Feels Strategy
(1/2) Why are we falling and why do I think there will be no deep correction? π£The first is, of course, geopolitics, risks are growing again in the Middle East, π£The second is additional liquidity from the US government and mt GOX. π£A crisis of narrativesβ¦
(2/2) Why these are not big problems?
π‘Geopolitics. I don't want to delve into possible options, but in the basic version, I expect a repetition of the option as it was in April, after which the situation cooled down.
π‘The market will absorb the liquidity here and as in the past, as we saw in the story with the sales of the German government.
π‘I think there will be narratives, and seasonality does not show us a deep correction, only consolidation.
π‘I consider that the negative will be only in snp500 and then very short-term. In general, lowering rates is positive, both for business and for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.
P.S. In the table of seasonality, I left only the necessary months, taking away bear years and too early years.
π‘Geopolitics. I don't want to delve into possible options, but in the basic version, I expect a repetition of the option as it was in April, after which the situation cooled down.
π‘The market will absorb the liquidity here and as in the past, as we saw in the story with the sales of the German government.
π‘I think there will be narratives, and seasonality does not show us a deep correction, only consolidation.
π‘I consider that the negative will be only in snp500 and then very short-term. In general, lowering rates is positive, both for business and for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.
P.S. In the table of seasonality, I left only the necessary months, taking away bear years and too early years.
Feels Strategy
#Ethereum Keltner Channel π ETH reached local resistance in the form of the red zone of the channel, faster than the last cycle. What does this tell us? The consolidation before the next move may be longer. π€Most will say that ETH has not reached ATH yetβ¦
What's up with $ETH? (Keltner Channel)
Today was difficult for the stock market, one of the biggest down days in the last 4 years.
#Ethereum has a large technology team that makes it look like a company with a Nasdaq and it is not surprising that it is correlated with this drop today.
π€What's up with the ETF influx? So far, we have a strong outflow through grayscale, but according to forecasts, in a few weeks the outflow should end, and the inflow should increase.
π‘This generally coincides with our forecast for the cryptocurrency market, we expect positive things from autumn.
Today was difficult for the stock market, one of the biggest down days in the last 4 years.
#Ethereum has a large technology team that makes it look like a company with a Nasdaq and it is not surprising that it is correlated with this drop today.
π€What's up with the ETF influx? So far, we have a strong outflow through grayscale, but according to forecasts, in a few weeks the outflow should end, and the inflow should increase.
π‘This generally coincides with our forecast for the cryptocurrency market, we expect positive things from autumn.
#Bitcoin 3 Phases Theory π¦
Why do I think we still have a yellow lightπ‘ and a green oneπ’ is still ahead?
πFirst of all, we did not have a fixation (two closes in a row above) on the weekly chart above the zone of the past ATH.
πThe next, yellow phase usually lasts about 2 years, (100 weeks). The fact that we quickly grew on the adoption of ETFs to past maximums led to overheating and correction, rather than starting a green phase.
π‘The movement in this model converges with our other models and other methods of analysis, which tells us that a new movement is coming soon in a few weeks.
Why do I think we still have a yellow lightπ‘ and a green oneπ’ is still ahead?
πFirst of all, we did not have a fixation (two closes in a row above) on the weekly chart above the zone of the past ATH.
πThe next, yellow phase usually lasts about 2 years, (100 weeks). The fact that we quickly grew on the adoption of ETFs to past maximums led to overheating and correction, rather than starting a green phase.
π‘The movement in this model converges with our other models and other methods of analysis, which tells us that a new movement is coming soon in a few weeks.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin 3-wave on Keltner Channels π πEven at the beginning of this cycle, looking at various fundamental signs, I realized that this cycle can be 3-wave and as we can see, more than half of the cycle has already passed, and we continue to move along thisβ¦
Has anything changed? No
We are finishing the 2nd wave of movement.
#Bitcoin 3-wave on Keltner Channels π
πThe previous situation is a good example that you need to look at the world in general. Considering macroeconomics and fundamental analysis. How I do it every time.
π£If you did not look at my analysis, but others, you can thank your analysts who drew you 100k in the summer, enjoyed the buy signal on the hash ribbon, or drew a cap & handle.
π‘What awaits us in the future? Of course, the stock markets will be supported by the injection of liquidity, and we expect another powerful movement in the autumn.
We are finishing the 2nd wave of movement.
#Bitcoin 3-wave on Keltner Channels π
πThe previous situation is a good example that you need to look at the world in general. Considering macroeconomics and fundamental analysis. How I do it every time.
