Feels Strategy
(1/2) Is This the End for MEMEcoins? π€ πThe meme coin season has often been a harbinger of the end of the cycle. This was the case in previous cycles. Capital flow during a cycle used to follow this pattern: investments would first go into large, fundamentallyβ¦
(2/2)
πSo, what do we see now? We have a good indicator of the end of a correction/consolidation phase in the market. When meme coins start deflating, as we are seeing now.
What do I expect next? The continued decline of meme coins this month. And only when Bitcoin surpasses previous highs will we see a new meme season again.
πSo, what do we see now? We have a good indicator of the end of a correction/consolidation phase in the market. When meme coins start deflating, as we are seeing now.
What do I expect next? The continued decline of meme coins this month. And only when Bitcoin surpasses previous highs will we see a new meme season again.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin/#SPX: In search of The ATH π In the last post, I predicted when the mid-cycle peak would be, as you can see from the quoted post quite accuratelyβοΈ Now about taking the marks of the past peak (69k). This happens about 2 years after the bottom.β¦
#Bitcoin ATH hasn't happened yet βοΈ
If you don't count in fiat currency, we haven't seen the 2021 high exceeded yet (In relation to the stock market)
πThe current picture in Technical analysis, against the positive fundamentals, will ruin the traders who will soon start shorting Bitcoin. But that's normal, their liquidations are fuel for further growth.
πEverything is going according to plan, and by the end of this year, we will see a real ATH, as I said before in the quoted posts.
π‘Also, the RSI clearly shows that we will have a 3-wave cycle according to my 3-wave model, which I discussed before.
If you don't count in fiat currency, we haven't seen the 2021 high exceeded yet (In relation to the stock market)
πThe current picture in Technical analysis, against the positive fundamentals, will ruin the traders who will soon start shorting Bitcoin. But that's normal, their liquidations are fuel for further growth.
πEverything is going according to plan, and by the end of this year, we will see a real ATH, as I said before in the quoted posts.
π‘Also, the RSI clearly shows that we will have a 3-wave cycle according to my 3-wave model, which I discussed before.
$AAVE has been consolidating for over 2 yearsπ€―
This consolidation is happening between the green and yellow zones. We've mentioned several times that the yellow zone is considered a strong zone for #altcoins, and if it breaks through, there is a chance to reach the orange zone
This consolidation is happening between the green and yellow zones. We've mentioned several times that the yellow zone is considered a strong zone for #altcoins, and if it breaks through, there is a chance to reach the orange zone
#Bitcoin / #NASDAQ correlation:
πAs we can see, with the technology sector, bitcoin correlates even more than with the S&P500, and after the appearance of ETFs, this should strengthen even more.
π₯I also want to note the social analysis, which has become quite good for $BTC, as I said, the market can shake out unnecessary players with corrections or long consolidations, so now more and more people are becoming disappointed with the side market and are afraid of a new fall. Which tells us that we are already approaching the end of this boring phase.
π‘The next 2 weeks will be quite volatile, but let's hold on, after that, will be positiveβοΈ
πAs we can see, with the technology sector, bitcoin correlates even more than with the S&P500, and after the appearance of ETFs, this should strengthen even more.
π₯I also want to note the social analysis, which has become quite good for $BTC, as I said, the market can shake out unnecessary players with corrections or long consolidations, so now more and more people are becoming disappointed with the side market and are afraid of a new fall. Which tells us that we are already approaching the end of this boring phase.
π‘The next 2 weeks will be quite volatile, but let's hold on, after that, will be positiveβοΈ
#Ethereum Keltner Channel π
πEthereum dropped to minimum values ββon the RSI indicator. Below is only when the bottom of the cycle.
πAlso, the price is testing the baseline of the Keltner channel, which is also strong support.
πOf course, one cannot fail to mention that in the cycle where ether was accepted as a commodity on the market in the form of an ETF, it has not yet broken the fiat ATH, I think about the inflation of the dollar over the years and there is no need to remind.
π€Trick question, are all these factors bullish or bearish for Ethereum?
πEthereum dropped to minimum values ββon the RSI indicator. Below is only when the bottom of the cycle.
πAlso, the price is testing the baseline of the Keltner channel, which is also strong support.
