Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin Gaussian channel π Well, halving. This was the first cycle when we reached 1.0 on the Fibonacci mark, instead of the usual 0.786. The adoption of ETFs, namely the purchase of 200,000 bitcoins by institutions, distorted the demand curve this time.β¦
#Bitcoin Gaussian channel π
πThe channel turned green and we are anchored above the baseline.
π£Half a year has passed, and as I said "this halving is not like another, and the next move will be in half a year."
What's next? Now we move on to the endgame.
π‘In this phase, where we have already cooled off from ETFs, the sentiment has subsided, and the liquidity reserves are accumulated and ready to be thrown into the market, which we will certainly see in the range this year.
πThe channel turned green and we are anchored above the baseline.
π£Half a year has passed, and as I said "this halving is not like another, and the next move will be in half a year."
What's next? Now we move on to the endgame.
π‘In this phase, where we have already cooled off from ETFs, the sentiment has subsided, and the liquidity reserves are accumulated and ready to be thrown into the market, which we will certainly see in the range this year.
Feels Strategy
$BNX gave us a 9x profitπ€ By buying on the buy signalπ’ + fearπ¦ and selling in the orange zoneπ§ + greedπ₯ we secured a good profitπ° and also protected ourselves from the decline we are now seeing on the chart.
$BNX dropped by 50% after reaching the orange zoneπ
This is why we usually recommend taking profit in the orange zone. Thanks to this approach, we were able to protect ourselves from the downturnπ
This is why we usually recommend taking profit in the orange zone. Thanks to this approach, we were able to protect ourselves from the downturnπ
#Bitcoin UTXOs in Loss: Sign of a Local Bottom?
πEvery time we see UTXOs in loss hitting these elevated levels, it tends to coincide with local bottoms, especially within a broader bull market.
πThink of it as capitulation β holders realizing losses as the market shakes out weak hands.
π‘With such spikes in loss, the market often shifts toward recovery. Historically, this kind of behavior signals the tail end of corrections, and we might just be gearing up for the next leg up.
πEvery time we see UTXOs in loss hitting these elevated levels, it tends to coincide with local bottoms, especially within a broader bull market.
πThink of it as capitulation β holders realizing losses as the market shakes out weak hands.
π‘With such spikes in loss, the market often shifts toward recovery. Historically, this kind of behavior signals the tail end of corrections, and we might just be gearing up for the next leg up.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin distance from BMS As I said all last month, the mark of 74k was our local peak, you can even tell a mid-cycle peak. The geopolitical upheaval was just the last drop of what was supposed to happen. Taking into account the other earlier mentionedβ¦
#Bitcoin distance from BMS π
β The peak is predicted
β The movement along the fractal is completely coincident
π‘I am glad that I could give my followers and clients of "Feels" indicators the best analytics.
β The peak is predicted
β The movement along the fractal is completely coincident
π‘I am glad that I could give my followers and clients of "Feels" indicators the best analytics.
Feels Strategy
$BTC I haven't done a short-term analysis for a long time. πI decided to show the key levels to watch, because the moment when it will be necessary to enter the market is coming soon. π‘If there are no new geopolitical upheavals, and I expect that there probablyβ¦
$BTC short-term analysis (update)
β As I said, we did not see new geopolitical risks in the short term, and we reached the levels indicated earlier.
π Now we are starting to break the figure of the downward trend, at such a moment the number of short-term traders mainly increases, we can see this now because of the increased open interest, as well as liquidations.
βΌ So, I would tell non-professional traders to be careful in short-term trades, because the market will beat traders in 2 directions.
π‘Investors have nothing to worry about, we will soon overcome this zone of turbulence and enjoy the flight.
β As I said, we did not see new geopolitical risks in the short term, and we reached the levels indicated earlier.
π Now we are starting to break the figure of the downward trend, at such a moment the number of short-term traders mainly increases, we can see this now because of the increased open interest, as well as liquidations.
βΌ So, I would tell non-professional traders to be careful in short-term trades, because the market will beat traders in 2 directions.
π‘Investors have nothing to worry about, we will soon overcome this zone of turbulence and enjoy the flight.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin Bollinger Band π The asset's volatility can be analyzed by observing the width of the Bollinger Bands, with the BBW oscillator serving as a helpful tool to track it. βοΈ Typically, we see three waves of rising volatility before the major bull phase.β¦
#Bitcoin Bollinger Band π
πThis month we have moved away from the bottom on the Bollinger channel, anchored above the baseline, and are moving towards the upper limit. Everything is as predicted in the quoted post.
πAdditional liquidity started to appear this month, bringing us volatility.
π‘I expect $BTC will spend the next three months mostly in the upper part of the Bollinger channel. This will be a positive time for investors and traders who, after a lull, will finally see movement on the BBW volatility oscillator.
πThis month we have moved away from the bottom on the Bollinger channel, anchored above the baseline, and are moving towards the upper limit. Everything is as predicted in the quoted post.
πAdditional liquidity started to appear this month, bringing us volatility.
π‘I expect $BTC will spend the next three months mostly in the upper part of the Bollinger channel. This will be a positive time for investors and traders who, after a lull, will finally see movement on the BBW volatility oscillator.
$BTC / #NASDAQ correlation:
πAs the SRC shows, Bitcoin's correlation with the NASDAQ is rising again, hinting at an upcoming breakout.
πWith both assets mirroring each other, the pressure is building for a major move.
π‘Historically, such patterns suggest that after periods of close correlation and consolidation, weβre likely to see BTC gain momentum and start catching up on tech stocks.
