular function correlates to a noisy version of the same function. I use the correlation coefficient, R, in many of my analyses. This clip will give people wh
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"Cancer Diagnosis"
Suppose that your family doctor diagnoses you with cancer. It's serious, and the tumors are spreading throughout your whole body.
You want a second opinion, so you take a trip to Stanford medical center.
The Stanford doctor challenges the diagnosis because the tumor in your left arm has a different shape than what your family doctor found.
I think we can agree that the Stanford doctor is missing the point.
Suppose that your family doctor diagnoses you with cancer. It's serious, and the tumors are spreading throughout your whole body.
You want a second opinion, so you take a trip to Stanford medical center.
The Stanford doctor challenges the diagnosis because the tumor in your left arm has a different shape than what your family doctor found.
I think we can agree that the Stanford doctor is missing the point.
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I find it amazing that the Stanford political science professor calls our country a democracy. We're not. We are a Republic. Every elementary child who recites the pledge knows this.
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"Yes, it's that simple."
After my talk the other day in Texas a young man approached me with some questions. He wanted to reproduce the registration key calculation. He told me he basically lived in Excel every day.
So I gave him a simple set of steps he could execute in Excel to repeat the calculation. When I finished he exclaimed, "It's that easy!?"
I assured him that it was, but there was a slight subtlety to it.
It took some time for him to understand the trick, and those standing around listening were completely lost.
He is not alone. Lots of folks around the country have needed assistance with that last step. The notion of relative proportionality is difficult for most people to grasp, which is why I seldom try to explain it in public during my talks.
The best example I've come up with so far is the "picture of grandma." The relative proportions of her features are always the same regardless of the size of the photo.
And that is why you recognize her.
After my talk the other day in Texas a young man approached me with some questions. He wanted to reproduce the registration key calculation. He told me he basically lived in Excel every day.
So I gave him a simple set of steps he could execute in Excel to repeat the calculation. When I finished he exclaimed, "It's that easy!?"
I assured him that it was, but there was a slight subtlety to it.
It took some time for him to understand the trick, and those standing around listening were completely lost.
He is not alone. Lots of folks around the country have needed assistance with that last step. The notion of relative proportionality is difficult for most people to grasp, which is why I seldom try to explain it in public during my talks.
The best example I've come up with so far is the "picture of grandma." The relative proportions of her features are always the same regardless of the size of the photo.
And that is why you recognize her.
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I'm testifying at the Kentucky state capitol today. Kentucky is one of the 7 States that has more people registered than they have people.
(In private committee today)
(In private committee today)
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One of the ways to hide ballot stuffing is by inflating the voter rolls.
Pretend that you have twice as many people registered in a state as you have people, and that only half of those registered turn out.
They can report a 50% turnout and no one suspects that 100% of the population voted.
Pretend that you have twice as many people registered in a state as you have people, and that only half of those registered turn out.
They can report a 50% turnout and no one suspects that 100% of the population voted.
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"Welcome to Tennessee"
I hope everyone in Tennessee still likes me after I show them how corrupt their state registration rolls are!
I hope everyone in Tennessee still likes me after I show them how corrupt their state registration rolls are!
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Because of road construction, Google took me down a side road in Tennessee and I came upon this lovely church.
America is truly beautiful.
America is truly beautiful.
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"Lack of Good Information"
The situation I encountered in Kentucky is illustrative. The legislators there were under the impression that their voter rolls were being cleaned up.
Ha! They have some of the dirtiest rolls in the country.
One of the legislators asked, "But it's the same in all the other states, right?"
I had to break the bad news to him. Nope. Kentucky is one of the worst.
Please don't think I'm picking on Kentucky. At least they show up for the meetings.
If you try to hold meetings like this in Utah, the Republican party there will try to destroy your carreer.
I don't even need to show these guys any calculations. I just show them their own data and their jaws fall open.
The situation I encountered in Kentucky is illustrative. The legislators there were under the impression that their voter rolls were being cleaned up.
Ha! They have some of the dirtiest rolls in the country.