πOf course, one cannot fail to mention that in the cycle where ether was accepted as a commodity on the market in the form of an ETF, it has not yet broken the fiat ATH, I think about the inflation of the dollar over the years and there is no need to remind.
π€Trick question, are all these factors bullish or bearish for Ethereum?
#Bitcoin 3 Phases Theoryπ¦
I still think we are still in the yellow π‘ phase.
π First, we haven't seen a sustained breakout above the previous ATH zone on the weekly chart.
π The yellow phase typically spans around 2 years (~100 weeks). The rapid rise due to ETF adoption pushed us back to the previous highs, causing overheating and a correction instead of entering the green phase.
π‘Although the next 2-3 weeks will be turbulent, due to the change in the direction of the credit policy, and troubles on the stock market. I believe that towards the end of the yellow period, we will go upπ’
I still think we are still in the yellow π‘ phase.
π First, we haven't seen a sustained breakout above the previous ATH zone on the weekly chart.
π The yellow phase typically spans around 2 years (~100 weeks). The rapid rise due to ETF adoption pushed us back to the previous highs, causing overheating and a correction instead of entering the green phase.
π‘Although the next 2-3 weeks will be turbulent, due to the change in the direction of the credit policy, and troubles on the stock market. I believe that towards the end of the yellow period, we will go upπ’
Feels Strategy
$SUN has reached the orange zoneπ and started experiencing greedπ₯ just as we warned. We were able to achieve a 6x profitπ€ from the green zone, so taking a profit now would be a wise decisionπ§
$SUN dropped by 40% after we mentioned that taking profit was a wise decisionπ§
While most are buying driven by greed, Feels Invest Zones subscribers have already soldπ€«
While most are buying driven by greed, Feels Invest Zones subscribers have already soldπ€«
Feels Strategy
What's the deal with Global Liquidity? We all know that Global Net Liquidity plays a crucial role in asset growth, especially for #BTC π π The largest provider of liquidity, the Fed, is expected to lower rates by September, which would boost overall liquidity.β¦
In anticipation of the approach of increased Global liquidityβοΈ
πNo one doubts that we will have a rate cut in a week. This is a signal that the economy is slowing down and that new infusions will soon be needed. The central banks of other countries are in a similar situation.
π€Now the question is where does the liquidity go and who is the biggest beneficiary?
π‘On the "sensitivity" chart, it is noticeable that gold is in second place, and #Bitcoin is in first place. And so, if you want to hedge the risks of possible shocks, and you know that infusions will come to save the situation, your best solution is to have digital gold
πNo one doubts that we will have a rate cut in a week. This is a signal that the economy is slowing down and that new infusions will soon be needed. The central banks of other countries are in a similar situation.
π€Now the question is where does the liquidity go and who is the biggest beneficiary?
π‘On the "sensitivity" chart, it is noticeable that gold is in second place, and #Bitcoin is in first place. And so, if you want to hedge the risks of possible shocks, and you know that infusions will come to save the situation, your best solution is to have digital gold
Feels Strategy
#Gold / $BTC (Digital Gold) correlation πͺ As we can see in the last 2 weeks, there is a strong positive correlation (green histogram). In the long term, this correlation will grow, because if you read the white paper of Bitcoin, it is primarily a protectiveβ¦
#Gold / $BTC (Digital Gold) correlation πͺ
πMy post yesterday told us that liquidity will flow into Bitcoin and gold. Comparing these two assets, which are also often correlated, is interesting.
πMost of the time, gold is the first to start moving up, and #Bitcoin catches up with it, this happens because we have a "risk-off" period, when risk assets are sold off for a while, until after losing these "weak hands", we start to catch up with gold.
π‘These decorrelation zones are clearly visible on the Spearman indicator. Red bars (moment of decorrelation) were often a local bottom for Bitcoin.
πMy post yesterday told us that liquidity will flow into Bitcoin and gold. Comparing these two assets, which are also often correlated, is interesting.
πMost of the time, gold is the first to start moving up, and #Bitcoin catches up with it, this happens because we have a "risk-off" period, when risk assets are sold off for a while, until after losing these "weak hands", we start to catch up with gold.
π‘These decorrelation zones are clearly visible on the Spearman indicator. Red bars (moment of decorrelation) were often a local bottom for Bitcoin.