πAs the SRC shows, Bitcoin's correlation with the NASDAQ is rising again, hinting at an upcoming breakout.
πWith both assets mirroring each other, the pressure is building for a major move.
π‘Historically, such patterns suggest that after periods of close correlation and consolidation, weβre likely to see BTC gain momentum and start catching up on tech stocks.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin RHODL ratio Right now, $BTC seems to be creating a new accumulation zone, just like in 2020. In the last post, I said that I expect a breakthrough of the purple line and a transition to another accumulation zone (>1,000) in the near future. Asβ¦
#Bitcoin RHODL Ratioβ‘οΈ
$BTC has finished forming the 2nd accumulation zone and is about to break through it π
π€Are we in for a breakthrough like last time? We had a similar zone in 2017 and 2020.
π‘Most likely, Yes, but the breakthrough will be less strong than, for example, in 2020/2017. I would expect ~x2 on the RHODL scale.
$BTC has finished forming the 2nd accumulation zone and is about to break through it π
π€Are we in for a breakthrough like last time? We had a similar zone in 2017 and 2020.
π‘Most likely, Yes, but the breakthrough will be less strong than, for example, in 2020/2017. I would expect ~x2 on the RHODL scale.
Feels Strategy
$UMA Another double signal, orange zonesπ and greedπ₯ A good time to fix most of the profit in the form of 4x from the entranceπ°
$UMA dropped by 75% after reaching the orange zoneπ + greedπ₯
After the asset cooled down and touched the green zoneπ’ we see it approaching the yellow zone.
After the asset cooled down and touched the green zoneπ’ we see it approaching the yellow zone.
$BTC Global M2 or Global Liquidity?
π₯Many people pay too much attention to Global M2 even though it is not nearly as important to Bitcoin as global liquidity.
πGlobal M2 mostly does not give us any data on real liquidity infusions, just an increase in the money supply, which simply shows us inflationary expectations.
πOf course, against the background of inflationary expectations, owning Bitcoin is a good idea, but it does not directly influence the asset.
π‘At the same time Global liquidity, shows the actual actions of central banks, such as QE/QT, fiscal measures, and lending, which is more important.
π₯Many people pay too much attention to Global M2 even though it is not nearly as important to Bitcoin as global liquidity.
πGlobal M2 mostly does not give us any data on real liquidity infusions, just an increase in the money supply, which simply shows us inflationary expectations.
πOf course, against the background of inflationary expectations, owning Bitcoin is a good idea, but it does not directly influence the asset.
π‘At the same time Global liquidity, shows the actual actions of central banks, such as QE/QT, fiscal measures, and lending, which is more important.
Feels Strategy
$DIA has already tripled in valueπ° since it touched the green zoneπ’ We are now observing that the asset has broken through the yellow zoneπ¨ and tested it as support, giving us solid chances of reaching the orange zoneπ§
$DIA delivered a 5x profitπ€ from the buy signalπ’ to the orange zoneπ
The asset reached the orange zone, as we had warned before. Remember, the orange zone is a good opportunity for partial take-profitπ°
The asset reached the orange zone, as we had warned before. Remember, the orange zone is a good opportunity for partial take-profitπ°
Feels Strategy
$BTC short-term analysis (update) β
As I said, we did not see new geopolitical risks in the short term, and we reached the levels indicated earlier. π Now we are starting to break the figure of the downward trend, at such a moment the number of short-termβ¦
$BTC short-term analysis (update)
πI told you to be careful in this range, because the market will break out in 2 directions.
β Open interest grew, and the market liquidated short-term traders.
π‘Remember that a BMS retest is possible. In the long run, everything is positiveβοΈ
πI told you to be careful in this range, because the market will break out in 2 directions.
β Open interest grew, and the market liquidated short-term traders.
π‘Remember that a BMS retest is possible. In the long run, everything is positiveβοΈ
Feels Strategy
#Dollar / #Bitcoin correlation I've already described before, and it's clear to everyone the correlation, a weaker DXY = a positive for BTC. The chart below shows the moments when 2 assets are correlated (circledβοΈ). π‘Now the dollar is breaking its shortβ¦
#Dollar / #Bitcoin correlation
Weaker DXY = a positive for BTC.
πNow we are waiting for short-term turbulence with the dollar against the background of politics in the US.
πIn the long term, the dollar will decline because we have just started a cycle of rate cuts and liquidity injections.
π‘The long-term forecast for Bitcoin, compared with the dollar, is unchanged. We will continue to see how a limited supply wins against an unlimited supply.
Weaker DXY = a positive for BTC.
πNow we are waiting for short-term turbulence with the dollar against the background of politics in the US.
πIn the long term, the dollar will decline because we have just started a cycle of rate cuts and liquidity injections.
π‘The long-term forecast for Bitcoin, compared with the dollar, is unchanged. We will continue to see how a limited supply wins against an unlimited supply.
#Bitcoin ATH hasn't happened yet βοΈ
If you don't count in fiat currency, we haven't seen the 2021 high exceeded yet (To the stock market).
πEverything is going according to plan, and in the near future, we will see a real ATH.
π‘Also, the RSI clearly shows that we will have a 3-wave cycle according to my 3-wave model, which I discussed a long time ago.
If you don't count in fiat currency, we haven't seen the 2021 high exceeded yet (To the stock market).
πEverything is going according to plan, and in the near future, we will see a real ATH.
π‘Also, the RSI clearly shows that we will have a 3-wave cycle according to my 3-wave model, which I discussed a long time ago.