One of the legislators asked, "But it's the same in all the other states, right?"
I had to break the bad news to him. Nope. Kentucky is one of the worst.
Please don't think I'm picking on Kentucky. At least they show up for the meetings.
If you try to hold meetings like this in Utah, the Republican party there will try to destroy your carreer.
I don't even need to show these guys any calculations. I just show them their own data and their jaws fall open.
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"Confidence in Our Elections"
I get it. When you have a hammer in your hand, everything looks like a nail.
Our legislators legislate.
Recently, one said to me, "Dr. Frank, we need people to trust our elections, so I'm proposing new laws to make our electronic election systems more secure."
I suggested that instead they could do more of their elections on paper and make the records freely available for for public inspection.
He looked at me funny. I don't think he gets it.
We don't trust the elections because they won't let us audit the systems and the results.
In some states they are hiding the systems and records even more aggressively since we started asking.
Not suspicious at all...
More laws don't make us trust more. More transparency does.
I get it. When you have a hammer in your hand, everything looks like a nail.
Our legislators legislate.
Recently, one said to me, "Dr. Frank, we need people to trust our elections, so I'm proposing new laws to make our electronic election systems more secure."
I suggested that instead they could do more of their elections on paper and make the records freely available for for public inspection.
He looked at me funny. I don't think he gets it.
We don't trust the elections because they won't let us audit the systems and the results.
In some states they are hiding the systems and records even more aggressively since we started asking.
Not suspicious at all...
More laws don't make us trust more. More transparency does.
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“Spoons, Washboard, and Banjo”
My stepfather, Bill Edwards, was one of the finest men I’ve ever known. He was from Tennessee, and as I was driving by the Grand Ole Opry today I remembered him fondly, dancing a jig, playing the washboard and spoons, and picking his banjo.
Thank you, Bill, for making a positive difference in my life.
My stepfather, Bill Edwards, was one of the finest men I’ve ever known. He was from Tennessee, and as I was driving by the Grand Ole Opry today I remembered him fondly, dancing a jig, playing the washboard and spoons, and picking his banjo.
Thank you, Bill, for making a positive difference in my life.
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Pennie Fay Live-streaming sites :
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https://t.me/PennieFay & https://t.me/areyoustillsleeping.
Rumble:
https://rumble.com/user/PennieFay
Twitter: @pennie_fay
Twitch: FalseHopeEstabliShah
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pennie.fay.5
Downloads:
📌See my invite link: Telegram Chat Channel:
https://t.me/joinchat/HStDF-QWzi1kZWY5
📌Previous episodes: On Facebook, Twitter, Twitch, BitChute, MeWe, Gab, Parler, GETTR, Odysee, Rumble & Telegram:
https://t.me/PennieFay & https://t.me/areyoustillsleeping.
Rumble:
https://rumble.com/user/PennieFay
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"The Jolly String Quartet"
It was my first event in Tennessee, and I received a very warm welcome.
I had no idea how warm it would be...
These four youngsters were amazing, and they appeared and played the warmup at no charge.
They did foot-stompin' blue grass, gospel, big band, hymns, patriotic, and even threw in some amazing Vivaldi.
Of course, I am now trying to book them for my son's wedding in June.
They are amazing talents, but even more amazing when you realize that they are all from Eastern Russian orphanages.
From trash to talent.
A lovely demonstration of redemption. The power of love.
They are looking for gigs. Book 'em while you can!
TheJollyStringQuartet.com
It was my first event in Tennessee, and I received a very warm welcome.
I had no idea how warm it would be...
These four youngsters were amazing, and they appeared and played the warmup at no charge.
They did foot-stompin' blue grass, gospel, big band, hymns, patriotic, and even threw in some amazing Vivaldi.
Of course, I am now trying to book them for my son's wedding in June.
They are amazing talents, but even more amazing when you realize that they are all from Eastern Russian orphanages.
From trash to talent.
A lovely demonstration of redemption. The power of love.
They are looking for gigs. Book 'em while you can!
TheJollyStringQuartet.com
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