#Bitcoin Long-Term Power Law
πIt seems to me that the market is full of eternal bull analysts who constantly shout "to the moon" and claim itβs inevitable and happening tomorrow.
In contrast, the forecasts of more realistic analysts, even if modestly bullish, get lost in the noise.
πI predicted the bottom at 16k and called for a local peak at 72k, something over 95% of analysts missed.
π‘Now, I maintain that we are still in a bull market, repeating for the past year that we are in a 3-wave cycle. In about a month, I expect the third and final move of the cycle, which will end somewhere near the green line in a yearβοΈ
πIt seems to me that the market is full of eternal bull analysts who constantly shout "to the moon" and claim itβs inevitable and happening tomorrow.
In contrast, the forecasts of more realistic analysts, even if modestly bullish, get lost in the noise.
πI predicted the bottom at 16k and called for a local peak at 72k, something over 95% of analysts missed.
π‘Now, I maintain that we are still in a bull market, repeating for the past year that we are in a 3-wave cycle. In about a month, I expect the third and final move of the cycle, which will end somewhere near the green line in a yearβοΈ
#Bitcoin RHODL ratio
$BTC completes the formation of the 2nd accumulation zone. It is similar to such a zone in 2017 and 2020. And it also differs from them.
πThe most important difference is that we had a rather strong breakthrough between purple and blue, this time ETF adoption distorted the situation.
π€How will this affect our current blue accumulation?
Rather, that will take a little longer. And also the breakthrough will be less strong than, for example, in 2020/2017. I would expect not x4 but x2 on the RHODL scale.
π‘So what can be said is that it is still too early for distribution and the next movement will definitely happen, but of course, I recommend counting on modest targets.
$BTC completes the formation of the 2nd accumulation zone. It is similar to such a zone in 2017 and 2020. And it also differs from them.
πThe most important difference is that we had a rather strong breakthrough between purple and blue, this time ETF adoption distorted the situation.
π€How will this affect our current blue accumulation?
Rather, that will take a little longer. And also the breakthrough will be less strong than, for example, in 2020/2017. I would expect not x4 but x2 on the RHODL scale.
π‘So what can be said is that it is still too early for distribution and the next movement will definitely happen, but of course, I recommend counting on modest targets.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin Keltner Channels π No one doubts that this cycle will be similar to a 3-wave one. In the last post, I said that I do not expect a fall in February and March, and even closer to the halving, the 2nd wave will begin to fade. π‘That's what happened.β¦
#Bitcoin 3-wave on Keltner Channels π
We are approaching the moment of the beginning of a new wave.
πSee the quoted post, bitcoin was then before the halving and took the ATH. All the analysts were shouting "that 100k would come soon". But at that time I already knew what the next half year was waiting for us.
πThe problem with the majority is that they cannot distinguish what is important from what is not in fundamental analysis. Most ignored overbought, seasonality, and liquidity.
π£Now, some call the current situation a bear market and expect some deep bottoms, focusing only on one of the elements of technical analysis - the trend (LH/LL).
π‘Think coldly, trust only proven analysts.
We are approaching the moment of the beginning of a new wave.
πSee the quoted post, bitcoin was then before the halving and took the ATH. All the analysts were shouting "that 100k would come soon". But at that time I already knew what the next half year was waiting for us.
πThe problem with the majority is that they cannot distinguish what is important from what is not in fundamental analysis. Most ignored overbought, seasonality, and liquidity.
π£Now, some call the current situation a bear market and expect some deep bottoms, focusing only on one of the elements of technical analysis - the trend (LH/LL).
π‘Think coldly, trust only proven analysts.
Feels Strategy
$CKB has doubled in value over the past 3 daysπ³ Thanks to a combination of extreme fearπ¦ + and buy signalπ’ we've almost got a perfect buying signalπ We want to remind you that when reaching the red zoneπ₯ taking profits on most coins is a good idea.
$CKB has doubled in value over the past 7 daysπ
The last time we posted about this asset, it had reached a local peak with a 9x profitπ° after which it dropped by about 80%. Currently, the coin is trying to break through the yellow zoneπ¨
The last time we posted about this asset, it had reached a local peak with a 9x profitπ° after which it dropped by about 80%. Currently, the coin is trying to break through the yellow zoneπ¨