π£If you did not look at my analysis, but others, you can thank your analysts who drew you 100k in the summer, enjoyed the buy signal on the hash ribbon, or drew a cap & handle.
π‘What awaits us in the future? Of course, the stock markets will be supported by the injection of liquidity, and we expect another powerful movement in the autumn.
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin distance from BMS π Below is the oscillator, which shows how far the price has moved away from the bull market support. Mostly when we are in the 2-3 year of the cycle, the mark on the oscillator 40 acts as resistance, which indicates a mid-cycleβ¦
#Bitcoin distance from BMS π
πWhen we were at 72k, I posted a scenario with a correction with a downtrend in the next few months. Now this scenario is still relevant.
π€If there are no new unforeseen situations, such as the cracking of some sector of the economy, and we live to see the previous rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) this autumn, this scenario will play out in full. I still think of it as a base scenario.
πWhen we were at 72k, I posted a scenario with a correction with a downtrend in the next few months. Now this scenario is still relevant.
π€If there are no new unforeseen situations, such as the cracking of some sector of the economy, and we live to see the previous rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) this autumn, this scenario will play out in full. I still think of it as a base scenario.
When to buy $ETH?π€
Consider the Feels indicators Fear & Greed + Keltner channel.
#DCA is suitable for many people because of its simplicity and the ability to choose when liquidity appears
πSo when the market feels Fear and the price enters the green zone, it is a favorable time.
Consider the Feels indicators Fear & Greed + Keltner channel.
#DCA is suitable for many people because of its simplicity and the ability to choose when liquidity appears
πSo when the market feels Fear and the price enters the green zone, it is a favorable time.
What's the deal with Global Liquidity?
We all know that Global Net Liquidity plays a crucial role in asset growth, especially for #BTC π
π The largest provider of liquidity, the Fed, is expected to lower rates by September, which would boost overall liquidity.
π And don't forget the cycles in the world's second-largest economy. Their liquidity injections follow a yearly cycle, with the next one kicking off in October.
For the past 2 years, we have grown against the trend of liquidity, imagine what will happen when liquidity meets usπ
We all know that Global Net Liquidity plays a crucial role in asset growth, especially for #BTC π
π The largest provider of liquidity, the Fed, is expected to lower rates by September, which would boost overall liquidity.
π And don't forget the cycles in the world's second-largest economy. Their liquidity injections follow a yearly cycle, with the next one kicking off in October.
For the past 2 years, we have grown against the trend of liquidity, imagine what will happen when liquidity meets usπ
Feels Strategy
$LPT grew 8 times from the moment of the buy signalπ’ + fearπ¦ After #Livepeer reached the orange zoneπ combined with greedπ₯ the #altcoin began a correction and cooling-off period. That's why we always recommend partially exiting positions in the orange zone.
$LPT has dropped about 65% since we showed it reaching the orange zoneπ and has provided an 8x returnπ€
Are you still consideringπ€ whether taking profit in the orange zone is a smart idea?
Are you still consideringπ€ whether taking profit in the orange zone is a smart idea?
Feels Strategy
$RAY earned x7 and x18π€ reaching the orange zoneπ combined with extreme greedπ₯ Thanks to the buy signalπ’ and extreme greedπ¦ we were able to obtain a good entry point, which led to two sales with good profitsπ°
$RAY continues to cool off after hitting the signal (π +π₯)
Those who took profitπ° in the orange zone made quite good moneyπ€ Now we see that the asset couldn't hold above the yellow zoneπ¨ and has fallen below it.
Those who took profitπ° in the orange zone made quite good moneyπ€ Now we see that the asset couldn't hold above the yellow zoneπ¨ and has fallen below it.
Consolidation in Crypto Sentiment
It's not just sharp corrections that push people out of the market. Extended periods of consolidationβlike the one we've been in for almost 6 monthsβcan be just as challenging π
As Bitcoin continues trading in a range (50-70k), many traders become impatient and exit the market.
π‘But this is nothing new. Historically, the market always finds a way to test investors' resolve. Only those who stay patient and stick to their long-term strategies come out stronger.
πRemember: Consolidations are part of the cycle. Patience pays off in the end.
It's not just sharp corrections that push people out of the market. Extended periods of consolidationβlike the one we've been in for almost 6 monthsβcan be just as challenging π
As Bitcoin continues trading in a range (50-70k), many traders become impatient and exit the market.
π‘But this is nothing new. Historically, the market always finds a way to test investors' resolve. Only those who stay patient and stick to their long-term strategies come out stronger.
πRemember: Consolidations are part of the cycle. Patience pays off in the end.